The Big Number: 3

It's one of the most exciting down-ballot races of the year, and it's tightening. Former Christian Coalition Exec. Dir. Ralph Reed (R), an architect of the GOP's revival in GA, has battled for months against State Sen. Casey Cagle (R). In a Strategic Vision poll out today, Reed leads Cagle by a hair -- 44%-41%.

Cagle's favs stand at a healthy 43%-20%, making him very well-known for a member of the legislature. Reed's unfavs exceeds his favs -- thank Abramoff and an aggresive GA press for that. But he's got the name, the machine in southern GA, the still-strong allegiance of social conservatives. He also boasts a healthy financial lead -- $1.45 million to Cagle's $880K, as of the latest report, filed on 3/31. Next reports are due 7/9. With just 20 days to go until the 7/18 primary, the race is deadlocked.