Liberty Hill
A new Quinnipiac Univ. poll of PA Dem LVs out this a.m. shows Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama 53%-41% -- double the 6% lead Clinton had in the last poll, completed 2/25.
Since the last survey, Clinton's lead among women jumped 10%, to 24%, while Obama's lead among men narrowed to 3%. Clinton also gained by 9% among white voters, while Obama gained by 12% among black voters; Clinton now leads among whites by 28%, while Obama leads among blacks by 58%.
More significantly, Clinton doubled her lead among voters over age 45, to 26%. She also increased her lead by 7% among white men, to 10%, and by 7% among voters without a college degree, to 20%.
And what about that dream ticket? Well, more than two in five Dems, 43%, are not interested in seeing Clinton and Obama run on the same ticket; among Clinton primary voters this figure falls to 38%, while more than half of Obama voters, 52%, don't want a joint ticket. Nearly a third of all voters, 32%, said they would like to see a Clinton-Obama ticket, and just 18% preferred an Obama-Clinton ticket.
Favorability ratings point to the continuing racial rift within the party. Clinton has a Fav/Unfav of 71%/23% among all voters, 74%/21% among whites and 56%/30% among blacks. Conversely, Obama has a rating of 61%/19% among all voters, 57%/22% among whites and 80%/5% among blacks.
What's more, 17% of Clinton supporters said they supported Obama at one point, while 28% of Obama supporters said they supported Clinton at one point. This number is highest among blacks supporting Obama -- 36% of these voters supported Clinton at some point during the campaign.
The poll, conducted 3/10-16, has a sample size of 1,304 and margin of error +/- 3%.
(Hotline's MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)