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Expectations Alert: HRC In Iowa

From Ex-IA Gov. Tom Vilsack's endorsement of Sen. Hillary Clinton:

Christie and I plan on spending the next 10 months helping Hillary win the Iowa caucuses and the other states necessary to win the Democratic nomination -- and after that, the White House in 2008.

That's... WIN Iowa, not "do well" in Iowa.

8 Comments

Good luck with that.

The Des Moines Register's David Yepsen spells out why Vilsack's endorsement has a serious downside for Hillary (and not much of an upside).

Another day, another poll - same results. USA Today poll released today shows Hillary STILL leads Obama and Edwards by double digits.

Must be very frustrating to the Hillary haters - not to mention the fact that she raised 10 million dollars in the last week. Gee, who's surging now!

I talk to active Iowa Democrats almost every day, and I always ask them who they are supporting. I would estimate at least half the people I talk to are undecided now. These are people who have actually attended Iowa caucuses in the past. Mostly they are undecided between Edwards and Obama, though some are considering Richardson. Many are for "anyone but Hillary."

I am frankly amazed by how few reliable caucus-goers are supporting Clinton. I have yet to identify a single person in my precinct who is planning to caucus for Hillary. I'm not saying she won't have any support on caucus night, but if she had any chance of winning I'm sure I'd be running into some people at this point who are at least leaning her way.

The battle will be between Edwards and Obama. Look for Clinton to finish a distant third here.

I agree with desmoinesdem. I am in SE Iowa (Democratic stronghold and Vilsack country) and I cannot find one, and I mean ONE, person who plans to support Hillary. Now I am sure Vilsack's support will offer some movement, but not much. I think whoever Chet Culver and Dave Loebsack get behind will matter more, and rumor is that they are both leaning towards Obama because of his support in 06 (the Iowa City rally literally put Loebsack over the top the weekend before the election).

While it is just the view of one (no two) political junkies in Democratic strongholds, who is supporting Hillary in Iowa?

Hilllary supporters (i.e. Craig), please explain something to me. So many people complained, rightfully, that it was not a good sign for American democracy to have a father and son both be president in such a short time period. How then, does having Hillary make American democracy stronger? Because she's a woman? So it's token democracy? Would having two "royal" families run the country for almost three decades be a good thing? Isn't it time for new blood?

Tyler – what the country needs is the most experienced and qualified candidate and that is clearly Hillary regardless of the fact that her husband was president (and a very good one at that). Looks the American Research Group found plenty of caucus-goers who plan to support Hillary – that’s how she came in first place in their poll. Also heard that Hillary easily outperformed Edwards and Obama at the Nevada labor event on Saturday – even FOX news raved about her perfromance and the reception she received.

Many of the bloogers who trash Hillary are the same people who assured us that Howard Dean would be the Democratic nominee in 2004 and that Snakes on a Plane would be the biggest movie of 2006.

Craig - First of all, Snakes on a Plane was the best movie in the last century, better than even Citizen Kane. It's too bad most people don't recognize that. But in all seriousness, Hillary is not the most experienced and qualified candidate, not even on the democratic side. Look at Richardson's record, Biden's record, Dodd's record. You can't claim she is the most qualified or experienced. You can claim (wrongly) that she is the best, or your favorite, but she certainly does not lay claim to having the most experience.

Hillary has headed all polls since the race for the Presidency in 2004. She wasn't even a contender for 2004 but her name remained in the polling questions, until just like Gore for 2008, it was finally removed, except unlike Gore, she led all other candidates. This is the kind of consistency that Hillary has enjoyed for years in the polls.

She is the tried-and-true expert on medical reform; she has never stopped working on health and medical issues for Americans.

She sits on the important committees when it comes to Iraq and foreign affairs.

Education is another area where her work and experience place her way ahead of her contenders.

It's Hillary Clinton's time. There is no other candidate who brings as much to the table, or who can hit the ground running when she is elected President.