Thursday, February 9, 2012

September 2007

September
29

Dating Bill Gardner: NH Sets Filing Period But Not Primary Date

September 29, 2007

It will likely be another month until we know the date of the New Hampshire Primary.

Secretary of State Bill Gardner announced this afternoon that the filing period for the primary will begin Monday, October 15, and end Friday, November 2. That means Al Gore and Newt Gingrich, if they want to participate in the first in the nation primary, must make up their mind in the next month.

New Hampshire law calls for the filing period to be "the first Monday through the third Friday of the November." That’s when it was in 2003, for the primary held January 27, 2004. Gardner said in a phone interview 9/27 that moving the filing period up three weeks does not necessarily indicate that the primary would move likewise. “Nothing will happen now at least until the filing period begins,” Gardner said of his timeline for an announcement.

Gardner did confirm that it means there is a chance the primary “could be in December.” “We would be ready,” Gardner said. “This allows us to be prepared by moving [the filing period] ahead.”

Candidates who want to participate in the primary can file beginning at 8 am on 10/15. All you need is $1,000. Filing closes before 5 pm on November 2nd. Gardner said he would immediately then begin printing absentee ballots. [MIKE MEMOLI]

September
29

Huckabee, One Night Only

September 29, 2007

LONDONDERRY, N.H. -- Mike Huckabee let his bass guitar do the talking as he kicked off a weekend trip to the Granite State by jamming at a local bar here.

Huckabee traded his band, Capitol Offense, for local rockers Mama Kicks Friday night as he played before a crowd mixed with supporters and curious onlookers. "Would you like a president who has pardoned Keith Richards?" asked Fred Bramante, Huckabee's state co-chairman, as he introduced the former Arkansas governor. "Would you like a president who knows how to rock?"

The performance at Whippersnappers was a limited engagement; Huckabee played seven songs, including "Born to Be Wild," "Jailhouse Rock" and "Sweet Home Alabama." He didn't know the set list before he got on stage, but seemed to have no trouble with the set list. "I just had to follow them," he said.

Huckabee was joined on stage for three songs by former Boston guitarist Barry Goudreau. Boston's Tom Scholz was also on hand. "I couldn't believe I met those guys," Huckabee said after. "I was like speechless. I really was like a little kid." [MIKE MEMOLI]

September
29

"Desperate Housewives" Hunk Dials Into Iowa

September 29, 2007

It's not every day that a hunky actor leaves a message on my cell phone.

TV actor and noted eye candy James Denton, better known as the plumber from hit series Desperate Housewives, recorded an audio message for supporters of John Edwards, who he'll be stumping for this weekend along with Edwards' daughter Cate. Per my voice mailbox, he's in Iowa this weekend, and he'd "love to meet" me (and everyone else on the phone list) "along the way."

"It's so important that we have a president who actually listens to the American people," says Denton in the recording, "and who has the backbone to stand up to special interests and fight to make sure every American has the opportunities he had."

"John's has been doing this all his whole life, and that's exactly what he'll do as our president."

Oh, and he looks forward to meeting me this weekend.

Okay, Jim. But I have to be home by ten-thirty or my dad will KILL me. [CARRIE DANN]

September
29

Obama Compares Himself To Clinton, Bill Clinton That Is

September 29, 2007

Barack Obama may shy away from directly attacking Hillary Clinton by name, but in Concord, NH today he referenced her husband to distinguish his experience from those who have spent too many years in Washington.

"I remember what was said years ago by a candidate running for President," said Obama, “The same old experience is not relevant. You can have the right kind of experience and the wrong kind of experience.

Well that candidate was Bill Clinton. And I think he was absolutely right."

Obama toughened his lines on why "playing the game in Washington" was detrimental, tying those who tout their Beltway credentials to the deaths of thousands of American troops in Iraq.

"There are those who say we they can play the game in Washington. Well we shouldn't be playing a game when young men and women are dying in the battlefields of Iraq," Obama told the crowd. "We don't need the kind of experience that leads people into war."

His speech stressed his years as a consensus builder in the Illinois state senate and his role in helping pass ethics reform in Washington. Once again he would not refer to Sen. Clinton by name, but positioned himself as someone who was free of the special interest influence that could impede the passage of major legislative reforms. [ASWINI ANBURAJAN]

September
28

Quote Of The Day

September 28, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"If you're making a speech to 1,500 people and somebody yawns, the story is the yawn."

-- Fred Thompson, Knoxville News Sentinel, 9/28.

September
28
September
27

Hillary's Insider Advantage

September 27, 2007

Every day, the political class rates the 2008 White House hopefuls on the quality of their campaigns, how much money they’ve raised or how they performed in the latest debate. But who would make the best president?

September
27

PolitiScope: His Better Half?

September 27, 2007

Is Elizabeth Edwards helping or hurting her husband's presidential campaign? In his latest PolitiScope, John Mercurio answers the question.

September
27

The Gift That Keeps On Giving

September 27, 2007

Bill Clinton has chosen an interesting round of media outlets to promote his global initiative fund.

Yesterday he sat down with Martha Stewart and CNBC's Maria Bartiromo -- both of whom played to his target donor audience. In fact, during her interview, Stewart discussed how much she gave to Clinton's fund and had several employees come forward to discuss how they were inspired to give more to the community. And CNBC's audience is the business community -- one that can afford to donate to Clinton's cause.

His third interview of the day was with ABC's Charles Gibson, but, naturally, half of the televised portion focused on Hillary Clinton's WH run. Clinton continues the TV rounds today with a sit down with Bloomberg's Al Hunt and FNC's Greta Van Susteren. [EMILY GOODIN]

September
27

Baracking The Vote

September 27, 2007

HANOVER, NH -- In a speech to students at Dartmouth College yesterday, Barack Obama's NH dir. told students that young voters could decide which WH Dem carries the Granite State in '08.

"If we can get two to three thousand extra votes from you guys that could be 4 to 5, 6, 7 percent of the vote," Matt Rodriguez said.

September
27

GOP Adman Becomes ONE With Poverty

September 27, 2007

Bush-Cheney ‘04 adman Fred Davis has joined the Bono-endorsed anti-poverty ONE Vote '08 campaign as its sole media consultant.

“It’s nice to be on the side of all of humanity this time,” said Davis. “ONE is such a large undertaking that we consider it a replacement for work in the presidential primaries.”

Davis was chief creative consultant on Sen. John McCain’s White House run until leaving the cash-challenged campaign last July, and last year he consulted on former Sen. Bill Frist’s testing-the-waters ‘08 aspirations. Now Frist and former Democratic Senate Leader Tom Daschle are co-chairs of ONE’s “Vote ‘08” effort with Davis creating ads built on persuading ‘08 candidates to make genuine anti-poverty commitments.

“Very simple little challenge, don’t you think?” said Davis. “It’s an attempt to get politicians in America to understand that poverty is such a vital worldwide issue. Helping find solutions to poverty could so affect the way the world perceives the United States."

Davis’s Los Angeles-based media firm Strategic Perception started working on ONE ideas last week, joining ex- B-C ‘04 chief strategist Matthew Dowd who signed on recently as ONE’s chief strategist. (Check out Dowd’s personal website www.livegentle.com, where he’s writing about his current, three-week spiritual pilgrimage through India)

Davis and Dowd answer to ONE president/CEO Susan McCue, formerly chief of staff to Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, with McCue ranked No. 47 on GQ magazine’s “50 Most Powerful People in D.C.” The U2 front man Bono has been a public face for ONE since its 2004 founding by major development and relief agencies. But McCue has had free reign to create her bi-partisan team with advisors such as Dem strategist Donna Brazile and Bush global communications strategist Tucker Eskew (who with Dowd was one of four founders of consulting firm Via Novo).

In an e-mail, McCue stated that ONE is, “building aggressive grassroots operations on the ground and will have a sophisticated media overlay.” With serious dollars from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, ONE lobbies Capitol Hill for global debt cancellation, worldwide clean water, African AIDS treatment, etc.

Besides ONE, this fall’s ‘07 cycle finds Davis working on Kentucky Gov. Ernie Fletcher’s re-election bid and creating the Republican Governors Association ads for U.S. Rep. Bobby Jindal’s second try at moving into the Governor's mansion in Baton Rogue. Davis’s ‘08 commitments include the Senate re-election bids of North Carolina’s Elizabeth Dole, Oklahoma’s Jim Inhofe and Tennessee’s Lamar Alexander, plus N.C. businessman/attorney Bill Graham’s gubernatorial run. [DAVID FINNIGAN]

September
27

Quote Of The Day

September 27, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"One thing that I don't want to do is wake up on Election Day and have this whole Barack Obama thing be 'a nice story.'"

-- Michelle Obama, NBC/National Journal, 9/26.

September
27
September
26

Paccione Passes in CO-04

September 26, 2007

Another Dem top-tier challenger has a clearer field this afternoon, as CO-04 ’06 nominee Angie Paccione (D) has dropped out of the race, according to the Rocky Mountain News. That leaves Dem favorite Betsy Markey, a former aide to Sen. Salazar (D) and ’06 Reform nominee Eric Eidsness (D) as the two Dems remaining in the race against Rep. Marilyn Musgrave (R).

Paccione announced this a.m. that she’s joining Pathways to Leadership, a business consulting firm. Paccione: “I thought that I might be able to work with Pathways to Leadership and campaign for Congress at the same time. However, the opportunities with Pathways have grown and I must say 'yes' to those opportunities."

Paccione came within 6K votes of knocking off Musgrave in ’06. But, this year, key CO Dems had started to coalesce around Markey, putting pressure on Paccione to exit. Paccione had raised just $90K for her repeat bid.

Her exit from the race continues a positive trend for Democrats. Against targeted GOPers, weaker Dems are dropping out of primaries, helping to clear the field for stronger and more viable Dem candidates. Markey now becomes the prohibitive favorite in this race, and should have more resources with which to combat the very vulnerable Musgrave in a general election. [TIM SAHD]

September
26

Terry Everett, Retiring

September 26, 2007

Rep. Terry Everett (R-AL 02) today announced his decision not to seek re-election in ’08, citing ill health.

Everett: "My health is good, but I have had two attacks of shingles in the last three years. This resulted in nerve damage to my right foot that has not been completely restored, which causes a few problems. I have recently determined that progress in that regard will be slower than I had hoped. While my health is good, there are other areas that come with age that I should pay more attention.”

September
26

Giuliani Makes Changes Atop His Finance Team

September 26, 2007

NBC/National Journal embed Matt Berger confirms Politico's report that Rudy Giuliani is making changes in his finance team. "It wasn't the right fit," said a campaign aide. Jim Lee will now serve as finance co-chair and CEO of Giuliani's campaign.

September
26

Fortune Favors ...

September 26, 2007

Joe Biden saw his Iraq amendment to the Defense Authorization Bill pass the Senate this afternoon by a 75-23-2 vote. Passage wasn't just seen as a victory for Biden but a chance to get his '08 opponents on the record about his Iraq plan. Hillary Clinton, Chris Dodd, and Sam Brownback (who signed on as a co-sponsor) all voted for the plan. But Barack Obama and John McCain didn't vote on the measure. It will be interesting to see how Biden, who has tied his presidential fortune to the war in Iraq, responds. He's holding a presser on Capital Hill this afternoon. [EMILY GOODIN]

September
26

Quote Of The Day

September 26, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"Giuliani doesn't need more weird."

-- The Wall Street Journal, on Giuliani interrupting his NRA speech to answer a call from his wife, 9/26

September
26
September
26

Time For A Deal!

September 26, 2007

Hillary Clinton issued an official statement last p.m. on the UAW’s decision to strike, just hours before the union reached a deal with GM and a full day after any other WH Dem did so. Chris Dodd was the first candidate to issue his support for the union on 9/24.

Here’s when the statement from their respective campaign office arrived in our inbox:

Dodd: 9/24 1:17 PM

Barack Obama: 9/24 2:29 PM

Bill Richardson: 9/24 3:37 PM

Joe Biden: 9/24 3:56 PM

John Edwards: 9/24 4:32 PM

Clinton: 9/25 6:36 PM

[NORA McALVANAH]

September
26

Hotline After Dark -- The Speaker Has The Floor

September 26, 2007

Still a lot of TV talk last night on Iranian Pres. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

Speaker Nancy Pelosi was in the "Situation Room":

On Iraq: "We changed the debate on the war. We put a bill on the president's desk which said that we wanted the redeployment of troops out of Iraq to begin in a timely fashion and to end within a year. The president vetoed that bill. He got quite a response to that veto and the Republicans in the Senate then decided that he was never going to get a bill on his desk again. So we have a barrier. And it's important for the American people to know that while I can bring a bill to the floor in the House, it cannot be brought up in the Senate unless there is a 60 vote."

Asked if they can't limit funding: "I wish the speaker had all the power you just described. I certainly could do that. That doesn't bar the minority from bringing up a funding resolution. They have their parliamentary prerogatives, as well."

On the Dem base being angry about Iraq: "I'm frustrated myself" (CNN, 9/25). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
25

Elizabeth The Great?

September 25, 2007

From today's Hotline:

Is E. Edwards helping or hurting her husband's WH campaign?
-- She emerged from WH '04 w/legions of admirers, and drew respect and warm condolences from every corner 3/22 when she announced her cancer had returned. But since then she has evolved into her husband's chief attacker, launching salvos at HRC and Obama that others (esp. would-be first ladies) wouldn't dare.
-- In today's NY Daily News, she continues to hit Clinton: "She's wrong on how it is we get univ. health care, and her own experience should have taught her that." The Clintons "lost the fight" in '93, she said, because they used their "pol. capital" on NAFTA. Their "stick-to-it-iveness ... wasn't there."
-- Quite notably, the NYDN says, Camp Clinton "declined to respond to Edwards' broadsides."
-- Of course they did. They know full well that E. Edwards holds a special place in voters' hearts. She's virtually untouchable in the WH'08 debate. The question is, did the Edwards camp, recognizing that reality, goad her into launching these broadsides, potentially driving up her own negs? Can she be her husband's biggest asset if she, herself, is viewed as polarizing?

September
25

Quote Of The Day

September 25, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"It is the Kerry model in a lot of ways."

-- John McCain camp mgr Rick Davis, on McCain's comeback strategy, Des Moines Register, 9/25.

September
25
September
25

Hotline After Dark -- Doubling Down

September 25, 2007

Lots of talk about Iranian Pres. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on TV last night but here are the political highlights:

Bill Richardson was on "NewsHour" as part of their '08 candidates series:

On Iraq: "A political compromise can only happen only if we get every one of our troops out, because they become targets."

More: "I don't understand the reasoning of my Democratic opponents who say they want to take all the combat troops out, but leave troops behind that are non-combat troops. I say, 'How are they going to defend themselves?' So my point is not that I'm trying to attract the antiwar vote. What I want to do is diplomacy, bring Iran and Syria in for possible diplomacy that will allow stability in the region, an all-Muslim peacekeeping force headed by the U.N. Get Turkey in there, get Jordan, get Egypt. This is a Muslim war."

Asked if he would have let Iranian Pres. Ahmadinejad speak to the U.N.: "Yes, as home of the U.N., yes. Those are multilateral agreements that any world leader can come to the United States, as long as they're members of the United Nations. And New York is the seat of the United Nations. But I wouldn't have allowed Ahmadinejad to go to Ground Zero. I'm glad the New York police said no. That would have been an insult to the families. Speaking of Columbia, I wouldn't have invited him, but Columbia did, and it was his platform."

On dealing with Mexico: "I think you also have to have stronger border security. You've got to find ways to have more technology to detect some kind of nuclear material at the border. I'd keep the National Guard there longer. But would I build this wall? No, that is foolish. This country is not a nation of walls. Plus, if you build a wall that's 12 feet tall, a lot of 13-foot ladders are going to happen. It doesn't work. What you also do is those that knowingly hire illegal workers need to be punished. And then, finally, there's got to be a legalization program. What's the alternative, round everybody up and deport them? That's not going to happen. Or the current status, which is leave the problem and not deal with it? I think that's unacceptable."

Richardson: "If I'm the nominee, I'll name my cabinet before the election, so that the American people know what team it is. I'll have independents. I'll have Republicans in my cabinet. I won't overdo the Republicans. But I just think that we need bipartisanship and we need not just talk about it. We need to show how we're going to do it, how we can govern" (PBS, 9/24).

TRUMP THIS

Donald Trump was in the "Situation Room":

Trump: "I play golf with Andrew [Giuliani]. And Andrew is a very, very good golfer, by the way. And he loves his father."

Asked the relationship between the Giulianis: "I don't think it is estranged at all. I mean, I speak to Andrew, he totally loves his father and respects his father, and loves his mother."

CNN's Blitzer: "That is good to know" (9/24).

PLACE YOUR BETS

Author Bill Sammon was on "Hannity & Colmes" to discuss his new book in which Pres. Bush predicts Hillary Clinton will get the Dem WH nod.

Sammon: "He's hedging his bet. On the one hand, ... he told me that he expects Hillary to win the nomination, which is the first time the president has actually predicted that. ... But I think even more significantly, he's now saying -- and I'm reporting this tonight -- that he, Bush and his aides have quietly been providing back-channel advice to Hillary and the other Democratic top tier candidates to leave enough wiggle room in their anti-war rhetoric so that, if they're elected president, they will still be able to preserve the war and not completely reverse Bush's policies that he's put in place all of these years. So he's trying to have it both ways. He's thinking the Republican's going to win, but in case the Democrats win, he's to get them -- look, if you end up sitting where I'm sitting here in the Oval Office, all this anti-war rhetoric is going to go away, and you're going to have to deal with the reality that I deal with. So he's giving them this advice" (FNC, 9/24).

Chicago Tribune's Zuckman, on reports of Bush saying HRC will get the Dem nod: "The fact is, up and down the ranks of the Republican party, they are convinced that she will be the nominee. I was having a conversation with a Republican strategist who's been involved in every presidential election for years the other day, and I said, isn't there some scenario you could imagine where she wouldn't get the nomination? And he said, well, I suppose if she gets hit by a truck" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 9/24).

Newsweek's Fineman, on HRC's Sunday show appearances: "Not only did she do all five, she did them under her own circumstances. She did them from a set in the barn up in her house in Chappaqua, beautifully lit, perfectly lit. It showed the control she has of the political process at this point. And, by the way, it also showed the attitude they have towards the media. They did all five of these today, so they don't have to do any more until after the primary season" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 9/24).

MSNBC's Matthews: "I have another theory that even if she had gone head to head with Tim Russert on 'Meet The Press' and had done pretty well, people would say that's a drew. But if she goes against five guys, and it's a draw in each case, she somehow wins. I think it was brilliant gamesmanship" ("Hardball," 9/24). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
24

Biden: Fifth In Polls, But Third In Endorsements

September 24, 2007

Joe Biden will announce today the endorsement of IA House Speaker Pro Tempore Polly Bukta. This is the 9th IA legislative endorsement for Biden, who has made such events a central part of his IA strategy.

He's a top tier candidate when it comes to IA supporters but he still lags behind front-runners Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Last week a Wilmington News-Journal article pointed out Clinton had 16 legislative endorsements in IA, while Barack Obama had 10. [EMILY GOODIN]

September
24

Quote Of The Day

September 24, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"If you had walked even a day in our shoes over the last 15 years, I'm sure you'd understand."

-- Hillary Clinton, asked why she and her husband have a "hyper-partisan" approach to politics, FNS, 9/23

September
24
September
24

We're All Ears

September 24, 2007

Barack Obama's campaign has scheduled a 10 a.m. ET "campaign announcement" from Iowa. Will Obama be joined, perhaps, by Tom Harkin? Stay tuned ...

September
24

In Mackinac, It's Romney vs. McCain

September 24, 2007

MACKINAC ISLAND, Mich. – While nat'l GOP primary polls show what could become a protracted fight between Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson, this weekend’s Republican Leadership Conference in MI revealed that right now the battle there might boil down to Mitt Romney and John McCain.

September
24

Obama, On Broadway

September 24, 2007

Barack Obama campaigns in Hillary Clinton's backyard this week, fundraising with Broadway stars on 9/24 and holding a rally in Washington Square Park on 9/26 p.m. NY is, of course, not in play. But Obama's previous events in NYC have been big successes. The size of the rally on the 26th, which will be held on NYU's campus, could be telling evidence of Obama's appeal to young voters.

Speaking of generational differences, Obama tried to mend a perceived schism between his appeal to young voters and (ahem) more mature ones this weekend in IA. Obama held town halls to discuss his middle class tax cut, which includes eliminating taxes for 7M seniors who make less than $50K/yr and lets 22M seniors to not have to file tax returns.

September
24

Tancredo's 2nd Amendment Credo

September 24, 2007

KEENE, N.H. -- Tom Tancredo, who skipped the NRA Convention in DC on 9/21, put his 2nd Amend. creds on display here 9/23, serving as the "Celebrity Guest Shooter" at a local GOP fundraiser. "As opposed to other people who have made the statement, I have actually hunted all my life," Tancredo said.

Tancredo played the mark, meaning anyone who hit more targets than him in the three-phase competition was entered into a raffle for prizes, which included frozen turkeys. Tancredo, who did not use any of his own guns, joked after that he shot just poorly enough to ensure that everyone finished better than him. "It's just what you have to do, right?" he asked. "I think he did pretty well," said Juliana Bergeron, chair of the Cheshire County GOP. "Everybody says it's different if you're not shooting with your own guns" [MIKE MEMOLI].

September
23

Romney is the Survivor on the Island

September 23, 2007

straw_poll_07small.jpg

Mackinac Island, MI - Ex-Gov. Mitt Romney won the Michigan Republican Leadership Conference straw poll, receiving 39 % of the 979 votes cast.

Sen. John McCain came in second with 27%, followed by Rep. Ron Paul with 10.8%.

The straw poll, sponsored by the Hotline, was held this Friday and Saturday on Mackinac Island.

Frmr New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani was close behind Paul, taking 10.62%. Frmr Sen. Fred Thompson took 7%. All five spoke before conference attendees this weekend, as did Rep. Duncan Hunter, who took 1% of the vote. Mike Huckabee and Sam Brownback were scheduled to appear, but cancelled on Friday.

The Michigan Republican party unofficially certified the straw poll results.

Only conference registrants who were Michigan residents were eligible to vote.

FInal results are below:

S. Brownback 3 .31%
Rudy Giuliani 104 10.62%
M. Huckabee 25 2.55%
D. Hunter 12 1.23%
J. McCain 260 26.56%
R. Paul 106 10.83%
M. Romney 383 39.12%
T. Tancredo 0
F. Thompson 70 7.15%
Uncomm 16 1.63%

###

September
22

E. Edwards: Imagine This

September 22, 2007

One day after John Edwards announced his education platform, his wife Elizabeth Edwards told a New Hampshire audience that the plan is the latest example of him leading the Democratic field when it comes to addressing the issues. “Imagine what this race would look like if John weren't in it,” asked E. Edwards on 9/21 at a house party in Hooksett, NH.

At other events in the state on Friday and Saturday, Edwards also discussed health care and the Iraq war, and the importance of Democrats electing a candidate who can lead a strong general election ticket. “It’s not going to do us a whole lot of good to have the White House if we don’t keep the Senate,” Edwards said at a house party in Lee, NH on 9/21.

She said John Edwards bring “a constellation of things we rarely get in a candidate,” and that there “are too many important things for us to even remotely take a chance on anything less than a sure thing.”

Asked Saturday about her focus on the electability issue, Edwards said it is simply a “reflection of what I hear from people, that we absolutely have to win.” “I stress the issues that voters are actually concerned about,” she said.

At several of the events, Edwards said that Hillary Clinton's new health care plan, announced this week, “looks a lot like John’s." She also said he could be counted on to fight to make sure a universal system becomes reality. “We can’t let Harry and Louise stop us from getting the health care that we need,” she said Friday night in Epsom, NH. [MIKE MEMOLI]

September
22

Stuffed Chicken and Stump Speeches

September 22, 2007

straw_poll_07small.jpg


Mackinac Island, MI - Today's lunch speech by homeboy Mitt Romney received polite, though not overwhelming response. Maybe it was the stuffed chicken over a bed of shredded carrots -- or maybe it was the speech itself, which prompted random, scattered laughs from the audience. However Romney did take the opportunity to criticize his own party, urging activists to instead be Reagan and Roosevelt Republicans.

Despite his railing on Washington Republicans, Romney twice mentioned President Bush -- a name that has scarcely been mentioned thus far this weekend. The first Bush mention referred to how the sitting president restored integrity to the White House, while the second mention hailed him for keeping the country safe for the past few years.

Spotted: Fred Thompson, who was mobbed in the Grand Hotel lobby just before Romney's lunch speech, with wife Jeri prominently at his side (he was easier to see over the crowd than she was). He speaks tonight at dinner, sharing the program with 2000 MI primary winner John McCain.

Both have a lot riding on their performances tonight. For the relatively unknown Thompson,the speech will be an opportunity to define himself. McCain, who just recently lost his state chairman, Atty Gen Mike Cox, must convince the audience that he remains a viable choice. McCain, along with Romney, has the most significant contigent of sticker-wearing/t-shirt wearing supporters.

September
22

But Does He Have a Credential?

September 22, 2007

straw_poll_07small.jpg

Mackinac Island, MI- With some of the heavy hitters yet to speak - Rudy Giuliani was the dinner speaker last night, Mtt Romney speaks at lunch today - here's an early look at the Michigan Republican Leadership Conference by the numbers:

Price of a weekend stay in the Grand Island Hotel? About $300.
Number of Republican activists on said Island? at least 2,000. The dinner MC declared this year's event the largest ever

Number of times Rudy Giuiliani mentioned MoveOn: At least five
Number of times Giuliani mentioned Hillary Clinton: At least a dozen
Number of times Giuliani mentioned George Bush: Once

Number of candidate no-shows thus far: Two (Mike Huckabee and Sam Brownback)

Who's Hot: French President Nicolas Sarkozy (both Giuliani and Newt Gingrich mentioned him frequently)
Who's Not: Anyone in current Administration (no mention of any WH inhabitants).

More updates soon....

September
21

Rudy, Aim, Fire

September 21, 2007

Rudy Giuliani told the NRA much of what they wanted to hear 9/21 about his support for 2nd Amendment rights, writes NBC/National Journal's Berger, but he appeared to leave the DC conf with few converts.

September
21

Quote Of The Day

September 21, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"A s I was saying, before I was so rudely interrupted."

-- Ex-Providence Mayor Buddy Cianci, returning to the air after years in jail, Providence Journal, 9/21

September
21
September
21

Hotline After Dark -- By Grabthar's hammer, You Shall Be Avenged!

September 21, 2007

Dan Rather was on "LKL" last night:

On why he's suing: "Two reasons, two core reasons. In no particular order -- although I do think the most important reason is somebody sometime has got to take a stand and say democracy cannot survive, much less thrive, with the level of big corporate and big government interference and intimidation in news." More: "The other is fair dealing. They had a contract with me. They had obligations under the contract and they didn't fulfill the obligations of that contract."

Asked if he thinks the original Guard report was correct: "Yes. And I think most people know by now that it was correct. ... By the way, I think there was a lot more in the president's military record we don't know about. ... We have a wartime president whose own military records are rather mysteriously missing. That's not, you know, that's not at issue in this lawsuit. But it was in the story."

Asked if he's worried: "I'm not going to sit here and tell you I'm not worried about anything. But I'm the person who stepped forward and said, OK, I'm ready to go under oath." More: "I'm ready to be deposed. The question is, are they? Because that's the only way you're going to get the truth of what happened at CBS News."

Asked if he would settle for money: "Absolutely not. Not. No. Absolutely not." More: "For me, it's not about the money. It is about this principle of what we're going to do with our democracy. ... If the time comes that there's money as a settlement, a substantial part of that will go to such outfits as ... Reporters and Investigative Editors Association, The Committee To Protect Journalists, because I would like the legacy of this lawsuit to be not that I made tons of money out of it, but that we kept the little flame, the flickering flame of hard-nose investigative reporting alive."

On apologizing for the Guard story on the "Evening News": "I played team. I worked at CBS for 44 years. I believe in the tradition, believed in the mystique, believed in the people. ... In the end, it was left up to me and I read it. I think anybody who's worked in a large corporation and had team leadership, responsibility, understands there's pressures."

On the commission investigating the Guard story: "It was designed to achieve a certain result so that the corporation would be exonerated."

Rather, on what kind of settlement he wants: "If God smiles and we'll be a little lucky, we will be able to make a legacy of the principle that independent journalism is very important in our way of life and our government" (CNN, 9/20).

SAM HE IS

PBS' Suarez sat down with Sam Brownback as part of their candidates '08 series:

On Iraq: "You can be against the war, and you can be against it on a policy basis, but the military, General Petraeus, they're doing everything they're asked to do. But we're not getting a political solution on the ground. So I'm pushing a three-state soft partition, and I think that's where we've really had a failure taking place."

Asked what happens in Iraq in Jan. '09: "I think we remain involved; I think you have to have a long-term U.S. commitment to Iraq. The key is getting our death losses down. We're in Bosnia 15 years after the Dayton Accords and the split there, soft partition. We're in South Korea 60 years after the Korean War. We can be there a long time if we're not losing soldiers."

Asked if Iraq has been a "windshield issue" that has block all other issues on the campaign trail: "It has, although I have to say, on our side of the aisle, immigration has more dominated the windshield, if you will, than even the war, just this really tough, visceral debate we've been having as a nation about immigration policy, about illegal immigration."

On his core issue: "What I want to talk about is rebuilding the family, because I really believe, in my heart and soul, that if we would rebuild and strengthen the family structure in the country, you'd start to really deal with a number of the most difficult problems we're having in the country today, in poverty, education, and in crime, but we've broken the family structure up" ("NewsHour," 9/20).

DON'T WORRY MEDIA, McCAIN STILL LOVES YA

And John McCain was on the "On the Record":

Asked about Gen. Petraeus recommendation to bring 35K troops home: "I trust his judgment. I hope that it's correct. And the whole surge tactic, it's really a tactic more than a strategy, is that we can have the Iraqi military take over more and more of the responsibilities and we can bring more and more of the troops home."

Asked the first few things he'd do as POTUS: "Commitment to prosecute this struggle against radical Islamic extremism in the most effective way and get the best minds in America, a pledge to eliminate wasteful and earmark pork barrel spending, a commitment to reach across the aisle to the Democrats and ask the American people to have them reach across the aisle to me to fix Social Security and Medicare."

Asked if he feels the media is unfair to him: "I would love to feel sorry for myself ... but no" (FNC, 9/20). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
20

The Senate Goes On The Record For (And Against) Petraeus

September 20, 2007

The Senate today agreed to Sen. John Cornyn's (R-TX) non-binding measure expressing "the sense of the Senate" that Gen. David Petraeus "deserves the full support of the Senate." The amendment also "strongly" condemns "personal attacks on the honor and integrity of General Petraeus and all members of the United States Armed Forces."

The measure -- aimed at putting senators on the record about MoveOn.org's 9/10 "General Betray Us" ad in the New York Times -- passed by a vote of 72-25.

Of the WH '08 Dems in the Senate -- HRC, Obama, Biden, and Dodd -- none supported the measure (although Biden and Obama did not vote), which means, in essence, that no one chose to repudiate MoveOn.org's "General Betray Us" ad. It is hardly surprising, given the fact that Biden has been the only one to condemn the ad so far [calling it "a mistake," but not a "capital offense." Obama, meanwhile, merely said the ad was "counterproductive."]. And WH Dems can't afford to go on the record saying that they fully support Petraeus -- in the eyes of their primary voters, it would be tantamount to endorsing Bush's war policy.

Meanwhile, the Senate also voted on a similar Dem-sponsored resolution -- which more softly reaffirmed "strong support for all the men and women of the United States Armed Forces" and "strongly" condemned "attacks on the honor, integrity, and patriotism of any individual who is serving or has served honorably in the United States Armed Forces, by any person or organization." The Dem resolution failed to gain the necessary 60 votes for passage, in a vote of 51-46. But of the WH '08 Dems, Dodd, HRC, and Obama all supported the measure, while Biden did not vote.

And, even with HRC's support of the Dem measure, it may be only a matter of time before Rudy Giuliani's camp fires off a press release, condemning her for yet again failing to acknowledge Petraeus' service and integrity. [MAURA O'BRIEN]

September
20

TiVo Alert: HRC Does FNS

September 20, 2007

Almost exactly one year after her husband and FNC's Chris Wallace mixed it up on Fox News Sunday, Hillary Clinton will appear 9/23 on Wallace's show. HRC's doing other Sunday talk-shows as well.

September
20

Quote Of The Day

September 20, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"I think there's a place in heaven for women who support women."

-- HRC backer/ex-IA first lady Christie Vilsack, NBC/National Journal, 9/20

September
20
September
20

Hotline After Dark -- Tighter Than A Tube Sock

September 20, 2007

CNN's J. King sat down with Rudy Giuliani in London:

Giuliani, on saying the U.S. will stop Iran if it pursues nuclear weapons: "The reality is we don't want them laboring under misimpression that we wouldn't take action. And they'll make some seriously wrong decisions. And we also want everyone to know what the point of demarcation will be for the United States."

King: "Your message to the American people is I have the judgment and the experience to do it better and so people finally said, look at your record. You're in this spat right now with moveon.org and by extension Hillary Clinton over the ads criticizing General Petraeus. Moveon.org came back at you with a criticism that, well, here was a guy who had this unique opportunity to sit on the Iraq Study Group. To get inside information from the generals, from the administration on everything that went right in Iraq, everything that went wrong in Iraq. You wanted to be president of the United States and instead skips the first two meetings and then leaves the group because he's giving paid speeches and he didn't want to offend the media."

Giuliani: "I couldn't give the time to it and secondly I knew that ultimately I could very well be running for president of the United States. Wasn't sure at the time. And had I stayed on that group, their report was put out just at the time I announced for president and it was totally politicized. It was a mistake to join in the first place. And as far as foreign policy experience goes, I've probably traveled to Europe, Asia and Africa more often in the last five, five and a half years than any of the people who are running for president. ... I've actually dealt with terrorism. I've actually dealt with it firsthand. And in most of these countries like here in England and Europe, I don't know how many times I've been here in the last five years, very often meeting with Tony Blair, other heads of state, police officials, I've given security advice all over the world. I'm well known all over the world. So I didn't feel like I needed foreign policy experience. I've had tremendous amount of involvement in foreign policy. And I really did think in retrospect that it would both politicize the situation for the commission and politicize the situation for me. And it probably was a mistake to join in the first place. And frankly, I wish moveon.org would do several more commercials attacking because if they do it could get me nominated. They are not exactly the most popular group among Republicans. They have spent $200 or $300 million assassinating the character of Republican candidates and the fact that they want to personally attack me is probably a badge of honor for me and probably is going to jump me five points in the Republican primary."

Giuliani, on the New York Times saying he only spent 29 hours at Ground Zero post-9/11: "I was there probably in the first two weeks more than 29 hours. So the New York Times in some cases is not the most accurate judge of my record. ... What I was actually pointing out was you can be there for a relatively short period of time and still get sick and still be considered in the category of people who are at risk. But the reality is that I was there a good deal of time. A lot more than the Times indicates. ... I wasn't there as much as some others but I was there enough that I would be in the at-risk category. ... In fact I have even been invited to join some of the studies ... to determine what kind of impact it had on me. The New York Times likes to think of it as I was there just bringing dignitaries there. What they don't remember is I was there sometimes in the middle of the night, I was there at the morgue, I was there when people's bodies were taken out. I was there to identify people. And I was there just sometimes for several hours just going around, talking to the people and making sure their morale was OK. I'm not saying other than a factual sense, I was there more often than some people who have gotten sick, less often than other people" (CNN, 9/19).

AND ON THE SEVENTH DAY ...

Bill Richardson was in the "Situation Room" last night:

On the MoveOn.org ad: "I disagree with that. They shouldn't have done it. On the other hand, MoveOn has done some great things to alert the American people about the escalation of the war. But they shouldn't have done that."

On saying IA should be the first caucus "for reasons related to the lord": "That was a stump speech. I was joking. The point I was trying to make is that there's a reason Iowa and New Hampshire have been first, because they scrutinize candidates. They know these examples of democracy. ... But ... it was a joke. I was kidding."

CNN's Blitzer: "So it has nothing to do with the lord?"

Richardson: "No" (CNN, 9/19).

OUR FAVORITE TEXAN IS BACK IN THE NEWS

There wasn't a lot of talk about Dan Rather's $70M lawsuit against CBS last night simply because O.J. continues to dominate the cable news cycle but here are some highlights:

CBS' Couric gave the suit a small mention toward the end of the newscast noting: "In other news Dan Rather filed a $70 million law suit against CBS." She then read from CBS' statement ("Evening News," 9/19).

ABC's Gibson: "Rather claims he was made the scape goat. ... He accuses the network of punishing him to pacify the White House" ("World News," 9/19).

NBC's Williams: "Tonight a giant of the television industry is suing a giant of the television. Dan Rather has reported the news in some form for over four decades. He has also made his share of news as he did again today" ("Nightly News," 9/19).

NBC's Allen: "From the moment Dan Rather was forced to step down as anchor of the 'Evening News,' his relationship with CBS apparently just kept getting worse" ("Nightly News," 9/19).

FNC's O'Reilly: "He's doing this to get back at Leslie Moonves" ("O'Reilly Factor," 9/19).

CNN's Blitzer: "A lot of people, I assume, are going to say that Don Imus worked out some sort of major financial settlement with CBS since then and maybe Dan Rather is looking for a settlement as well" ("Situation Room," 9/19).

MSNBC's Abrams, on Rather: "I really like him personally, and I think it's horribly unfair that to some his career is now defined by that Bush National Guard story. I think he got smeared based on the mistake. But his legal papers are an effort to litigate journalistic questions. He offers a detailed defense of how he handled the story. But why bring that to court? Why have his legacy further tarred by a lawsuit? There's no question Rather got hung out to dry by CBS, but that's the business. Those of us on the air get the credit and the blame, and they paid him through his contract" ("Live with Dan Abrams," 9/19).

Ex-CBS corr. Bernard Kalb: "Dan is determined to see that there's a cleansing of the record. He does not want his reputation, 40 years' worth of hard work in journalism, to be tarnished, to be smeared. So I think Dan will go right down on the mat on this" ("Live with Dan Abrams," MSNBC, 9/19). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
20

Bringing People Together ... To Give Me Money

September 20, 2007

Barack Obama's campaign has launched a new financial intiative, getting individual contributors to give money and have their donation matched by another supporter who agreed to match that amount.

"This isn't an anonymous donor program backed by big checks from Washington lobbyists or corporate fat cats," Obama campaign mgr David Plouffe writes in his email. "This is a one-to-one, supporter-to-supporter effort. If you make a donation, you'll be matched up with a real person -- another supporter who has put their faith in you. And you'll be able to read a note from them and send a response."

Talk about the politics of bringing people together.... soul mates find love through the Obama giving program, elderly IA pig farmer gets email from Greenpeace activist, the two meet and share veggie burger....

September
20

Angels In America

September 20, 2007

Hear that bell ringing? Must be an angel getting her wings ... or perhaps it's a woman backing another woman's pol. campaign. So goes the logic of ex-IA first lady Christie Vilsack.

“I think there’s a place in heaven for women who support women,” said C. Vilsack, who is, incidentally, supporting Hillary Clinton's presidential campaign. [ATHENA JONES].

September
19

Clinton To Campaign For Tsongas

September 19, 2007

He beat her late husband Paul for the '92 Dem nod, but Bill Clinton will be in Lowell, MA on 9/30 to campaign for Niki Tsongas, the Dem nom to succeed ex-Rep. Marty Meehan (D-MA-05).

The Boston Globe's Viser has a good read on Clinton's visit, which poses a challenge to Tsongas' GOP rival, Jim Ogonoski.

Ogonowski said in an interview with WBZ radio that he would decline if Pres. Bush offered to campaign with him. This week, he excoriated House Min. Leader John Boehner (R-OH) for suggesting that troops staying in Iraq "will be a small price if we're able to stop Al-Qaeda."

A visit by Rudy Giuliani could provide a nice backdrop for two politicians who have used Sept. 11, 2001, as an underlying theme in their campaigns. But Ogonowski is backing Mitt Romney ...

September
19

Quote Of The Day

September 19, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"Tasering people because they're obnoxious is a hell of a standard."

-- Chris Matthews, "Hardball," MSNBC, 9/18

September
19
September
19

Hotline After Dark -- Taser Talk

September 19, 2007

More of your non-O.J. news, but plenty of taser talk:

Hillary Clinton was on "All Things Considered" to talk about her health care plan but she was also asked about taking money from Norman Hsu:

HRC: "Well, I think it was a rude awakening to all of us. I mean, not only in my campaign, but the dozens of campaigns going back to, I guess, 2003 and [2004], who took contributions. None of us caught this and we all ran searches. Every one of us does a vetting process and my campaign certainly did it. And this did not turn up. And as soon as we found out, we took action. And that's one of the reasons why I think we should be moving toward public financing. And when I'm president, I'm going to see if there is a way to do just that."

Asked if that doesn't raise questions about the dangers of bundling: "Well, that's why we returned all of the contributions. Obviously, we didn't want any questions asked about any of them and took that rather drastic action, but I thought it was exactly the right thing to do."

On Gen. Petraeus: "If you look at everything that I said, I not only praised his service, I have the deepest admiration for him and I think he's been dealt a very hard hand. He's been made, along with Ambassador Crocker, the de facto spokesman for President Bush's policy. And it isn't any surprise to anyone that I disagree with that policy. I think we are on the wrong track in Iraq. I regret that the president apparently is going to continue this war until the last day he's in office, leaving it to his successor. But I believe that Gen. Petraeus, and the brave young men and women who are serving under him, are doing everything they possibly can to fulfill their mission" (NPR, 9/18).

SUNNY DAYS, WISHING THE CLOUDS AWAY

FNC's Cameron reports on the rivalry between Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson for FL:

Cameron: "The Sunshine State is key to Rudy Giuliani's strategy, as the biggest and most moderate among the early voting states. He has raised more money in Florida than any candidate in either party. Thompson has drawn his largest and most enthusiastic crowds yet in Florida. And after two weeks on the trail, he sounds almost cocky."

More Cameron: "But [Thompson] has stumbled on a handful of issues near and dear to Florida Republicans. Last week Thompson said he couldn't remember details of the controversial Terry Schiavo cases, which pitted culture of life conservatives against right to die civil libertarians. And though most Floridians deeply oppose drilling for oil off Florida's delicate coast, he refuses to rule it out. ... Asked about potential energy exploration in the Everglades, Governor Crist had to bail Thompson out when he acknowledged he was unaware of the issue."

Cameron: "Two polls have come out since Thompson entered the race, indicating how close it is in Florida. Thompson leads in one, Giuliani in the other."

Thompson, in an interview: "I have to do things at my own pace and get my legs under me and get the organization together before we did it. So now we have done it. The response has been exactly what I thought it would be."

Cameron: "Make no mistake, the Florida battle will be brutal. But for now, no shots at Giuliani."

Thompson: "I'm not going to downgrade anybody else. He's obviously got some things going for him. So do I."

Cameron: "Some of Thompson's popularity in Florida is because he is a fellow southerner. In Rudy Giuliani's case, it is because so many North easterners move here and vote. Both treat the Florida primary as the decisive contest. And both candidates know that to beat the other here could effectively put him away permanently" ("Special Report," 9/18).

MAN WITH A MISSION

CBS' Greenfield profiled Joe Biden for the "Evening News":

Greenfield: "When Joe Biden was elected to the United States Senate in 1972, Hillary Clinton was in law school; John Edwards was in college, Barack Obama was 11-years-old. ... Biden travels light, speaking to dozens, not thousands."

Biden, in an interview: "I'm saying if you look us all over, it's obvious who is going be most capable of re-establishing America's place in the world and making us a lot safer."

Greenfield: "This is the core of Biden's argument. ... He delivers this argument in stark, grim terms where ever he goes" (9/18).

TASER ME, TASER YOU

There was lots of talk on Andrew Meyer, the student tasered during John Kerry's speech at the Univ. of FL:

MSNBC's Matthews: "So is this the democracy we're out there killing people for? Is this the way we're teaching the Sunnis and Shias to run their show?" ("Hardball," 9/18).

New Yorker's Conason: "It looked like they were torturing that kid" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 9/18).

Dennis Miller: "The thing I don't understand about where was John Kerry? He had the chance for a Sister Voltage moment here, where he jumps off the stage, acts like the hero that he always tells us he is. But he was mute on it. I guess he was waiting for U.N. approval to save the poor kid" ("O'Reilly Factor," FNC, 9/18).

MSNBC's Shuster: "In a sign of how much this is all reverberating, today, 'Don't tase me bro,' was established as a page on Facebook" ("Hardball," 9/18).

FNC's O'Reilly: "I just wish my grandfather were alive. He would have handled the guy by himself. He was a cop in Brooklyn and he knew how to do this stuff. And tasers weren't invented then. ... Grandfather O'Reilly would have taken care of the guy, but not Bill" ("O'Reilly Factor," 9/18).

Dick Morris: "It's the face of fascism. ... Have you ever screamed in pain? I did once, at a hospital" ("Hannity & Colmes," FNC, 9/18).

James Carville: "I'm torn, because anything that embarrasses Florida has to be good for an LSU fan" ("Situation Room," CNN, 9/18). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
19

Informal & Unscientific, But Bozo's Got The GOP Edge

September 19, 2007

Call it the primary before the primary. Voters in Manchester, NH headed to the polls 9/18 for the first round of municipal elections. And months before these same voters will cast a ballot in the first-in-the-nation WH primary, many say they are undecided.

An informal, unscientific survey of more than a hundred voters across NH's largest city found that nearly three in five had not made a decision at this point.

Hillary Clinton had a clear edge among Dems who indicated a preference. Meanwhile, GOPers appear to be most uncertain. "It's just one of those years where people are going to be undecided right up until the primary," said Mayor Frank Guinta, a GOPer seeking his second term. "I like everybody else want to meet [the candidates] three, four or five times before I make a decision, and it's tough because on both sides of the aisle you have very strong candidates."

September
19

Drawl Watch: Thompson In Texas

September 19, 2007

Fred Thompson makes his first campaign visit to TX on 9/19, during which he'll raise cash in preparation for the close of the 3rdQ on 9/30.

Also in preparation for the end of the 3rdQ, Thompson's camp announced the kickoff of its "Hometown Heroes" campaign, in which they'll track the per capita contribs of every "community in America." The community with the highest per-capita contribution total between 9/6 and 9/30 will win a campaign stop featuring Thompson himself.

The camp plans to notify donors over the next 10 days to let them know where their community stacks up and encourage supporters to recruit donors in their community. Is this a sign of fundraising struggles or just another gimmick to get supporters to ramp up contributions? [ADAM AIGNER-TREWORGY].

September
19

HRC On The Web: To Your Health

September 19, 2007

Hillary Clinton talked up her proposal to provide health insurance for everyone in a live webcast 9/18 p.m., calling it a “uniquely American solution” to the problem of the lack of affordable health care.

She also stressed the challenges ahead in turning her plan into law.

Clinton answered a dozen questions from participants from around the country who were asked to sign up online. In a nod to the new media for the new millennium aspect of the event, one question was even submitted by text message.

September
19

Mitt In FL, Leapfrogging Fred

September 19, 2007

JACKSONVILLE – On the same day that Fred Thompson swung into Tallahassee for a meeting with Gov. Charlie Crist (R), Mitt Romney distinguished himself from his rival on two issues dear to Floridians: the primary and the Everglades.

September
19

Fred Tries Flattery In Florida

September 19, 2007

During his first visit to FL on 9/18 a.m., Fred Thompson began his courtship of popular GOP Gov. Charlie Crist's with some kinds words. "I just told my staff I wanted to meet the most popular governor in the country and this is where they brought me," Thompson said to a small gathering of reporters following a brief meeting with Crist in Tallahassee.

September
18

Quote Of The Day

September 18, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"I would not refuse to meet Barry Manilow."

-- Mitt Romney, "Fox and Friends," 9/18

September
18
September
18

Hotline After Dark -- Deja View

September 18, 2007

Here's your non-O.J. news from last night:

Barack Obama talked with NBC's Williams on the "Nightly News" last night. Williams introed the piece with: "Obama was here in New York. He gave a speech at the Nasdaq. ... He then came to see us at the top of the Rock for an exclusive conversation."

Asked about the moveon.org ad, Obama: "I probably, if they had asked me, would have suggested we focused attention on George Bush the commander in chief. My assessment is that General Petraeus is playing a bad hand as well as he can. The general came out with reasonable policy given the constraints. I would give him a different mission, which is let's begin getting our troops out of Iraq."

More: "I certainly think it was counterproductive in that it gave Republicans, who had nothing else to stand on, something to deflect attention away from the failed policy of the president."

Asked why HRC is seen as an "agent of change": "Senator Clinton is the default candidate for a lot of Democrats. People have found memories of Bill Clinton and his administration. They still are less familiar with me. They remember me from a speech from 2004. They have favorable views of me but I don't think they have a clear sense of what my agenda is. That takes more time."

Asked how he and HRC get along: "Obviously when you're in competition in the midst of a campaign you're not as buddy-buddy as you might have been previously but I have high regard for Senator Clinton. I think she is a smart, capable person."

Asked about being away from his family: "The frustrations of being away from my wife and kids are enormous. I was able to go a soccer game Sunday morning. But I missed a lot of soccer games this year" (NBC, 9/17).

NOTHING TO SING ABOUT

John McCain played "Hardball":

Asked if he agrees with Greenspan that the reason we went to war in Iraq was oil: "No, it's not. I have the greatest respect for Alan Greenspan as an economist. Of course, oil makes the area more important to our vital national security interests. But I don't think that's why we went to war there. I think we went to war there because we believed that Saddam had weapons of mass destruction, which has turned out not to be true. But the sanctions were breaking down. The no-fly zone was deteriorated. There's a huge oil for food scandal in the U.N. And Saddam Hussein had used weapons of mass destruction in the past. I have no doubt he would have attempted to acquire and use them in the future. I think that's why we went to war there. But oil being so important to our economy, obviously coming from that part of the world, it makes our national security interests far greater."

MSNBC's Matthews, asking about Iran: "Are you still for the Beach Boys lyric on that one or not?"

McCain: "You don't want me to sing it again."

Matthews: "No, I don't want you to sing it. I'm sort of a dove on this one. I think the lyrics were somewhat scary there. You don't really want to bomb Iran, do you?"

McCain: "I don't. At the end of the day, I don't think we can allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon. I was asked by an old veteran, with a group of veterans, when are you going to send a message to Iran. You've got to have some humor in American politics" (MSNBC, 9/17).

EYE OF NEWT

And Newt Gingrich was on "Hannity & Colmes":

Ask what he thinks of Greenspan's claim that the Iraq war was about oil: "I think that that's, frankly, hyperbole. I think that the ability of the United States to protect the Persian Gulf relates to oil ... but I think the actual Iraq war itself relates nothing to oil. ... If this was only about oil there was an easy way to get it -- just buy it. ... I think he's wrong."

Asked about WH '08: "After [the America's conference is] over, Callista and I will start talking."

Asked how long a decision will take: "A couple of weeks" (FNC, 9/17).

THE DOCTOR IS IN

There was some talk of Hillary Clinton's health care proposal.

CNN's Crowley: "The last time Hillary Clinton tried her hand at health care, it did not go well. This time around, her campaign believes that times have changed and certainly, so has her approach. At the base of Clinton's $11 billion plan to revamp the health care industry is insurance for every man, woman and child in America" ("Lou Dobbs Tonight," 9/17).

Clinton made the morning show rounds this a.m. to talk about her plan. Details will be in today's Hotline. [EMILY GOODIN]

September
17

Paul Gets in CA $wing of Things

September 17, 2007

Ron Paul's strong fundraising numbers provided one of the more unexpected storylines of the 2nd Quarter. Can he live up to expectations this quarter? Los Angeles -based Hotline contributor David Finnigan reports on Paul's California fundraising swing last weekend.

LOS ANGELES - For $2,000-per-ticket, L.A. donors were treated to dinner with the Texas congressman at a 62-acre mountaintop spread overlooking Los Angeles. The 9/12 catered affair - complete with an attractive wait staff which proved the Swingers movie line about L.A.'s "gene pool" - was part of a two-day, mid-week California swing in which Paul raised about $168,000.

That's not much for top-tier '08 candidates - Sen. Barack Obama earned that much from the first 73 of the 1,500 guests arriving at his 9/08 garden party at Oprah Winfrey's California estate. But U.S. Rep. Ron Paul raising $168,000 in two days this week was deemed impressive.

"For Ron Paul it is!" said surprised Dem media strategist Chris Lehane.

Paul supporters watched an L.A. sunset from the porch of the mountaintop ranch owned by a wealthy Mormon lawyer. The first day of Paul's California trip had 47 people attending a $500-per-plate breakfast at Pasadena's decidedly upscale Ritz Carlton Huntington Hotel & Spa. An afternoon rally at the University of Southern California saw numerous Ron Paul posters across the campus and a large student crowd.

"I'll tell you why I like him," said 32-year-old electrician Eric Schoentag, "he's gonna get rid of the Federal Reserve!"

A post-rally, $500-per-ticket USC cocktail reception attracted 42 true believers. Paul's second day was spent in Northern California, where he attracted similar dollars at three fundraisers in the San Francisco Bay Area. The candidate seemed the most surprised by his Golden State love.

"I've been really impressed with how well we've been doing - I'm not supposed to say that!" Paul said at the USC reception, which had two carving chefs and chocolate wrapped in gold coins resembling 19th century American currency. At the registration table was a March 2007 copy of The John Birch Society's New American magazine with a Paul interview.

The campaign's Federal Election Commission filings in July reported $3 million in contribitions. The early states' focus is on the four full-time staffers in New Hampshire, which campaign chairman Kent Snyder said is ripe Paul country because it has, "libertarian streaks and the old right...it's priority one.

One highlight at the mountaintop ranch's fundraiser came when the candidate and others went back out on the porch after sunset. They looked up high, into the clear night, to see a small plane over L.A. with an electronic Paul promo flashing from the plane's belly.

As one slogan appeared, the crane-necked crowd collectively read it aloud - "No National IDs!!!" [DAVID FINNIGAN]


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

September
17

Rudy vs. Hillary: Round 5,235

September 17, 2007

Rudy Giuliani has been on the offensive for the last week, using MoveOn.org's "General Betray Us" ad in the 9/10 New York Times as an opportunity to go after the GOP's public enemy no. 1, Hillary Clinton. And with Clinton unveiling her $110B/year health care plan today, Giuliani is taking advantage of yet another opportunity to attack.

The Giuliani camp released a "HillaryCare Redux" memo this a.m., comparing Clinton's latest "government mandated health care plan" to "socialized medicine." The camp also makes use of the GOP's public enemy no. 2, Michael Moore, asserting: "Hillary's plan sounds familiar ... if you saw 'Sicko.'" Giuliani comm. dir. Katie Levinson: "If you liked Michael Moore's 'Sicko,' you're going to love HillaryCare 2.0. Senator Clinton's latest health scheme includes more government mandates, expensive federal subsidies and more big bureaucracy -- in short, a prescription for an increase in wait times, a decrease in patient care and tax hikes to pay for it all."

By focusing on Clinton, Giuliani hopes to define himself to GOP voters as the strongest general election candidate thereby decreasing the emphasis on social/cultural issues. [MAURA O'BRIEN]

September
17

Ramstad To Retire

September 17, 2007

Rep. Jim Ramstad (R-MN 03) will announce his retirement this afternoon, according to the Minneapolis Star-Tribune.
He has a press conference scheduled for 3pm CST.

If he does retire, his CD will be the seventh open seat the GOP will have to defend in ’08. More importantly, it would be one of the most competitive open seats, joining OH-15 (Deborah Pryce) and likely open seat of Tom Davis (VA-11). Pres. Bush took just 51% here in ’04.

Ramstad’s retirement would also mark a new, disturbing trend for the GOP, as he’d be the latest Member to retire abruptly without future plans: a signal, perhaps, of deep pessimism about the party's chances in '08. [TIM SAHD]

September
17

Quote Of The Day

September 17, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"I'm not saying that they believed it was about oil. I'm saying it is about oil. "

-- Ex-Fed Chair Alan Greenspan, "Today," NBC, 9/17

September
17
September
17

Sunday Snapshot

September 17, 2007

Talk of Pres. Bush's 9/13 address to the nation on Iraq led the Sunday shows this weekend:

Defense Sec. Robert Gates was on "This Week" and "Fox News Sunday":

Gates, on saying he hopes the US can get down to 100K troops by the end of '08: "Well, first of all, what didn't get covered was the fact that I indicated very strongly that that depended very much on what happened on the ground and that if we were to continue draw downs, it would be because the situation in Iraq had continued to improve dramatically. ... You know, I didn't actually use the number. Somebody else -- one of the people who asked the question jumped to that number."

Asked what would happen if the US pulled out too quickly: "I think if I'm disappointed in the quality of the debate here in Washington about anything, it is the failure to address consequences. If we get this next phase wrong -- no matter how you feel about how we got to where we are, the consequences of getting this wrong for Iraq, for the region, for us are enormous. ... Everyone is focused on timetables and this, that and the other thing. What I think people need to also be talking about are the consequences of getting this thing wrong" (FNC, 9/16).

ABC's Stephanopoulos: "Democrats and some Republicans in Congress want to pretty much mandate that, that the tours cannot be extended. Senator Jim Webb of Virginia wants to pass a bill that would say that troops must spend as much time at home as their previous tour in Iraq. And it appears that they're getting close to the 60 votes they need to pass the Senate. Would you recommend a veto of that bill?"

Gates: "Yes, I would. ... Because it would be extremely difficult for us to manage that. It really is a back-door way to try and force the president to accelerate the drawdowns. Again, the drawdowns have to be based on the conditions on the ground. ... The alternative to accelerating the drawdowns is to take a
number of steps in terms of managing the force that actually involve some of the things that I was just alluding to, potentially using more Guard and Reserve. Extensions are a possibility if we were to have to
comply with a law like that, that gave us no flexibility."

Asked his response to ex-Fed Chair Alan Greenspan saying the Iraq war is "largely about oil": "I have a lot of respect for Mr. Greenspan. I've known him a long time and I disagree with that. I wasn't here for the decision-making process that initiated it, that started the war. I know the same allegation was made about the Gulf War in 1991 and I just don't believe it's true" (ABC, 9/16).

Joe Biden was on "Fox News Sunday" from IA:

Asked if it's certain that the US "would pay a terrible price if we were to pull out of Iraq": "If we pulled every troop out of Iraq now, I think that would happen, but there's a terrible consequence of staying the course. ... There's not only consequences of pulling out completely, there's consequences of staying in the manner and mode we're in now" (FNC, 9/16).

John McCain appeared on "Meet the Press" with Sen. John Kerry (D-MA):

NBC's Russert: "If we don't see progress in 90 days, in six months, in nine months, what do we do?"

McCain: "Well, then, we have to examine the options. If we continue to see success and see military progress and political progress and other progress, then what do we do? Then we can withdraw, and then we can have less of a presence of the United States military troops on the ground, a reduction of casualties, and we'll maybe have troops there."

Kerry, asked if he will vote to cut funding off for the war: "I will vote to change the funding to a different mission. I will fund the troops to protect the national security interests of America, to accomplish a mission that, that increases our national security and protects the troops themselves."

McCain, asked if he agrees with Kerry saying Iraq will be the central issue of WH '08 if the situation is where it is today: "Probably, but it won't be where it is today. You will see continued success. And if ... Senator Kerry succeeds in implementing what he wants, then you will see catastrophe, and you will see a lot more loss of American blood and treasure" (NBC, 9/16).

Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI) was on "This Week" to discuss the Dem response to Bush's address:

Reed, on number of troops needed to complete the mission and how long they would need to stay: "I think we understand that the counter-terrorism mission is absolutely critical to our country, and our special operations forces should conduct that mission. That's probably several thousands of forces. ... And in force protection, it's something that probably could be accomplished, I would hope, by five brigades of soldiers. So I think we can get the numbers down. The precise numbers are difficult to estimate, but I think we can get the numbers down."

On the bill that would mandate troops get to stay home as long as they stay in Iraq: "I think that Webb legislation is well-crafted, and it responds to a major concern. ... I think it's sensible, it can be managed, and it responds to most persistent issue that my colleagues and I observe when we go there, which is troops are beginning to feel the pressure, and their families, of these deployments. ... Right now, Senator Webb's amendment, I would guess, has at least 57 votes, on a bipartisan basis. ... We're picking up support. And I think on this issue, we can pick up sufficient votes -- 60, I hope 67" (ABC, 9/16).

Sens. Carl Levin (D-MI) and Jon Kyl (R-AZ) appeared separately on "Face the Nation":

Levin, when asked if Dems don't have the votes in the Senate to force Bush to go faster than he wants to: "Well, we just don't know if they have the votes. There's a lot of Republicans who have said that they're just not satisfied with the 'stay the course' approach of the president just going back to the pre-surge level, going back to where we were before the surge. ... And whether or not those half-dozen Republicans or so who will join with the 53 of us who voted to change course, voted for Levin-Reed a few months ago, we just don't know."

Levin, on Webb's bill: "It has a good chance of passing. It got 56 votes last time. ... But we think there may be additional Republicans who will support it, get us to 60 which is what we need to do to beat the filibuster. That's what's preventing the Senate from carrying out what we want to do, what the majority wants to do, which is change course in Iraq."

Kyl, asked if Bush has "simply left" what to do about Iraq to the next POTUS: "No. President Bush is simply being realistic. Not all the troops are going to be pulled out before he leaves. Anybody that thinks that's incorrect simply doesn't understand the situation. And the Iraqis themselves have asked for a long-term relationship with the United States. Why wouldn't we want a long-term relationship with an ally in that region?"

More Kyl: "All of this talk about change of mission ignores a key fact. ... The mission should be defined by the military requirements and our capabilities by General Petraeus. Not by senators on whatever it
takes to get 60 votes" (CBS, 9/16).

Sens. Evan Bayh (D-IN) and John Cornyn (R-TX) were on "Late Edition" together:

Bayh, asked if there is enough common ground between Bush and the Dems to take the next steps: "Well, there's not enough to get a compromise. Unfortunately, the president is essentially saying, look, this is an open-ended commitment to allow the Iraqi political leaders to get their act together. ... They're more afraid of looking their own supporters in the eye and telling them they need to compromise than they are afraid of the consequences of civil war. Until we get tough with them, they're never going to make those hard decisions."

Cornyn, asked if he'll vote against Webb's bill: "Well, I'm interested in the debate. And, obviously, I'm concerned about the deployments, the lengthy deployments, their impact on our soldiers and their families. But I'm not for, I'm against, any attempt of the attempt to tie the hands of our commanders or limit their flexibility on what is an improving security situation in Iraq. I don't know why the critics refuse to take yes and progress for an answer" (CNN, 9/16).

U.S. Amb. to Iraq Ryan Crocker, asked how long it will take to achieve a secure, stable democratic Iraq: "An end state that is of a country that is stable, secure and democratic, is probably years in the making. Now, that does not, by any means, imply that we're going to have to have significant numbers of troops on the ground to sustain security while they work through these things, but this is a long-term project" ("Late Edition," CNN, 9/16) [KATHERINE LEHR].

September
16

Romney Tailgates in Iowa

September 16, 2007


Des Moines – Mitt Romney wants Iowans to know why he’s leading the
Republican race among statewide caucus-goers: He’s investing time there.

At three stops on Saturday, Romney informed supporters that his campaign has held more than 150 events
throughout the Hawkeye State in the months since he announced. And he thanked them for helping him win the
Ames straw poll – another reminder that he’s holding strong in the state.

He’s not about to let go. When Romney returned to Iowa State University in Ames for the first time since the
straw poll for the highly anticipated ISU/University of Iowa football game on Saturday morning, he was one
of just two Republican presidential contenders in attendance. Top rivals Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson and John McCain skipped what many Iowans consider the biggest state sporting event of the year and missed a second chance to woo Republicans in Ames.

None of Romney’s events attracted enormous crowds. At his first stop tailgating with the College Republicans
from both universities, Romney quipped, "This is just like Massachusetts. You can fit all the Republicans in
one tent." But Iowa adviser David Kochel later explained that the Sunday Des Moines Register the day after what is akin to the Super Bowl for Iowans is generally the most-read of the year,
and he expected good placement for Romney.

The Sunday paper indeed was plastered with photos from the game, but the AP story on Romney's appearances was located on page 2B and was sandwiched between a story on Bill Richardson and one on Sam Brownback. What's more, an opinion piece contributed to the Register by Des Moines-based immigration lawyer Lori Chesserbashes Romney for "superficial caucus politics" in attacking sanctuary cities (and thereby hitting Giuliani) rather than proposing new and innovative immigration enforcement laws.

But for Romney's Saturday visits with supporters and those leaning his way, the big issue to him was saving
the country from the "sharp left turn" it would take if led by Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama or John Edwards. He previewed Clinton's new plan on health care, due out today, and panned "Hillarycare" once again.

Students decked out in their Iowa State reds and their Iowa yellows were more interested in just meeting the
front-runner. Toward the end of his appearance, one said to him, "I have just one question for you. Coke
or Pepsi?" "Oh, I'm not answering that," he joked. "That's just like boxers or briefs. You don't answer
those kinds of questions." And he similarly wouldn't take sides in the game: "I'm for both teams."

Speaking to a few students after addressing the group, Romney called the support of students critical and
said he wanted to return to the university for more. He told another cluster that he wanted to return and
hold a student event with everyone, including Democrats and independents.

Ryan Rhodes, a 25-year-old Iowa undergraduate running for the state House, said he’s with Romney for a
number of reasons, but he noted that he’s the most presidential in the GOP right now.

Statewide College Republicans chairman Benjamin Johnson, a University of Iowa student, shared similar
thoughts. When asked why he was supporting Romney, he responded initially: “His eloquence.”

Johnson spoke one on one with Romney, who eyed the enthusiastic, surfer-looking blond, gold-bead wearing
chairman up and down with amusement. As their exchange was wrapping up, Romney asked, “What are you, a
junior?” Romney nodded vigorously at the yes. “Good. I want you around another year.” The Romney team ought
to like that: Johnson said they had asked to make sure that if alcohol would be present, it remain covered.
“We would have done that anyway out of respect for the candidate,” he said, adding, “it’s not John Kerry.”

Before heading to the north side of the stadium where the campaign was hosting its own tailgate, Romney
visited the tent hosted by Iowa State University President Gregory Geoffroy and hobnobbed with the
university donors who've given more than $10,000 to the school.

At his own tailgate, he was greeted by what the campaign estimated to be about 300 supporters or
leaners, many of whom had come out one month prior for the straw poll. One woman greeted with open arms and
commanded, "Eat!" telling him that he looked like he had gotten thinner since the last month. John Ahart, a
73-year-old supporter who voted in the straw poll, brought his son, Michael, out to Saturday's cookout to
convince him to support Romney. And the former Massachusetts governor tried to a little convincing of
his own by dropping by about three or four skyboxes in the first quarter of the game.

At both his tailgate and the Jones County Republican Party fundraiser later in Anamosa later in the
afternoon, Romney referred to this week's cover shot on Time magazine. The only downside of this campaign
is they’re writing about my wife. And they’re writing good things about her,” he laughed. He described the
cover, graced with “five potential first ladies.” Ann Romney, he said, is in the upper left-hand corner –next to Bill Clinton – but she’s “a whole lot prettier.” “How are you supposed to go home and live with a woman who Time magazine says looks 10 years younger?” he went on, calling himself an “old buzzard” before the elderly crowd at the afternoon supper.

Jones County Republican Chairman Al Conrad said both before and after Romney's speech that he's leaning toward Romney. "I'm doing that because he's got less negatives than anybody else," he explained. Conrad explained that his associates in the county party were tasked with finding a speaker, and after reaching out to the state central committee, it was Romney’s team that jumped. Organizers said they expected 300
attendees but attributed the estimated 120 or so who turned out to a cancer benefit that was being held
simultaneously in Anamosa and the football game earlier in the day.

Former state Sen. Andy McKean, who introduced Romney at the fundraiser, said after that he's torn between Romney and Mike Huckabee. "I find them both very impressive at the personal level," he said. But Romney's speech impressed him. Like many others tilting toward the front-runner who came out to see him Saturday, for McKean, it's the former governor's business background and presidential image that's
pushing him in that direction. [ERIN MCPIKE]

September
16

Shaheen Makes It Official

September 16, 2007

MADBURY, N.H. – Former Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) publicly announced her candidacy for Senate today, arguing that Washington is broken and does not work in the people’s interests.

Shaheen, who is resigning from her post at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, cited problems like health care, the national debt, corruption and the war in Iraq, and said she “just couldn’t sit by and watch things go wrong.” “I’ve been working to teach the next generation of leaders about getting involved in public service, about how public service should work,” said Shaheen. “In Washington, government hasn’t been working at all. At least, not been working for people. Certainly not for us in New Hampshire.”

The former three-term governor, joined by her family and about 100 supporters at her home, said she would “devote myself full time this effort,” and visit every region of the state. “I will work every day to make sure we get the kind of representation that we deserve,” said Shaheen, who never mentioned Sen. John Sununu (R) by name.

A Sununu-Shaheen rematch promises to be one of the most competitive Senate contests in 2008. And the war in Iraq will likely play a central role. “We desperately want to end this war,” Shaheen told the crowd. “We want to bring our troops home as swiftly and as safely as possible.” Speaking to reporters afterward, Shaheen said it is “important for us to set a clear date for redeploying troops.” Shaheen was also asked about how her Iraq position evolved since the 2002 race, when she said she supported Pres. Bush's “goals for regime change in Iraq.” “I think my decision making was like lots of the American people,” Shaheen said. “What we’ve seen is that we entered this war on a false premise.”

Shaheen’s announcement comes as New Hampshire voters have begun to zero in on the 2008 presidential election. Shaheen’s husband, Bill, is a co-chair of Hillary Clinton’s campaign in the state. “I think that Jeannie will spend these next four months traveling the state, building her team together. And I’ll spend the time helping Hillary,” Bill Shaheen said. “Sometimes we’ll overlap and sometimes we won’t but after January, she’s my wife and I’m going to do whatever I can to help her.” [MIKE MEMOLI]

September
16

Edwards At Harkin Steak Fry

September 16, 2007

On the eve of Hillary Clinton's much anticipated health care speech, John Edwards focused on health care in his speech at the Harkin Steak Fry.

"Brothers and sisters, when are we finally going to stand up to drug companies and insurance companies?" he asked to a roar of approval from the record-setting crowd of more than 12,000.

After grilling steak with Sen. Tom Harkin, he took a swipe at the forthcoming Clinton plan. His campaign promised that he would respond directly to her plan in his Monday morning address at the Laborers Convention in Chicago and offer a "unique way to get universal health care actually passed in this country."

Muscatine voter Tracy Hatfield said that Edwards' health care policy was one of the first things that drew him to the former North Carolina senator. An early Clinton supporter, Hatfield said he also liked Edwards' College for Everyone program in North Carolina.

"I needed to see someone with a different approach," he said of his switch.

Other Edwards supporters at the steak fry cited a variety of reasons for their choice.

Jerry Dingman of New London, a third-time steak fry attendee, said he caucused for Kucinich in 2004 but would caucus for Edwards in 2008.

"Edwards is more electable," he said. A retired factory worker and farmer, he said that he appreciated Edwards grew up in a "working-class" family.

Carma Armstrong of Indianola, who caucused for Edwards in 2004, said she believed Edwards is the only Democrat who could be elected to the White House.

Bill Clinton - that's William Joseph Clinton from Carroll - said he became an enthusiastic Edwards supporter after the first ad he saw for him in the 2004 race.

"That's somebody that's not blowing smoke at me," he said.

Jackson Hawks, who got his ticket to the event from the Obama campaign, said that he caucused for Edwards in 2004 but this year is still undecided.

"On domestic policy there is nobody better than John Edwards," he said. He was concerned, however, that he knew nothing about Edwards' foreign policy other than his plan to get out of Iraq.

In his speech Edwards also talked about global warming and the Iraq war.

"It is time to be patriotic about something other than the war," he said.

On Monday Edwards is scheduled to speak at the laborers convention in Chicago and the SEIU conference in Washington, D.C. [TRICIA MILLER]

September
16

Steak Fry As High School

September 16, 2007

If the Democratic party were a high school, the Harkin Steak Fry is the party's version of Homecoming and the different campaigns are classes warring for the spirit stick. 18,000 Democrats thronged the fields of Indianola, to carry signs, bash the Bush administration and eat some steak (grilled not fried) on a hot and sunny Sunday afternoon.

The campaigns, eager to steal the show, competed to be top dog.

Along Route 92, leading into Indianola, the class seniors, the Clinton campaign showed the newbies how it was done. Clinton volunteers were out in shifts starting at 2 a.m. planting yard sign after yard sign along the rural route. They even stole the thunder from their chief rival, the Obama campaign, by having three huge hand made signs saying, VOTE FOR CHANGE.

Inside the Steakfry, Clinton, Biden and Richardsons' campaign staff elbowed each other as they competed to cover the wooden sheds near the entrance with their signs, though they were soon trumped by the events' hosts. Harkin's staff came over and tiled every inch of wood available with blue and white placards that read Harkin for Senate.

Anyone walking into the steak fry was greeted by a column of Hillary Clinton supporters, banging on drums, rattling tambourines and shouting through bull horns. They handed out plastic bullhorns filled with popcorn and bottles of water to cool the weary, as they hiked over the fields to enter the steak fry.

But the made for TV moment was won by the Obama campaign. It wasn't quite the march on Washington, but Barack Obama, leading a column of about a thousand supporters, marched along a dirt road and along the rolling green fields leading into the Steak Fry. He was waving signs, chanting and appearing to present himself as the messiah of "change" and "hope" entering the steak fry with his loyal flock.

The campaign which had created it's own staging area across from the Steak Fry said that they had chosen to make a big entrance simply because they could and this was a sign of the depth and enthusiasm of their grassroots organization. By their numbers, they gave away 2,000 free t-shirts, brough in 15 busloads of Iowans from 10 staging areas across the state, and said that they had 3,000 supporters in total at the event.

Obama who had warmed-up his supporters before he marched over with them to the Steak Fry and sounded like a preacher leading an old fashioned tent revival. He told the crowd not to doubt themselves but intead to "believe in your higher aspirations. Believe in the better angels of your nature."

The message didn't seem to come off as strong at the Steak Fry itself, where he joked with the crowd saying some called him a "hopemonger." He reiterated themes that he's introduced since labor day, saying that years of experience in Washington don't qualify someone to run for president, this time using Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld as examples, though it was missed by few that many of his fellow candidates sitting on the stage behind him were also implicated.

While he referenced the war, he didn't take the chance to dive too far into the stump speech that he's been giving this past week, instead sticking to more general themes - health care, poverty, and the need for unity. It was a strong contrast to Clinton, who offered a much more detailed list of proposals and policies when she took the podium.

In talking to quite a few of the Iowans in attendance, many of them in Obama t-shirts, what struck me most was that they would be happy with any of the candidates running for office. From three African American women who attended Drake University to an undediced non-profit worker to a long-time Iowa Democrat, they were all leaning in the direction of one candidate (in this case Obama) but were enthusiastic about both Clinton and Edwards and said they remained open to all three.

Crystal Nance, 19, from Drake University (who will caucus for the first time in January) said, "It's such a hard choice. Who do you pick? You want to vote for a woman because you're a woman, but then I want to vote for Obama because I'm an African American."

I'm not sure any minds were made up or changed at this event, but it was a fun kick off to what should be long and hard fought season. [ASWINI ANBURAJAN]

September
16

Yes, Virginia, Republicans Will Decide Oct. 13th

September 16, 2007

The Virginia Republican Central Committee will decide on October 13 whether its party's '08 SEN nomination will be decided via primary or convention next year, resolving what appears to be looming match-up between ex-Gov. Jim Gilmore (R) and Rep. Tom Davis (R-11).

One GOP consultant with experience in VA races (not associated with either camp) claims that the odds of a primary vs. a convention are about 50/50 right now, while conceding that tradition indicates the the committte would normally choose a convention.

Still, he believes that even some conservative GOP activists remain spooked by George Allen's '06 loss and have begun to acknowledge there may be some benefit in allowing candidates to hone their messages to larger audiences during a primary. He says that central cmte conservatives may agree more with Gilmore than Davis on the issues, however some of them also feel that Gilmore left the state and the VA GOP in lurch when he departed from the governor's office in '01. GOPers are eager to use Mark Warner's record on taxes against him, but some fear that nominating Gilmore would make it a referendum on Gilmore's own record on budget and tax matters. The consultant: "The GOP 'money people' still blame Gilmore for the VA GOP's downfall. After the Allen debacle, people are more willing to look for win than make a statement."

But a knowledgeable VA GOPer who backs Gilmore strongly disagrees and says: "It's amazing how many people don't get it. It will be a convention. This group of Republicans has consistently favored conventions. Mark Warner will have a stunning financial advantage. Why would you squander $3 million dollars by having a primary? There's not a scintilla of doubt that this will be a convention." He says that the VA GOP leadership would naturally want the control over the process that a convention allows, since there would be no way to prevent crossover voting in a primary. He also notes that it's not just name ID, but also intra-party negativity that gets spread to wider audiences during primaries, and that parties tend to leave conventions more united than they do primaries. This GOPer noted that convention votes are weighed based on the extent each CD has supported GOP WH and GOV candidates in the past, which is to Davis' disadvantage, and that VA GOPers will be holding an '08 convo anyway to determine delegates to the nat'l convo.

This GOPer also defends against those who say Gilmore did not leave VA in a sound financial state: "Gilmore left Mark Warner a balanced budget, as is required by law, a recession hit, and Warner and state Senate Republicans added millions in more spending, who then said 'wow, we have a deficit.' It only became a deficit when they added in extra spending. ... Gilmore has carried NOVA twice against so called charismatic, wealthy candidates that everybody said he couldn't beat. The reason is that he talked to working people, who are trying to pay for college, trying to meet their mortgages. In conservative areas of the state, on gun issues, Mark Warner will eat Davis for breakfast."

One thing both GOPers agreed upon is that there may be pro-Davis cmte members who will vote to have a convo for reasons unrelated to their preference on whom the party should nominate. Although this may seem counter-intuative (since Gilmore is seen as a stronger convention candidate), the thinking is that a convention will prevent candidates from wasting money on primary campaigns and having negative primary ads shown to the general public. [QUINN MCCORD]

September
15

Gen. Wesley Clark Endorses Clinton

September 15, 2007


Gen. Wesley Clark, a favorite of the anti-war blogosphere, endorsed Hillary Clinton for president, in a joint conference call with reporters Saturday morning.

“I’m very pleased today to announce my endorsement of Sen. Clinton to be our next president of the United States,” Gen. Clark said. “I think she’s a remarkable person. She’s had incredible experiences. She’s smart; she does her homework; she’s decisive; she’s strong. I think she’ll be a great leader for the United States of America and I think she’ll be a great commander in chief for the men and women in uniform.”

Clark, a retired four-star general who was raised in Arkansas, briefly ran for the Democratic nomination in 2004. His criticism of Pres. George Bush’s handling of the Iraq war helped make him a hero among liberal, anti-war bloggers. Those same bloggers have slammed Clinton for declining to call her 2002 vote to authorize the Iraq war a mistake. Clark’s endorsement should help her score points with that crowd.

The endorsement also means Clark will immediately be seen as a potential running mate for the senator.

“I want to thank Gen. Clark for his wisdom and his amazing ongoing leadership on so many fronts for our country and for this endorsement, which means a great deal to me and I look forward to having him campaign with me as the campaign moves forward,” Sen. Clinton said.

In a call beset by numerous technical difficulties, the senator and the general discussed the role he might play in her campaign, the war in Iraq, the threats posed by Iran and Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani’s recent attacks on Clinton for her tough questioning of Gen. David Petraeus during last week’s senate hearings on the progress of the troop surge.

Clinton reiterated her strong respect for Gen. Petraeus.

“I think both he and I share a strong commitment to the young men and women who wear the uniform of the United States,” she said.

“I have a disagreement with my Republican opponents and with the president about what is the best direction for our country when it comes to Iraq and I have repeatedly urged that we begin to bring our troops home starting now,” Clinton said, though she declined to respond directly to a question about whether she supported the MoveOn.org ads criticizing the commander of U.S. forces in Iraq and accusing him of “cooking the books” when it comes to reporting on progress in Iraq.


Clark called Iran a serious challenge for the U.S., the region and the world.

“I think it is a serious concern and it should be met by a strategy of engagement with Iran at this point,” he said, adding that while all options are on the table, a sustained dialogue is crucial and military force should only be used as a “last, last, last resort.”

He said the Bush administration was not fulfilling its responsibility to the American people and to the region, because it is not engaging in a such a dialogue with Iran.

Clark heads a political action committee, WesPAC, that focuses on getting Democrats elected to the White House, Congress and state and local offices and providing leadership on national security issues.

In a statement posted on WesPAC’s website before the call began, Clark said, “Senator Clinton and I share a worldview in which diplomacy is the best first-strike tool in our arsenal; in today's complicated global system, the United States should be making more friends than enemies."

Gen. Clark said he would be honored to do what he could to help the senator’s campaign, while Clinton said she would welcome that help, but understood the general might be busy with the tour promoting his new book on leadership, “A Time to Lead.”

By endorsing Clinton before setting off on tour, Clark becomes a surrogate for the campaign, able to make solo stops in early voting states like New Hampshire.

Clark was born in Chicago but raised in Little Rock. Had he not endorsed Clinton, he would have been the only major Arkansas Democrat not to do so. [ATHENA JONES]

September
14

Albright in Des Moines: Bush "Must think we're all idiots"

September 14, 2007

Former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, campaigning on behalf of Hillary Clinton during a two-day swing through Iowa, isn't making any bones about how she feels about George W. Bush.

"'I mean, I think he must think we're all idiots," she exclaimed to laughter and applause from the crowd of about 200 at a community center in West Des Moines. Albright cited Bush's optimistic predictions of safety in Al Anbar province, as well as overestimations of support among coalition nations, as signs of Bush's unrealistic perceptions of the foreign policy "mess" in Iraq.

Her critiques of the administration's war policy were received with cheers, but Albright hit a sober note when she compared the current conflict to a painful past one. "I believe that Iraq is going to go down in history as the greatest disaster in American foreign policy. That means that I am acknowledging that it is worse than Vietnam - not in the number of Americans that have died, or Vietnamese in comparison to Iraqis, but in terms of its unintended consequences."

Among those consequences, she added, is the growing regional influence of Iran, which Albright said "has gained the most from the war in Iraq."

"America needs Hillary Clinton, because we are in a mess," she concluded.

Today marks the second Albright's two-day visit to Iowa, where she's pumping up Hillary Clinton's foreign policy experience and sprinkling her remarks liberally with references to the (Bill) Clinton presidency. Her reception in the crowded community center today -- campaign staffers had to roll in extra tables to accommodate the large audience -- demonstrated another of Clinton's strengths: support among women. The mostly female audience applauded approvingly when their speaker was introduced as the first female Secretary of State, and laughed heartily when Albright fondly recalled her shopping excursions with Hillary during their trips abroad together. The "girl power" vibe was most unmistakable when Albright described Clinton as "a great buddy" who good-naturedly encouraged her to "suck it up and get over it" when the heat from the press got tough. And she scored even more giggles with: "I told people that one reason I looked fatter was that I developed a thicker skin." [CARRIE DANN]

September
14

NH Senate: Sullivan on Shaheen

September 14, 2007

Ex-NH Dem chair Kathy Sullivan, who led an effort to draft ex-Gov. Jeanne Shaheen (D) into the state's Senate race, said in an interview today that she is “convinced that she will be the next United States Senator.” Sullivan had not spoken with Shaheen as of this afternoon, but did receive a voice message from the former three-term chief executive. “She just said that she was really excited about being in the race,” Sullivan said.

Shaheen, who will make a formal announcement at her home on Sunday, released a statement today announcing she was resigning from her post at the Kennedy School of Government. National Democrats had hoped Shaheen would seek a rematch with GOP Sen. John Sununu, who narrowly defeated her in the 2002 contest. Sullivan said that Sununu is vulnerable. “We’ve been able to see that his contribution to the United States Senate is nil. He has not demanded any accountability from the Bush administration at all. And you compare that to Governor Shaheen, who in her six years as governor just accomplished so many things.”

Asked if Shaheen needs to reintroduce herself to New Hampshire voters after being out of the spotlight, Sullivan said: “I think that Governor Shaheen will do what she’s always done when she’s run for office. … Reach out to people on a very personal level, because that’s how she’s always gotten elected.” Sullivan at this point has no role in Shaheen’s nascent campaign, but “will certainly do anything I can to help her get elected.”

Portsmouth Mayor Steve Marchand (D) is expected to drop out of the race 9/15, according to the New Hampshire Union Leader. Former Congressional candidate Katrina Swett (D) has not made any announcement. Meanwhile, New Hampshire Democrats have been organizing a visible “Stop Sununu” campaign for months. [MIKE MEMOLI]

September
14

Happy Trails, Tony Snow

September 14, 2007

Marking his last day on the job as WH press sec., Tony Snow made the morning show rounds to discuss Pres. Bush's 9/13 nat'l address, and shortly afterward, sat down for breakfast with a small group of reporters in DC.

While offering candid opinions on immigration reform and the situation in Iraq, Snow also looked back fondly on his WH tenure, saying that he would miss the "collegiality" and "mutual support" of the Bush WH. Some highlights from the session:

Snow, on the hyperpartisan atmosphere in DC: "I worry about it. The president has regularly reached out. ... You're not gonna find him calling people a 'liar' or a 'loser.' ... I absolutely think that the tone of the political debate is not only something that is not only a cause of concern, but I think it's one of the reasons why Americans have basically had it with Washington."

On whether '08ers are risking the GOP's future by hardening their stances on immigration: "Ask me that question in a week. Or even tomorrow." On comprehensive immigration reform: "We should have gotten it through the last time. ... We came very close."

On the "sales pitch" he got from WH CoS Josh Bolten when he was asked to be press sec.: "He approached me, and I said, 'No! I don't want to be a flak!' ... But we had further discussions, and we talked about a lot of the key substantive issues, but Josh also is a master of psychology, and he said, 'You know, I know you're making a lot of money, and you like it where you're working, and we're at 29%, and we've got an election coming up, and we have these tough issues, and I can understand why a guy like you might not want to sort of take a career risk.' ... And so immediately, I snapped the bait and that was it."

On his frustrations as press sec.: "Sometimes, everybody swoops in on the process questions, and never gets to the deeper questions. ... The newspaper business has changed. Now, you've got to write for the website, and ... phones start melting because somebody reported on one cable network some little factoid. ... And a lot of times, those little factoids don't mean a damn thing, but it's novelty."

On why Bush's private persona doesn't translate to the public: "I don't know. I wish I knew." On Bush in private: "He's not a different guy, but you don't see the whole guy. ... The president tends to be a little more guarded when he's in public. ... I'll tell you what I see with George W. Bush. I see a guy who is, contrary to popular caricature, wants to hear bad news and insists on hearing it; who wants to see people provide practical advice, rather than trying to kiss up; he is somebody who is, strong as he is, he is highly principled; he's not somebody who does something simply because it's popular, obviously; and he's also somebody ... who understands that rather than getting caught up in the moment, especially in terms of personal attack and counter attack, you gotta focus on doing the job right."

On whether he would consider running for office: "No. I will not deny that it has its attractions, but no. For family reasons, I just won't do it. And furthermore, at this time in my life, I got cancer! You know, I want to fight cancer and I want to spend time with my family. ... A guy who is leaving the White House due to lack of income is not likely to go work in the United States Senate, and suffer not only a greater lack of income, but the indignity of having to go ask for money all the time."

On how the WH has changed during his tenure: "The most amazing thing about this White House ... has been the extraordinary collegiality. ... It really is amazing. There is less backstabbing in this White House than any I've ever seen. There is more collegiality and mutual support among senior staff than any place I've ever seen." More, on why Bush has had so many long-serving aides: "It's a reflection of their deep loyalty to the president and the fact that he is, he's a great motivator. I mean, you got a guy who's energetic at his job and it does rub off on those of us who work for him. ... Anybody who's on senior staff can walk in and express their opinions. ... People really do feel fully invested in this presidency, because we do have, we have big, strong disagreements about issues, we have vigorous debates with really smart people going at it, and at the same time, we have the president who will make decisions, and everybody files and supports it."

On Karl Rove's departure: "Look, a White House is going to change when a Karl Rove leaves." More, on Rove: "This is a guy of not only keen intellect and a very active mind, but inexhaustible good cheer. I mean, Karl was the guy you wanted to sit next to on Air Force One because you'd laugh the most."

On his advice for incoming WH press sec. Dana Perino: "Understand that the White House is a temporary posting, but a wonderful one. Enjoy it" [MAURA O'BRIEN].

September
14

Quote Of The Day

September 14, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"They understand that their success will require U.S. political, economic, and security engagement that extends beyond my presidency."

-- Pres. Bush, on Iraq, mult, 9/13

September
14
September
14

Hotline After Dark -- How Many '08ers Can You Fit On Cable?

September 14, 2007

Lots of analysis after Pres. Bush's speech:

CNN's Cooper: "Mr. Bush said al Qaeda 12 times. General Petraeus got eight mentions. Surge got six, and getting no mention whatsoever, the word victory" ("AC 360," 9/13).

CNN's Crowley: "The president's plan for troop withdrawal is not big enough or soon enough to satisfy critics, but it does move the political debate forward, from whether troops should come home to how many and when. It will not sit well with the president's opponents that he is now talking with Iraqi leaders about an extended U.S. stay" ("AC 360," 9/13).

CNN's Malveaux: "He did what he had to do. He delivered some good news with troop withdrawals, but he's setting the stage for the bad news that he's going to deliver tomorrow, that is the Iraq progress report to Congress -- 18 benchmarks, nine satisfactory, five unsatisfactory, four mixed. By any standards, a failure grade" (9/13).

Washington Examiner's Sammon: "I don't see that he has really made any strong concession in terms of those troop withdrawals, because he's just taking us back to the same level we were at Iraq earlier this year" (FNC, 9/13).

MSNBC's Matthews: "The idea that we're one of 36 countries fighting the war I think is ludicrous. And why the president would throw that out there, I think it only opens him up to ridicule." More: "I think the American people will find it very frustrating if the only reason we're in Iraq is because we're afraid to leave" (9/13).

Pat Buchanan: "I find extraordinary -- the president's amazing dependence upon General Petraeus. If tomorrow morning General Petraeus said, You know, I think this war is not going well and we ought to come out, I think the president would have no more cards. He has become so dependent on him, even though he's the commander-in-chief" (MSNBC, 9/13).

ABC's Stephanopoulos: "It was less confrontational than it was in the past ... but fundamentally ... the president was delivering a mixed message tonight. He said troops are going to start coming home but America is going to be in Iraq and in the region for a very long time" (9/13).

THE '08 EFFECT

And, of course, the speech was seen through the prism of WH '08:

FNC's Cameron, on the '08ers reax: "Democrats are already criticizing, and Republicans have accused the Democratic field of sot of being in a race for who can pull out U.S. troops fastest" (9/13).

NBC's Russert: "In January of '09, when a new president is sworn in, when he or she puts his or her hand on the Bible, there will be about 100,000 troops in Iraq. And he is putting a plan in place that is going to guarantee U.S. military involvement in Iraq long after he leaves the White House" (MSNBC, 9/13).

NBC's Williams: "That is quite an inheritance for the next president" (MSNBC, 9/13).

Barack Obama, asked if he was surprised by anything in the speech: "No. I think we knew the direction the president was going in before the speech. And he reconfirmed, I think, that he is bound to this same failed course that we have seen for the last several years" ("LKL," CNN, 9/13).

Rudy Giuliani: "Hillary Clinton should disown and condemn Moveon.org, and she really has to explain her complicity in this. I mean, that's a pretty despicable attack on an American general at a time of war. After all, this is a man, whatever you think of the success or lack of success, this is a man who's put his life at risk, you know, day in, day out, to try to keep his troops safe, to try to keep us successful. Right now, his life is at risk in trying to keep America safe. She has some nerve attacking his integrity."

Giuliani, on getting the NYT ad for the same discounted rate as Moveon.org: "We got the rate, ... which is I think about $100,000 less than they usually charge for a full page. It seems to me if they can give over a page to attacking the integrity of an American general in a time of war, with vicious ad hominem attacks, they should give us an opportunity to respond on his behalf and to point out the political nature of these attacks" ("Hannity & Colmes," FNC, 9/13).

John Edwards, on Bush's speech: "It's a continuation in a series of P.R. jobs where the president is trying to convince the American people that the surge is working, that we're making progress in Iraq. Not addressing the absolutely fundamental underlying question, which is, has there been any serious political progress between the Sunni and Shia? And the answer to that question is no, and for that reason, the president doesn't focus on that. And that's the reason America needs to be leaving Iraq" ("LKL," CNN, 9/13)

John McCain: "One of the disappointing things to me about the Democrats' response is they failed to acknowledge any success whatsoever and attacked General Petraeus" (FNC, 9/13).

Joe Biden: "By the president's own standards, this whole policy has been a failure. And all he's doing ... is trying to keep ... the cork in the bottle, keeping this thing from imploding until the next president. It's shameful. I think it was shameful the way they're trying to sell this" (MSNBC, 9/13).

Mike Huckabee: "I think the president gave a pretty honest assessment that things could be better, but things could be a lot worse. And most importantly, we are seeing some success. ... And, you know, frankly, I've just got a lot more confidence in these guys over there getting shot at than I do the people who are maybe having some political agenda to take a different position here from the comfort of the United States" (MSNBC, 9/13). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
13

Biden Pre-Butts Bush, Criticizes Obama.

September 13, 2007

In advance of President Bush's address to the nation on Iraq tonight, Senator Joe Biden wants Iowans to know that he's the man to "cauterize the wound" caused by the war.

"This is George Bush's war. But it's America's future," Senator Joe Biden told patrons of the Family Table Restaurant in Atlantic, Iowa today. "The fact of the matter is that this president is going to, tonight, tell you that he wants to continue what is absolutely, in my view, a flawed, losing, destructive, and now unconscionable policy."

Biden's plan for Iraq is comprised of a gradual troop withdrawal and a federalization - or division into three states - of the warring sectarian regions of the country. Opponents on both sides of the aisle (with the exception of GOP presidential candidate Sam Brownback), call Biden's three-state proposal unfeasible. But Biden touts his plan as the only political solution put forward by any candidate, and he took issue with at least one of his rivals' plans for its lack of an outline for a political settlement before withdrawal.

Asked to respond to Sen. Barack Obama's policy speech in Clinton, IA, yesterday, Biden painted Obama's plan for troop withdrawal as unrealistically rosy. "My impression is he thinks that if we leave, somehow the Iraqis are going to have an epiphany" of peaceful coexistence among warring sects. "I've seen zero evidence of that."

The chairman of the foreign relations committee, Biden is counting on his foreign policy credentials and tough talk against Bush will power a resurgence here in the first caucus state. Biden pointed out today that he's been to Iraq eight times, "I think ... more than all the other candidates combined."

Iowa House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy , who endorsed Biden today, joshed about the speculation of many pundits that Biden really aims to head the State Department, saying "Given that Iraq is the number one issue facing this country, and it will be for the next few years, wouldn't it be nice to have a president of the United States who's smarter than his Secretary of State?"
[CARRIE DANN]

September
13

NJ Insiders: Who's The Strongest Of Them All?

September 13, 2007

As general election candidates, it’s Hillary and Rudy according the latest National Journal Insiders Poll. Political Insiders in both parties, by strikingly similar percentages tapped the two NYers as the strongest nominees their respective parties could put forward in '08.

September
13

Quote Of The Day

September 13, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"Truly, the only person my husband can trust is me."

-- Cindy McCain, Time, 9/24 issue

September
13
September
13

Warner's In

September 13, 2007

Mark Warner is running for VA SEN.

And the NRSC has already responded.

So has DSCC Chair Chuck Schumer, who issued a statement this a.m. making clear the cmte's endorsement of the ex-gov. Schumer: “I have come to know Mark in the last six months and have seen he is an outstanding American leader who will run a great campaign and be a tremendous asset to his state and his country. We’re excited about his campaign and even more excited about him joining us in the Senate."

What say you, Tom Davis?

September
13

Hotline After Dark -- Baghdad Blues

September 13, 2007

Lots of '08ers on TV last night:

Mitt Romney was on "Your World":

Asked if he regrets the Fred Thompson web site: "Oh, of course. And it was not, of course, from our campaign. No one from our campaign put that site up. And my understanding is that an employee from a consultant we used in South Carolina put that up but it is not part of our campaign. He doesn't work in our campaign and I've instructed that consultant not to let him work in our campaign. That sort of stuff doesn't have a place in politics. It's juvenile, frankly. And it has no future."

More: "That sort of thing is going to go on and we're just going to have say that it's wrong."

Asked about Obama's speech: "Thank heavens Barack Obama was not president over the last year because had Barack Obama been president over the last year Osama bin Laden would have been declaring victory in Iraq. We would have had al Qaeda as a dominate player in Iraq. ... We would have had safe haven that would have made Afghanistan look like child's play. And the consequences for America and the world would have been dire. So we are fortunate that indeed that Barack Obama was not president. And I think the comments he has made over the last month with regards to unilaterally going into Pakistan, with visiting people like Ahmadinejad and Castro and Hugo Chavez, I think they really disqualify him in the minds of virtually everybody who's serious about this country. This is a man who by virtue of politics and perhaps panic has suggest a course of Iraq that would have lead to al Qaeda having a new safe haven" (FNC, 9/12).

And Barack Obama talked with FNC's Cameron:

Obama, on HRC: "If she did not ask the right questions before this war, it is not clear that she would be better equipped to ask the right questions in bringing the war to a close" ("Special Report," 9/12).

Meanwhile Chris Dodd was on "Countdown":

Asked how Dems can stop Bush: "I think we have to speak with clarity on all this. I don't want to get involved in the decision of what our missions are going to be here. That's the mission -- if you're going to accept there's a mission on the ground, trying to run that from the halls of Congress, I think, is dangerous. My view is, look, we ought to set a time certain for beginning redeployment and a time in which it's concluded to do it safely and securely. I would advocate between now and next April, to have two brigades a month, I'm told by planners, this can be achieved. This has to come to an end, in my view. ... It's time for us to pull our troops out of Iraq. That does not mean we disengage from the region. There are things that we can be doing there. The idea we're going to stay around in perpetuity almost is very trouble to me and, therefore, I think we have to be clear about a date certain."

MSNBC's Olbermann: "How do you do it? If you're going to just discuss defense spending next week, why not take the plunge and say, other than to keep them safe and assure their safe conduct home, we're not funding anything else for this war?"

Dodd: "I'll be proposing exactly that. I don't know how many votes I'm going to get here and I suspect not going to be enough certainly to survive a presidential veto. But I think the absence of clarity, of trying to always find language here that will bring you 51 or 55 ends up inevitably sort of supporting the continuation of the mission" (MSNBC, 9/12).

BAGHDAD NEVER LOOKED SO GOOD

Gen. David Petraeus did a series of TV interviews last night:

On saying he didn't know if what was happening in Iraq was making the U.S. safer: "My response yesterday was actually following a series of questions where I was trying hard to stay the MNF-I commander, if you will, not to try to be the overall commander in the global war on terror, or to talk about what we should do beyond the borders of Iraq" ("World News," ABC, 9/12).

Asked if he expected the reception he got: "There's certainly an intensity to the impatience and the frustration that was very, very palpable. I tried to lay out the situation on the ground. And it is very clear the enormous desire for results. And, again, you can feel that from afar; you can feel it in Baghdad. But you obviously feel it a great deal more in Washington and on Capitol Hill."

More: "I now say that I'm not an optimist or a pessimist. I'm a realist. And the reality is that Iraq is very, very hard, and there's nothing easy or quick about solving its problems" ("NewsHour," PBS, 9/12).

On his critics saying the Iraq strategy is too open-ended: "I think to try to look way out and say this is exactly what we're going to do in a country that has surprised us repeatedly just would not be responsible" ("Evening News," CBS, 9/12).

Asked if it was more dangerous in Washington or Baghdad right now: "Well, someone in our group here was saying they would not be completely reluctant to head back to Baghdad" ("AC 360," CNN, 9/12). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
13

Biden Draws Nod From IA Big

September 13, 2007

Today, Joe Biden will pick up the endorsement of Iowa House Maj. Leader Kevin McCarthy. Per the campaign, McCarthy's support is based on Biden's foreign policy background and his plan for a measured withdrawal from Iraq. McCarthy's nod will be Biden's 8th endorsement out of the state legislature in IA [CARRIE DANN].

September
13

McCain in IA: "Let Us Win"

September 13, 2007

In a cavernous American Legion Hall in Waterloo, IA, an audience of war veterans and curious Iowans listened thoughtfully from their seats at long cafeteria tables strewn with soda cans and paper plates. The candidate they came to see spoke before a backdrop of American flags and a well-loved Bingo scoreboard.

This is John McCain's bread and butter.

September
12

Z-Big on Obama

September 12, 2007

Zbigniew Brzezinski doesn't believe in speaking down to his audience.

The former national security advisor to Jimmy Carter introduced Sen. Barack Obama at Ashford Univ. on 9/12, after decrying the Bush admin's colonialist policies in a postcolonial world, saying that the admin. had "used mendacity" to justify the war and that "it has discredited America as a whole."

September
12

Quote Of The Day

September 12, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"He hopes I run. "

-- Ex-Sen. Bob Kerrey (D-NE), on DSCC Chair Chuck Schumer, Omaha World-Herald, 9/12

September
12
September
12

Hotline After Dark -- Rudy's Role

September 12, 2007

Iraq was again the dominate TV topic last night:

CNN's Yellin: "This time, the biting questions came not only from Democrats, but also from Republicans deeply skeptical of the strategy in Iraq" ("Lou Dobbs Tonight," 9/11).

FNC's Garrett: "Democrats spent so much time expressing their skepticism today, it was hard for them to get to actual questions" ("Special Report," 9/11).

CNN's McIntyre: "Even the many senators who respect General Petraeus think he's been dealt a losing hand, that despite his best efforts, Iraq has become mission impossible" ("Situation Room," 9/11).

IT'S GOOD TO BE THE CHAIRMAN

Joe Biden made the TV rounds last night:

On Petraeus' testimony: "I think he was spinning a bit. I have great respect for him. I've known him for a long time. I've been working with him and talking to him in my eight trips to Iraq. I've been with him. But I think he was spinning a bit. ... He talks about violence being down. It's down from something like 1,600 attacks a week to 1,100. That's like saying the city of Washington, the murder rate is down -- I don't know what the murder rate is -- but from 500 to 420. It doesn't make the city much safer" ("NewsHour," PBS, 9/11).

More: "All what you heard today was -- it was kind of anti-climactic, is that we're going to go down to 'pre-surge levels' this time next year. What they want to do is for almost a year-and-a-half keep us surged in Iraq, an additional 30,000 troops, and they're going to draw down to what? To the 130,000 troops we had before with no prospect for any end in sight?"

On his '08 rivals saying they shouldn't vote to fund the war: "If I had any idea they can honestly look you in the camera and say if, in fact, we had the votes to de-fund the war, that would end the war, I would do it in a heartbeat, because a lot of innocent Americans are dying, a lot of innocent Iraqis are dying. The fact of the matter is, you need 67 votes ... to override a presidential veto. So if you go ahead and you vote against funding and you get 51 votes, what do you do? You may delay for a week or two or a month the fact that we're going to get the kind of help that our troop needs" ("Situation Room," CNN, 9/11).

Biden: "What the whole day proved, both in my committee and now in the Armed Services Committee, is that the two men in charge of the policy, I don't think they embrace the policy. I think they know that there's no possibility to be able to secure Iraq, bring our troops home and leave something stable behind based on the strategy of this administration. And yet that's what they're supposed to implement. I think that's what you saw today. That's me making a judgment about two men I know pretty well. They did not say that to me, but that's what their answers said to me."

Asked how long the U.S. will be in Iraq: "If we elect a Republican president after this, we're going to be there for another seven, eight, ten years" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 9/11).

A DAY TO EXAMINE GIULIANI

ABC's McFadden examined Rudy Giuliani's role on 9/11:

Psychologist Michael Cohen, who met with Giuliani on 9/12 to advise him on how to help the city recover: "I was pretty impressed. I felt like I was really in the presence of a presence." More: "I never saw him exaggerate, underestimate or overestimate his role."

Ex-Giuliani Deputy Mayor Joe Lhota: "Most Americans did not know al Qaeda existed before 9/11. Rudy Giuliani did."

McFadden: "Jerry Hauer was once appointed by Giuliani to create the city's first centralized Office of Emergency Management, a post from which he resigned several months before the World Trade Center attacks. Hauer has now become a vocal critic of his former boss and a supporter of Sen. Clinton."

Hauer, also an ABC consultant: "I don't ever remember a conversation when Rudy was mayor when he and I ever really talked about Islamic militants, Islamic fundamentalism, Islam at all. Al Qaeda was never part of his vocabulary. And I was responsible for ensuring the city was ready for these kinds of events."

McFadden: Jim "Riches is one of a vocal group of firefighters who claim Rudy Giuliani did not adequately prepare New York City for 9/11."

Riches: "He's not well-liked at all. Every time you hear Rudy Giuliani's name, you'll hear a four-letter word to follow it. And it's not hero. He's not America's mayor. He would be America's nightmare." On working at Ground Zero on 9/11: "It just became so chaotic down there and OEM [New York City Office of Emergency Management] was supposed to coordinate everything. It would have helped if we'd been more prepared that day, but we weren't and that falls back to the administration of Giuliani."

Riches, asked if it's fair to blame everything on Giuliani: "There were a lot of failures by everybody that day. The United States had never been put in a position like that. But Rudy Giuliani's now capitalized on 9/11. He's profiting off of 9/11 and he politicized 9/11 by running for president, so I feel it's my cause now to let everybody in America know how totally unprepared we were for 9/11 in New York City."

Lhota: "I think it's wrong for people to blame Mayor Giuliani for any of the deaths that happened on that day. If anything I believe they should give him credit for the number of lives that were saved. More lives were saved than perished on that day. And I think we're losing sight of how cataclysmic an event that was."

Hauer: "On 9/10 Rudy couldn't be elected dogcatcher in this city. He was ready to leave and the city was ready to throw him out."

Lhota: "I have disagreed with the concept since I first heard it. ... 9/11 gave the rest of America the opportunity to see what a competent leader is like. Rudy Giuliani is a competent leader. What he showed on 9/11 was the competence that he showed from the day he became mayor, what it means to be in control, what it means to be compassionate, what it means to know what you need to know to get the city moving again" ("Nightline," ABC, 9/11). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
12

Obama's No Good, Very Bad Options For Iraq

September 12, 2007

What can be done for a war where the options are: no good, bad and worse?

That's the question Barack Obama asked of Gen. Petraeus and Amb. Ryan Crocker on 9/11 p.m., and the one he intends to answer at a major foreign pol. speech 9/12 at Ashford University in Clinton, IA.

September
11

Quote Of The Day

September 11, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"My responsibility as I see it is not to give a good picture, it is to give an accurate picture."

-- Gen. David Petraeus, AFP, 9/11

September
11
September
11

Hotline After Dark -- Not Ready To Move On

September 11, 2007

Lots of talk about Gen. David Petraeus' and Amb. Ryan Crocker's testimony last night:

Petraeus spoke with FNC's Hume: "I do believe there will be further reductions in forces. ... There are not dates attached to these. ... But the recommendation coming around mid-March or so. No later than that. And then the date to start that. And really, it's the slope of the line and so forth, would be made in mid-March" (FNC, 9/10).

NBC's Miklaszewski: "Petraeus told lawmakers today that given enough time the U.S. could possibly achieve its objectives in Iraq and then laid out a new strategy that sounds pretty much like stay the course" ("Nightly News," 9/10).

MSNBC's Shuster: "Petraeus did not testify about the lack of political progress, in other words, about the reason we are fighting the war" ("Hardball," 9/10).

FNC's Garrett: "Even before General David Petraeus described the successes and shortcomings of the military surge, the next stage of operations and the recommendations for future troop withdrawals, House Democrats preemptively dismissed his testimony" ("Special Report," 9/10).

NBC's Gregory: "By recommending a withdrawal of surge troops beginning in December Petraeus may have satisfied both sides of the aisle" ("Nightly News," 9/10).

CNN's Ware: "I'm struck by the way people are regarding General Petraeus' discussion of those troop levels until July of next year. People are acting like he has just announced some sort of phased withdrawal. Well, no, not at all. That was the timeline for the so-called surge in the beginning. Indeed, it wasn't a surge. It was a one-year escalation of U.S. forces. And the clock was due to run out on that escalation in the summer of next year anyway. So, that is not a revelation at all" ("AC 360," 9/10).

ABC's Karl: "For all the talk of a withdrawal today the bottom line is, by next summer, some five years after the start of the war, there will more 130,000 U.S. forces in Iraq" ("World News," 9/10).

FNC's Kondracke: "I think that Petraeus said that there are going to be troop withdrawals. I think that's the most important thing politically that he could say, that there are going to be troop withdrawals beginning soon, some this year, and that we will be down, he said, to 130,000, the pre-surge level sometime next summer" ("Special Report," 9/10).

MSNBC's Matthews, on Petraeus' testimony: "Was it another one of those Lucy and Charlie Brown things where she holds the football up and at the last minute, come fall she drops the football, and he kicks it in the air?" ("Hardball," 9/10).

Chicago Tribune's Zuckman: "Republicans were ready to bolt for the exits and now they have settled down. They're sticking with Bush. The Democrats won't have the votes to do anything of substance, not even get anything out of the Senate" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 9/10).

Newsweek's Fineman, on the purpose of the testimony: "It was about trying to shore up Republican support -- forget the country as a whole, they've lost the country -- but Republican support to keep Republicans from defecting. And there was just enough in the report, just enough plausible, just enough statistics so that Republicans could hang their hats and not bolt" ("Countdown," MSNBC, 9/10).

Sen. John Kerry (D-MA), on Petraeus' testimony: "I don't think there was anything new. I think we learned what we've been hearing in the last weeks and expected to hear. I think the most important thing ... was the fact that you had a general testifying as to tactical military gains, but a diplomat and the person in charge of the politics who really could not report on any progress in the one area that is going to resolve this crisis" ("LKL," CNN, 9/10).

NOT READY TO MOVE ON

Petraeus was asked about the Moveon.org ad: "I did give my assessment and my recommendations to my chain of command, which extends all the way to the White House. But the testimony that I provided today was mine. ... I wrote it. I did not clear it, nor even provide a copy of it to anyone in the Pentagon, Congress or the White House" (FNC, 9/10).

Crocker spoke with FNC's Hume and was asked about the Moveon.org ad: "I gave the president and Secretary Rice an oral assessment exactly a week ago, when the president came to Iraq. He didn't influence it. He didn't seek to influence it. And the testimony, again, was my own. I did not show it to anybody. I did not clear it with anyone. It was prepared by myself and my immediate staff. And the first that the White House saw of it or Secretary Rice saw of it was when it came out this morning in the Congress" (FNC, 9/10).

MoveOn.org exec. dir. Eli Pariser, on the ad: "If we had run an ad in 2003 taking apart General Colin Powell's statement to the U.N., you know, I think a lot of the same characters would have come after us. But, sometimes, it's right to call a spade a spade. And, if someone had done that then, we might not be in this mess."

Asked if they'll do more ads: "Yes, I'm sure we will."

On calling Petraeus "General Betray-us": "What I know is the fact pattern. And the fact pattern is that, again and again, General Petraeus has spun the facts, has misled the country about what is going on, on the ground in Iraq. You can call that betrayal. You can call it lying. You can call it whatever you want. It's a problem" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 9/10).

DailyKos' Markos Moulitsas: "It's almost amusing to see how, in Washington, D.C., everyone is all up in arms over an ad. You know, we are in the middle of this bloody war, almost 4,000 dead, half-a-trillion dollars spent. And people are going to talk about how inappropriate an ad is? I think it's patently ridiculous. And most people outside of the sort of beltway environment really don't care about an ad. They want to see our men and women coming home safe and sound to their families" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 9/10).

Chris Dodd, asked about the moveon.org ad: "This is not about the personality of General Petraeus. I have respect for him as a military individual here giving his best assessment. And even his assessments indicate this is not going to be easy at all, even under the best of scenarios they're describing here. So the debate ought not to be about the personalities. The debate is about the policy" ("Situation Room," CNN, 9/10). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
11

9/11 Emergency Response

September 11, 2007
If you try to visit Rudy Giuliani's website today -- the sixth anniversary of the 9/11 attacks -- you will be in for a bit of a surprise.
September
11

Lincoln-Douglas, Meet Thompson-Huckabee (Not)

September 11, 2007

Fred Thompson responded 9/10 p.m. to Mike Huckabee's offer to hold a Lincoln-Douglas debate with him.

Thompson: "I think in the general election, when you've got two candidates that [I might be interested in] something like that, [or] something Newt Gingrich has proposed. I think [Newt's] idea is an hour and half, several different times during the course of the campaign. I think that approach, the more I think about it is a good one…In terms of some individual in a crowded primary situation, that's a different situation. We'll have an opportunity to exchange our views many times before this is over."

I guess America won't get to relive 1858 quite yet … at least not during the primaries.

Thompson, incidentally, takes the day off from campaigning today in honor of September 11. He participated in a fundraiser last night in Tennessee and will pickup his campaign kickoff tour in Jacksonville, FL on Thursday as he tours the southern most swing state in preparation for his homecoming on 9/15 in Lawrenceburg, TN [ADAM AIGNER-TREWORGY].

September
10

At Long Last

September 10, 2007

Some highlights from Gen. David Petraeus' and U.S. Amb. to Iraq Ryan Crocker's testimony this afternoon before a joint session of the House Armed Services and Foreign Relations Cmtes:

September
10

Quote Of The Day

September 10, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"I don't know whether I'm optimistic, pessimistic or just mystic."

-- Ex-NSA Brent Scowcroft, asked if he is as optimistic as Pres. Bush and Gen. Petraeus seem to be, "Face" CBS, 9/9

September
10

Sunday Snapshot

September 10, 2007

Talk of Gen. Petraeus' 9/10 scheduled report to Congress on the situation in Iraq led the Sunday shows this weekend:

John McCain: "Everything I know about General Petraeus is that he has been candid and forthcoming in his views. And if we start disparaging the men and women who are serving in uniform and their honor, then I think we've reached a sad place in American politics."

More McCain: "The complaint used to be, 'You're not making any progress militarily.' Now, we don't hear that anymore" ("This Week," ABC, 9/9).

Mike Huckabee: "I wish we were out of there tomorrow. I wish every last American could come home if not tomorrow, today. I don't want to see another life lost. But on the other hand, I don't want the long-term safety of the United States and our security compromised, nor do I want the credibility of this nation lost for generations because we've simply decided that people were ready for us to come out, whether or not we had finished the task we went there to do. Even our own Senate sent General Petraeus over there this summer with full confidence and told him he would have until this week to be able to bring a report back. He had barely landed on the ground before they were already on the Senate floor saying we had failed, saying we had lost" ("Late Edition," CNN, 9/9).

Joe Biden, when asked if he expectsPetraeus to say progress is being made: "I expect him to say that. And I really respect him. And I think he's dead flat wrong. ... The only way there's any possibility of dealing with the sectarian violence is you've got to separate the parties, give them some breathing room, give them local control. If you don't do that, you think we're going to get there in any way with this present government? And can anybody envision a central government made up of Sunni, Shia and Kurds that's going to gain the trust and respect of 27 million Iraqis? It's not going to happen" ("Meet The Press," NBC, 9/9).

Sen. John Kerry (D-MA): "I think the general will present the facts with respect to the statistics and the tactical successes or situations as he sees them. But none of us should be fooled -- not the American people, not you in the media, not us in Congress -- we should not be fooled into this tactical success debate. That's not what this is about" ("This Week," ABC, 9/9).

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC): "I am absolutely, totally, 100 percent against a political redeployment or a political management of how you use the troops. I'm going to leave it up to Petraeus because I trust him. He has delivered. And I think it would be foolhardy for this Congress to take away from him the ability to manage this war and to deploy and withdraw. ... If we pull back now any troops based on politics, you're going to allow an enemy to get off the map that's on the map and you're going to break the hearts of the troops that have brought about this success. They believe they're winning. Let them win."

Graham, on some Senate Dems' attempts to discredit Petraeus: "Very upset, because he's coming because we passed a law telling him he had to come. Now, this idea that he and Ambassador Crocker are going to cook numbers to continue a war where people are going to get hurt and killed because they have a political agenda is ridiculous. It's offensive" ("Fox News Sunday," FNC, 9/9).

Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-CA): "I don't think General Petraeus has an independent view. ... Petraeus is there to succeed. He may say the progress is uneven. He may say it's substantial. I don't know what he will say. You can be sure we'll listen to it. But I don't think he's an independent evaluator" ("Fox News Sunday," FNC, 9/9).

Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-MA): "This a cockamamie policy. We have been a crutch for too long. We have been the survival blanket for the Iraqi government and the only way they're going to make the tough decisions in judgment is start bringing those troops home. ... I'm going to support all activities in the United States Senate that are going to bring our troops home to end the war. ... General Petraeus is going to give a report on how good General Petraeus has done over there" ("Face the Nation," CBS, 9/9).

Ex-NSA Brent Scowcroft, asked if he is as optimistic as Bush and Petraeus seem to be: "I don't know whether I'm optimistic, pessimistic or just mystic. ... I think progress is being made. And the first thing that has to be made is military progress. I think it is the political process will have to go on its own bottom, and we can't control it" ("Face the Nation," CBS, 9/9).

Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA), asked if Petraeus has the credibility to convince the Senate that they know what they're doing: "Notwithstanding the fact that he may have been wrong in the past, General Petraeus has a very strong reputation and I think he does have credibility. But we're going to look behind the generalizations that General Petraeus or anybody gives us and probe the very hard facts to see exactly what the situation is. As I've said in the past, unless we see some light at the end of the tunnel here, very closely examining what General Petraeus and others have to say, I think there's a general sense that there needs to be a new policy. General Petraeus himself in the last couple of days has said that he's prepared to see the withdrawal of some troops, talked about a brigade, so let's see specifically what develops" ("Late Edition," CNN, 9/9).

Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA): "I will have the chance to question him on Tuesday in front of the Foreign Relations Committee. ... I don't know what he's going to say. But let me tell you what I do know. I do know what has happened since the surge. There has been no political reconciliation. We have had the deadliest ... summer ever in the war in Iraq in terms of the loss of our troops. We have 78 percent of the Iraqi people saying, please leave the country. ... So I intend to question General Petraeus about it. But the last point I'd make is, General Petraeus is really the messenger. The policy comes from President Bush" ("Late Edition," CNN, 9/9).

McCain and Biden were also asked about MoveOn.org's ad in the New York Times calling Petraeus "General Betray Us":

McCain "Just makes me sad. Makes me very sad. ... He served his country with honor and distinction, and if we have to sink to that level to besmirch the reputation of a very fine and wonderful American, then I lament the level of dialogue. I hope that my Democrat friends will not be guided by moveon.org" ("This Week," ABC, 9/9).

Biden: "I don't buy into that. This is an honorable guy. He's telling the truth. ... I disagree with what his recommendation is likely to be, but I don't think he is cooking the books. He's stating the part that he believes is true" ("Meet The Press," NBC, 9/9).

Meanwhile, Gen. James Jones and ex-DC police chief Charles Ramsey, members of the Independent Commission on the Security Forces of Iraq, were on "Meet The Press" to discuss their report:

Jones, asked if there is a need for US troops on the ground in Iraq for at least three to four years: "I think that's probably reasonable. There's no magic formula here. It depends on the rate of progress, it depends on the international ability to convince Iran and Syria to help rather than hinder the recovery in Iraq, and that's not happening right now."

Ramsey, asked the most surprising thing he found while in Iraq for the last three weeks: "One was the widespread dislike of the national police. But the most encouraging thing was the level of training. When we visited training centers for the Iraqi police service, I was very impressed. And the quality of the people that we have brought to train and the Iraqi instructors was really, really good. So there's a lot of potential there" (NBC, 9/9).

September
10
September
10

Just fyi, Oprah's Praying For Obama

September 10, 2007

Montecito, Calif. - Talk show monolith Oprah Winfrey welcomed more than $3.4M in donations for Barack Obama at her 9/08 fund-raiser, a Gastby-like affair at her 42-acre estate here on Santa Barbara's pristine, pricey coast.

"I'm praying for this man," Winfrey told the 1,500 guests traipsing her various lawns with their $2,300 tickets. "Nobody can stand in the way of destiny. Nobody. The moment is now."

September
7

Quote Of The Day

September 7, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"Whatever it does translate into, politically, hasn't worked too badly for me so far."

-- Fred Thompson, on his alleged laziness, ABC, "GMA," 9/7.

September
7

Hotline After Dark -- Right (Or Wrong?) Said Fred

September 7, 2007

Fred Thompson was on "Hannity & Colmes" last night:

On why he chose to announce on the "Tonight Show": "Well, it gives me an opportunity to see more people, talk to more people. I think it is a good way to start out."

On whether he wants to return fire at the WH GOPers who criticized his absence at the NH debate: "No. Not really. Not really. I was just glad that they didn't forget about me."

On whether the accelerated primary schedule concerns him: "It really doesn't. You know, I like the idea of a sprint. I like the idea of Labor Day coming around, the traditional way when people start paying attention about politics. You get out in the media kind of coverage we can get today, earned media, the Internet, all of the other things that you can do nowadays to get more coverage than you ever did before. People don't start paying attention to these things until the last few months."

On the differences between him and other WH GOPers: "Well, to tell you the truth, I haven't spent a whole lot of time going into the details of their positions. ... I mean, publicly. I obviously know where they stand and what they have done and what they've written. And there will be a time when we will need to have a good debate, if they are interested in debates, and we will do it one-on-one or we will do it in a big group, however they want to do it. And we will get into that. Right now, I have got a lot of work to do about myself."

On the upcoming war progress report: "I get the feeling that General Petraeus is going to have basically what should be considered good news for us. It really depends on which way you lean. ... If you're politically committed against this war and to do something to try to further harm the president, the way the Democrats seem to be in Congress, then anything that's a mixed message is going to be seized upon in a negative way."

On Iran: "I don't know how much stark the situation can be. ... The military or nuclear option or whatever certainly should be the last thing to be considered. There are an awful lot of good things that can happen between now and then, but there are no options that can be taken off the table of a country that's intent on becoming dangerous to us and the rest of the world forever."

On Sen. Larry Craig (R-ID): "Well, my initial thoughts is I met his wife, and I feel for her and his family, but he ought to do what's best for his family, he ought to do what's best for this country. He pled guilty and tried to take it back and resigned and is going to talk about taking that back. Larry ought to move on. We ought to be talking about the future of this country and not the future of Larry Craig" (FNC, 9/6).

If You Build It, He Will Come

And with Thompson making his debut in IA on 9/6, everybody had something to say about it:

Newsweek's Bailey: "The one thing I noted about today's announcement is just how somber it was here in Des Moines. He came on stage, and people clapped. But it wasn't so exciting, at least not as exciting as it was on 'The Tonight Show' last night. So ... what we're really going to be looking for in the next couple of days is how much enthusiasm he can really generate up on the trail" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 9/6). More Bailey: "Mainly he really talked about uniting the country. I think that's going to be one of his biggest themes. He talked a lot about how Washington is really at a deadlock and that the nation needs to come together; otherwise we're going to be perceived as a weaker nation" ("NewsHour," PBS, 9/6).

CNN's Foreman: "Candidate Fred Thompson galloped into Des Moines like the second coming of Ronald Reagan. At least, that's what he wants voters to think" ("AC 360," CNN, 9/6).

CNN's J. King, on Thompson's first stump speech in IA: "Thompson implicitly criticized some of his Republican rivals, saying he has conservative views. And when you hear him speaking those views, you can rest assured they are views he has always had and always will. ... But this tiny crowd at the campaign kickoff highlighted concerns that Thompson waited too long and is too far behind his rivals in building an organization."

More King: "I talked to a number of his supporters here as they left the room, and many acknowledge that that is a weakness, or at least something he does not excel at. They said he is not Ronald Reagan when it comes to giving a big stump speech" ("Situation Room," CNN, 9/6).

The Big O

Meanwhile, discussion continued about the effect that Oprah Winfrey could have on Barack Obama's camp:

Congressional Quarterly's Crawford: "I think actually there's a potential for a law of diminishing returns ... for Obama. If she gets so involved in the campaign, she overpowers him. I really think he's probably better off with her just having him on the show a few times, endorsing him, like she did with Arnold Schwarzenegger, by the way. ... And Oprah will have her own agenda. The top of her agenda is going to be her" ("Countdown," MSNBC, 9/6).

Pat Buchanan: "I think this could conceivably translate with working class women, stay-at-home women who are watching TV, African American women and that's really Hillary's strong suit. If she's out there, I think that can help" ("Tucker," MSNBC, 9/6).

NBC's Mitchell: "Why could Oprah's endorsement be so important? Because she reaches eight and a half million viewers each day, mostly women -- exactly the voters now largely supporting Hillary Clinton" ("Nightly News," NBC, 9/6).

CBS' Greenfield: "Oprah Winfrey is a very different kind of celebrity, someone who occupies a unique place in our culture, someone whose power stems not just from how many people she reaches, but who she reaches, and how. ... With her daily talk show, Oprah can put books on the bestseller list, start fashion, diet, and exercise crazes, but she's also been talking to and with Americans about the most intimate aspects of their lives, so the possibilities are intriguing, but so are the risks" ("Early Show," CBS, 9/7).

Love's Labor's Found

John Edwards was in the "Situation Room" last night:

Edwards, on whether the U.S. should boycott the Beijing Olympics: "I certainly wouldn't suggest that at this moment. But I wouldn't take any option off the table. I mean, we have huge issues with China. One that I don't think you made mention of is the need for Chinese cooperation on the ongoing genocide in western Sudan and Darfur. ... So, we have huge issues with the Chinese. They're growing their military in a very opaque manner, so that we can't actually see what's going on. So, we have issues with China, and we need to be dealing with them directly."

On Mitt Romney criticizing his tax cut for the middle class: "He's just got it dead wrong. I mean, Mitt Romney would give America four more years of George Bush. What he's going to do is continue George Bush's war on working middle-class Americans. ... What I have proposed is that we restructure, have real tax reform, so that the highest-income Americans, the people who have been most fortunate in this country, are paying their fair share of taxes, and that we actually have very specific tax cuts to help people to save, to help people send their kids to college, to help families with their child care costs, all aimed at strengthening and growing the middle class." More, on Romney: "He thinks the tax system is working fine and that we need to create more help for the richest people in the country. I don't. I think that working middle-class people are the people who need help."

On his union endorsements: "Every one of us, Senator Clinton, Senator Obama, myself, have been competing very hard for these union endorsements, because we all understand the same thing. ... All these unions -- it represent over two million working families in this country -- they all have clear representation in the early states. They make a huge difference in organizing in the early states. ... And, with over two million union members supporting me, I'm way ahead of anybody else right now, and I'm proud to have their help."

On reported military progress in Anbar province: "I think the bigger question, instead of just looking at isolated parts of Iraq, is, has there been -- and this should be the question for -- for Petraeus -- has there been any serious political progress? Because, without political progress, there can't be stability in Iraq. And all these other things are supposedly aimed at supporting political progress. And, at least from what I see, I don't see any sign there's been any political progress" ("Situation Room," CNN, 9/6).

The Big Hunt

Duncan Hunter was on "Lou Dobbs Tonight" to discuss securing the U.S. border:

Hunter, on whether Romney was right to go after Rudy Giuliani in NH about NYC as a sanctuary city: "Absolutely. ... As he and Giuliani were fussing with each other, they both had a lot to fuss about. And I think the commentator mentioned that he had some problems in terms of Massachusetts cities that ... hadn't been forthright in terms of helping to stem this tide."

Hunter, on Mexican truckers being allowed access to the U.S. border: "Bad news. ... I don't know if you saw my closing speech when we passed NAFTA in '94, but I gave the closing argument against it from the Republican side. And I predicted it would be disastrous for our country. This is a piece of the NAFTA deal, the so-called trucking piece. This is going to allow every truck in Mexico, if they simply sign up with one of the 100 trucking companies, to access our borders. ... And we're going to have -- you know, the drug dealers are going to have their best thugs behind these 18-wheelers moving those narcotics across. We'll have a big security problem. We have no transparency into the criminal records or driving records of the guys behind the wheels. We can't get that out of Mexico."

More: "Remember, when Bill Clinton signed this doggone thing in '94, part of the thing that he signed was that the trucking piece, which we all saw there. And they've been working for last 12 years to try to get the trucking piece into implementation. ... They finally got it. It's bad for the country" (CNN, 9/6).

September
7
September
7

Thompson's Roll Out: No Candidate Left Behind

September 7, 2007

In part two of his campaign rollout in Iowa, Fred Thompson turned what was supposed to be a speech into an impromptu town hall.

The first question of the young campaign solicited a response on the former senator's well-known pro-life stance, and another resulted in him generally decrying gov't overspending and mismanagement. A third concerned whether Thompson could promise there would be no campaign commercials during the Superbowl (Thompson: "I promise free tickets for everyone to the Superbowl").

But then came a question that required Thompson to articulate a substantial policy response – something he had not been expected to do as a candidate-in-waiting.

September
7

Thompson's Roll Out: High Expectations, Low Energy

September 7, 2007

Fred Thompson seemed a bit more like an actor than a candidate 9/6 in Des Moines.

His good ol' boy persona certainly seemed genuine enough, but his speech had the cadence of a dramatic monologue, not a rallying cry for undecided voters. There were large gaps of not-so-dramatic silence between a few of his main points. And instead of building the crowd's energy to a roar throughout the speech, he seemed to inadvertantly lull them into a patriotic stupor. The crowd still cheered at the end, but not quite as loudly as on the way in.

September
6

Quote Of The Day

September 6, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"It partly depends on the, on your definition of 'substantial.'"

-- WH CoS Josh Bolten, asked if there will be a "substantial commitment" of U.S. troops in Iraq at the beginning of '09, USA Today, 9/6

September
6
September
6

Fred's Launch: What To Expect When You're Announcing

September 6, 2007

Des Moines -- With his first official campaign event scheduled for 3pm ET on 9/6 p.m. in Des Moines, the Fred Thompson camp is working hard to create the right atmosphere to ensure that its candidate enters the race with a splash. On the second floor of the Polk County Convention Complex in downtown Des Moines, in a wide-open room with the capacity for more than three hundred people, the campaign has erected a large stage equipped with three video projectors set in a faux-limestone façade.

The clear goal is to make Thompson look as presidential as possible when he enters, stage left. The first thing supporters will see is a short video presentation that the advance team has called a biopic on his life, followed by a brief introduction by a prominent member of the local media and then a 30 to 45-min. speech that will serve as his official introduction to both IA and the entire country.

September
6

Hotline After Dark -- Debate Minus One

September 6, 2007

FNC hosted a GOP debate last night. Some analysis:

FNC's Cameron: "Romney faced some pretty tough questioning, and at times labored through his answers. But as the front-runner in New Hampshire, he came in expecting to have a target on his back and to take some shots."

More Cameron: "Rudy Giuliani, the national front-runner, was faced with some equally tough questions. And in comparison to some of his past outings, already we are beginning to hear that he seemed to have done a better job" ("Hannity & Colmes," 9/5).

CNN's Crowley, asked if any of the' 08ers did well enough to get a bounce out of the debate: "I doubt it. ... This is the fifth debate that they've had on the Republican side. And you have to sort of look at these as part of the process. That is each debate comes, it sort of adds a little more to the impressions of these candidates. This is the first one of the fall, as they billed it. It does matter here in New Hampshire. I'm sure it had some high visibility here. So insofar as New Hampshire is concerned, perhaps it changed some minds or made up some minds. But the fact of the matter is there are many more debates to go ... and this is a process more than a single event that actually makes a big difference" ("AC 360," 9/5).

Rudy Giuliani was on "Hannity & Colmes" after the debate:

On being criticized about illegal immigration: "New York City reported every single person who was suspected of a crime, every single person who was convicted of a crime. Our problem was the immigration service would not deport any of them. ... And the reality is, I had to deal with a situation of very high crime. You remember when I came in to office. We were the crime capital of America. And I think the answer to how I dealt with it is a lot better than just about anybody else. Because I took crime from being a major problem in New York City to making New York City safer than most even some small cities in the country. And so I must have dealt with the issue of illegal immigration in a pretty intelligent way to accomplish that" (FNC, 9/5).

Mitt Romney was on "Hannity & Colmes" after the debate:

Asked if they were too rough on him: "No, I thought it was fun. This was a great night. What I liked about tonight, is we finally got to the distinction on a number of key issues. Immigration being one. Mayor Giuliani thinks that immigration is about crime. And of course we're concerned about illegal immigrants who are criminals but that is not the issue. The issue is jobs and the rule of law in this country. And 12 million illegal immigrants. He said they were welcome if they were undocumented in New York. That is something which is going to stand out" (FNC, 9/5).

John McCain was on "Hannity & Colmes" after the debate:

On Iraq: "Well, the surge is working. Those who keep track and are in constant communication with the men and women serving and fighting over there, know it is working. There is not anything apparent about it. It is working. We are succeeding. We have to stick with it" (FNC, 9/5).

He was also on "Fox & Friends" this a.m.: Cindy McCain joined him. Cindy McCain, asked how much her husband spends on haircuts: "My husband gets a haircut from the Senate barbershop from the same man who has been cutting his hair forever for, what, $8 bucks? He doesn't spend money on haircuts."

McCain: "I'm sure it's tax payer subsidized" (FNC, 9/6).

Mike Huckabee was on "Hannity & Colmes" after the debate:

Huckabee: "I do not think we have yet captured a lot of the issues we need to talk about. We had five debates now. Not one education question. Americans are concerned about education. They're concerned about jobs. They're concerned about health care."

Asked if the war isn't a big issue: "It's a big issue, but you know, we're debating an hour and a half, and I think if you look at it, there's really one candidate of all of us who is substantially different than the rest of us. That's Congressman Paul. So we can kind of clear that air and maybe give 20 minutes to it, and then we need to be talking about if you're president of the United States, what are you going to do to keep all of our jobs from going to China? What are you going to do to change our tax system and give us a tax code that we can live with?" (FNC, 9/5).

TAKING THE ARNOLD ROUTE

Fred Thompson officially announced his run on the "Tonight Show" last night:

Jay Leno: "You said then you were testing the water. You've been in the water for a while now. Are you starting to get a little wrinkly?"

Thompson: "These wrinkles don't come from the water." More: "It hasn't been that long really. We've done it a few months, where a lot of people have been working on it since they were in the choir in high school. So we're where we need to be right now, and that's one of the things I wanted to talk to you about. I'm running for president of the United States."

Asked if he waited too long: "No, I don't think so. Of course, we'll find out, but I don't think people are going to say, you know, 'that guy would make a very good president, but he just didn't get in soon enough.' ... Most people don't start paying attention to these elections until they get a little closer. They treat politicians kind of like the dentist -- they don't have anything to do with them until they have to, until the election is near."

Asked his toughest opponent: "I don't know. I know them all to a certain extent. John McCain and I sit side by side on the Senate floor. He's a good friend and will be after this is over with unless, of course, he beats me." More: "They're all formidable, but I think I will be, too. So the nation is not going to be hurt by having one more good person step into the race."

Asked if he likes to campaign: "I like the part where you get out with the people. ... That's kind of been my history, you know, the red pick-up truck and all, you know, more than just symbolism. First of all, it got me away from the staff. They couldn't ride along in the truck. It also got me out with the people."

On not being in tonight's debate: "Well, we'll have an opportunity to debate a lot." More: "I don't think much of them." He continues: "I would do it in small groups preferably one-on-one and set aside a segment of time -- Newt Gingrich has a good idea. He talks about the Lincoln-Douglas debates. ... I'll do my share, but I don't think it's a very enlightening forum to tell you truth. And I'll tell you something else. For those who talk about that New Hampshire situation, I'm certainly not disrespecting them, but it's a lot more difficult to get on the 'Tonight Show' than it is to get into a presidential debate."

Leno: "Exactly." More Leno: "So you're off to Iowa tonight?"

Thompson: "Off to Iowa."

Leno: "It starts right now."

Thompson: "It starts right now" (NBC, 9/5).

PUNDITS ARE EXCITED ABOUT CRAIG

And there was still plenty of talk on Sen. Larry Craig (R-ID):

CNN's Johns: "To somehow survive this, Senator Craig has to clear at least three massive hurdles, the first, successfully overcoming the guilty plea he voluntarily agreed to. ... Then he gets to hurdle number two, the ethics process. ... But, even if he gets past that second hurdle, his final hurdle is more like a brick wall. It's national politics. A lot of Republicans simply want him gone" ("AC 360," 9/5).

Washington Post's Kornblut: "There's nothing they can do except try and humiliate him and shame him out of the job. That obviously hasn't worked so far. What I'm waiting to see is what the zoo is going to be like when he sets foot back on the Hill. It's bad enough and he's not even there. When he gets there, he's surrounded by his colleagues, there are going to be mobs of reporters asking questions about this. This is going to be a nightmare for them like they've never envisioned" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 9/5).

Newsweek's Fineman: "My understanding is behind closed doors Specter was quiet today having caused a lot of heartache for the leadership the other day. I think Senator Specter initially didn't like the idea that Mitch McConnell, who he's fought with over the last few years, was responding to the right wing of the party, their presumed fears and anger, by railroading Craig out" ("Countdown," MSNBC, 9/5).

Fortune's Easton: "He is determined, again, to prove the point that goes to the core of his being, that he is not gay. That is really at the end of the day what this is all about" ("Special Report," FNC, 9/5).

WH CoS Joshua Bolten: "The president called Senator Craig right after he made his announcement of his intent to resign a few days ago and called to wish him well, to compliment him on a career of distinguished public service, and to tell him that he knew that his decision to resign had been very difficult, but that he was confident that he had arrived at the right decision for himself and for Idaho, for the people of Idaho. And I think Senator Craig is going to conclude that that remains the right decision" ("NewsHour," PBS, 9/5).

BILL'S BOOK TOUR CONTINUES

Ex-Pres. Clinton was on "LKL" last night:

Asked if he's getting any "sense of satisfaction" out of Craig's troubles since Craig was a critic during impeachment: "No. Because when it was going on, I knew that, you know, a lot of them were outed for hypocrisy long before this. And ... every serious student of the Constitution knew that the whole thing was bogus and that they were just jumping on a terrible personal mistake I made. ... We all find it easy to judge somebody. You can always say, well, I may not be the best person in the world, but at least I never did that, you know, or the other thing, whatever it is. And I promised myself that I would never do that again. And I'm trying to keep that promise. And so I honestly didn't feel any great joy. I don't like to see a person suffering from a self-inflicted wound that comes the inability to resolve some conflict in his or her life. I mean, that is something everybody has to deal with. And to see it played out in public is painful to me. I didn't enjoy it at all."

Asked if his personal and political history will hurt HRC: "I don't know. First of all, I want people to judge her mostly on her own merits. ... And I hope I can help her. I think that the people that like me will be more open to her." More: "People that don't like me probably wouldn't have voted for her anyway" (CNN, 9/6). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
5

Quote Of The Day

September 5, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"He's legally entitled to the rest of his term."

-- Bill Clinton on Sen. Larry Craig (R-ID), "Today," NBC, 9/5

September
5

Hotline After Dark -- Someone Forgot To Call No Take Backs

September 5, 2007

The late-breaking news that Sen. Larry Craig (R-ID) may change his mind about resigning sent the cable nets into a tail spin:

FNC's Garrett: "Craig's Republican colleagues do not want to see this revisited. This is not a welcome development. If he fights this, he will fight an uphill battle in the courts, and he will fight absolutely alone as a political actor" ("On the Record," 9/4).

CNN's Crowley: "This is not going over well with Republicans. Part of it appears to have been pushed forward by Senator Arlen Specter" ("AC 360," 9/4).

FNC's Van Susteren: "In most states, if you are a first offender misdemeanor person, oftentimes, if you have good behavior for a period of time, your record is expunged. So who knows what Minnesota law is, but it could certainly make it easier" ("On the Record," 9/4).

NBC's Viqueira: "Politically, this is just about the worst thing that Republican leaders could possibly have expected for this to come out of nowhere out of Boise tonight. They thought they had driven a stake through the heart of this" ("Live with Dan Abrams," MSNBC, 9/4).

CNN's Johns: "A lot of Democrats would love to see Senator Craig stick around for a while" ("AC 360," 9/4).

MSNBC's Abrams: "I think he's testing the waters, one final chance, see if anyone comes to his support and see if he can survive this thing" ("Live with Dan Abrams," 9/4).

WashingtonPost.com's Cillizza: "That is not going to be met with a lot of smiles, I don't think, in the Republican leadership, who were, frankly, glad to see him go." More: "Every person who is running for president and every member of the Republican leadership is going to get asked 1,000 times between now and when Larry Craig makes this clear, what should Senator Craig do. Is it right for him to rethink resigning. It's just a problem the Republicans frankly don't want to have right now" ("Countdown," MSNBC, 9/4).

Pat Buchanan: "My guess is his family said, If you didn't do this, why are you resigning? Why didn't you fight this thing?" ("Live with Dan Abrams," MSNBC, 9/4).

Blogger Mike Rodgers was on "Hannity & Colmes" to talk about Craig's reconsideration:

Rodgers: "Larry Craig is a hypocrite. ... He is putting the people through Idaho, despite having no support on his own party, and having lost his seats on the committees, he is putting his own state of Idaho through a wrenching progress and I think that's very unfortunate."

On his outing politicians: "There is no glee. It's a very sad situation. In fact, I have found it's such a sad situation that the mainstream media chooses to ignore it."

Asked if Craig should resign or if the ID voters should decide: "I think that's really up to the voters of Idaho but I also think to look at the party and the party has hung him out to dry." More: "I have no problem if Larry Craig wants to hang around the Senate and he wants to defend himself. What I would want to know is why did he plead guilty? Why wouldn't he be forthright with the people of Idaho and why wasn't he forthright with his family?"

Rodgers: "And I would call on the Republican Party to not only hold Larry Craig accountable but to hold David Vitter" (FNC, 9/4).

BUT SHE DIDN'T DANCE!

Hillary Clinton was on "Ellen" 9/4:

At the beginning of the show she gave host Ellen DeGeneres some gifts. HRC: "Well, I figured that I needed to bring you a campaign survival kit. ... Since I'm going to be competing with you. ... You know, I think there's a lot in here that I could you know maybe help you avoid some of the mistakes I've made. ... Let's start with this, which is running for president for dummies. I read it. It's very helpful."

HRC, giving DeGeneres hair products: "They'll be a lot of days when you have to do your own hair ... and you can always tell when I had to."

Asked why she favors civil unions and not gay marriage: "I am very much in favor of civil unions with full equality of benefits and I want to see that developed as we move forward. I want to see that happen with federal benefits. There are a lot of federal benefits that people in long term committed don't have access to and I want to make that happen. ... Then we have a lot of other work to do. I am very much in favor of ending don't ask, don't tell. I don't think it's worked. ... I want to end discrimination against gays and lesbians."

Asked if someone could run for POTUS as a supporter for gay marriage: "I don't know. I've had the same positions for years so I don't know what somebody could do or couldn't do. But I always believed marriage should be left to the states because that's where it's been."

Asked if she's the nominee if she'd have Obama as her running mate: "I'm sort of superstitious so I don't talk about what I might do because it's not there yet and I haven't got it done and I don't want to be presumptuous. But I have such great admiration for him and all the people I'm running against. This is such a great field. You don't have to be against anybody. You can just be for whoever you feel will be the best president and that's what I'm hoping people will feel about me."

Asked the biggest misperception about her: "I guess that I'm some sort of creature from an alien world I suppose. I think when people get to know me, when they get to see me, when they get to make their own judgement, they may not still vote for me or even like me but at least I feel better."

DeGeneres: "I don't think you're a creature from another planet."

The segment ended with the two of them going to a coffee shop to talk to voters. One asked HRC if Bill helps around the house while she is campaigning. HRC: "He actually does some things, but we have help. ... I'll come home late at night, and he'll be rearranging the bookshelves or cleaning up the kitchen, so he's pretty handy to have around."

DeGeneres: "That's a sign of boredom when he's rearranging the bookshelves. That's not helping you."

HRC: "He claims he's thinking" (NBC, 9/4).

DEAR JOHN

ABC's Moran was in IA for "Nightline" and he spoke to John Edwards:

Asked if he has to win IA or he's out, Edwards: "I don't think that's true. ... I'm competing with everything I've got here but so is Sen. Clinton. So is Sen. Obama."

More: "I think in the states where the election will be decided ... I am the strongest candidate."

Asked if it's because he's a white male: "I just think it's the nature of the race, because of way I grew up -- I grew up in a family where my father worked in a mill, I grew up in the rural South, I can compete in the places where we have to be successful. ... It's certainly not about race or gender" (ABC, 9/4). [EMILY GOODIN]

September
5
September
5

Singing A Tsongas In MA-05

September 5, 2007

The season of wacky special elections continued on 9/4, when MA-05 prohibitive frontrunner Niki Tsongas (D) held off the largely self-funded ex-Lowell Mayor Eileen Donoghue (D) to win the Dem nomination. Tsongas will square off against ret. Air Force Lt. Col. James Ogonowski (R), who handly defeated '06 cand Tom Tierney (R), in the general. The results, with 100% of the precincts reporting:

Dem Primary

N. Tsongas 19,811 36%

E. Donoghue 17,373 31%

J. Eldridge 8,041 14%

B. Finegold 6,996 13%

J. Miceli 3,296 6%

GOP Primary

J. Ogonowski 11,642 89%

T. Tierney 1,436 11%

September
4

Quote Of The Day

September 4, 2007

From today's Hotline:

"Iowa, for good reason, for constitutional reasons, for reasons related to the Lord should be the first."

-- Bill Richardson, Des Moines Register, 9/4

September
4
September
4

Sunday Snapshot

September 4, 2007

Talk of Sen. Larry Craig's (R-ID)'s resignation led the Sunday shows this weekend:

Sen. John Ensign (R-NV), on Craig's resignation: "That's one of the things I'm proudest about our leadership is the swift action, not only calling for an immediate Senate investigation, ethics investigation, removing him from his committees, but also sending the signal to him that it was probably best that he resign. It was best for himself, best for his family, and best for the institution of the Senate."

On the difference between Craig and Vitter: "What David Vitter was before he got into the United States Senate. ... The Senate Ethics Committee would have no jurisdiction over him. But secondly, you remember, Barney Frank, in the House of Representatives, admitted to soliciting sex with a male prostitute, and he was not removed from the House of Representatives. ... Larry Craig admitted guilt. That is a big difference between being accused of something and actually admitting guilt to actually committing a crime. David Vitter never did that. Larry Craig did" ("This Week," ABC, 9/2).

Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY), asked if there is a double standard when it comes to Craig and Vitter: "Well, I'm not sure. I mean, it is true that the facts are different in that Larry Craig did plead guilty to a crime. ... There was no ethics reform in the Congress when the Republicans controlled it. We got into office, and we've passed major ethics reforms to deal with earmarks, to deal with campaign finance reform and bundling, and to deal with the lobbying. And so I think what the American people are looking for is not a blame game -- 'Is this party worse than the other?' -- but rather, who is trying to clean it up. And I think the record is clear. We're the ones trying to clean it up" ("This Week," ABC, 9/2).

Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT), asked about Craig's resignation: "What is interesting and I think is going to cause some fallout, and maybe there's more to come -- we have another senator who apparently used telephones in the Republican cloak room to call the so-called Washington madam, set up illegal activity with call girls, and nobody seems to be upset with that. Frankly, I would think that that, as compared to a sting operation in a men's room in Minnesota, would be as serious. I mean, that's a question that the Republican Party will have to answer."

Asked if he's saying Vitter should resign: "I say there's a double standard. Secondly, I don't think they'll ask him to resign because, of course, he'd be replaced by a Democrat. It's easier to ask Larry Craig to resign because he'd be replaced by a Republican" ("Fox News Sunday," 9/2).

Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA): "I don't think either of them should have been asked to resign. I'd still like to see Senator Craig fight this case. He left himself some daylight ... when he said that he intends to resign in 30 days. I'd like to see Larry Craig go back to court, seek to withdraw his guilty plea and fight the case. I've had some experience in these kinds of matters since my days as Philadelphia district attorney, and on the evidence, Senator Craig wouldn't be convicted of anything. And he's got his life on the line and 27 years in the House and Senate, and I'd like to see him fight the case, because I think he could be vindicated" ("Fox News Sunday," 9/2).

WH Counselor Ed Gillespie, on the difference between Craig and Vitter: Craig "was convicted of a crime, and that is different. Senator Vitter has not been charged with a crime or let alone convicted of one. So there's a pretty big distinction here" ("Fox News Sunday," 9/2).

MAKING WAVES

Joe Biden was on "Face the Nation" this weekend:

On Iraq: "The purpose of this surge was to give breathing room to acquire some political reconciliation. There is no political reconciliation. And the total number of Iraqi civilian deaths are up around Iraq, not down. The number of people fleeing their homes has gone from 50,000 a month to 100,000 a month since the surge. It is true things are better where our military is physically sitting. But it's like putting your fist in the water. ... The minute you take the fist out of the water, you can't even tell it was ever there. That's why there's a need for a political settlement. It doesn't matter how many troops we put there. Unless you have a political settlement, when we leave we're going to leave chaos behind. And you'll find you have a regional war."

On who the next AG should be: "I know what the next attorney general should be. He should be able to tell the truth. He should be somebody who knows the difference between torture and what's not torture. He should be able to advise the president on the Constitution and not continue to tell him he could eavesdrop on Americans in violation of the Constitution. He should be somebody who is wise enough to tell the president, close down Guantanamo Bay. It's a violation of everything we stand for. I think you need somebody in the mold of Levi. Remember Attorney General Levi, when we had a similar crisis back 25 years ago? I don't know whether they can find such a person. But it's more important that the person understand the Constitution and have the guts to tell the president what the truth is."

Asked about DHS Sec. Michael Chertoff as AG: "I would oppose him."

Asked if he's spoken to the WH about the next AG: "I have been asked. And I've given a profile, not an individual. ... It's not for me to tell the president who he should pick. But I do think some of the names I've heard floated would not fit the bill of telling the president what he is engaged in, in the wiretappings engagement is unconstitutional, tell him the truth about we should abide by our international treaties, et cetera. So I think it's more what the position on these big issues is of the person being nominated, as opposed to whether or not the president likes him" (CBS, 9/2).

NO FOOT IN MOUTH HERE

Mike Huckabee was on "This Week":

On Thompson: "I think that's one of the reasons that maybe he's delayed. He's looked at the fact that if he's looking for a consistent conservative, that would be Mike Huckabee. I've been a governor ten and a half years and governed conservatively, but also governed with results. And what people in this country are looking for is not just a conservative or even a liberal. What they're looking for is someone who's effective, who can get the job done."

More: "I'd rather run on my record than I had on his record. My record is somebody who hasn't had a Washington zip code. I've not been a Washington lobbyist. I've not been a United States senator. But I have been a governor. I have actually run a government. And I think that's the kind of experience that in the long term is going to make the most difference when people are deciding who do they want as president making decisions, and whose background really comes from right out of the earth in which most people have to live and work."

On the Craig scandal: "Senator Craig resigned yesterday, and I think that probably is going to put an end to that. If he had stayed, I think it would have been a very, very challenging environment. You might say we would be waiting until the other shoe dropped, which would not be a good situation for the Senate, for Senator Craig or anybody else for that matter. And I think Senator Craig did us all a big favor by leaving the stage and taking this issue away from further discussion" (ABC, 9/2).

ALL AG TALK

Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT), on who the next AG should be: "I'd like to see the president be a uniter and not a divider in his choice. He's only got a little over a year left in his term. We have a Department of Justice that's in shambles. The morale is the lowest I've ever seen it under either Republican or Democratic administrations. We have some superb people there that we'd like to keep. Put somebody in who demonstrates we're not doing this from a political or ideological -- we just want the best man or woman who can run the place, restore the sense of commitment and restore the sense of integrity to the Department of Justice. I think if he were to do that, you would hear a huge sigh of relief from both Republicans and Democrats in the Senate, and such a person would have the kind of support that was not there for Mr. Gonzales because he had angered so many Republicans and Democrats."

On what he wants from the admin: "They operated under a legal document apparently approved by the attorney general that has allowed everything from signing statements to torture to warrantless wiretapping of Americans. We have to know what was in there so we can ask the next person what's going on. I'll know when we have enough information to ask the valid questions on both sides, and then we'll go forward with a confirmation hearing" ("Fox News Sunday," 9/2).

Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA), on who the next AG should be: "I think he ought to select a real professional, somebody who understands the difference between being the president's lawyer and being the chief law enforcement officer of the United States who has a duty to the American people in addition to being a cabinet officer. I think he ought to select somebody who would give him some candid, frank, forceful advice on what's constitutional. I think the president and the administration would be well served by having somebody as attorney general who occasionally would tell the president some things he doesn't like to hear."

More Specter: "I do not think there ought to be any conditions placed on the president in the exercise of his Article II constitutional powers. Congress has plenty of authority to exercise our oversight responsibilities, and Senator Leahy and I have run some very piercing, intensive, appropriate investigations. What I'd like to do is I'd like to come to terms with the president on the questioning of the White House officials and some other items. And I renew my request that the president sit down with the chairman of the House Committee, with Senator Leahy and myself, and let us work this out. Let us not get embroiled in two years of litigation on what executive privilege means until this administration is gone. There are some important questions to be answered, and Congressional oversight can do it without putting a lot of preconditions and tying up the confirmation of a new attorney general" ("Fox News Sunday," 9/2).

WH Counselor Ed Gillespie, on the next AG: "He's going to put forward a nominee who is qualified in terms of experience and intellect and who shares his views when it comes to the policies that help keep us safer as a nation in the war on terror" ("Fox News Sunday," 9/2).

ROUNDTABLE ROUNDUP

The "Late Edition" roundtable discussed Craig's resignation and Gonzales' resignation:

CNN's Henry: "I find it interesting to tie this to Karl Rove, not directly but indirectly. You know, Friday was Karl Rove's last day at the White House. And in recent months, Karl Rove has been telling me and any other reporter that they would listen that the reason why the Republicans lost in 2006 was not Iraq, but it was Republican scandals. ... I think Karl Rove maybe was overplaying scandal and underplaying Iraq as a factor in the last election, but the reason why there is so much pressure, Karl Rove is right, scandal played such a role for Republicans, and they have to clean up their act going into '08. Otherwise, it's going to be more trouble."

The "Fox News Sunday" roundtable discussed Craig's resignation and WH '08:

Fortune's Easton, on Thompson not participating in the 9/4 NH debate: "If he gets on stage and starts engaging these guys right now, right out of the box, it's risky for him, and this is a much less risky move for him to buy advertising."

The "This Week" roundtable discussed Craig's resignation and WH '08:

George Will, on the differences between Craig and Vitter: "There are triple and quadruple standards at work here. I mean, he was arrested for lewd behavior that consisting of signaling an interest in sex. That goes on in 10,000 bars every Saturday night in our country. Obviously, this is about homosexuality, and the country coming to grips with this, and particularly the Republican Party, which has done so well electorally in recent elections by being against gay rights."

The "Meet the Press" roundtable discussed Craig's resignation, WH '08, and Iraq:

GOP strategist Mary Matalin: "If you're a liberal and you cheat on your wife, it's a private affair. If you're a conservative and you cheat on your wife, you're a hypocrite."

GOP strategist Mike Murphy: "I think Craig is an unsympathetic figure. But there has been this case of bloggers on the far left trying to expose closeted politicians if they don't fall completely into lockstep with a certain liberal gay agenda. And I think that's unfair. It's a form of McCarthyism, really."

Dem strategist James Carville: "One of the reasons that Democrats have been reluctant to put this out front because we are smart enough to know that our party also consists of human beings. And, you know, when you have human beings, you're going to have this kind of behavior, be they Republican or Democrat. But what the Republicans do is they go and pontificate and all this great Americanism and how people need to lead their life and everything, and I think the American public would just love if they would shut up about that and lead the life themselves."

Matalin, on Thompson: "The main superior rationale is he'll be better in the general election. He's better than any of these guys against Hillary. He's not afraid of Hillary. He's a better politician than her, and he'll get more blue states."

Carville, on Thompson: "I've never seen a guy have so much pressure on him starting a campaign as Fred Thompson's going to have. ... The amount of attention that he's going to get over the next three or four weeks is going to be enormous, the expectations. If he does as well as everybody else, that's not going to be good enough. ... I mean, as a result of his waiting, there's a ton of pent-up demand and interest in this guy, and people are really going to be watching him."

 



Archives

Monthly Archives

Recent Posts

Recent Comments


About

Contact On Call:


Staff

Reid Wilson, Editor-in-Chief
Sean Sullivan, Editor
Julie Sobel, Deputy Editor

Contributing Editors:
Josh Kraushaar and Quinn McCord
Contributing Writers:
Steven Shepard, Dan Roem, Tim Alberta, Stephanie Palla, Sarah Mimms, Kevin Brennan, Chris Peleo-Lazar and Scott Bland



Disclaimer

On Call editors reserve the right to delete inappropriate comments. The Hotline, National Journal Group, Inc. and Atlantic Media Company are not responsible for the content of the comments that remain.