The Hotline's Hot House Race Updates
A daily update of ads, polls, trends and analyses from the hottest House races.
Updated Race Rankings: House **** Senate **** Governors
1. In The Waiting Line: Rep. John Sweeney's (R) camp "failed" to produce documents this a.m., which it claims will refute reports that Sweeney's wife, Gaia, called 911 and alleged that "he physically abused" her in 12/05. Although the AP, the Times Union of Albany and New York Daily News have all offered "assistance in preparing release waivers," Sweeney's camp "has declined" the help. The AP tried to contact Sweeney's office this a.m. but Sweeney's camp had "no immediate comment" (AP/Newsday).
2. Gotta Assume Undecideds Break Right, Don't We? In ID 01, a Greg Smith & Assoc. poll; conducted 10/25-11/1 for the Idaho Business Review and KTVB-TV; surveyed 287 LVs; margin of error +/- 6% (release, 11/3). Tested: State Rep. Bill Sali (R) and atty Larry Grant (D).
General Election Matchup Grant 38% Sali 34 Other/undec 28
3. Not Sounding Confident: NRCC Chair Tom Reynolds stepped out of NY 26 to enter the "Situation Room" 11/2. To Americans who might call Pres. Bush's sixth year in office "the sixth year itch," he said, "I call it wind in your face. We need to work very hard to make sure that we can hold the House" (CNN).
4. Eating Bass For Breakfast: In NH 02, a UNH Survey Center poll; conducted 10/29-11/1 for WMUR-TV; surveyed 330 LVs; margin of error +/- 5.4% (release, 11/2). Tested: Rep. Charlie Bass (R), '04 nom. Paul Hodes (D) and Ken Blevins (L).
General Election Matchup How Important Is Iraq War To
All Dem GOP Ind 9/24 Your Vote?
Hodes 45% 73% 12% 26% 46% Very 66%
Bass 37 14 76 26 36 Somewhat 26
Blevins 2 -- 1 13 na Not 7
Other/undec 16 13 11 35 18
Bass' Internals Tell A Different Story: An ARG tracking poll; conducted 10/30-11/1 for Bass; surveyed 619 LVs; margin of error +/- 4% (Hotline sources, 11/2). Tested: Bass, Hodes and Blevins.
General Election Matchup Bass 47% Hodes 44 Blevins 3 Other/undec 6
Join the Discussion
The National Journal Group has the right (but not the obligation) to monitor the comments and to remove any materials it deems inappropriate.
Comments powered by Disqus