Pre-Super Tues. Poll Round-Up
In an average of the eight national polls released since Friday, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama 44-42% among Dems. HRC leads in five surveys, Obama in two and the candidates are tied in one (CBS/NYT).
HRC’s leads are Fox/OD +10, Pew +6, ABC/WP +4, Gallup +2 and USA Today/Gallup +1; Obama’s are Cook/RT +6 and CNN/ORC +3.
Among GOPers, John McCain leads Mitt Romney by an average of 44-24%, with Mike Huckabee at 17%. McCain leads Romney by between 15 and 28 percentage points in all eight surveys.
Key state polling also shows Dems neck-neck, while McCain is ahead in all but California:
In an average of five California polls – Suffolk Univ., Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby, Field Poll, ARG (R) and Mason-Dixon –released since Friday, HRC leads Obama 41-39% among Dems. Among GOPers, McCain leads Romney by an average of 35-32%, with Huckabee at 12%.
In an average of four NJ polls – Monmouth Univ./Gannett, Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby, Mason-Dixon and Quinnipiac Univ. – released since Friday, HRC leads Obama 47-40% among Dems. Among GOPers, McCain leads Romney by an average of 51-28%, with Huckabee at 6%.
In an average of three MO polls – Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby, Mason-Dixon and ARG (R) – released since Friday, Obama and HRC are tied at 44% among Dems. Among GOPers, McCain leads Huckabee by an average of 34-27%, with Romney at 26%.
(MATT GOTTLIEB)
Listen up Evangelicals, ONLY a vote for MITT ROMNEY in Republican primaries is a vote AGAINST MCCAIN, a loser that is being aggressively imposed on us by the establishment and the “mainstream” media. By casting your vote on ANY OTHER candidate you will be helping MCCAIN to win the Republican nomination.
Four cautions about Super Tuesday polls, according to Pollster.com:
1) Polls are of little use in the caucus states. Roughly 13% of the Democratic delegates chosen tomorrow are from six states and one territory that hold party caucuses. Accurate polling is difficult because past turnout has been so light.
2) National polls may be misleading. The Feb. 5 states may look different than those not holding contests tomorrow.
3) Are they sampling truly "likely voters?" Some national surveys, such as ABC/Washington Post and CBS, have reported the results of respondents who describe themselves as likely primary voters. Others, however, have reported on the views of registered voters or adults that identify as Democrats. While turnout is likely to be higher tomorrow than in 2004, the percentage of adults that vote in the Democratic primaries is still likely to be smaller than the percentage represented by most of these national surveys.
4) Uncertainty remains high. This high degree of uncertainty creates the potential for a volatility that the final tracking polls may not reveal. Many voters will likely carry their sense of indecision into the voting booth, so the news and events of the next 24 hours could prove crucial.
The trends may be correct, but the magnitudes may not.
The media is frantically trying to present McCain as the knock-out candidate before Tuesday. Anti-Romney press is everywhere, and it is obvious why. Mitt Romney is the only viable conservative option, and the DNC knows it. They also know that he has a broad-base appeal based on his non-government experience and success, and that he poses a serious threat to the unsavory Clinton factor. My only hope is that the American people will wake up and see the mass media for what it really and truly is- a lying machine.
I agree with Joe, corinne & JonS 100%. I really hope true conservatives see through the media and it's agenda to get McCain elected for the lamb to the slaughter against Obama or Clinton. We need to (once again) proove that the media is not going to make our choice for us or run our lives to it's views.
In Illinois, my local paper (biased as ever) even had the nerve to print that the Republican vote is just a, "wasted talent show vote" (or something to that nature). Absurd!
Mitt Romney is the logical and only choice for conservatives. If you don't believe me, just download the last debat McCain & Romney had and watch the whole thing. Romney had McCain bewilered and confused at points, and at a loss for facts. McCain was wrong about almost all of Romney's record.
I just ask the consevatives see the truth and do not watse their vote. Romney has mine and I hope has your too.