Tuesday, May 22, 2012

May 2008

May
31

Clinton Campaign Statement

May 31, 2008 | 7:36 PM

Harold Ickes and Tina Flournoy made the following statement this evening:

Today’s results are a victory for the people of Florida who will have a voice in selecting our Party’s nominee and will see its delegates seated at our party’s convention. The decision by the Rules and Bylaws Committee honors the votes that were cast by the people of Florida and allocates the delegates accordingly.

We strongly object to the Committee’s decision to undercut its own rules in seating Michigan’s delegates without reflecting the votes of the people of Michigan.

The Committee awarded to Senator Obama not only the delegates won by Uncommitted, but four of the delegates won by Senator Clinton. This decision violates the bedrock principles of our democracy and our Party.

We reserve the right to challenge this decision before the Credentials Committee and appeal for a fair allocation of Michigan’s delegates that actually reflect the votes as they were cast.

May
31

The MI Vote

May 31, 2008 | 7:07 PM

19 in favor, 8 opposed and no abstentions. Full delegation seated with half a vote.

Applause for the committee co-chairs.

Ten hours. Two agreements reached. But a rowdy crowd. Angry protesters. And a Harold Ickes threat to push on to the Credentials Committee ...

May
31

The Gauntlet

May 31, 2008 | 6:57 PM

Ickes: "Mrs. Clinton has instructed me to reserve her rights to take this to the Credentials Committee."

May
31

Ickes On MI Proposal: "Gall And Chutzpah"

May 31, 2008 | 6:49 PM

Here it is: Hillary Clinton 69 votes, casting 34.5 votes; Barack Obama 59 votes, casting 29.5 votes.

Don Fowler: Says it's not his first choice. But the proposal is the result of extensive negotiations and discussions and is in "the best interest of electing a Democrat in November."

"Harold, this is my position, I respect and love you, but this is what I think we should do, Madame Chair," Fowler adds.

Ickes: "I rise in opposition, but I'll sit. ... We find it inexplicable that this body that is supposedly devoted to rules is going to fly in the face of, other than our affirmative action rules, the single most fundamental rule in the delegate selection process, that is fair reflection."

More: "I am stunned that we have the gall and the chutzpah to substitute our judgment for 600,000 voters."

Accuses the RBC of "hijacking four delegates" from Clinton -- It's "not a good way to start down the path of party unity," Ickes adds.

(JS)

May
31

Motion: 50% For FL

May 31, 2008 | 6:41 PM

Despite seeing her earlier motion go down, Alice Huffman supports the new one. And she firmly beats back boos and shouts from opponents in the audience:

"We cannot leave here and not do something for relief for Florida. The world is not perfect but it's good. And when you can come here and leave with unity, it's what this party needs is unity. And you're about to see the best of this party in action. ... When we get this vote, we will leave here more united than we came. This is not about each other's campaigns."

Harold Ickes echoes Huffman's remarks, saying he's disappointed but will vote aye.

Applause fill the room as the vote is counted. Unanimous.

RBC co-chairman Alexis Herman: "We certainly are delighted with this outcome."

May
31

Fails

May 31, 2008 | 6:39 PM

15 against
12 for
1 member doesn't vote

Lots of booing. Some in audience chant "Denver, Denver" as the motion goes down.

May
31

Ickes Dittos Fournoy's Comments

May 31, 2008 | 6:29 PM

But is brief about it.

May
31

They're Back: Huffman Motions To Seat Full FL Delegation

May 31, 2008 | 6:27 PM

Tina Flournoy supports the motion but notes: "It has no chance of passing this body. That saddens me. It does."

May
31

Obama Resigns Church Membership

May 31, 2008 | 6:02 PM

ABERDEEN, SD – Barack Obama resigned his membership at Chicago’s Trinity United Church of Christ, campaign Comm Dir. Robert Gibbs today confirmed.

The resignation came just over a month after Obama denounced his former pastor and friend the Rev. Jeremiah Wright after the pastor made a series of controversial comments seen as unpatriotic and divisive and just days after new that another long-time Obama associate, the Rev. Michael Pfleger had delivered a sermon ridiculing Hillary Clinton from the church’s pulpit. Both men's comments were captured on video.

(NBC/NJ's ATHENA JONES)

May
31

Mental Health Break

May 31, 2008 | 5:19 PM

My favorite moment from last night's Scripps National Spelling Bee finals comes courtesy of the winner, Sameer Mishra, 13, of West Lafayette, Ind:

May
31

Very Long Lunch

May 31, 2008 | 5:03 PM

They were due back at 4 p.m. ... We're still waiting.

May
31

They're Talking About Their Mamas

May 31, 2008 | 2:50 PM

Former Gov. Jim Blanchard of MI might regret mentioning that his mother's 98th birthday coincides with the RBC meeting.

"My mama always taught me to play by the rules," committee member Donna Brazile told Blanchard. "When you try to change the rules in the middle, in the end of the game, that’s called cheating."

(JS)

May
31

Razzmatazz

May 31, 2008 | 2:14 PM

RBC member Sharon Stroschein (SD) noted that she's probably the only member of the panel whose state has yet to vote. But Stroschein said SD has seen all the primary-process "razzmatazz" -- the candidate visits and more -- that the early states experienced.

"If you had it to do over again," she asked former MI Gov. Jim Blanchard, a Hillary Clinton supporter, "would we be going through this?"

In other words, was messing with the calendar worth the fuss?

"As far as Michigan going early, I tend to agree with Carl Levin," Blanchard said, referencing remarks Levin made earlier in the proceedings..

(JS)

May
31

Bonior, Booed

May 31, 2008 | 1:54 PM

HUNGRY IN THE FOURTH ROW BALCONY -- Former MI Rep. David Bonior, a Barack Obama backer, was booed and hissed today when he called for the RBC to split the state's delegates between the presidential candidates.

"We cannot stand on ceremony and focus on anything other than amicable resolution for Michigan Democrats," Bonior said. "Let us concern ourselves with party unity."

(By the by, I should've kept a tally of the number of times speakers have used the words "not normal" and "fair reflection" and "flawed primary" in talking about MI.)

And this from Bonior -- Obama will campaign in MI again on Monday. Recall that John Edwards, whom Bonior previously supported, endorsed the IL Sen in Grand Rapids earlier this month.

(JS)

May
31

Ickes Unplugged

May 31, 2008 | 1:36 PM

WASHINGTON -- Harold Ickes also dubbed the Michigan proposal one of "enormous violence." He cited the inaccuracy of exit polls and noted that the principle of "fair reflection" should guarantee that delegate allocation reflect the actual vote tally.

Under the MI proposal, the state shifts four delegates to Barack Obama without justification, Ickes said.

"Hell, why not take 10 of them, take 20 of them," Ickes said. "Just keep on going. I am right where you are on the full delegation, and I am right where you are on full votes. I'm right behind you, but, senator, I really plead when you think about fair reflection and what it means to the history of this party for this state Democratic Party to come to this group in my view, senator, in what is a matter of law ... I do not think that this committee has the jurisdiction, does not have the jurisdiction, senator, to even entertain this challenge as drafted."

Levin fired back: "You're calling for a fair reflection of a flawed primary. What we're trying to do is to keep a party together so that we can win a critical state in November. And let me tell you the precedent that we set it seems to me is a good precedent if circumstances like this ever existed again. ... It's an unusual circumstance."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
31

Ickes Disapproves

May 31, 2008 | 1:34 PM

"Sometimes a compromise to one person is not a compromise to another person."

-- HRC backer and Rules Cmte member Harold Ickes to Sen. Carl Levin

May
31

Levin: NH And IA Have A "Perpetual Privilege"

May 31, 2008 | 1:02 PM

FOURTH ROW BALCONY, MARRIOTT WARDMAN, WOODLEY PARK -- Sen. Carl Levin (D-MI) slammed the traditional lead-off role of Iowa and New Hampshire in the Democratic nominating process, telling the RBC that the early states aren't representative of the broader electorate.

"No state should have a right to go first and second every election," Levin said. "So, we fought to open up the process."

An angry Levin said NH, in particular, has "perpetual privilege that no state should have." He said the Rules Committee has given the Granite and Hawkeye states an unfair advantage in impacting the primary process and that MI officials justifiably challenged their dominance.

Levin urged the committee to seat the MI delegation in full and with full voting rights. He cautioned: "Do not inject disunity" into the state's voting process.

"It was a flawed primary folks, believe me we know it," he added.

Hillary Clinton's campaign will advocate a 73/55 delegate split, with her taking the majority over Barack Obama, Levin advised. Obama's team, meanwhile, wants an even split, 64/64.

He, however, supports the 69/59 split proposed by Brewer, who explained that the party's solution accounts for the actual vote and exit polls. It approximates a compromise between the two camps, Levin said. "It's the best we can do, folks," he said.

"The Democratic Party needs unity in the middle of this contentious battle between two strong candidates," Levin cautioned. "The people want us to strive for unity .. The Michigan Democratic Party has achieved unity. We're asking you to preserve it."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
31

Brewer: Seat Them All

May 31, 2008 | 12:31 PM

WASHINGTON -- Mark Brewer, chairman of the MI Democratic Party, urged the RBC to seat the entire 157-member MI delegation at full voting strength and to divide the state's 128 pledged delegates, 69 for Hillary Clinton and 59 for Barack Obama.

The plan, Brewer said, is overwhelmingly supported by the 80-member MI Dem Party executive committee.

"Michigan's Democratic voters have already been punished enough," he said, cautioning, that "our state is a must win state for whoever our nominee is."

On Call Reminder: Obama was not on the MI ballot.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
31

On Deck ...

May 31, 2008 | 12:30 PM

Michigan.

May
31

The Protestors Are Hugging It Out

May 31, 2008 | 12:14 PM

WASHINGTON -- If there are rules inside, there are not many out here. Impassioned speeches have been interrupted by announcements about lost Cover Girl compacts and missing tambourines.

The protest has become a love fest. Rally emcee Jehmu Greene, former head of Rock the Vote, just told eveyone to, "look next to them, into their neighbors' eyes, introduce yourselves, and give them a hug."

The crowd obliged.

By popular demand, folk singer Sandy Rapp crooned her original "Count the votes" tune:

"Count the votes; it's good to tell. The sounds of freedom, live and well."

(NORA MCALVANAH)

May
31

He's Like A Walking Magic Eight Ball

May 31, 2008 | 12:09 PM

ELK POINT, S.D. - Former President Bill Clinton said today that he thought there would be an "unusual outcome" to the Democratic primaries, citing the Democratic National Committee Rules and Bylaws Committee meeting in Washington.

"I think that we are going to have an unusual outcome," Clinton said at a front porch rally here, before describing how Florida's and Michigan's delegations to the party convention were "eviscerated" by the Democratic Party.

"And we will see what happens," he said. "And Hillary's position has always been that if everybody gets to vote, and everybody's vote is counted, she would accept the will of the Democrats and those who are legally eligible to participate in that process, that we would unify this party and do our best to win in November."

(NBC/NJ's MATTHEW BERGER)

May
31

Yin And Yang

May 31, 2008 | 11:53 AM

WASHINGTON -- Two impassioned speeches from speakers for the Dem rivals ...

FL State Sen. Arthenia L. Joyner, a Hillary Clinton backer this morning, urged the committee to count every vote and to seat delegates in accordance with Jon Ausman's petition. Joyner paraphrased the poet Maya Angelou, another HRC supporter, in reminding party leaders that FL voters turned out at the polls, 1.75M strong, despite the DNC decision to strip the state of its delegates.

"You may think you may not be heard," Joyner said, "speak anyway."

Meanwhile, Rep. Robert Wexler, who is supporting Barack Obama, told the RBC that FL's Jan. 29 vote was not "normal," that Obama didn't campaign there and many voters stayed home.

"The Obama campaign respected this Rules Committee policy," he said. But he added that he, too, backs the Ausman petition compromise, and he said Obama should be lauded for "his willingness to offer this extraordinary concession."

"We must find a way as Democrats, as members of the same political party seeking to bring change to the ways of Washington, to resolve this situation so that Florida may participate in this historic nominating process that will soon come to a close," Wexler said.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
31

Stay-At-Home Moms Revolt

May 31, 2008 | 11:39 AM

WASHINGTON -- Hundreds of protesters gathered this morning outside the Marriott Wardman in Woodley Park, carrying signs that read: "I'm not half a voter" and "Count all the votes, or I'm for McCain."

While the RBC called the meeting to order, the protesters moved to a park space on Connecticut Ave. There, they formed a circular formation around the first speaker, Rep. Stephanie Tubbs Jones, who urged the crowd to "count every vote," before she rushed back to the hotel.

The Rev. Marcia Dyson, a Hillary Clinton supporter, reminded rally attendees that, "there were five bad boys" who violated the party's primary rules -- adding NH, IA and SC, despite their traditional early roles, to FL and MI. And then, referring to the latter two states, she said, but only "two were left in detention."

Dyson intoned: "Hell to the no."

But as if to remind FL and MI that they are not alone, and in an illustration of what one protester told me was what a "convention should look like," delegations from MD, WA, DE, PA, IL, CO, and other states held up their signs.

Meanwhile, lifelong Democrat and FL mother Amy Siskind gave one of the more impassioned speeches of the morning saying: "Howard Dean, I'm not your sweetie. You have betrayed us, and you will learn the new meaning of stay-at-home moms in November."

(NORA MCALVANAH)

May
31

Out Of The Frying Pan, Into The Fire

May 31, 2008 | 10:36 AM

Barack Obama will hold a rally Tuesday evening -- as the Democratic Party's primaries and caucuses wrap -- at the site of the 2008 Republican Convention, the Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, MN.

May
31

Ausman Speaks For FL

May 31, 2008 | 10:25 AM

WASHINGTON -- As Jon Ausman, a FL DNC committeeman, began his remarks a few moments ago, he noted that Sen. Bill Nelson and his wife, Grace, are in attendance, as are former Sen. Bob Graham and his wife, Adele.

"I want this to be a healing process that unifies us that brings us together. ... that results in collegial bargaining," Ausman said. Ultimately, he said, he wants all Democrats to wear "blue jerseys" in November.

Ausman said FL officials are asking that 185 pledged delegates are subject to the 50% rule. He said the party is not asking for the full delegation to be seated.

"We recognize, in fact, that Florida has violated that timing rule," he said, acknowledging that FL moved its primary ahead of the party's Feb 5 restriction. The party's punishment, he added, is therefore "appropriate."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
31

Correction

May 31, 2008 | 10:23 AM

Jaime Gonzalez, Jr., of TX is also absent today. He gave his proxy to DC's Tina Flournoy.

May
31

Dean: This Race Is About America's Future, Not The Candidates

May 31, 2008 | 9:58 AM

WASHINGTON -- DNC Chairman Howard Dean, the 2004 presidential candidate who saw his campaign stall after a disappointing Iowa caucuses defeat, told a personal story this morning to the RBC -- and the nation -- to punctuate his call for party unity moving forward.

After his White House bid fizzled, Dean received a middle-of-the-night call from Al Gore. Dean recalled ranting and raving to the former vice president, pacing his house and asking Gore repeatedly what he owed the Democratic Party after its treatment of him.

"Finally, Al said to me, 'Howard, this is not about you, it's about your country,'" Dean said. "At the time, nobody could have said that to me, even my wife, except for Al Gore."

Dean noted that Gore, after all, had seen the presidency "snatched" from him by "five intellectually bankrupt Supreme Court justices."

"This is not about Barack Obama, this is not about Hillary Clinton," Dean said of the 2008 fight. "This is about our country. This is about restoring America to its greatness."

The Democratic primary process has included "ugly moments," Dean said, including "blantant sexist comments" and "blatantly racist remarks" from the media.

"Those comments have no place in our society and certainly no place in our party," Dean said to applause.

Dean also urged the committee, as it revisits its decision to strip MI and FL of its delegates, to remember the 48 states that did not violate the rules.

"The person that we nominate will become the next president of the United States in January," Dean assured his party faithful this morning. "This has been a very long and hard-fought race. Throughout the course of this campaign, these two candidates have helped transform our party. They have proved that when we show up everywhere and talk about our values, Democrats can win everywhere."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
31

Game Day

May 31, 2008 | 9:34 AM

WASHINGTON -- Hundreds of protestors, mostly women, descended on the Marriott Wardman in Woodley Park this morning for a meeting of the Democratic National Committee's Rules and Bylaws Committee. The group's decision could effectively spell the end of the road for Hillary Rodham Clinton's campaign.

Outside, protestors are holding signs urging that that the will of voters from FL and MI is fully represented at the party's convention in Denver. Clinton's camp needs the full delegations seated, in large measure to bolster her argument to the remaining uncommitted superdelegates that she's won the popular vote across the states' primaries and caucuses. General consensus, though, is that's unlikely to happen -- a 50% ruling is more likely.

Committee members are seated at a U-shaped table in a medium-sized ballroom, while reporters are watching the proceedings from a balcony. The meeting is being broadcast live on C-SPAN, MSNBC and CNN.

"This is probably the largest Rules and Bylaws Committee meeting we've ever had," said Alexis M. Herman, the committee's co-chair said at the meeting's outset. "Usually, we're applauding if our members are in full force."

Jim Roosevelt, Jr., Herman's co-chair, took roll. Only IA's Sarah Swisher, whose daughter is getting married today, was absent; she gave her proxy to NH's Martha Fuller Clark.

"We definitely have a quorum," Roosevelt assured the group. "... I know we are all committed and ready to work to take back the White House in November."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
31

The Ears Have It

May 31, 2008 | 7:22 AM

KEYSTONE, SD, May 30 -- Barack Obama joked with reporters on a late-night visit to Mount Rushmore Friday that his most prominent feature could prevent his addition to the national monument.

The senator decided to make the trip upon hearing that the traveling press was heading to the park after landing in nearby Rapid City. He spent about 15 minutes on the lookout platform chatting with Wesley Jensen, a ranger with the U.S. Department of the Interior.

When asked if he would like to see himself on the monument someday with Presidents George Washington, Teddy Roosevelt, Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln, he joked: "I don't think my ears would fit. There's only so much rock up there."

It was his first trip to the national landmark, which was completed in 1941 and dramatized in the classic 1959 Alfred Hitchcock film "North by Northwest."

"There's something about seeing it at night that's spectacular," he said.

Obama was making his second campaign trip to the June 3rd state, which along with Montana is the last to vote in the primary season.

Hillary Clinton visited the monument earlier this week.

(NBC/NJ's ATHENA JONES)

May
30

Light Posts This Afternoon BUT ...

May 30, 2008 | 5:36 PM

Live blogging the RBC tomorrow. Protests and more. So ... check in early and often.

May
30

Clinton's Plea To The RBC

May 30, 2008 | 2:34 PM

From her campaign lawyers, and available after the jump.

May
30

Weekend Lineup

May 30, 2008 | 12:46 PM

Here are the scheduled guests for the Sunday public affairs shows and other weekend programs:

SUNDAY:

Meet the Press hosts ex-WH press sec. Scott McClellan.

Face the Nation hosts Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) and PA Gov. Ed Rendell (D).

This Week hosts McClellan and Clinton chair Terry McAuliffe, and a roundtable with Dem strategist Donna Brazile, New York Times' David Brooks, Vanity Fair's Todd Purdum and George Will.

Fox News Sunday hosts Clinton comm. dir. Howard Wolfson and Obama surrogate/ex-Rep. David Bonior (D-MI). The "Power Player" is Headfirst exec. dir. Brendan Sullivan.

Late Edition hosts Chris Dodd, Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL), Dem strategist Jamal Simmons, GOP strategist Leslie Sanchez, Dem strategist Hilary Rosen, and a roundtable with CNN's Suzanne Malveaux, CNN's Fareed Zakaria and CNN's Jeffrey Toobin.

See other weekend shows after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
30

In The Other Corner

May 30, 2008 | 11:28 AM

FL State Sen. Arthenia L. Joyner will speak tomorrow at the DNC's RBC meeting for Hillary Clinton.

May
30

Argus Leader For Clinton

May 30, 2008 | 10:51 AM

South Dakota's Argus Leader endorsed Hillary Clinton today, saying she's the "strongest Democratic candidate."

More: "Her mastery of complex policy detail is broad and deep, and her experience as a senator and former first lady matches that. Measured against her opponent, Clinton is philosophically more moderate. That is likely a good thing for South Dakota."

May
30

Consensus

May 30, 2008 | 9:53 AM

In this week's National Journal Insiders Poll, Dems and GOPers in-the-know agree that the Democratic Party will see double-digit gains in the House in November.

Republicans said on average that the Dems would win 14 seats in the House and four in the Senate. Dems believe they'll take 17 in the House and five in the Senate, reports NJ's Jim Barnes and Peter Bell.

May
30

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 30, 2008 | 9:29 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
30

Hotline After Dark -- Here We Go Again...

May 30, 2008 | 9:13 AM

Speaking at Barack Obama's Trinity United Church this past weekend, Michael Pfleger, a white Catholic priest, mocked Hillary Clinton for having cried in NH and suggested that she cried because she felt entitled to the presidency. Obama denounced Pfleger's sermon, but there was still a lot of reaction on TV last night. Some highlights:

ABC's Klein: "This is one reason that Hillary Clinton has stayed in the race as long as she has, is for the possibility of something else emerging. Now, is this the something else that turns the tide? I'm not so sure. But that's the point that she's been making all along, is that he is unvetted and he's untested and that there's things out there we don't know about" ("On the Record," FNC, 5/29).

CNN's Crowley: "I think there is some question as to whether he can be held accountable for all things that are said in that church. ... The Reverend apologized. If you remember with Jeremiah Wright, he did not apologize. ... [The Obama camp] took care of this very quickly. And there is also a more distant relationship between the two of them than with Reverend Wright and Barack Obama" ("AC 360," 5/29).

Huffington Post's Sekoff: "This entire campaign has been the worst recruiting ad for purported men of God since Jim Jones started passing out the Kool-Aid. ... Of course it's a ridiculous thing that he said. That's the last thing Obama wanted him to be saying. ... It's like high stakes poker. I'll see your Rev. Wright and raise you two of a kind Hagee and Parsley -- no, wait a minute, I've got a white guy saying something about whitey. I trumped you. It's crazy" ("Verdict," MSNBC, 5/29).

After the jump, more Obama and McClellan continues the TV rounds (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
29

The GOP Nominated Who In NY-13?

May 29, 2008 | 10:43 PM

In a surprising twist, the Staten Island GOP endorsed MTA Board Member/Weiss, Peck & Greer ex-Managing Dir. Frank Powers (R) to run for retiring Rep. Vito Fossella's (R-NY 13) seat. Powers' nomination wasn't expected at all, as his name didn't find itself on any potential candidate list that was floated in the weeks between Fossella's announcement and tonight's convo.

The endorsement, reported in the Staten Island Advance, came after one of the party's top choices for the seat, state Sen. Andrew Lanza (R), withdrew his name from consideration this p.m. Staten Island DA Daniel Donovan (R), who was favored by many in the GOP to run for the seat, pulled out last week. His announcement began an avalanche of GOPers who decided to pull the plug on potential bids, leaving the party to nominate Powers, a first time candidate.

Despite giving Pres. Bush 55% in '04, the CD gave Al Gore an 8% win in '00. So this will certainly be one of the races to watch in '08. One big question is whether Powers will self-fund (fully or partially) his bid. If so, that's a huge factor in whether he'll be successful, considering the huge expense of campaigning in the NYC media market. But if he chooses not to self fund, he should have a considerable fundraising base from his past connections in the financial services community.

Powers, assuming he doesn't face a 9/9 primary challenge, will face the winner of an expected primary between NYC Councilor Michael McMahon (D) and '06 nominee Stephen Harrison (D). The Staten Island Dems endorsed McMahon last p.m.

(TIM SAHD)

May
29

DNC Credentials Record No. Of Blogs For Denver

May 29, 2008 | 10:12 PM

The Democratic National Committee announced tonight that it has credentialed a record number of blogs for the 2008 party convention in Denver -- more than triple those sanctioned to participate in 2004. A list can be viewed here.

A few you may or may not have heard of that, well, caught our attention:

Cotton Mouth Blog

My Left Nutmeg

No Rest For The Awake

Rum, Romanism and Rebellion

Sepia Mutiny

Celtic Diva's Blue Oasis

Yes, it's a mad, mad media world. Full DNC release -- including details about the convention's "Blogger Lounge" -- available after the jump.

May
29

In This Corner

May 29, 2008 | 9:28 PM

Former Rep. David Bonior (D-MI) and Rep. Robert Wexler (D-FL) will speak for Barack Obama's campaign during the DNC's Rules and Bylaws Committee meeting Saturday in Washington ...

(JS)

May
29

Loud And Clear

May 29, 2008 | 6:02 PM

Women Count and Count Every Vote '08 announced the speaker line-up for Saturday's rally outside the Democratic National Committee's Rules and Bylaws Committee meeting in Washington:

Jehmu Greene, Former President of Rock the Vote

Rep. Kirsten Gillibrand (D- NY)

Rep. Corrine Brown (D-FL)

Rep. Stephanie Tubbs Jones (D-OH)

Rep. Eric Massa (D-NY)

Ambassador Elizabeth Bagley, former U.S. Ambassador to Portugal

Kim Gandy, president of the National Organization for Women (NOW)

Brent Wilkes, national executive director, League of United Latin American Citizens (LULAC)

Lulu Flores, president, National Women's Political Caucus

Amy Rao, founder, Integrated Archive Systems and president, 11th Hour Project

The Rev. Marcia Dyson, African-American minister

Jim Hannagan, founder, Florida Demands Representation

Expect additional participants to be announced tomorrow.

May
29

Add It Up

May 29, 2008 | 5:59 PM

Rep. Alan B. Mollohan (D-WV) endorsed Barack Obama today:

“I believe Senator Obama will bring America a new era of trust, principled leadership and positive results. He has the intelligence, capacity and values that assure me he will confront the real issues that Americans face every day - health care, pension reform, energy prices, the struggling economy, and, of course, the issue of Iraq. “

May
29

Traveling Soldier

May 29, 2008 | 4:54 PM

NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli notes that Hillary Clinton's press corps received sign-up information today for travel after the final June 3 primaries.

A tease? Or will Clinton soldier on?

May
29

Transparent

May 29, 2008 | 4:51 PM

Politico's Michael Calderone has this loaded comment from Jeff Gannon on the Scott McClellan book:

"What I hear about the book does not sound like the Scott McClellan I knew for two years. I can say, without fear of contradiction, that I knew Scott better than any other White House correspondent or Washington reporter."

May
29

Destination Tuesday

May 29, 2008 | 12:42 PM

HURON, SD – Declaring that it "really all does come down to next Tuesday," Hillary Clinton said that the enthusiasm she's seen among South Dakotans proves that she was right to fight to the bitter end of the campaign calendar.

"A lot of folks said, 'Well, you know, by the time we get to South Dakota and Montana, people are going to be tired of it,'" Clinton said, again quoting unnamed skeptics out there. "Well, I don't know what they're talking about. … I think there is an enormous amount of enthusiasm for this election here in South Dakota, and it's because you're taking our measure and you're trying to decide who you can count on to be your president."

Clinton, who said that politics "can get either silly or complicated," said this nomination "really all does come down to next Tuesday," and pointed to the fact that voters across America have ignored pundits who have called the race over.

"This is the closest election we've had in a really long time," she said. "They've been trying to tell me to stop running since January. Every time they say it, people rebuke it, and keep voting for me. That's what I hope will happen here in South Dakota."

Clinton also argued that she'd be a more formidable candidate against John McCain, who she called a "formidable candidate." For the second day in a row, also she alluded to her travels to Iraq and Afghanistan with him.

"He's a friend of mine," she said. "He is someone whose service to our country I deeply honor. … But he is offering the wrong ideas for America."

The rally here was held indoors because of rain. Only some of the crowd was able to fit into the meeting hall where she spoke, and Clinton later greeted some of the overflow outside. "We couldn't get everybody in here," she told the audience. "But I want to take credit for the rain, 'cause I know that's something that everybody is happy to see."

(NBC/NJ's MIKE MEMOLI)

May
29

She Bangs

May 29, 2008 | 12:27 PM

Hillary Clinton's campaign announced the endorsement today of singer Ricky Martin.

"These elections will have historic repercussions both in the United States and the world. Senator Clinton has always been consistent in her commitment with the needs of the Latino community. Whether fighting for better education, universal health care and social well-being, as First Lady and Senator from New York -- representing millions of Latinos --she has always fought for what is most important for our families," said the 5-time Grammy award winning artist.

May
29

Obama Releases Health Records

May 29, 2008 | 12:25 PM

DAVID L. SCHEINER, M.D.
Hyde Park Associates inMedicine, Ltd.
1515 East 52nd Place, Chicago, IL 60615

To Whom It May Concern:

I am David L. Scheiner, a board certified general internist licensed to practice in the State of Illinois. I am on staff at the University of Chicago Hospitals and Rush University Medical Center. I have been Senator Barack Obama’s primary care physician since March 23, 1987. The following is a summary of his medical records for the past 21 years.

During that period of time, Senator Obama has been in excellent health. He has been seen regularly for medical checkups and various minor problems such as upper respiratory infections, skin rashes and minor injuries.

His family history is pertinent for his mother’s death from ovarian cancer and grandfather who died of prostate cancer. His own history included intermittent cigarette smoking. He has quit this practice on several occasions and is currently using Nicorette gum with success.

Senator Obama’s last medical checkup was on January 15, 2007; he had no complaints. He exercised regularly often jogging three miles. His diet was balanced with good intake of roughage and fluids. A complete review of systems was unremarkable. On physical examination, his blood pressure was 90/60 and pulse 60/minute. His build was lean and muscular with no excess body fat. His physical examination was completely normal.

Laboratory studies included triglycerides of 44(normal under 150), cholesterol 173 (normal under 200), HDL 68 (normal over 40), and LDL 96 (normal under 130). Chem 24, urinalysis and CBC were normal, PSA was 0.6, very good. An EKG was normal.

In short, his examination showed him to be in excellent health. Senator Barack Obama is in overall good physical and mental health needed to maintain the resiliency required in the Office of President.

May
29

Scott Speaks

May 29, 2008 | 10:44 AM

May
29

OR Super D For Obama

May 29, 2008 | 10:27 AM

Gail Rasmussen is the third Democratic superdelegate in two days from OR to endorse Barack Obama, reports the AP.

May
29

"Only One"

May 29, 2008 | 10:23 AM

New Hillary Clinton ad running in MT. The spot -- called "Only One" -- notes that HRC voted against the Bush energy bill, is "taking on the insurance companies to guarantee health coverage for every American," and will end $55B in giveaways to corporate special interests.

May
29

Hotline After Dark -- Breaking Up Is Hard To Do

May 29, 2008 | 9:18 AM

Ex-WH press sec. Scott McClellan appeared on "Today" this a.m. to talk about his memoir.

McClellan, on his hope for the book: "In some small way, it might help move us beyond the destructive partisan warfare of the past 15 years."

More: "There's no one I'm harder on in the book, I don't think, than myself."

Asked if he will ever talk to Pres. Bush again: "I don't know. I certainly don't expect that any time soon."

On the criticism: "There's that country western song that says, 'You find out who your friends are.' And I guess, maybe, I'm finding that out" (NBC, 5/29).

See today's Hotline for more from the interview.

Meanwhile, ex-Bush admin. officials made the TV rounds last night to discuss McClellan's memoir.

Ex-WH press. sec. Ari Fleischer: "He's wrong on substance. And he wasn't in a position to know, because his jurisdiction wasn't over those issues. He was the deputy. I was the press secretary. I don't make these allegations. I don't think what Scott is saying is right. ... I'm talking about Scott's most important, salacious words in the book about propagandizing the reasons that we went to war, manipulating facts. To me, that's the most serious part of the book. Much of the other parts are things I think, particularly when it came to the Valerie Plame matter, Scott stands on strong ground" ("AC 360," CNN, 5/28).

More after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
28

That's Four For The Day

May 28, 2008 | 6:24 PM

Wayne Kinney, a DNC committeeman from Bend, OR, has announced his support for Barack Obama.

In a statement posted to Blue Oregon, Kinney, a superdelegate, wrote of his decision:

While there are a few primaries left to go, it’s now over for Oregon. Sen. Obama won our state by almost 18 points. He is very close to winning a majority of the delegates he needs to be our nominee for President.

But there should be more to my decision than that. After all, we automatic, “super” delegates are not automatons. We are not here to ratify. We’re expected to use our judgment. Here’s mine: After watching Sen. Obama for more than a year, it’s clear that he offers an ability to lead and inspire that’s been sorely lacking in this country.

Senator Obama will win our nomination, and will be our President. It felt good to write that sentence.

May
28

McCain Pushes Joint Iraq Trip

May 28, 2008 | 6:09 PM

RENO, NV -- In a Reno gymnasium festooned with American flags, John McCain knocked Barack Obama today for failing to visit Iraq since 2006 or meet with the U.S. generals overseeing the military efforts in the region.

McCain contrasted Obama's accused negligence with the Illinois senator's proposal to meet with Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, asking, "Why is it that Senator Obama wants to sit down with the president of Iran but hasn't yet sat down with General Petraeus, the leader of our troops in Iraq?"

The McCain camp's criticism of Obama's single pre-surge trip to Iraq originated Sunday, when surrogate Sen. Lindsey Graham raised the issue and proposed a joint McCain/Obama trip to the region as a solution. (McCain has visited eight times to Obama's one.) McCain told the Associated Press Monday that he hopes to use such a venture to "educate" Obama. The Republican National Committee joined in today, posting a clock of the days elapsed since the likely Democratic nominee visited Iraq.

McCain reiterated that appeal, saying of the proposed trip with Obama, "I would be glad to go with him because these issues are far more important than any election. The security of this nation is far more important than any political campaign."

He read aloud the Obama camp's strongly-worded reaction statement, in which spokesman Bill Burton derided the offer as a "political stunt" and called McCain's optimism about the war a "false promise."

"That is a profound misunderstanding of what's happened in Iraq and what's at stake in Iraq," McCain retorted.

"I will never surrender in Iraq," he added, "I will not let that happen."

(NBC/NJ's CARRIE DANN)

May
28

Where's McCain Spending Precious Cash On Ads?

May 28, 2008 | 5:41 PM

John McCain's campaign is spending $1.135M on ad buys between May 6 and June 16.

Per my media buyer source, here are the states McCain's team is targeting:

Ohio -- $483,184

Pennsylvania -- $228,159

Michigan -- $227,978

Iowa -- $107,940

West Virginia -- $84,275

As On Call reported earlier this month, the McCain campaign has two 'head-fake' buys in Oregon and Wisconsin, for $1,405 and $2,181 respectively. The bigger numbers, meanwhile, provide a window into the GOPer's general election strategy. McCain is hoping to snag PA and MI, both of which went for Democrats in 2000 and 2004. Iowa narrowly voted for President Bush in 2004, and in 2000, voters gave the edge -- by 1% -- to VP Al Gore. OH and WV went for Bush both cycles.

A McCain spokesman did not respond to a request for comment.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
28

WJC On McClellan

May 28, 2008 | 3:44 PM

SAN JUAN, P.R. - President Clinton said today that he believes the new book by President Bush's former press secretary confirmed what some already knew about the Iraq war.

"I haven't seen it, but I think, from what I read, it seems to confirm what Joe Wilson has always said about his own experience," Clinton said, referring to the former diplomat whose wife was outed as a CIA agent after he questioned the war. "And it shows all the more why it's important that we change the direction of the country and pick the best president."

May
28

Clinton's Letter To Superdelegates

May 28, 2008 | 2:04 PM

In full after the jump, Hillary Clinton makes a plea to the undecided superdelegates, cautioning that she's more electable in the fall and asserting -- as her camp has over the last several weeks -- that she's won the popular vote.

Here's a snippet:

"Recent polls and election results show a clear trend: I am ahead in states that have been critical to victory in the past two elections. From Ohio, to Pennsylvania, to West Virginia and beyond, the results of recent primaries in battleground states show that I have strong support from the regions and demographics Democrats need to take back the White House. I am also currently ahead of Senator McCain in Gallup national tracking polls, while Senator Obama is behind him. And nearly all independent analyses show that I am in a stronger position to win the Electoral College, primarily because I lead Senator McCain in Florida and Ohio."

May
28

DNC On RBC Mtg

May 28, 2008 | 1:36 PM

Statement released this afternoon by the DNC press office:

"Last night members of the DNC's Rules and Bylaws Committee received a 17 page memo that outlined a staff analysis of the Michigan and Florida challenges. Included in the materials were copies of the challenges, and an overall timeline re-capping the process from the decision in 2004 to establish a Commission on Presidential Nomination Timing and Scheduling, through to current events.

"The staff analysis is intentionally neutral; it does not make specific recommendations. The analysis lays out a rules framework for each challenge, and the issues raised within each challenge.

"The analysis maintains that the RBC did have proper authority and jurisdiction in imposing the 100% sanction. The RBC had wide latitude in that decision.

"The document also examines the 50% automatic sanction and how to implement such a sanction: Under this scenario, one option would be to reduce the total number of delegates by half; the second option for consideration by the RBC would be to reduce the delegation's votes by half, so that each delegate gets a half vote.

"We look forward to a thorough discussion of these issues at the Rules and Bylaws Committee meeting this Saturday, May 31st in Washington, DC."

May
28

Chaos Theory

May 28, 2008 | 1:26 PM

Barack Obama campaign manager David Plouffe noted on a call with reporters this afternoon that his team is not encouraging supporters to protest the DNC's Rules and Bylaws Committee meeting in Washington this weekend. Supporters of Hillary Clinton took out an ad in Sunday's New York Times urging like-minded voters to turn out Saturday at the Marriott Wardman to make their views known.

"We don’t think it’s a helpful dynamic to create chaos," Plouffe said. "... We don’t think a scene as we wind down the primary season here is helpful to bring the party together."

(JS)

May
28

Symbolism Run Amok

May 28, 2008 | 12:59 PM

Mountrushmore.jpg

MOUNT RUSHMORE, SD -- When the traveling press learned we'd be staying near Mount Rushmore overnight, some asked if we could make an quick trip before heading off for the day. The campaign obliged, arranging an early morning bus ride for those interested. Then late last night we learned that there was another interested party: Sen. Hillary Clinton.

Clinton and her entourage visited the national landmark this morning, surprising some tourists who didn't expect to see a presidential candidate in the flesh. "We got fogged in yesterday, and I'm so glad we did," a North Carolina woman told Clinton.

Clinton stood before the four former presidents and listened in as a park ranger explained some of the history. At one point she was asked if she could one day picture herself up there. She smirked and shook her head as she contemplated whether to offer a quick soundbite.

"I …" she started to say, before throwing her hands up.

"You think Bill Clinton should be up there?" another reporter asked.

"Why don't you learn something about the monument," Clinton finally said, before walking away to greet some more tourists.

A reporter later attempted to get a quick reaction from the New York senator to some of the claims in former White House spokesman Scott McClellan's book. But Clinton, who has not held a formal press conference in two weeks, ignored the question.

(NBC/NJ's MIKE MEMOLI)

May
28

Chew On This

May 28, 2008 | 12:20 PM

An interesting point raised on the Clinton campaign call with reporters, but not directly answered by Harold Ickes and Howard Wolfson:

Would the Clinton camp accept a FL delegate distribution that gives John Edwards' delegates to Barack Obama?

Edwards, who, of course, endorsed Obama in MI recently, won 14% of the vote in FL. Obama took 33% of the vote, compared with 50% for Clinton. So, adding Edwards' take to Obama's, Obama would have 47%. Close to an even split.

The Dems could appease the Clinton folks by seating all of the state's delegates, but they'd also do right by Obama in including Edwards' cut in his total, assuming JRE's delegates are willing. The only rub in this scenario is that the state wouldn't get the wrist-slapping that Dem party officials in NH and Iowa believe it deserves.

But the question is .. Which is worse -- Handing the Clinton camp a talking point that gives them ammo to fight on to the convention? Or for the party to have to moderate the same old calendar battle in 2012?

Readers, fair? Unfair?

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
28

Obama Camp React To McClellan Book

May 28, 2008 | 12:00 PM

Barack Obama spokesman Hari Sevugan weighs in on revelations in former WH press secretary Scott McClellan's tell-all book:

“It’s not news that this Administration engaged in spin and deception to lead us into a war that should’ve never been authorized and never been waged," Sevugan told On Call. "The only question now is, do we continue George Bush’s failed policy in Iraq or do we change it? John McCain is promising four more years of the exact same policy in Iraq that asks everything of our brave troops and nothing of the Iraqi government, while Barack Obama wants to begin a phased withdrawal of our troops and refocus our efforts on going after al-Qaeda in Afghanistan."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
28

Crossing Streams -- Or Wide, Raging Rivers

May 28, 2008 | 11:33 AM

The Clinton camp's Howard Wolfson and Harold Ickes and DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee Member Tina Flournoy argued a few moments ago on a conference call with reporters that all of the delegates for FL and MI should be seated by the DNC's Rules and Bylaws Cmte this weekend.

Their (familiar) top-line points:

-- Recognize the January primary votes in FL and MI

-- Pledged delegates fairly reflect the will of the states' voters (2.3M total votes cast)

-- Full state delegations should be seated, and full votes should be awarded to those delegates

-- The number for the nomination is not set

Ickes said that the 2,026 target for clinching the nomination does not include FL and MI and should not be regarded by the media as the ultimate benchmark. The Clinton camp prefers 2,210.

"The one thing that we can count on is the number that you all have been using … is not the number that will be needed to secure the nomination," Ickes said.

Neither Clinton spokesman would say if they would challenge a RBC ruling that doesn't seat 100% of the FL and MI delegates.

"We fully expect and have every hope and expectation that these issues will be resolved on Saturday," Ickes said.

Wolfson added: "Resolved in our favor."

When pushed on the question of an appeal, Ickes said only: "That’s a bridge to cross when we come to that particular stream."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
28

Darfur Unites The Presidential Candidates

May 28, 2008 | 10:51 AM

The Save Darfur Coalition has united Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and John McCain behind its cause. The three candidates have signed onto a pledge stating their resolve to end the Darfur genocide and bring peace and security to Sudan.

“As we campaign for President of the United States over the next several months, we expect there to be significant focus on the many differences between us,” reads the statement, which is also featured today in a New York Times advertisement. “It is with this awareness that we are taking the uncommon step of issuing a joint statement about an issue. After more than five years of genocide, the Sudanese government and its proxies continue to commit atrocities against civilians in Darfur. This is unacceptable to the American people and to the world community.”

May
28

And Another

May 28, 2008 | 10:43 AM

Guam Senator and Democratic National Committeeman Ben C. Pangelinan endorsed Barack Obama today.

Pangelinan is Obama's third Super D endorsement of the day.

May
28

Cue The Conference Call

May 28, 2008 | 10:40 AM

Harold Ickes, Tina Flournoy and Howard Wolfson will hold a conference call in an hour to discuss Saturday’s DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee Meeting ... Stay tuned for the Clinton camp's pre-meeting spin.

May
28

Two More Super Ds For Obama

May 28, 2008 | 10:37 AM

Meredith Wood Smith, chairwoman of the Democratic Party of OR and one of 12 OR superdelegates, endorsed Barack Obama today in an editorial in The Oregonian.

CO Democratic Party Chair and superdelegate Pat Waak also announced her support for Obama in a statement released by the campaign.

May
28

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 28, 2008 | 9:49 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
28

Hotline After Dark -- Great Scott!

May 28, 2008 | 9:10 AM

Last night's TV primarily focused on a breaking Politico report featuring exclusive details about ex-WH press sec. Scott McClellan's "scathing" new book, which is due out next week.

Karl Rove, on McClellan's claim that he and Scooter Libby had a secret meeting to get their story straight about the CIA leak case: "I've just read the same small article you have, so I'm going to reserve my judgment on the greater book until somebody else buys it and gives me a copy. ... It's a little irresponsible, if this is an accurate depiction of what's in the book. ... Scooter and I visited all the time. I don't know what the particular meeting in question was about. I know what it wasn't about, which was it was not about Plame and Wilson. ... I think it's, frankly, maybe a sign of irresponsibility for Scott to sort of suggest that because he saw the two of us meeting and he didn't happen to be in the meeting, he somehow knows what the meeting was about."

More Rove: "This doesn't sound like Scott. It really doesn't. Not the Scott McClellan I've known for a long time. ... It sounds like somebody else. It sounds like a left-wing blogger. ... If he had these moral qualms, he should have spoken up about them. And frankly, I don't remember him speaking up about these. I don't remember a single world" ("Hannity & Colmes," FNC, 5/27).

Politico's Allen, on whether anyone saw these accusations coming: "They didn't. And I think that they thought that it would be much milder than it was. We learn in this book that Scott McClellan's Secret Service code game was Matrix. And I can tell you people are calling him other names tonight" ("AC 360," CNN, 5/27).

MSNBC's Carlson: "This hurts Bush. But McClellan's been hurting Bush for a long time. Maybe the lamest press secretary in American history, a beneficiary of that weird Bush affirmative action program for the extremely loyal, of which he was one. It seems to me, he's implicated in everything he says. If Bush was telling lies, through whose lips are those lies coming? Scott McClellan. He ought to be in ashes and sackcloth" ("Verdict," 5/27).

After the jump, more McClellan and Obama's Auschwitz gaffe (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
28

Last Resort

May 28, 2008 | 9:05 AM

The Democratic National Committee's Rules and Bylaws Committee members received 38-pages of documents last night from the DNC, including copies of the MI and FL challenges, a staff analysis of each challenge and the overall timeline.

The bottom line, as I understand it at this point, and there will be more to come on this later today, is that the RBC cannot reinstate 100% of the FL and MI delegates; 50% is the ceiling. Anything more than 50% would require a rules change -- something that the RBC doesn't have the authority to do. That responsibility would fall to the DNC's Credentials Committee, which doesn't meet until July.

Hillary Clinton's campaign has called, as recently as last week, for all of the states' delegates to be seated at the party's convention in Denver -- and for all of them to be counted. But the RBC, which meets Saturday in Washington for its much-anticipated evaluation of the MI and FL challenges, can't, per the rules, fully oblige Team Clinton.

So the question lingers -- Will HRC fight on beyond June 3? Perhaps to the July Credentials Cmte meeting? Or the convention? It seems her only hope of seating 100% of the FL and MI delegates is to trudge on.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
28

"I Am The Strongest Candidate Against John McCain"

May 28, 2008 | 8:52 AM

BILLINGS, MT - Hillary Clinton continues to argue she would be the Democrats' best choice. But of late she is making more pitches for simply electing a "Democratic president," something she did again last night during a big rally in this state's largest city.

"On January 20, 2009, somebody's going to be sworn in as our next president," she said. "I sure hope it's going to be a Democrat. That's what I'm working and fighting for."

She later added that she is "excited about what we can do with a Democratic president," and a country " that understands it's not just electing a president and then saying, 'OK, take care of it.' We're in this together."

These comments, though more common, don't necessarily indicate that she has given up hope that she'll be the nominee. Rather, she could be attempting to soothe lingering fears that her still-active campaign will hurt the party. She remains adamant that she's most electable in November.

"We have not gone through this exciting, unprecedented, historical election only to lose," she also said tonight. "So you have to ask yourself, who is the stronger candidate. ... Based on every analysis, of every bit of research, and every poll that's been taken, and every state that a Democrat has to win, I am the stronger candidate against John McCain in the fall."

Clinton again said that this state gets to have the "last say." And she conceded that Barack Obama "has a deep base of support here, and I respect him for it." "But I believe ... that what Montanans wants is somebody who will go to bat for you, who will be in your corner, who will stand up for you, who will make sure that you have the tools at your disposal to make the most out of your own lives."

Clinton's visit to Montana was brief, with only two stops. She hadn't visited since attending a Democratic party dinner here in April and likely won't again until next week, if at all. Today, she begins a two-day visit to South Dakota with a trip to Mount Rushmore.

(NBC/NJ's MIKE MEMOLI)

May
27

Will Lobbyist Flap Dampen Donors?

May 27, 2008 | 4:28 PM

Meant to post this Friday ... This week's National Journal features a piece by my colleague, Bara Vaida, examining whether John McCain's much-reported ties to lobbyists will diminish donor enthusiasm. Read it in full after the jump.

First, here's a snippet:

"McCain has used more lobbyists and former lobbyists to raise money than have either Obama or Clinton. According to Public Citizen, 70 McCain bundlers are lobbyists while 22 Clinton bundlers are; for Obama, 14 formerly registered lobbyists are bundlers. (The McCain campaign’s new policy on lobbyists doesn’t affect those who are raising money, only paid staff and volunteers doing non-fundraising work. As of April 20, McCain had raised $613,500 from registered lobbyists.)"

May
27

On The Trail: "La Prensa Con El Presidente"

May 27, 2008 | 4:15 PM

MOROVIS, P.R. - Following Bill Clinton is always interesting. But nothing like this.

For weeks, a colleague told me to dread the former president's return to Puerto Rico. Without a press bus or spokesman, our style of being embedded has always been on the fly. We have to drive ourselves to events and race out when he starts to shake hands at the ropeline, hoping to get a head start to the next site. Through the desolate roads of South Dakota last weekend, we used an outside power outlet at a closed gas station to power our laptops to send video near Dallas, population 141.

Today's schedule requires much the same. But add windy roads, streets with no names and a language we don't speak, and it gets downright difficult.

President Clinton and Chelsea have five events scheduled today. We don't have addresses for all of them, and some are just highway numbers. The streets are built for one way traffic, but the cars flow both ways, and we seem to be the only ones slowing down to avoid a collision or a fall down a cliff. Finding a Secret Service agent has become the "Where's Waldo" of our day.

We have been late to events because my rudimentary Spanish has only gotten us so far with the cops blocking the streets. But I have learned a new phrase, "La prensa con el presidente." Translation: "The press with the president."

May
27

Obama's Platoon/Poppy Problem?

May 27, 2008 | 3:10 PM

The Republicans are circulating this video of Barack Obama in Las Cruces this weekend, saying that commanders in Afghanistan would prefer agricultural specialists to troops.

"If you talk to commanders on the ground there, they'll tell you, 'Instead of having another platoon, I'd rather have a couple of agricultural specialists,'" Obama said. "We need more troops on the ground in Afghanistan, but what we also need to is to teach them to grow things other than poppy. Right? And that's something that we just simply have not focused on."

Do GOPers see foreign policy naiveté in this remark? Perhaps. Do they believe Obama is taking a step beyond his earlier comments, reported 5/13 by ABC News, in which he said simply that there's a need for ag specialists in Afghanistan, but not instead of troops? Possibly.

I'm frankly lukewarm on the notion that Obama is advocating anything other than an expanded effort to control the country's rampant drug trade, which fuels Afghanistan's terrorist groups. But I thought I'd let readers weigh in.

Here, meanwhile, is Obama spokesman Hari Sevugan's react:

"Barack Obama has spent over five years arguing that the war in Iraq has diverted us from the fight in Afghanistan. While we were surprised that they would find the idea objectionable, we want to thank the Republican party for circulating this video highlighting that - in addition to his long-stated call for more troops for Afghanistan - Barack Obama believes that we need more resources to cut off the financing of the Taliban and Al Qaeda generated by the poppy trade, and to improve life for ordinary Afghans through sustainable economic development. Thanks for the assist guys."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
27

Hotline TV: Did RFK Gaffe Ruin HRC's Veep Chances

May 27, 2008 | 3:07 PM

May
27

Obama Hits McCain For Bush Fundraiser

May 27, 2008 | 2:49 PM

Barack Obama, speaking in Nevada today about the nation's housing crisis, launched his speech by chiding John McCain for holding a fundraiser with President Bush. Full speech after the jump, but here's the related (and largely predictable) snippet:

Today, John McCain is having a different kind of meeting. He’s holding a fundraiser with George Bush behind closed doors in Arizona. No cameras. No reporters. And we all know why. Senator McCain doesn’t want to be seen, hat-in-hand, with the President whose failed policies he promises to continue for another four years.

But the question for the American people is: do we want to continue George Bush’s policies?

Because I don’t think the American people want to continue the disastrous economic policies that have helped create catastrophes like the housing crisis that we’re here to discuss today.

I don’t think we want to continue a misguided foreign policy and an endless war in Iraq that has cost us thousands of lives and hundreds of billions of dollars while making us less safe and less secure.

That’s the choice in this election. On issue after issue, John McCain is offering more of the same policies that have failed for the last eight years. That’s the agenda that he and the President are raising money to support later today. But I’m here in Nevada because we know it’s time to turn the page.

May
27

Heckled

May 27, 2008 | 2:40 PM

John McCain was interrupted four times by anti-war protestors during his morning speech in Denver about halting nuclear proliferation.

Three of the four sets of objectors were young, banner-bearing hollerers who shouted anti-war slogans. One sported a "Iraq vets against the war" sign. Another was an older man who shouted a response to a line in McCain's speech about using force as a last resort. "What about Iraq?" he shouted.

All interrupters were calmly escorted out.

As he often does, McCain noted after one outburst that he holds open town halls to promote free speech. The supportive crowd has chanted his name to drown out angry yells, and McCain won applause for declaring at one point, "I will never surrender in Iraq. Our American troops will come home with victory and honor."

After the third of four interruptions, the senator noted: "This may turn into a longer speech than you anticipated."

(NBC/NJ's CARRIE DANN)

May
27

Tick Tock

May 27, 2008 | 12:13 PM

Wyoming Democratic Party Vice Chair Nancy Drummond endorsed Barack Obama today. Obama's campaign believes he's 48 delegates away from capturing the party's nomination.

May
27

Young, Young, Youth, Vitality, Young

May 27, 2008 | 12:00 PM

John McCain is set to speak about nuclear security at the University of Denver at noon ET. His full speech is available after the jump.

The opening graph of his prepared remarks includes several not-so-subliminal buzz words:

"For much of our history, the world considered the United States a young country. Today, we are the world's oldest constitutional democracy, yet we remain a young nation. We still possess the attributes of youth -- spirit, energy, vitality and creativity. America will always be young as long as we are looking forward, and leading, to a better world."

On a more substantive note, McCain will say that the United States must work "to reduce dramatically the number of nuclear weapons in the world's arsenals." McCain is expected to promise "to reduce the size of our nuclear arsenal to the lowest number possible consistent with our security requirements and global commitments. Today we deploy thousands of nuclear warheads. It is my hope to move as rapidly as possible to a significantly smaller force."

McCain will also advocate the creation of a new arms control agreement with Russia, reflecting his broader desire for nuclear weapons reducations, and he will suggest the U.S. "begin a dialogue with China on strategic and nuclear issues." He promises, too, to continue the country's moratorium on testing.

(JS)

May
27

Bush Raising Cash For McCain

May 27, 2008 | 11:01 AM

John McCain will benefit from President Bush's fund-raising prowess over the next couple days, as POTUS raises money for the likely GOP nom at closed-press events in Arizona and Utah. McCain has a cash flow problem, so it's no surprise he'd enlist the president to help him raise money. But every time McCain voluntarily links arms with the unpopular Bush, he reinforces Barack Obama's frequent stump speech line that a McCain presidency would invariably provide Americans with a third term of Bush administration policies.

McCain, meanwhile, is only expected at today's AZ event. Guessing a joint photo op is unlikely. Also note: Mitt Romney is scheduled to appear at the Salt Lake City fund raiser.

(JS)

Here's Bush's sched, per Reuters, today:

PRESIDENT BUSH: At 10:10 PM President Bush attends a “McCain for President” and “Republican National Committee Victory” fund-raising reception. Private residence in Phoenix, AZ.

Tomorrow:

PRESIDENT BUSH in Salt Lake City, UT: At 6:30 PM President Bush attends a “McCain for President” and “Republican National Committee Victory” fundraising reception with Mitt Romney in Salt Lake City.

PRESIDENT BUSH in Park City, UT: At 11:25 PM President Bush attends a “McCain for President” and Republican National Committee Victory” fundraising reception.

May
27

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 27, 2008 | 10:48 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
27

ICYMI: Obama Snags Six Super Ds Over Holiday

May 27, 2008 | 10:38 AM

Barack Obama earned the support of six additional Super Ds over the holiday weekend:

AK, former Gov. Tony Knowles

GA, Stephen Leeds

HI, Brian Schatz, Kari Luna, James Burns

WY, Patrick Goggles

Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, is newly backed by Verna Cleveland from GA.

MSNBC's First Read is reporting that Obama is 51.5 delegates away from the required 2,026.

May
27

"Responsibility"

May 27, 2008 | 10:29 AM

Hillary Clinton is up in South Dakota with new TV (below) and radio spots. Script for her 60-second radio ad -- "Matters" -- is available after the jump. With MT, SD finishes off the Democratic primary contest next week, 6/3.

May
27

"Accountable"

May 27, 2008 | 10:08 AM

New John McCain spot up in PA and MI ...

May
27

Sunday Snapshot -- Time And Time Again

May 27, 2008 | 9:09 AM

Hillary Clinton's reference to Robert Kennedy's assassination was the talk of the Sunday shows.

Clinton chair Terry McAuliffe: "What she was talking about was the time line. ... She had made a very similar statement, as you know, in Time Magazine in March. Nobody said anything about it. ... But it's unfortunate. A hyped-up press over Memorial Day weekend -- the [Barack] Obama campaign inflaming it, tried to take these words out of context. She was making a point merely about the time line. ... She understands if it offended people. She apologized for that. ... If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. doesn't find offense to it, why is it that everybody else should?."

McAuliffe, asked if Clinton will apologize to Obama: "Let's be clear. This had nothing to with Senator Obama or his campaign. It was about Hillary Clinton staying in the race" ("Fox News Sunday," 5/25).

Obama strategist David Axelrod: "She said, you know, that's not what she meant, and we take her at her word. ... We're beyond that issue now, so certainly we're not trying to stir the issue up. ... She has apologized. The apology, you know, is accepted. Let's move forward."

Axelrod, on Clinton continuing to run: "This isn't 'American Idol,' OK? This is a nominating process. We have rules. We elect delegates state by state. Senator Obama has built a lead over these ... five months. And we expect on June 3rd that this process will come to an end" ("This Week," ABC, 5/25).

After the jump, more WH '08 and party chairs look at the landscape (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
23

Rewind

May 23, 2008 | 5:04 PM

The mighty Mo Elleithee attempts to press rewind on his boss' RFK remark:

"She was simply referencing her husband in 1992 and Bobby Kennedy in 1968 as historical expamples of the nominating contest going well into the summer," said Elleithee, an HRC spokesman. "Any, any reading into it beyond that is inaccurate."

May
23

Bolton On Obama Foreign Policy

May 23, 2008 | 4:34 PM

National Journal's Ron Brownstein interviewed John Bolton, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, for the May 23 edition of "National Journal On Air." Bolton had strong words for the likely Dem nom's assertion that he would meet with the leaders of rogue nations such as Iran.

Here's a snippet:

Q: Well, let me ask you this -- and I think your comments there may point to your answer -- now Senator Obama has made a great deal in response in this back-and-forth in saying look, I’m saying without precondition, but I’m not saying without preparation. There would be preliminary diplomatic contact before we reach the level of heads of state talking to each other. Does that change the equation at all in your mind?

Bolton: No, and I must say that is a silly, indeed, embarrassing statement for a candidate for president of the United States to make. Obviously, you make preparations before you engage in any meeting. You made preparations before this interview. Of course there are preparations. The notion that you meet without precondition, however, is not a process point. It’s a substantive point, and for him to try to align the distinction that way -- I just think that’s embarrassing. I think the American people are a lot smarter than that.

May
23

Hillary Raises RFK's Assassination

May 23, 2008 | 4:07 PM

The New York Post is reporting that, in a meeting with the Sioux Falls Argus-Leader editorial board, Hillary Clinton defended her long-running campaign by noting that her husband did not wrap up the nomination in 1992 until he won the CA primary that June. She also raised the assassination of Sen. Robert Kennedy in defending her decision to stay in the race.

"We all remember Bobby Kennedy was assassinated in June in California. I don't understand it," she said, dismissing calls to drop out.

Barack Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton fired off a quick response: “Senator Clinton's statement before the Argus Leader editorial board was unfortunate and has no place in this campaign."

May
23

Super D Movement

May 23, 2008 | 1:48 PM

-- Oregon superdelegate Jenny Greenleaf

-- U.S. Reps. Jim Costa (CA-20) and Dennis Cardoza (CA-18). (Cardoza previously backed Hillary Clinton.)

-- Two NH delegates formerly for John Edwards -- state Sen. Peter Burling and Deborah Bacon-Nelson -- endorsed Obama.

May
23

ICYMI: "Man And Vice"

May 23, 2008 | 1:23 PM

Today's NY Post cover:

nypveeop.jpg

May
23

Funny Money

May 23, 2008 | 1:19 PM

John McCain's presidential campaign has finally paid off its debt to 3eDC, a private Web company linked to campaign manager Rick Davis and his longtime lobbying pal, Paul Manafort. But there's one big curiosity: Last year, the cash-starved campaign, without explanation, reported to the Federal Election Commission that 3eDC's bill had been reduced by $107,000.

In the end, 3eDC was paid $972,000, not the $1,079,000 originally billed.

"It's always a serious question for the public and auditors when over $100,000 is removed without explanation from a financial disclosure report," says Kent Cooper, a political money expert and former FEC official. "Indeed, this raises the question of whether actual services were provided and the bill was reduced, making it an illegal corporate contribution."

But a campaign spokesman says that 3eDC determined, in reconciling invoices, that the campaign actually owed the company less money than shown in FEC reports. 3eDC did not respond to several requests for comment.

(National Journal's EDWARD T. POUND)

May
23

McCain Medical Records: He "Appears" Cancer-Free

May 23, 2008 | 12:55 PM

John McCain, the three-time melanoma survivor who turns 72 in August, appears cancer free, according to the AP's examination of 1,173 pages of medical documents spanning 2000 to 2008 that his campaign made available today.

Other McCain health highlights:

He takes cholesterol meds.

He frequently has precancerous skin lesions removed, and in February had an early stage squamous cell carcinoma, an easily cured skin cancer, removed.

He had benign colon growths taken out during a routine colonoscopy in March.

He has degenerative arthritis from war injuries that might require a future joint replacement.

His blood pressure and weight were healthy.

His cholesterol was good but not optimal, forcing him to switch medication.

He was a two-pack-a-day smoker until quitting in 1980.

And this about his bouts with skin cancer:

"He has had four separate spots of melanoma removed from his head and arm on three occasions -- in 1993, 2000 and 2002. Three spots were very early stage, when they were in the uppermost skin surface and easily cut out.

"But one, on his left temple in 2000, was invasive melanoma, what doctors call an ''intermediate risk'' melanoma because of its thickness -- 2.2 millimeters. McCain required delicate surgery to remove and examine lymph nodes that showed no sign of spread."

The 10-year survival rate for intermediate melanoma is 65 percent, according to Dr. Stuart Lessin, director of the melanoma risk-assessment program at Philadelphia's Fox Chase Cancer Center, who was not involved in McCain's care.

May
23

Weekend Lineup

May 23, 2008 | 12:42 PM

Here are the scheduled guests for the Sunday public affairs shows and other weekend programs:

SUNDAY:

Meet the Press hosts CBN's David Brody, New York Times' Maureen Dowd, historian Doris Kearns Goodwin, Washington Post's Ruth Marcus, Newsweek's Jon Meacham and NPR's Michele Norris.

Face the Nation hosts Clinton comm. dir. Howard Wolfson, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL).

This Week hosts Karl Rove and Obama strategist David Axelrod, and a roundtable with ex-WH spokesperson Dee Dee Myers, Washington Post's E.J. Dionne, ex-Bush strategist Matthew Dowd and George Will.

Fox News Sunday hosts Clinton chair Terry McAuliffe, NRCC chair Tom Cole (R-OK) and DCCC chair Chris Van Hollen (D-MD). The "Power Player" is Dir. of the Pres's Own U.S. Marine Band Col. Michael Colburn.

Late Edition hosts Major Gen. Mark Hertling, Rep. Jane Harman (D-CA), Rep. David Dreier (R-CA), ex-Labor Sec. Robert Reich, Clinton economic adviser Gene Sperling, McCain economic adviser Douglas Holtz-Eakin, Mary Tillman, and a roundtable with CNN's Bill Schneider, CNN's Suzanne Malveaux and CNN's Gloria Borger.

See other weekend shows after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
23

RNC's "Without Preconditions"

May 23, 2008 | 12:09 PM

The RNC issued this vid in light of Barack Obama's remarks today before the Cuban American National Foundation. It calls Obama "naive on foreign policy, not ready to be commander in chief." Obama's prepared speech is available after the jump; in it, he is expected to say that John McCain, like President Bush, has failed to address foreign policy priorities beyond Iraq. On Cuba and more, Obama will say, McCain has embraced Bush's policies and has shown, "you can't take his so-called straight talk seriously."

May
23

Hotline After Dark -- Not The Wright Kind Of Wrong

May 23, 2008 | 8:46 AM

Yesterday, CNN's Brian Todd delivered a breaking news report on John McCain's decision to reject the endorsement of Pastor John Hagee.

Todd: "As a result of our inquiries today, John McCain makes a dramatic turnaround and rejects the endorsement of a key religious leader in the United States. ... We have been in contact with ... Pastor Hagee and his representatives. Mr. Hagee would not go on camera with us or do any kind of interview with us. His representatives say, however, that he was badly mischaracterized. ... Here is a statement that we just got a short time ago from John McCain: 'Obviously, I find these remarks and others deeply offensive and indefensible, and I repudiate them. I did not know of them before Reverend Hagee's endorsement, and I feel I must reject his endorsement as well.' ... A very important note here from McCain's campaign, who says that Reverend Hagee was never John McCain's pastor, that McCain did not have the kind of relationship with Pastor Hagee that Barack Obama had with Jeremiah Wright" ("Situation Room," 5/22).

Newsweeks' Alter: "Best defense is a good offense. He's engaged in sensible damage control on this by separating himself further from Hagee. The problem is if they want to have any Republican sponsorship of Reverend Wright ads this fall, Democrats are going to be right back at them with Hagee, with Pat Robertson and Jerry Falwell" ("Verdict," MSNBC, 5/22).

Dick Morris: "He didn't baptize the kids. He didn't marry him. He wasn't his pastor for 20 years" ("Hannity & Colmes," FNC, 5/22).

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC): "When you're running for president it's not guilt by association. We have a lot of supporters out there we don't always agree with. ... There comes a point in time when you're running for president that you have to disconnect yourself from rhetoric because you're trying to be the pros of everybody. You're trying to reassure people that as president of the United States you have a big view and you're a tolerant person. There comes a point in time where you have to break and John made that decision today" ("Situation Room," CNN, 5/22).

After the jump, McCain goes on "Ellen" and a FL superdelegate files a lawsuit (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
22

Justice Hillary Clinton?

May 22, 2008 | 10:24 PM

I have a story running in tomorrow's National Journal on the pros, cons and precedents for putting Hillary Clinton on the Supreme Court. NJ subscribers can read it here. For On Call devotees, it's available after the jump.

Enjoy!

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
22

McCain Denounces Hagee

May 22, 2008 | 5:04 PM

John McCain cut ties with Christian Pastor John Hagee today after learning that Hagee, during the 1990s, said Nazism reflected an expression of God's will.

“Obviously, I find these remarks and others deeply offensive and indefensible, and I repudiate them," McCain said in a statement issued to The Washington Post. "I did not know of them before Reverend Hagee's endorsement, and I feel I must reject his endorsement as well. I have said I do not believe Senator Obama shares Reverend Wright's extreme views. But let me also be clear, Reverend Hagee was not and is not my pastor or spiritual advisor, and I did not attend his church for twenty years. I have denounced statements he made immediately upon learning of them, as I do again today. “

And here's Hagee's letter, withdrawing his endorsement:

Dear XYZ,

Ever since I endorsed John McCain for president, people seeking to attack Senator McCain have combed my records for statements they can use for political gain. They have had no qualms about grossly misrepresenting my position on issues most near and dear to my heart if it serves their political ambitions.

I am tired of these baseless attacks and fear that they have become a distraction in what should be a national debate about important issues. I have therefore decided to withdraw my endorsement of Senator McCain for President effective today, and to remove myself from any active role in the 2008 campaign.

I hope that the Senator McCain will accept this withdrawal so that he may focus on the issues that are most important to America and the world.

As reported by The Washington Post, Hagee's comments were first posted on the website "Talk to Action" on May 15. They "draw from a biblical verse and imply that Adolf Hilter's actions had helped speed the creation of the state of Israel."

"'And they the hunters should hunt them,' that will be the Jews," Hagee said. "'From every mountain and from every hill and from out of the holes of the rocks.' If that doesn't describe what Hitler did in the holocaust, you can't see that."

May
22

Obama Stands In For Kennedy At Wesleyan Graduation

May 22, 2008 | 5:02 PM

From Sen. Ted Kennedy's office: “Throughout the last week, Senator Obama has offered his support to Senator Kennedy including stepping in to deliver the commencement address at Wesleyan University. Senator Kennedy accepted knowing it would be an historic opportunity for the school and all those attending, including his daughter Caroline Raclin who is graduating and his son Ted Jr. who is attending his reunion. He's enormously grateful to Senator Obama and the support he's received from all of his colleagues this last week.”

May
22

McCain Releases Health Info Tmrw

May 22, 2008 | 3:48 PM

John McCain's campaign is set to release "400 pages of medical records, including documents related to his melanoma surgery in August 2000, to a tightly controlled group of reporters on the Friday before Memorial Day weekend," reports The New York Times.

More from the NYT: On Friday, the campaign will allow a small pool of reporters access to the records from 7 a.m. to 10 a.m. Pacific time in a conference room at the Copper Wind Resort in Phoenix, near the Mayo Clinic Scottsdale. The reporters will be allowed to take notes but not remove or photocopy the records. Campaign officials said they were imposing the restrictions to prevent the actual records from wide dissemination.

Around the same time, campaign officials said, they will post medical summaries of each year from 2000 to 2008 on the campaign Web site. The summaries will not include doctors’ notes in the actual records.

The news organizations in the pool, selected by the campaign, include ABC News, The Arizona Republic, The Associated Press, Bloomberg, CBS News, CNN, Fox News, NBC News, Reuters, The Washington Post and, possibly, a newsmagazine.

May
22

GI Fight

May 22, 2008 | 2:47 PM

UNION CITY, CA - If any confirmation is necessary to indicate that the days of mutual admiration between John McCain and his likely general election opponent are a distant memory - and if the debate over unconditional meetings with Iran didn't suffice - today's exchange between the rivals should do the trick.

On the Senate floor today, speaking in support of Sen. Jim Webb's proposal to fund education for armed service members after single enlistment tours, Sen. Barack Obama called McCain's voiced opposition to the bill "partisan posturing" and questioned why McCain found the bill "too generous to our veterans."

"I can't understand why he would line up behind the President in his opposition to this GI Bill," Obama said. "There are many issues that lend themselves to partisan posturing, but giving our veterans the chance to go to college should not be one of them."

The Webb bill passed 75-22 today, a veto-proof majority that will survive opposition from the White House.

McCain, who just arrived at a roundtable in Union City, CA, outside of San Jose, issued a blistering statement this afternoon in response to Obama's criticism. The release outlines McCain's reasons for opposing Webb's bill. (He - and allies, Sens. Lindsay Graham and Richard Burr - worry that, by offering full benefits to troops after a single enlistment, Webb's bill would discourage reenlistment by GI's eager to collect on the educational promise. The Arizona senator's bill offers benefits on a sliding scale based on time of service.)

Here are excerpts from McCain's withering assessment of Obama's comments:

"Unlike Senator Obama, my admiration, respect and deep gratitude for America's veterans is something more than a convenient campaign pledge," McCain said in the release. "I think I have earned the right to make that claim. I will not accept from Senator Obama, who did not feel it was his responsibility to serve our country in uniform, any lectures on my regard for those who did."

"He prefers impugning the motives of his opponent and exploiting a thoughtful difference of opinion to advance his own ambitions," the statement concludes. "If that is how he would behave as President, the country would regret his election."

(NBC/NJ's CARRIE DANN)

May
22

Former Outside NRA Lobbyist Gives A Boost To McCain

May 22, 2008 | 2:05 PM

When he went to woo the National Rifle Association convention in Louisville, Ky., on Friday, it did not hurt that presumptive Republican presidential nominee, Sen. John McCain of Arizona, was accompanied by a former outside NRA lobbyist turned campaign adviser, Randy Scheunemann.

Officially the top foreign policy and national security adviser to McCain’s campaign, Scheunemann told National Journal in March he has weighed in with advice on Second Amendment and firearms issues. He said he had stopped lobbying for all his clients early this year, and his lobbying registration forms show that the NRA work ended at the end of 2007.

But during that year while he was helping the campaign, Scheunemann & Associates, one of two boutique firms he runs, received $40,000 in fees from the NRA. The NRA, one of his oldest clients, paid him the same amount for several prior years. Scheunemann, who started working for the campaign as a volunteer in early 2007, did not return four calls seeking comment for this story.

According to one NRA lobbyist who was at the convention, Scheunemann arrived and departed with McCain. Scheunemann spent most of his time at the event backstage -- where McCain had a brief meeting with NRA leaders, according to a lobbyist.

In 2001, the NRA labeled McCain “one of the premier flag carriers for the enemies of the Second Amendment.” But this year the group has been much friendlier, in part because of its fears about what Democratic Sens. Barack Obama or Hillary Rodham Clinton would do on gun issues if they won the presidency.

In his remarks to the NRA, McCain drove the point home by saying that if either Democrat won the election, “the rights of law-abiding gun owners would be at risk.”

Before he became a lobbyist about eight years ago, Scheunemann spent more than a decade on Capitol Hill serving as a top foreign policy aide to, among others, former Senate Majority Leaders Bob Dole and Trent Lott. Scheunemann’s other lobbying firm, Orion Strategies, has worked for several foreign governments, including Georgia, Latvia, Macedonia and Romania, who have joined or are seeking to join NATO.

During the last week since the McCain campaign established conflict-of-interest rules to minimize criticism over the large number of well-known lobbyists working for the senator, Scheunemann has drawn scrutiny mostly over his foreign work. USA Today reported Wednesday that Scheunemann lobbied a McCain staffer on matters relating to the Georgian government in 2007 while he was working for the campaign.

(National Journal writer PETER STONE)

May
22

McAuliffe: "The Rule Is 50%"

May 22, 2008 | 1:52 PM

In light of today's renewed Clinton camp push for seating all of the FL/MI delegates, here's Terry McAuliffe telling MTP's Tim Russert 5/11 that he "certainly might" accept a 50% compromise. (Clip starts at 21:00ish.)

May
22

DeGeneres To McCain: "So You'll Walk Me Down The Aisle?"

May 22, 2008 | 1:45 PM

Daytime talk show host Ellen DeGeneres, who has promised to marry her actress girlfriend, pushes guest John McCain today on the gay marriage issue. A must watch.

May
22

Ickes/Wolfson: Seat All FL/MI Delegates, 100% Voting Rights

May 22, 2008 | 11:36 AM

Harold Ickes and Howard Wolfson pointed this morning to David Axelrod's recent interview with NPR, during which he said his team is interested in a FL/MI compromise, as proof that both sides believe it's time to strike a deal. And if they're ready for a deal, any deal, why not go all the way then? Seat and count all of the delegates, Clinton's guys suggested on a call with reporters. (Since, as we know, that's the only arrangement that's satisfactory to HRC's camp.)

"The rubicon has now been crossed by the Obama campaign," Wolfson said.

He noted, too: "If FL and MI are not seated, it will harm the chances of a Democrat to win in those states in November."

These are not new Clinton camp arguments, just the latest push in light of the 5/31 DNC Rules and Bylaws Cmte meeting.

On another topic ... Jill Lawrence of USA Today asked if there's any truth to reports that Obama's campaign is embarking on its running mate search and that the two camps are discussing the Clinton-as-veep possibility.

"I think it is clearly premature in the sense that he is not yet the nominee," Wolfson said of talk that Obama has started that effort.

As for a team venture: "We are resolutely focused on this nominating process on the top of the ticket," Wolfson said. "We believe Sen. Clinton will be the nominee. … We’re just not going to entertain the possibility of anything other than that."

(JS)

May
22

They Love Me Not ... Yet

May 22, 2008 | 10:42 AM

There's trouble for Barack Obama in a new Quinnipiac University poll that shows the likely Dem nom trailing GOPer John McCain in FL and OH but with a small edge in PA. Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, shows better against McCain in these critical battleground states.

Here are the numbers:

FL: Clinton tops McCain 48% - 41%; McCain leads Obama 45% - 41%;

OH: Clinton beats McCain 48% - 41%; McCain tops Obama 44% - 40%;

PA: Clinton tops McCain 50% - 37%; Obama leads McCain 46% - 40%.

One irrefutable cause of Obama's woes: women.

In FL, Clinton leads McCain 54% - 37% among women, while women split in an Obama/McCain match-up, 43% - 42% for the IL senator.

In OH, Clinton leads McCain 53% - 37% among women, while they tip more narrowly to Obama over McCain, 42% - 40%.

In PA, Obama does marginally better with women, likely accounting for his lead over McCain in the statewide numbers. After all, 58% of the state's Dem primary voters were women. Clinton bests McCain 57% - 31% with women. Obama also tops McCain, 49% - 37% with women.

So, what's a Team Obama, with almost every visible public spokesperson of the male variety, to do? Well, they've started by hiring veteran political journalist Linda Douglass, a National Journal contributing editor, as a senior strategist and senior campaign spokeswoman, as the Atlantic's Marc Ambinder reported first yesterday. With Samantha Power gone, the campaign's only top female message pushers are Michelle Obama and Susan Rice, a former assistant secretary of state for African affairs. Seems likely then that a woman -- see KS Gov. Kathleen Sebelius -- will wind up, if not on the Dem ticket, making the list of finalists.

The Quinnipiac numbers indicate that Obama clearly needs to make a visible outreach to women voters. Hiring a new female advisor, even one as talented, smart, well-spoken, poised and all-around wonderful as Douglass, may be a good start, but he’ll obviously need to provide other incentives to draw more women voters into the fold.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
22

Hotline After Dark -- A Boozeless BBQ?

May 22, 2008 | 9:23 AM

Late yesterday afternoon, the New York Times reported that John McCain will meet with FL Gov. Charlie Crist (R) and LA Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) 5/23. Mitt Romney's name was also mentioned. This led to much speculation that McCain is shopping for a VP.

Karl Rove: "Some interesting names here and some strong talent. ... Bobby Jindal is a terrifically intelligent and reform-minded governor of Louisiana. It's sort of hard, though, to say I'm experienced and my opponent is inexperienced, but incidentally forget the fact I've chosen a very young man who's been governor for a year and a half as my running mate. Charlie Crist is in sort of the same situation. Again, if Senator McCain says Senator Obama's unqualified and inexperienced and he's young and has only been in the Senate for three years, and incidentally I'm picking a governor who's only been in office for two years, creates a little bit of discountenance."

More Rove: "Romney was governor for one term. ... He's got a broader record that people can associate with, head of the U.S. Olympics, successful business person. I'm not suggesting that he is the only person that McCain ought to consider, but I have been surprised how many conservatives have expressed a confidence and an enthusiasm in Romney" ("Hannity & Colmes," FNC, 5/21).

MSNBC's O'Donnell, on Jindal and Crist: "It's unlikely that he would pick either of those governors, I think, as vice president. I think this is the beginning of a process by McCain to sort of get to know and talk to these governors. ... He's going to need these governors for state operations. He's going to need their fundraising lists to help raise money. So this is part of the process. He should be doing this at this point. I don't think we should read too much into it that these guys now are at the top of the list" ("Hardball," 5/21).

CNN's Borger: "We all got on the phone here with the McCain people. The McCain people said, he's grilling. He loves to grill, and we're not talking about grilling vice presidential candidates. But he does want to sort of socialize with these folks and this is all about ... building the relationships. ... I would say there probably wouldn't be a lot of alcohol served at this event" ("Election Center," 5/21).

After the jump, more McCain and Pelosi goes on PBS (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
21

An Alternate Universe

May 21, 2008 | 10:26 PM

It's a primary fight to the finish -- even, apparently, for the Libertarian Party hopefuls.

LP contenders Wayne Allyn Root, Bob Barr and Mike Gravel, in Washington Tuesday for a forum hosted by reason magazine, made their pleas for their adopted party's nom just days before its Memorial Day weekend convention in Denver.

"I'm the Ronald Reagan of the Libertarian Party," Root, who has a wrestler's build and a mobster's tailor, told reporters before the start of the event. He rattled off his credentials: Vegas odds maker, infomercial pioneer, best-selling author.

"I'm kind of an MTV guy running for president, and so I think I could catch fire with the youth movement in this country," Root added. "What Ron Paul started, I could finish. I'm the frontrunner, I don't think there's any doubt about that."

After Barr arrived late, the 30-minute forum began with the candidates's two-minute opening statements. It had the feel of a speed date.

Gravel railed against the "War On Drugs." Barr, who served four terms in the House, talked about a "rebirth of freedom." And Root won over the crowd with a political bombshell. During a dinner with Karl Rove two years ago, he told Bush's brain: "If you allow the United States Congress to ban [Internet] poker, what you're going to do is destroy the entire Republican revolution. Karl Rove laughed it off, and the Republican revolution ended."

When the show wrapped, Barr, swarmed by reporters, said that Libertarianism had gone mainstream.

"How much more mainstream can you get than serving in the House of Representatives?" said Barr, whose campaign is headed by Russell Verney, Ross Perot's ex-adviser.

Nearby, Gravel explained that he "ran as a Democrat only to get into the debates."

Root, meanwhile, offered this prognostication: "It all comes down to the debate Saturday night on C-Span."

(SEAN J. MILLER)

May
21

Hotline TV: Beaver State And Bluegrass

May 21, 2008 | 4:11 PM

May
21

Sarah Brady's Tribute To Kennedy

May 21, 2008 | 12:06 PM

Sarah Brady, honorary chair of the Brady Campaign and the Brady Center to Prevent Gun Violence, issued this statement today, crediting Sen. Ted Kennedy with passage of the Brady Law and wishing him well in his fight against cancer:

“Jim and I send Senator Kennedy, Vicki and the entire Kennedy family our love and warm wishes. It was great to see the Senator looking so strong and fit when he left the hospital this morning.

“Senator Kennedy has been an inspiration to Jim and me for many years. Publicly, he seems larger than life when you are with him. But privately, he is a man of great humility and kindness. Throughout the fight to pass the Brady Law, he worked feverishly behind the scenes, lobbying his colleagues, resolving dilemmas, but never wanting any credit. He deserves credit, though, because we never would have passed it without him - we wouldn’t have even gotten close.

“Sitting on my windowsill is an orchid that Teddy and Vickie gave me two years ago. It is blooming now. I look at it, and I know that Teddy will win this fight, as he has won so many in the past.”

May
21

HRC: Learn From Hanging Chads Of Elections Past

May 21, 2008 | 11:14 AM

UPDATE: Here's the audio of HRC's interview ...

WASHINGTON - As she prepares to campaign in Florida today, Hillary Clinton said in a radio interview this morning that Democrats should learn from the lessons of the hanging chads from elections past and not ignore the will of the voters.

Clinton, speaking with WMJI radio in Cleveland, Ohio, this morning before flying to Florida, referred to the upcoming HBO movie about the 2000 recount and said she has heard that it "makes a very strong case" for seating the state's delegates today.

"The lesson is if you can discern the clear intent of the voter, why would you punish the voter?" she said. "We are turning this into a major battle that I think is really ill serving the party."

Clinton will be making that case today during three campaign appearances in South Florida, where she is expected to also press her argument that she is leading in the popular vote. Clinton also said the entire nomination process should be looked at in the future.

"We've got to change the way we nominate presidents for a lot of reasons," she said. "I personally believe these caucuses are terribly unrepresentative. ... [And] I think that what's happened with Florida and Michigan raises serious questions about the principles of our party."

May
21

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 21, 2008 | 9:38 AM

Hotline_PN_logo-sm.gif
Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
21

Kennedy Leaves Hospital, Heads To Hyannis Port

May 21, 2008 | 9:21 AM

Per Sen. Ted Kennedy's Senate office:

On Wednesday, May 21st at approximately 10:00 AM, Senator Edward M. Kennedy will depart Massachusetts General Hospital and travel home to Hyannis Port.

He will depart from the Wang Entrance, 15 Parkman Street, Massachusetts General Hospital. NOTE: This is a photo opportunity only.

Senator Kennedy’s doctors released the following statement:

Statement of Dr. Lee Schwamm, Vice Chairman, Department of Neurology and Dr. Larry Ronan, Primary Care Physician, Massachusetts General Hospital

“Senator Kennedy has recovered remarkably quickly from his Monday procedure and therefore will be released from the hospital today ahead of schedule. He will return to his home on Cape Cod while we await further test results and determine treatment plans. He’s feeling well and eager to get started.”

May
21

OR Exits

May 21, 2008 | 9:19 AM

With 88% of precincts reporting, Barack Obama won OR last night, 58% to 42% for Hillary Clinton.

Here are OR exit polling highlights:

-- Obama won 53% of the $50K and under earners and 63% of those earning more than $50K;

-- Obama won each age group, except the 65 and older set, which voted 55% to 44% for Clinton;

-- Obama won white voters ages 18 to 59, though Clinton edged him with whites 60 and over, 51% to 48%;

-- White women split, 50% to 50%, for the candidates, while white men voted overwhelmingly for Obama, 65% to 34%;

-- The overall electorate was 55% women, 45% men -- staying true to trends we've seen in other early states. Women are turning out in record numbers this cycle. Both genders went for Obama;

-- Voters (45%) said the economy is the most important issue facing the nation, followed by the Iraq war (31%) and health care (20%);

-- Half of OR voters said an interest in "change" most determined their vote, and among them, 83% voted for Obama, 17% voted for Clinton;

-- 62% of OR voters said Clinton attacked Obama unfairly, while 39% said Obama attacked Clinton unfairly; and

-- No matter how they voted 71% said they'd be satisfied with Clinton as the nom, 79% said the same of Obama.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
21

Hotline After Dark -- Another Day, Another Primary

May 21, 2008 | 8:59 AM

Last night's TV coverage was dominated by Hillary Clinton's win in KY and Barack Obama's win in OR.

Clinton supporter/PA Gov. Ed Rendell (D): "In the last three months ... she's won seven out of the ten primaries and won five of them by absolute blowouts. ... It's sort of amusing to me that the candidate who's doing all the winning is the one people want to drop out. I think the message is clear to superdelegates. Hillary Clinton is our most electable candidate, and that's what conventions are all about, finding out most electable candidate" ("Hannity & Colmes," FNC, 5/20).

CNN's Schneider: "There were two big reasons why Barack Obama carried the state of Oregon. One, education. Oregon Democrats have a lot of that. Those who did not go to college voted for Hillary Clinton. ... Second factor, religion. In this case, they do not have a lot of that. Protestant voters were split. Catholic voters were split. The key to Obama's victory were voters who said they do not have any religion or they have some other religion other than Protestant or Catholic or Mormon or Muslim or Jewish" ("Election Center," 5/20).

Obama supporter/Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN), on Obama gaining the majority of pledged delegates: "I just see this as a major step. It's not the end. ... This was about delegates, the number of delegates, from both voters in primary states and in caucus states. And the fact that a come-from-behind candidacy was able to achieve this tonight, I think it's significant. But, as has been pointed out, it's not the end. We have a few more weeks to go here" (MSNBC, 5/20).

See today's Hotline for the most recent coverage on the KY and OR primaries.

After the jump, kind words for Ted Kennedy (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
21

It's Erickson Vs. Schrader, Somehow

May 21, 2008 | 6:33 AM

Somehow, ’06 nominee/businessman Mike Erickson (R) survived the OR-05 GOP contest, and is the party’s standard bearer in its effort to pick up a Dem open seat, vacated by Rep. Darlene Hooley (D). He’ll face state Sen. Kurt Schrader (D).

Erickson faced a barrage of accusations in the final week, perpetuated by '02 GOV nominee/'06 GOV candidate/ex-OR GOP chair/ex-state Sen. Kevin Mannix (R), that he once forced a woman to have an abortion. This led the OR Right to Life, who had backed Mannix, to say it wouldn’t endorse Erickson if he were the nominee. Polls leading up to the race showed that Erickson, once the commanding leader, had lost his lead and was trailing Mannix by several points.

But Erickson managed to defeat Mannix 49-46% anyway. And OR’s process of mail balloting might have saved him. Had the accusations surfaced a week earlier, Mannix may have been able to overcome the small 2K-vote margin. But considering that a large percentage of ballots had already been cast by the time Mannix brought up the allegations, and he was losing miserably at that time, it wasn’t enough to save him.

In a CD as competitive as OR-05 – Pres. Bush won the CD both times, but barely – the GOP should have a good shot at winning. But with his conservative base alienated, and with allegations of past drug use also flying around, Erickson will have a tough fight against Schrader.

(TIM SAHD)

May
20

CNN: Obama Has Won Majority Of Pledged Delegates

May 20, 2008 | 10:32 PM
May
20

Obama's 'Forging A New Future For America'

May 20, 2008 | 10:13 PM

Barack Obama's speech, delivered in Des Moines -- where it all began in a bitter January cold, is available after the jump. Check out the John McCain bashing.

A snippet:

"The skeptics predicted we wouldn’t get very far. The cynics dismissed us as a lot of hype and a little too much hope. And by the fall, the pundits in Washington had all but counted us out. But the people of Iowa had a different idea."

And this:

"You have put us within reach of the Democratic nomination for president of the United States of America."

And a big cheer for HRC:

"In her 35 years of public service, Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton has never given up on her fight for the American people, and tonight I congratulate her on her victory in Kentucky. We have had our disagreements during this campaign, but we all admire her courage, her commitment and her perseverance. No matter how this primary ends, Senator Clinton has shattered myths and broken barriers and changed the America in which my daughters and yours will come of age."

May
20

My Friends

May 20, 2008 | 9:57 PM

Just sent to Obama supporters:

Friend --

The polls are closed in Kentucky and votes are being counted in Oregon, and it's clear that tonight we have reached a major milestone on this journey.

We have won an absolute majority of all the delegates chosen by the people in this Democratic primary process.

From the beginning, this journey wasn't about me or the other candidates. It was about a simple choice -- will we continue down the same road with the same leadership that has failed us for so long, or will we take a different path?

Too many of us have been disappointed by politics and politicians more times than you can count. We've seen promises broken and good ideas drowned in a sea of influence, point-scoring, and petty bickering that has consumed Washington.

Yet, in spite of all the doubt and disappointment -- or perhaps because of it -- people have stood for change.

Unfortunately, our opponents in the other party continue to embrace yesterday's policies and they will continue to employ yesterday's tactics -- they will try to change the subject, and they will play on fears and divisions to distract us from what matters to you and your future.

But those tactics will not work in this election.

They won't work because you won't let them.

Not this time. Not this year.

We still have work to do to in the remaining states, where we will compete for every delegate available.

But tonight, I want to thank you for everything you have done to take us this far -- farther than anyone predicted, expected, or even believed possible.

And I want to remind you that you will make all the difference in the epic challenge ahead.

Thank you,

Barack Obama

May
20

$22M For Clinton In April

May 20, 2008 | 9:54 PM

NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli is reporting that Hillary Clinton's campaign raised $22M in April. ...

May
20

Cazayoux, Childers ... Boswell?

May 20, 2008 | 9:27 PM

Lost in tonight’s results is the fact that yet another conservative Dem has emerged in an open House seat in the South. In the Bowling Green-based KY-02, where Rep. Ron Lewis (R) is retiring, state Sen. David Boswell (D) defeated Daviess Co. Judge-Exec. Reid Haire (D) in the primary, and will face state Sen. Brett Guthrie (R) in Nov.

While this CD is considerably more GOP than either MS-01 or LA-06 – it gave Pres. Bush 65% in ’04 – there are some positive signs for Dems. And there are none more positive than the fact that Lewis took just 55% in '06, despite heavily outspending his challenger.

May
20

Race In The Race

May 20, 2008 | 9:26 PM

CNN exit polls indicate that 21% of KY voters said the race of the candidate was important. Of them, 81% voted for Hillary Clinton, while 16% cast a ballot for Barack Obama.

Meanwhile, 18% of those who said race was important to them were white, and almost nine of 10 voted for Clinton.

For all the talk of the impact of gender bias in the Democratic contest and, most notably, in media coverage of the battle, the race of the IL senator persists as a variable for many rural, white voters.

(JS)

May
20

Dem Lunsford Wins KY Sen Primary

May 20, 2008 | 8:33 PM

As expected, the KY SEN Dem primary was won tonight by '03/'07 GOV candidate/businessman Bruce Lunsford (D), who cruised to an easy 51%-34% victory over businessman Greg Fischer (D). Lunsford and Fischer (best known for developing the combination soda dispenser/ice maker) each spent over $1M through 4/30, but Lunsford started off with much higher name ID from his previous statewide bids -- an advantage Fischer was unable to match in just a few months of campaigning. Fischer ran several scathing TV ads over the final few weeks of the campaign, and while Lunsford may have been somewhat bruised by them, the spots clearly didn't give voters sufficient reason to vote for Fischer.

Waiting in the wings is Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell (R), who's already spent $3.7M (much of that on early TV ads of his own) and still has $7.7M CoH to Lunsford's $337K. In the primary, Lunsford self-loaned more than $1.6M and could certainly contribute more for the general election. Of course, he might also carefully avoid tripping the Millionaire's Amendment, since McConnell would easily be able to take advantage of the increased donation limits. A Research 2000/Lexington Herald-Leader poll taken 5/7-5/9 showed McConnell leading Lunsford 48%-36%.

(QUINN MCCORD)

May
20

HRC: "United We Stand, Divided We Fall"

May 20, 2008 | 8:19 PM

The two contradictory elements of Hillary Clinton's KY victory speech -- and, more generally, of her message in the homestretch:

The Fighter

I'm winning the popular vote, and "we're more determined than ever to see that every vote is cast and every ballot counted," including those cast in FL and MI. The party needs a nominee "who is best positioned to win in November." I have received more primary votes than any Dem in history. Keep the cash coming, I'm fighting on.

The Realist

"We do see eye to eye when it comes to uniting our party to elect a Democratic president in the fall." KY's motto rings true: "United we stand, divided we fall."

And this, HRC's bottom line:

"This continues to be a tough fight, and I've fought it the only way I know how -- by never giving up and never giving in. I have done it not because I've wanted to demonstrate my toughness but because I believe passionately for the sake of the country that the Democrats must take back the White House and end Republican rule."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
20

$31M In April For Obama

May 20, 2008 | 8:16 PM

Per Barack Obama's campaign, and, we'll note, blitzed to reporters just as Hillary Clinton took the stage to in KY:

New donors in April: 200,000

94% of contributions were under $200

93% of contributions were $100 or less

77% of contributions were $50 or less

52% of contributions were $25 or less

Number of donors to the Obama campaign overall at the end of April: 1.475 million

Number of contributions given: 2,929,000 million

Average donation: $91

Amount raised in April: $31.3 million (plus an additional $600,000 for the general election)

Cash on Hand: $37.3 million (plus an additional $9.2 million for the general election)

May
20

In KY, A November Optimism

May 20, 2008 | 7:21 PM

KY exit polls posted by CNN show Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama 62-32% among men and 67-27% among women.

Exit polls also show…

- 62% of KY Dem voters believe Clinton is most likely to win in Nov.

- 53% of voters believe Obama will get the nod; only 43% say Clinton will get it

- 45% say the endorsement of John Edwards was important – a group which broke nearly evenly, 48-47%, for Obama

- 55% say Obama should choose Clinton as his VP – a group which broke 77-21% for Clinton

- 58% believe the gas tax holiday is a good idea – a group that favored Clinton 77-19%

- 67% say the economy is the top issue facing the U.S., followed by at Iraq at 19% and health care at 11%

- 46% say change is the most important quality to their WH choice – a group which broke 52-44% in favor of Obama

- 76% say they would be satisfied if Clinton gets the nod, while only 41% will be satisfied with Obama

- 64% say Clinton is honest and trustworthy, while 46% say the same about Obama

- 72% say Clinton shares their values, while only 45% say the same about Obama

- 53% say Clinton attacked Obama unfairly, while 49% say Obama attacked Clinton unfairly

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

May
20

McAuliffe: Obama Can Win Swing States For Dems

May 20, 2008 | 7:07 PM

Here's Terry McAuliffe, Hillary Clinton's campaign chairman, talking to FOX today about the affections of swing state voters: "If Sen. Obama is the nominee, can we win these states? Of course."

Another sign of Clinton camp resignation? TPM had the vid first.

May
20

KY For Clinton

May 20, 2008 | 7:00 PM

hillaryclinton_wideweb__470x308,0.jpg

Nets call KY for Hillary Clinton. CNN's Blitzer: She'll win "by a wide margin." As much as 30 points.

May
20

Hotline TV: AZ/IL, Senate Replacements

May 20, 2008 | 3:32 PM

May
20

Obama On Kennedy: "He Is Going To Fight"

May 20, 2008 | 3:03 PM

On MSNBC a few moments ago, Barack Obama said he spoke with Ted Kennedy, 76, a couple days ago. "I didn't get any sense that his capacities had been diminished," Obama said.

He added: "I do know that he is going to fight, and I also know that he has got one of the most wonderful wives in the world. ... She will be fighting by his side every step of the way, and I want to make sure that all the rest of us are there as well."

NBC's Andrea Mitchell noted that Kennedy was expected to play a critical role in bringing the Obama and Hillary Clinton camps together when the primaries wrap early next month. Obama said that Kennedy's health should be his foremost priority.

"I am confident that the Democratic Party is going to come together, partly because of those issues that Ted Kennedy cares so deeply about," Obama said.

UPDATE:

Hillary Clinton's campaign issued this statement ... “Ted Kennedy’s courage and resolve are unmatched, and they have made him one of the greatest legislators in Senate history. Our thoughts are with him and Vicki, and we are praying for a quick and full recovery.”

(JS)

May
20

McCain On Kennedy Illness

May 20, 2008 | 1:47 PM

Per NBC/NJ's Carrie Dann, John McCain on Ted Kennedy's diagnosis:

"Our thoughts and prayers go out to his family and to him. We hope and pray that they will be able to treat it and that he will experience a full recovery. I have described Ted Kennedy as the last lion in the Senate. And I have held that view because he remains the single most effective member of the Senate."

May
20

Kennedy Diagnosis: Malignant Brain Tumor

May 20, 2008 | 1:14 PM

Nets breaking ... More to come.

UPDATE:

Tuesday, May 20, 2008 -- 1 p.m.

Statement from Dr. Lee Schwamm, Vice Chairman, Department of Neurology, Massachusetts General Hospital, and Dr. Larry Ronan, Primary Care Physician, Massachusetts General Hospital

"Over the course of the last several days, we've done a series of tests on Senator Kennedy to determine the cause of his seizure. He has had no further seizures, remains in good overall condition, and is up and walking around the hospital. Some of the tests we had performed were inconclusive, particularly in light of the fact that the Senator had severe narrowing of the left carotid artery and underwent surgery just 6 months ago. However, preliminary results from a biopsy of the brain identified the cause of the seizure as a malignant glioma in the left parietal lobe. The usual course of treatment includes combinations of various forms of radiation and chemotherapy. Decisions regarding the best course of treatment for Senator Kennedy will be determined after further testing and analysis. Senator Kennedy will remain at Massachusetts General Hospital for the next couple of days according to routine protocol. He remains in good spirits and full of energy."

May
20

McCain: "The Cuban People Have Waited Long Enough"

May 20, 2008 | 12:07 PM

John McCain in Miami this morning makes an open play for Cuban-American voters. He also criticizes Barack Obama for his willingness "to sit down unconditionally for a presidential meeting with Raul Castro," saying such a meeting would "send the worst possible signal to Cuba's dictators."

"I believe we should give hope to the Cuban people, not to the Castro regime," McCain said.

An excerpt and summary of the GOPer's Cuba policy:

"Maintaining the embargo is, however, just one element of a broader approach my administration would make to the people of Cuba. I would provide more material assistance and moral support to the courageous human rights activists who bravely defy the regime every day, and increase Radio and TV Marti and other means to communicate directly with the Cuban people. My Justice Department would vigorously prosecute Cuban officials implicated in the murder of Americans, drug trafficking, and other crimes. While our Cuba policy will not always be in accord with that of our hemispheric and European partners, my administration will begin an active dialogue with them to develop a plan for post-Castro Cuba, a plan that will spark rapid change and a new awakening in that country. The Cuban people have waited long enough."

And here are the responses issued by the Obama camp from its top supporters, CT Sen. Chris Dodd and NM Gov. Bill Richardson. Echoing Obama's approach, both advocate for direct negotiations with Raul Castro.

Dodd: "John McCain needs to explain why continuing to do exactly what George Bush has done will somehow produce a different result. The Senator McCain I used to know was open to negotiations with Cuba to lift the embargo, but now he’s taking a hard line position, embracing a policy that has failed the Cuban people and the American people alike for fifty years. Instead of four more years of George Bush's policy, Barack Obama will help bring liberty to Cuba through direct diplomacy and change that allows for unlimited family visitation and remittances to the island. It's time to reject a Bush-McCain approach that has isolated us in our own hemisphere, so that we can have renewed American leadership under Barack Obama."

Richardson: "John McCain doesn't understand as well as Senator Obama and I do how the Castro regime works. John McCain -- like George Bush -- is afraid to talk to bad guys. He feels safer pretending to talk tough by hiding from them. Unfortunately ordinary people will pay for his lack of diplomatic skill. This is the Bush-McCain foreign policy that has failed all over the world, and it has failed to promote change in Cuba. I have successfully negotiated with Castro and many like him, and I know that Barack has the judgment and experience to nudge the Cubans toward a better future. He'll do it without needlessly harming those who just want to send money to their families and visit loved ones. He knows that you need to talk to tough customers so that you can show them that you are tougher than they are. If you want to see real results, you need to do what Barack will do -- talk to the bad guys. It's through direct negotiations that you deliver your toughest message."

Full McCain speech, provided by his campaign, available after the jump.

May
20

Take My Candidate, Please!

May 20, 2008 | 11:38 AM

jackiemason.jpg

GOPer Jennifer Horn, running for Congress in NH's Second District, issued a statement this morning announcing that comedian Jackie Mason has endorsed her. (Yes, I.Am.Speechless. First time for everything, I suppose ... )

Mason: “First, I think she is one of the most intelligent people I’ve ever met and no one loves her Country or the state of New Hampshire more than she does. Jennifer is someone who can make me proud of our Congress again.

"I’ve known Jennifer for a long time. She is someone of character and courage. She is passionate about the issues and will make a great member of the United States Congress. We need more people like her in Washington. She never had any personal ambitions. Her only concern was to help people regardless of the time or effort and sacrifice involved. For a comedian like me, I always found her a disappointment because I always found her too preoccupied to appreciate any joke I told her. She was always too emotionally involved with projects and the problems of people she was trying to help.

"More importantly she is not a political operative or a career politician - we have enough of them in Washington already.

"Jennifer is a real person. She is a mother, a former radio show host, a columnist, and a community activist. We’ve given politicians and lawyers a chance and they have screwed things up for everyone. It’s time we give someone else a try.”

May
20

Better Late Than Never -- OR/KY

May 20, 2008 | 10:45 AM

On Call brings you live coverage this evening of the Oregon and Kentucky primaries. Check in early and often for news and exits, candidate speeches and Chris Matthews' most bizarro pronouncements.

As we anticipate a likely split -- OR for Barack Obama, KY for Hillary Clinton -- here is the most recent state polling, released yesterday by Suffolk University:

In KY, Clinton leads Obama, 51% to 25%. Much as he did in WV and despite being out of the race for, oh, four months now, John Edwards is polling at 6%.

In OR, Obama leads Clinton, 45% to 41%. OR's mail-in primary makes it tougher to accurately poll voters, however, so take this number with a grain of salt.

May
20

Including Samuel

May 20, 2008 | 10:10 AM

I'm taking a quick point of personal privilege this morning to introduce readers to a wonderful new documentary filmed by my friend and former Concord Monitor colleague, photojournalist Dan Habib. The film, Including Samuel, examines the education and social inclusion of youth with disabilities as a civil rights issue and focuses on the Habib family's efforts to include Samuel, 7 and diagnosed with cerebral palsy, in all facets of school and community.

Here's what The Washington Post wrote about Including Samuel:

"In the film, we learn that in many ways, Samuel is much like any other 7-year-old. He likes hot dogs and tee ball, and is debating between careers as an astronaut or a race car driver. Like a good New Englander, Samuel roots for the Boston Red Sox, and he loves watching games with his big brother, Isaiah, 11."

Dan, an inspiration to all journos and photogs who are lucky enough to spend a few years working for the Monitor, is in NYC this week screening the film. Keep a lookout for upcoming showings in Providence, RI; North Carolina; Nashua, NH; St. Louis; University of Alabama; and Idaho. Click on the film link above to watch the trailer and to find out when this touching film heads to a city near you.

Dan recently signed on as filmmaker-in-residence at the Institute on Disability at the University of New Hampshire. Until joining UNH in April 2008, he was the photography editor of the Concord Monitor since 1995. He oversaw the Monitor's 2008 Pulitzer Prize winning photo essay -- "Remember Me" -- about the family of a woman with a terminal illness.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
20

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 20, 2008 | 10:03 AM

Hotline_PN_logo-sm.gif
Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
20

Hotline After Dark -- The Ties That Bind Us

May 20, 2008 | 9:06 AM

There was very little talk of Hillary Clinton's expected win in KY and Barack Obama's expected win in OR. Instead, last night's TV focused on a variety of WH '08 topics, including John McCain nat'l finance co-chair/ex-Rep. Tom Loeffler (R-TX) resigning because of his lobbying ties. Loeffler was the fifth person to leave the camp amid a growing concern about lobbyists' influence over McCain.

Newsweek's Isikoff: "Some people are going to make that argument, saying, 'Look, why did it take you so long? You're were surrounded by lobbyists and you have been for the last year.' ... The problem for John McCain is he ran in 2000 as the foe of special interest, the guy who was going do smash the iron triangle of lobbyists and lawmakers and special interests. He runs in 2008 and he's got a very different cast or background to who his people running his campaign are" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 5/19).

CNN's Bash: "McCain aides say they should be applauded for new strict policies prohibiting staffers from lobbying and working with outside political groups, but privately some advisers concede these are self- inflicted wounds, something that could have been dealt with months ago, knowing it will be a constant question given McCain's crusade against special interest. And McCain was asked several times earlier this evening why it took so long to implement these new policies, and he wouldn't answer the question" ("Lou Dobbs Tonight," 5/19).

New Republic's Cottle, on McCain: "This is a man who's entire candidacy is based on his character. McCain is the reformer. He is the special interest scourge. And for him to have all these problems with these lobbyists is just a prime opportunity for Obama to tee up on him for the entire general election
campaign. ... For all the time that they've had, suddenly it's a problem now?" ("Race for the WH," MSNBC, 5/19).

After the jump, Obama warns GOPers to leave his wife alone (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
20

Fossella Decides Not To Seek Re-election

May 20, 2008 | 6:33 AM

Rep. Vito Fossella (R) announced last night that he wouldn’t seek re-election to his Staten Island-based CD. The Staten Island Advance reported late last p.m. that Fossella will post a letter to constituents on his Website today, telling them of his decision. Fossella: “This choice was an extremely difficult one, balanced between my dedication to service to our great nation and the need to concentrate on healing the wounds that I have caused to my wife and family.”

His decision came amid signs he would run again. Last weekend, he surprisingly showed up at a Conservative Party dinner, and also attended a Memorial Day parade in his CD. At both events, he got a warm reception from constituents and party leaders, leading many to speculate that he’d run again. Fossella, in the statement: “Despite the personal mistakes I have made, I am touched by the outpouring of support and encouragement I have received from so many people. Their kind words and prayers during this difficult time mean more to me than I can express. And while many have urged me to run for re-election, I believe this course of action is best for my family and our community."

The Advance writes that the Staten Island GOP Exec. Cmte. Will interview candidates 5/21 for the seat. It’s “not yet known” who will interview, but Richmond Co. DA Daniel Donovan (R) and state Sen. Andrew Lanza (R) “are two possible contenders.” Dems “mulling” the race include NYC Councilor Michael McMahon (D), Assemb. Michael Cusick (D) and state Sen. Diane Savino (D). All three are from Staten Island, which makes up the huge majority of the CD, while NYC Councilor Domenic Recchia (D) and ’06 nominee Stephen Harrison (D) – who are the current candidates -- are from Brooklyn.

Fossella’s now open seat is now a toss-up CD. Al Gore won it in ’00, but Pres. Bush took it in ’04. Bush’s victory was perhaps shaded by 9/11, which seemed to bump his numbers up in several CDs around the NY Metro area.

Fossella’s decision means the GOP will now be forced to protect 27 open seats in the fall, a tall task for a party with scant resources. But considering the problems a Fossella re-election bid would’ve caused the party, his retirement likely wasn’t unwelcome news in most GOP quarters.

(TIM SAHD)

May
19

Hotline TV: The SNL Primary; Who Won?

May 19, 2008 | 3:50 PM

May
19

Battleground Florida

May 19, 2008 | 1:52 PM

photo_lg_florida.jpg

John McCain heads to Miami tomorrow for a town hall at the Sheraton Mart Hotel in Miami. Barack Obama, meanwhile, is expected to woo Florida voters Wednesday at a rally in Tampa and an Orlando fundraiser. He ventures Thursday to Palm Beach, and is expected to give a foreign policy speech Friday in Miami.

UPDATE: Hillary Clinton's camp announced that she, too, will return to South Florida Wednesday. Additional details TBA.

May
19

KS Super D For Obama

May 19, 2008 | 1:45 PM

Kansas Democratic Party Chair Larry Gates announced his endorsement of Barack Obama today, saying he has red state appeal.

“Kansans can unite behind Sen. Obama and his positive campaign, and that is why I have chosen to endorse him,” Gates said, in a statement released by Obama's campaign. “He has proven his ability to bring Democrats, Republicans and Independents together, and holds the same commitment to working across party lines as Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius."

On Call Aside: Veepstakes alert. Count Sebelius, who has been awfully quiet of late, as a strong contender. As a female guv of a GOP stronghold, she has demographic and geographic appeal.

May
19

McCain Smacks Obama For "Inexperience And Reckless Judgment"

May 19, 2008 | 1:34 PM

John McCain's staffers might be mired in lobbyist questions, but looking to shift course, they're spinning a different line today, and it involves a stern smackdown of their likely Dem rival for saying he would engage diplomatically with rogue nations, most prominently Iran.

Reporting from Chicago, NBC/NJ's Carrie Dann notes that before addressing the National Restaurant Association, McCain offered these stern words about Barack Obama's foreign policy:

"Senator Obama has declared, and repeatedly reaffirmed his intention to meet the President of Iran without any preconditions, likening it to meetings between former American Presidents and the leaders of the Soviet Union. Such a statement betrays the depth of Senator Obama's inexperience and reckless judgment. These are very serious deficiencies for an American president to possess."

McCain's full Obama/Iran rant is available after the jump.

May
19

McCain On The Goolsbee Fiasco

May 19, 2008 | 1:21 PM

John McCain at the National Restaurant Association convention in Chicago this a.m. hit Barack Obama on trade and referenced the Austan Goolsbee imbroglio:

"Senator Obama has a habit of talking down the value of our exports and trade agreements. He even proposed a unilateral re-negotiation of NAFTA -- our agreement with Canada and Mexico that accounts for 33 percent of American exports, and 17 billion dollars' worth of exports last year just for Illinois. As you may recall, the Senator's senior economic advisor told a representative of Canada to pay no attention to this anti-trade rhetoric from Senator Obama -- it was all just "political positioning" for the primary elections. But for those of us who were paying attention, what we heard was not impressive. It was bad judgment and a bit inconsistent. Senator Obama is fond of scolding others for engaging in the "old-style politics," but when he plays on fears of foreign trade he's resorting to the oldest kind of politics there is. It's the kind of politics that exploits problems instead of s olving them, that breeds resentment instead of opportunity. If I am elected president, this country will honor its international agreements, including NAFTA, and we will expect the same of others."

The Goolsbee mess proved a major distraction for Obama during the primaries, forcing the campaign to explain why one of their own told the Canadians that Obama wouldn't touch NAFTA -- despite his heated campaign trail rhetoric that it needed an overhaul. The situation proved problematic for Obama at a time -- pre OH and TX -- when he should've been able to effectively criticize Hillary Clinton for supporting the policy when her husband was president.

In raising the matter, McCain is speaking directly to those white, working-class Dems who have supported Clinton during the primary contests.

McCain's full remarks are available after the jump.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
19

Second Thoughts About Playing Nice

May 19, 2008 | 1:10 PM

MAYSVILLE, KY - Hillary Clinton used stronger language this morning in arguing that the nomination fight is "nowhere near over," saying that she will keep making the case that she is more electable until she is the nominee.

"We're not going to have [a nominee] today, and we're not going to have one tomorrow, and we're not going to have one the next day," she told a crowd of about 600 at Maysville High School. "And if Kentucky turns out tomorrow, I will be closer to that nomination because of you."

As she argued similarly in West Virginia last week, Clinton said: "People don't get elected president without winning Kentucky."

Clinton said that voting "has to be a decision of both the head and the heart," and she claimed that not only did she have a popular vote lead, but, "more people have voted for me than for anybody ever running for president before."

Her former point is one Barack Obama's campaign has disputed, as HRC's team counts Florida and Michigan in their popular vote total.

May
19

Byrd Endroses Obama, Calls Him A "Humble Christian"

May 19, 2008 | 1:06 PM

Sen. Robert C. Byrd (D-WV) endorsed Barack Obama this afternoon, calling him "a noble-hearted patriot and humble Christian."

Per the Obama campaign, Byrd’s statement:

"As people all across this great nation know, I have been one of the most outspoken opponents of the Bush Administration’s misguided war in Iraq and its saber rattling around the globe."

"With the Bush Administration's latest request to fund this on-going war in Iraq without any attempt to start bringing our troops home, the issue of the upcoming presidential contest has been weighing heavily on my heart. The loss of life continues and the sons and daughters of tens of thousands of American families remain in harm’s way every day."

"This Democratic primary campaign has been tough and competitive. I had no intention of involving myself in the Democratic campaign for President in the midst of West Virginia's primary election. But the stakes this November could not be higher."

"After a great deal of thought, consideration and prayer over the situation in Iraq, I have decided that, as a superdelegate to the Democratic National Convention, I will cast my vote for Senator Barack Obama for President. Both Senators Clinton and Obama are extraordinary individuals, whose integrity, honor, love for this country and strong belief in our Constitution I deeply respect."

"I believe that Barack Obama is a shining young statesman, who possesses the personal temperament and courage necessary to extricate our country from this costly misadventure in Iraq, and to lead our nation at this challenging time in history. Barack Obama is a noble-hearted patriot and humble Christian, and he has my full faith and support."

May
19

Not Going Down Without A Fight

May 19, 2008 | 12:16 PM

HRC Communications Dir. Howard Wolfson weighs in on Barack Obama's plans "to declare himself the Democratic nominee tomorrow night in Iowa." Check out the low-blow subject line ...


To: Interested Parties

From: Howard Wolfson, Communications Director

Date: Monday, May 19, 2008

Re: Mission Accomplished? Not so fast.

Senator Obama’s plan to declare himself the Democratic nominee tomorrow night in Iowa is a slap in the face to the millions of voters in the remaining primary states and to Senator Clinton’s 17 million supporters.

There is no scenario under the rules of the Democratic National Committee by which Senator Obama will be able to claim the nomination tomorrow night. He will not have 2210 delegates, the number needed with Florida and Michigan included in the process, nor will he have 2025 delegates, the number needed to secure the nomination without Florida and Michigan.

Premature victory laps and false declarations of victory are unwarranted. Declaring mission accomplished does not make it so.

While Senator Obama inaccurately declares himself the nominee, Senator Clinton will continue to work hard, campaigning for every vote in the upcoming states and making the case that she will be the best nominee to take on John McCain and be our next President.

May
19

A Milestone?

May 19, 2008 | 12:02 PM

Here's a bit of pre-OR/KY spin from Obama campaign manager, David Plouffe:

Jennifer --

We're poised to reach a major milestone tomorrow.

When the votes are counted in Oregon and Kentucky, we could secure a majority of delegates elected by the voters.

A clear majority of elected delegates will send an unmistakable message -- the people have spoken, and they are ready for change.

As we near victory in one contest, the next challenge is already heating up. President Bush and Senator McCain have begun coordinating their attacks on Barack Obama in an effort to extend their failed policies for a third term.

Last week, President Bush used a speech before the Israeli parliament to launch an unprecedented partisan attack. Senator McCain echoed his divisive misrepresentation of Barack's foreign policy vision, engaging in the same fear-mongering and distortion.

Barack responded forcefully -- you can see a preview of the tough responses he will always give to GOP attacks in this video:

We're just 16 pledged delegates away from reaching an absolute majority.

Be sure to tune in tomorrow night to see Barack's speech.

Thank you,

David

May
19

Ferraro "Might" Not Vote For Obama

May 19, 2008 | 10:57 AM

No bygones here. In a New York Times story today about women still rankled by Hillary Clinton's fall, Geraldine Ferraro says that she might not vote for Barack Obama.

“I think Obama was terribly sexist,” she said.

Read on for evidence that Obama has a very real challenge ahead of him in appealing to those boomer women and low-income, non-college educated women who have steadfastly backed Clinton.

May
19

McCain And The Global Economy

May 19, 2008 | 10:48 AM

John McCain will give remarks this morning in Chicago to the National Restaurant Association. His speech is titled: "America's Leadership In The Global Economy." Expect hard-hitting language about Barack Obama's position on trade and NAFTA. Text to come ...

May
19

Super D Pelz For Obama

May 19, 2008 | 10:35 AM

WA State Democratic Party Chairman Dwight Pelz, a Super D, has just announced today that he's backing Barack Obama, according to the IL senator's campaign.

"I am writing you today to let you know that I will be supporting Sen. Barack Obama at the Democratic National Convention in Denver," Pelz said in an e-mail to supporters. "I will be supporting Barack Obama for many reasons. Over the last few years, I have gained a profound respect for Sen. Obama. I have read his books, listened to his speeches, and watched the campaign he has run on the grueling modern presidential playing-field for nearly two years. And I have spoken with literally hundreds of friends and colleagues -- both in and out of politics -- regarding their opinions and observations of this man. I have concluded that Barack Obama is ready to be a great American President."

Here are the Dems' delegate counts, per NBC's First Read this morning:

PLEDGED: Obama 1,602 to 1,444 for Clinton; SUPERDELEGATES: Obama 298.5 to 279.5 for HRC; TOTAL: Obama 1,900.5 to 1,723.5.

May
19

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 19, 2008 | 10:11 AM

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May
19

Must Read Of The A.M.

May 19, 2008 | 9:49 AM

John McCain's lobbyist woes continue today, as The Washington Post reports that his fifth top adviser has resigned because of revelations that he lobbied for Saudi Arabia and other foreign governments. Tom Loeffler, McCain's national finance co-chairman, stepped aside yesterday.

McCain campaign manager Rick Davis issued an edict last week calling for all McCain staffers to sever lobbyist ties and links to other political groups or resign.

The McCain team is telling reporters that the lobbyist flap is a matter of perception, that to avoid the appearance of any impropriety, it's time for a house cleaning. But this mess could spell greater trouble for McCain, who needs to use his longstanding reputation as a crusader for campaign finance reform, a good government guy, in the general. For five top advisers to have to abandon ship is a an indicator that many in the top echelon of the campaign had the poor judgment -- and a Bush administration-esque (new word) arrogance -- to think they could do both.

Meanwhile, as The Hotline noted last week ... With public attention laser-focused on the Democratic primary feud between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama, McCain's had months to quietly rejigger his staff. What's taken him so long?

I understand anew why the McCain camp went absolutely ballistic when I wrote last month that former FL senator Connie Mack, now a health care industry lobbyist, introduced McCain at his big health care policy speech in the Sunshine State. At the time, McCain campaign spokesman Tucker Bounds said the item "borders on ludicrous, absurd and ridiculous."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
19

Sunday Snapshot -- General-ly Speaking

May 19, 2008 | 9:07 AM

There continued to be talk of Pres. Bush's "appeasement" comment and how this influences a general election between Barack Obama and John McCain.

GOP strategist Ed Rollins: "This president has to realize that he is no longer on the ballot. He has to finish his seven months in office and move on. ... I think that it was inappropriate. I think it gave Obama an issue that he didn't have. I think it certainly stepped on the Hillary victories this week, which for our perspective, the longer the battle goes on, the better" ("Face the Nation," CBS, 5/18).

Obama supporter/ex-CO Gov. Roy Romer (D): "Ed Rollins said it was mistake, I'd say it's embarrassing. ... For Senator McCain not to disassociate himself clearly from that, I think, indicates that McCain's going to have a third Bush term, if he wins" ("Face the Nation," CBS, 5/18).

Bill Bennett: "We are, in fact, better than other countries. That is the problem. And just take this debate to another level. Does Barack Obama not believe that we are superior to these other countries? Is that why he's so ready to deal at the lowest common denominator?" ("Late Edition," CNN, 5/18).

Obama supporter/ex-Sen. Gary Hart, asked if he is worried McCain and GOPers will make Obama look weak on nat'l security: "This was exactly the case made against John Kennedy, who, as we know, led this country a couple of years after that election through the most critical era of its history. And that was the Cuban missile crisis. So youth and inexperience was the charge Nixon made against Kennedy and they proved to be false. ... I am not going to listen to anybody in this administration talk about Democrats being weak on national security. They let this country down" ("Late Edition," CNN, 5/18).

After the jump, GOPers face a tough political climate and pols talk Veepstakes (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
16

Weekend Lineup

May 16, 2008 | 12:46 PM

Here are the scheduled guests for the Sunday public affairs shows and other weekend programs:

SUNDAY:

Meet the Press hosts Sen. Jim Webb (D-VA) and a roundtable with DLC chair/'06 TN SEN nominee/ex-Rep. Harold Ford Jr. (D), Mike Huckabee, GOP strategist Mike Murphy and Dem strategist Bob Shrum.

Face the Nation hosts FL Gov. Charlie Crist (R), GOP strategist Ed Rollins, ex-NY Gov. Mario Cuomo (D) and ex-CO Gov. Roy Romer (D).

This Week hosts Joe Biden and House Min. Leader John Boehner (R-OH), and a roundtable with New York Times Magazine's Matt Bai, Wall Street Journal's Peggy Noonan, Dem strategist Donna Brazile and George Will.

Fox News Sunday hosts Chris Dodd, Sen. Jon Kyl (R-AZ) and Karl Rove. The "Power Player" is Kentucky Derby winner Big Brown's trainer Rick Dutrow Jr.

Late Edition hosts Commerce Sec. Carlos Gutierrez and ex-Senate Maj. Leader Trent Lott (R-MS), and a roundtable with CNN's John King, CNN's Jessica Yellin and CNN's Dana Bash.

See other weekend shows after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
16

Three New HRC Spots

May 16, 2008 | 11:07 AM

"Partner" in KY

"Right Track" -- also in KY

"What's Right" in OR, features footage of Tim Russert and George Stephanopoulos as a narrator says: "In Washington, they talk about who's up and who's down. In Oregon, we care about what's right and what's wrong." Notes that Clinton voted against the Bush energy bill, adding: "She's the one insisting on health coverage for every American."

May
16

Waxman To Douglass: Bush's Nazi Remarks "Shameful" And A "Smear"

May 16, 2008 | 10:13 AM

In an interview airing today on National Journal On Air, Rep. Henry Waxman tells National Journal Contributing Editor Linda Douglass that President Bush’s remarks in Israel yesterday were “shameful” and a “smear.” The fervent supporter of Israel also says that he thinks the U.S. should engage in diplomatic conversations with Iran -- and he says Bush’s actions brought Hamas to power.

LD: Well, you mentioned President Bush and that brings us to a news event that erupted when President Bush was speaking in Israel. He appeared to take a political shot at Senator Obama. He said that Americans who advocate meeting with Iran's leaders, which Obama has suggested, are like the appeasers who failed to check the onslaught of Hitler and the Nazis. What is your reaction to that?

WAXMAN: I thought that was shameful for him to make such a statement on the occasion of Israel's 60th anniversary, and to try to politicize that event by making that kind of a statement. When he was finished, as I understood, his campaign people there said this was a shot at Barack Obama and then the White House people here in Washington realized how offensive it was and they tried to pull it back. But that's the way they often will smear. They will say things and then say – no, they didn't mean it. It is nothing but a smear. And it's so offensive when we've had seven failed years of foreign policy by the Bush Administration that has destabilized the Middle East, made Israel more insecure. Every time I travel to the Middle East, and I'm going there again tonight, I talk to leaders among Palestinians in the Arab world who say with regret that it was Bush who pushed for an election that brought Hamas, the leading terrorist group in that area, to power. And I just think for him to make this kind of smear – all my life I've heard these kinds of smears -- the Democrats are Communists, the Democrats are weak, the Democrats are for treason. This is not a civil debate. This is beneath the presidency and even beneath George Bush.

May
16

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 16, 2008 | 9:32 AM

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May
16

Hotline After Dark -- Coincidence? They Think Not.

May 16, 2008 | 9:06 AM

A majority of last night's TV focused on Pres. Bush's "appeasement" statement in Israel, as well as Barack Obama's reaction to it.

CNN's Henry: "For the president to lay out his definition of what an appeaser is, and for that definition to fit into the narrative that Republican operatives are putting out there about the Democratic front-runner, it's a pretty amazing coincidence" ("Situation Room," 5/15).

Newt Gingrich: "All Barack Obama had to say was, 'I agree with the president. ... I don't think we should talk with terrorists.' ... What does it tell you about the level of guilt that Senator Obama must feel that he identified a reference to a 1939 isolationist nut cake senator as referring to him? ... What you just saw was a revealing test of the liberal wing of the Democratic Party, all of whom were offended by a description of appeasement, isolationism, self-delusion, which they thought must refer to themselves. ... If [Bush] was referring to anybody in particular, he was referring to Jimmy Carter who recently hugged a murdering terrorist in Damascus" ("Hannity & Colmes," FNC, 5/15).

Joe Biden, on calling Bush's remarks "bulls---": "I shouldn't have used that word. I came off the elevator, and I was confronted with what had happened. And I responded. I should have just said malarkey. But the essence of what I was saying is absolutely accurate. This is outrageous" ("Situation Room," CNN, 5/15).

More Biden: "If talking to the Iranians is appeasement, I assume the president of the United States is going to come home and fire Secretary Gates and fire the secretary of state, Condi Rice, both of whom have been saying we should be sitting down and talking with the Iranians. ... It's pure, pure political gamesmanship, appealing to American fear" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 5/15).

After the jump, more Obama and reviews of McCain's presidential goals speech (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
15

Hotline TV: The War For The Congress

May 15, 2008 | 4:59 PM

May
15

CA's Gay Marriage Ban Deemed Unconstitutional

May 15, 2008 | 2:10 PM

A CA judge ruled today that the state's ban on gay marriage is unconstitutional, likening it to laws requiring racial segregation in schools and saying that there appears to be "no rational purpose" for denying marriage to gay couples, reports the AP. If upheld on appeal, the decision could clear the path for CA to follow MA in allowing same-sex couples to marry.

UPDATE: Obama campaign statement on California Supreme Court decision: "Barack Obama has always believed that same-sex couples should enjoy equal rights under the law, and he will continue to fight for civil unions as President. He respects the decision of the California Supreme Court, and continues to believe that states should make their own decisions when it comes to the issue of marriage.”

May
15

Waxman And Berman For Obama

May 15, 2008 | 1:29 PM

Reps. Henry Waxman and Howard Berman, California Super Ds and House committee chairmen, endorsed Barack Obama today. Waxman says that he stayed upcommitted so that Hillary Clinton "had every opportunity to bring her campaign to the American people," but that it's clear the Democratic Party is "nearing a broad consensus on our nominee." His full statement is available after the jump.

And here's Berman's comment, released by Obama's campaign: “Barack Obama has laid out a foreign policy vision driven by principle and conviction, and he understands that our moral authority and our safety as a nation go hand in hand. I spoke with him about a number of foreign policy issues that most concern me. He assured me that he shares my views. The moment President Obama takes office, we’ll send a powerful message to the world that America is back and ready to lead again—that we haven’t abandoned the values that made us the light of the world, and neither should anyone else.”

May
15

McCain: "Most "Troops Out Of Iraq By 2013

May 15, 2008 | 12:42 PM

COLUMBUS, OH – An appeal for cooperation, an optimistic target date for troop drawdown, and a lofty call for post-partisan sweetness and light.

For John McCain, Barack Obama doesn't own hope.

In a news-rich speech this morning in the key swing state of Ohio, the nominee-to-be of the Republican Party outlined his image of his own future presidency, including the prediction that - by January 2013 – the Iraq War will have been won and "most" of the troops in the region will have returned home. McCain also described a future administration marked by transparency, bipartisanship, selfless solutions and measured debate.

Call it a much-needed rebranding of a Republican Party at its stomping saddest. After losing its third special election Tuesday – and likely facing a Democratic party steered by the candidate whose word-associations are all about change and hope – the GOP's need for a pick-me up is no secret. (McCain acknowledged as much yesterday. "I have a lot of work to do," he told reporters when asked about the party's loss in Mississippi this week. "I have no delusions that this campaign will be a very difficult challenge.")

Today, McCain's promises for the future were sunny. Acknowledging that he "cannot guarantee" achievement of each goal, he went on to lay out a series of hopeful proposals for foreign and domestic policies.
Within four years of his inauguration, he said, a new flatter tax will save Americans billions of dollars. The genocide in Darfur will be ending, the border will be secure, and Osama bin Laden will be dead or captured. There will be more jobs and less obese kids. Commander-in-Chief McCain will be holding weekly press conferences, and Democrats will be a part of his administration. (No word on how the polar bears are doing or whether Dancing with the Stars is still on the air.)

The vision outlined this morning provided a marked - if not explicit - contrast to the status quo. (Note his promise, for example, that he will not "subvert the purpose of legislation I have signed by making statements that indicate I will enforce only the parts of it I like.")

McCain's wording on Iraq, in particular, has prompted a flurry of debate over whether the 2013 date implies a timetable for withdrawal. (Campaign aides say that Democratic timetables are not contingent on success in the war, whereas McCain's calendar provides a hopeful target but not an unconditional end date.)

But during his remarks at the Greater Columbus Convention Center this morning, the greatest applause might have come during McCain's clarion call to cease and desist with partisan bickering. "This mindless, paralyzing rancor must come to an end," he declared.

(NBC/NJ's CARRIE DANN)

Text of McCain's full speech available after the jump.

May
15

United Steelworkers For Obama

May 15, 2008 | 12:19 PM

Full endorsement release available after the jump.

And here's the RNC react: “Big union endorsements are no substitute for Obama’s serious lack of experience and understanding of economic policy. Obama’s poor judgment on economic matters would result in higher taxes on rank-and-file union members and hurt job creation. Americans looking for strong economic leadership won’t find it in Obama’s tax-and-spend agenda.” – Alex Conant, RNC Spokesman

May
15

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 15, 2008 | 10:06 AM

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May
15

Bush Invokes Nazi Germany To Criticize Policy Of "Appeasement"

May 15, 2008 | 9:41 AM

In comments apparently directed at the likely Democratic nominee, President Bush jumped full force into the presidential contest today, telling the Israeli Knesset in Jerusalem that any U.S. foreign policy allowing negotiations with terrorists should be unequivocally discounted as detrimental to stability in the region and the security of Israel.

"Some seem to believe we should negotiate with the terrorists and radicals, as if some ingenious argument will persuade them they have been wrong all along," Bush told the Israeli lawmakers. "We have heard this foolish delusion before. As Nazi tanks crossed into Poland in 1939, an American senator declared: 'Lord, if only I could have talked to Hitler, all of this might have been avoided.' We have an obligation to call this what it is -- the false comfort of appeasement, which has been repeatedly discredited by history."

Though White House spokeswoman Dana Perino told reporters after the speech that Bush was not referencing Obama's campaign trail suggestion that he would meet with the Iranians, the Illinois senator promptly issued a stern statement chiding Bush for politicizing Israel's anniversary and noting that does not intend to negotiate with terrorists.

“It is sad that President Bush would use a speech to the Knesset on the 60th anniversary of Israel's independence to launch a false political attack," Obama said in a statement released by his campaign. "It is time to turn the page on eight years of policies that have strengthened Iran and failed to secure America or our ally Israel. Instead of tough talk and no action, we need to do what Kennedy, Nixon and Reagan did and use all elements of American power - including tough, principled, and direct diplomacy - to pressure countries like Iran and Syria. George Bush knows that I have never supported engagement with terrorists, and the President's extraordinary politicization of foreign policy and the politics of fear do nothing to secure the American people or our stalwart ally Israel.”

Bush's remarks will drown out expected day-after discussion about the impact of John Edwards' endorsement of the Illinois senator in Grand Rapids last night. Instead, the wisdom and underlying political intention of the president's comments will be debated for days to come.

Even Sen. Joe Lieberman -- 2008's Zell Miller apparently -- issued a statement endorsing the president's comments: “President Bush got it exactly right today when he warned about the threat of Iran and its terrorist proxies like Hamas and Hezbollah. It is imperative that we reject the flawed and naïve thinking that denies or dismisses the words of extremists and terrorists when they shout “Death to America” and “Death to Israel,” and that holds that—if only we were to sit down and negotiate with these killers—they would cease to threaten us. It is critical to our national security that our commander-in-chief is able to distinguish between America’s friends and America’s enemies, and not confuse the two.”

May
15

Hotline After Dark -- Double Whammy

May 15, 2008 | 9:03 AM

John Edwards' endorsement of Barack Obama was the talk of the TV last night.

NBC's Todd, asked if Obama gets Edwards' delegates: "He's likely to. ... These pledged delegates to Edwards are basically kind of like superdelegates. ... We've learned all of these delegates could change their mind at any moment. You know, they're not legally bound to anybody. But the assumption is, of course, that if you have a pledged delegate that they are rabidly for you. ... You would assume most of them, if pressured, would gravitate over to Obama" ("Countdown," MSNBC, 5/14).

CNN's Borger: "I think it's got to be a great disappointment for Hillary Clinton. Both she and Barack Obama were really courting John Edwards, keeping in touch with him, talking about his poverty agenda. She really reached out to him quite often. And I think she would have appreciated an endorsement from him at any time, but particularly early on. So this has got to be a real problem for her" ("Situation Room," 5/14).

FNC's Barnes: "It helps this way: Obama suffered a 41-point defeat in the presidential primary in West Virginia yesterday -- 41 points. And the big story today is not that, it's John Edwards with his meaningless endorsement of Barack Obama" ("Special Report," 5/14).

Air America's Maddow: "The fact that this came on the same day that NARAL the abortion rights group also endorsed Obama, that is a stinging double whammy for Clinton" ("Race for the WH," MSNBC, 5/14).

After the jump, more Edwards and HRC makes the TV rounds (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
14

Where Was Elizabeth?

May 14, 2008 | 8:37 PM

John Edwards' better half was absent from his big Barack Obama endorsement event this evening in Grand Rapids. While JRE's backing lends Obama credibility with the white, working class, Elizabeth Edwards' support would've signaled to women, to the faithful boomers holding tight to Hillary Clinton's campaign, that it's okay to let go of their hope that she will be the first woman president.

Obama needs women to emerge from the bruising primaries as enthusiastic about him as they are about Clinton; in several state contests, after all, female voters have comprised about six of 10 Dems voting (59% in OH, 58% in PA, 57% in NH).

The bottom line, in case anyone doubted, is that Elizabeth Edwards matters. She matters to voters who view her as a strong advocate for reforming America's health care system, and she matters to the working moms who see themselves in her.

Elizabeth Edwards' absence from the rally this eve should also dampen buzz about a joint Obama/JRE ticket. The visual would've been all the more effective had Elizabeth and Michelle Obama stood with their husbands as the two men embraced.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
14

McCain On Wife's Sudan-Related Investment

May 14, 2008 | 8:25 PM

OBETZ, OH -- One thing's for sure: Polar bears are way cuter than investors and lobbyists.

John McCain, in the midst of a green-focused campaign swing, opened his brief press conference today by commenting on the official recognition of polar bears as "threatened" under the endangered species act.

The follow up questions were not about cute animals.

Instead, they prompted similar responses to two tough lines of questioning for the Arizona senator: We took care of that.

McCain, whose wife has come under fire for refusing to disclose her tax return documents, fielded tough questions about her investment in a mutual fund that deals in Sudan, as well as about the resignation of two McCain aides over their involvement in lobbying deals with the Myanmar junta.

The Arizona senator said that he was not aware of his wife's investment in two mutual funds that include holdings in Oil & Natural Gas Corp., which in turn does business in the genocide-ridden African nation.

May
14

Except That It Is Almost Over

May 14, 2008 | 8:20 PM

“We respect John Edwards, but as the voters of West Virginia showed last night, this thing is far from over.” -- Terry McAuliffe, Clinton camp chairman, 5/14

May
14

"The Democratic Voters In America Have Made Their Choice, And So Have I"

May 14, 2008 | 8:18 PM

May
14

Edwards To Endorse Obama

May 14, 2008 | 5:16 PM

john-edwards.jpg

Tonight in Grand Rapids. Campaign confirming ... John Edwards, if you'll remember, won 19 delegates before pulling out of the race.

May
14

McCain Ad Watch: Another Small Buy

May 14, 2008 | 4:31 PM

I reported yesterday that John McCain's OR ad buy turned out to be peanuts, just $1,310. Today I learned that his WI buy -- Green Bay focused -- is equally small, about $2,180, according to sources.

So the strategy ...

1. To make it look like McCain is playing early in Dem-leaning states.

2. To piggyback, as best he can, on the Dem primary contest and the voter interest its generated.

3. To make appeals based on moderate matters, such as the environment, as he did in OR -- an effort to remind voters of his maverick, moderate reputation, even as Barack Obama is promising that McCain would provide a third term of George Bush's policies.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
14

Where The Wind Comes Whippin' Down The Plains

May 14, 2008 | 3:55 PM

OK Senate President Pro Tempore Mike Morgan, who is a designated superdelegate for the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, endorsed Barack Obama for president today, according to the campaign. The camp says that the nod boosts Obama's Super D take to 288.5, with 134.5 to go to secure the nom.

“Senator Obama embodies the character of a leader that I believe all Oklahomans and all Americans want—principled and strong and ready to change the way business is done in Washington," Morgan said in a statement released by Obama's team. "He understands bringing people together and giving everyone a seat at the table will move our state and our country forward, and I deeply admire that about Senator Obama.”

May
14

Hotline TV: Gamechanger Election Alters Political Landscape?

May 14, 2008 | 3:51 PM

May
14

And They're Eating Their Young

May 14, 2008 | 3:26 PM

Talk about losing sight of the broader mission. Emily's List shows in the statement released today by the group that there is indeed festering friction in the pro-choice community over the Dem primary. Following NARAL Pro-Choice America's endorsement today of Barack Obama, Emily's founder Ellen Malcolm, who serves as national co-chairwoman of Hillary Clinton's campaign, released this blistering statement:

“I think it is tremendously disrespectful to Sen. Clinton - who held up the nomination of a FDA commissioner in order to force approval of Plan B and who spoke so eloquently during the Supreme Court nomination about the importance of protecting Roe vs. Wade - to not give her the courtesy to finish the final three weeks of the primary process. It certainly must be disconcerting for elected leaders who stand up for reproductive rights and expect the choice community will stand with them.”

Earlier in the primaries, Emily's went after Obama for those pesky "present" votes he cast on choice-related bills while an IL state senator. Why? The group's spokeswomen said he showed a lack of commitment to reproductive health rights for women. Planned Parenthood of IL in turn assured reporters that Obama had voted "present" at the group's request as part of a strategy to help Dems from moderate districts beg off a vote on a bill that wouldn't ultimately pass. The votes alone, however, would have given the GOP ammo to run against those Dems, who could have been targeted for saying no to a partial birth abortion ban, for example.

Dividing the Dems on the choice issue for the sake of Clinton's doomed candidacy is terribly dangerous. Women voters deserve the truth about Obama's views on choice and his record. Muddying that conversation and sparking an intra-party feud at just the moment the two camps need to unite women, in particular, for the sake of the party come November can only be described as startlingly myopic, a Kamikaze mission.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
14

Dwindling Options

May 14, 2008 | 2:54 PM

MISSOULA, MT - Bill Clinton made an expanded and direct argument for seating Florida and Michigan delegates Wednesday, suggesting his wife is being punished even though other Democrats supported moving the primary elections earlier in both states and did not back a recount when she did.

"I never thought it would be the Democratic Party that didn't want to count votes in Florida," he said at a rally at the University of Montana. "I thought that was a Republican strategy - or strategery as the case may be. And I just ask you all this, do you really believe Florida would be getting this kind of treatment if the vote had turned out the other way?"

For more than six minutes, Clinton went through the timeline of how both states lost their election delegates, and who he believes is to blame. While he has made the case before, he placed new emphasis on it Wednesday, as it becomes clearer that seating the delegates from both states is one of the few remaining options to help Hillary Clinton defeat Barack Obama.

May
14

NARAL Pro-Choice America For Obama

May 14, 2008 | 2:47 PM

NARAL Pro-Choice America endorsed Barack Obama today. Nancy Keenan, the group's president, praised Obama and Hillary Clinton for their leadership in standing up for women’s reproductive rights throughout this campaign, but noted in a statement released by Obama's camp that only one candidate can advance to the general election.

“Pro-choice Americans have been fortunate to have two strong pro-choice candidates in Sen. Obama and Sen. Clinton, both of whom have inspired millions of new voters to participate in this historic presidential race,” Keenan said. “Today, we are proud to put our organization’s grassroots and political support behind the pro-choice candidate whom we believe will secure the Democratic nomination and advance to the general election. That candidate is Sen. Obama.”

May
14

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 14, 2008 | 10:24 AM

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May
14

Senators Still On The (D) Fence

May 14, 2008 | 10:19 AM

As Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton cavorted with their colleagues on the Senate floor yesterday, an air of uncertainty loomed. When will their uncommitted colleagues cast their lot with the other superdelegates, ending this bitter primary once and for all?

May
14

Hotline After Dark -- Staying Alive

May 14, 2008 | 8:50 AM

Hillary Clinton's big win in WV prompted a lot of discussion about what this means for Barack Obama, including his problem with white, working-class voters.

Karl Rove: "It doesn't change much of the narrative about Senator Obama's weakness. In fact, it heightens it. He has a big problem with working-class, white, blue-collar voters. He cannot break through to them. Tonight, he should be doing better than he is in West Virginia, given the fact that momentum is on his side. He is the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party. And for him to do as badly as he did among this key voter group tonight, you know, speaks of some real weakness in the general election."

More Rove: "I think he made a mistake by not going out tonight and having a speech. ... For the first time since this primary season began, did not go out and have a primetime event during which he could speak to the American people. ... I think that was a little bit of a tactical mistake. He missed an opportunity to lay his message out. ... It makes him look like a sore loser. ... And it also makes him look like he lacks confidence" ("On the Record," FNC, 5/13).

Obama supporter/Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA): "I think that too often the commentary in the primary has focused on how we can categorize voters. ... I think a lot it doesn't make much sense because we're talking about a primary election versus a general election. ... I think he can deliver that message without getting into categories and pitching a message to one group of Americans versus others. I think he can have a very broad based message" (MSNBC, 5/13).

Clinton comm. dir. Howard Wolfson: "A week ago, people were telling Senator Clinton to get out. Tonight, we may have a 35-point win in a key swing state. So a lot can change in even a week. ... No Democrat has been elected president without winning West Virginia since Woodrow Wilson. ... Let's see what happens when people wake up tomorrow, they open their paper, Clinton landslide in West Virginia, a key swing state, a state that Democrats must win in November against John McCain, a state that Hillary Clinton has pledged and promised to win against John McCain. ... People are going to pause. They're going to look and see what happens in the upcoming states. We're looking forward to Kentucky and Oregon and the upcoming states. We've got to do well. We think we'll do well" (CNN, 5/13).

More after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
13

Boehner On MS-01 Outcome: Uh Oh

May 13, 2008 | 11:08 PM

House Republican Leader John Boehner (R-OH) tonight responded to the MS-01 special election results with this cautionary statement:

“The results in MS-01 should serve as a wake-up call to Republican candidates nationwide. As I’ve said before, this is a change election, and if we want Americans to vote for us we have to convince them that we can fix Washington. Our presidential nominee, Senator McCain, is an agent of change; candidates who hope to succeed must show that they’re willing and able to join McCain in a leading movement for reform. We need to stop wasteful Washington spending, fight and win the war on terror, and stop the largest tax increase in history. That is truly the change the American people deserve -- and that is a message on which we can succeed.”

May
13

Results

May 13, 2008 | 10:44 PM

With 61% of precincts reporting, Clinton leads Obama in WV, 65% to 28%. Or 144,518 to 61,400, according to MSNBC.

Clinton's delegate advantage so far: 16 to 6.

May
13

Make That 236 For Dems

May 13, 2008 | 10:17 PM

The third time proved to be the disaster for GOPers, as Prentiss Co. Chancery Clerk Travis Childers (D) defeated Southaven Mayor Greg Davis (R) in tonight’s MS-01 special election, according to the AP. Childers, who will fill the remainder of Sen/ex-Rep. Roger Wicker’s (R) term, leads 51-49%, with 80% of the precincts reporting.

The House makeup is now 236 Dems and 199 GOPers.

This is the third seat GOPers have lost in special elections this year, and symbolically, it was the biggest one. Not only was it the safest GOP seat of the trio – Pres. Bush took 62% here in ’04 – it was also the one in which the party went all out in an effort to save it. Every major MS GOP politician campaigned for Davis, and VP Cheney parachuted into the CD for an election eve rally.

With all of this very visible GOP activity in the CD, the loss represents a referendum on the party. In previous contests, the GOP could blame poor candidates and other factors. In MS-01, while Davis wasn’t exactly the most polished of candidates, he certainly wasn’t unacceptable, as Woody Jenkins (R) and Jim Oberweis (R) were in LA-06 and IL-14, respectively.

May
13

Got A Dime?

May 13, 2008 | 10:13 PM

stacks of money.jpg

Hillary Clinton wasted no time this evening sending out this plea for cash:

Dear XYZ,

After tonight's tremendous victory here in West Virginia, it's clear that the pundits declaring this race over have it all wrong. The voters in West Virginia spoke loud and clear -- they want this contest to go on.

I'm listening to the voters -- and to you.

With your help, I'm going to carry the energy of tonight's victory into the next contests in Kentucky and Oregon. And just as always, I'll be depending on you to share every step of this journey with me. You have worked your heart out, put yourself on the line for what you believe in, and given generously. And I'm not about to turn my back on you.

We've proved conventional wisdom wrong time and again in this race. We did it again tonight in West Virginia. Let's keep going.

Thank you,

Hillary Clinton

May
13

HRC: "Faith Can Move Mountains"

May 13, 2008 | 9:02 PM

"Like the song says, 'It's almost heaven,' and I am so grateful for this overwhelming vote of confidence. Now, there are some who have wanted to cut this race short. They say, 'Give up, it's too hard, the mountain is too high.' But here in West Virginia, you know a thing or two about rough roads to the top of the mountain. We know from the Bible that faith can move mountains. And my friends, the faith of the Mountain State has moved me. I am more determined than ever to carry on this campaign until everyone has had a chance to make their voices heard."

--Hillary Clinton in Charleston, WV, tonight

Clinton struck a conciliatory note this evening, promising to fight for the eventual nominee, but she noted, too, that the presidential contest is waged "for a solemn and crucial purpose," and she vowed to continue on through the end of the primary season.

Clinton commended Barack Obama and his supporters for a hard-fought race. There was no combative talk tonight, however, of results trumping rhetoric.

She made a familiar plea for cash, directing supporters to her Web site. And she noted, as her campaign has intensely over the last few months, that she and Obama believe the FL and MI delegates should be seated at the party's convention in Denver -- though they differ, of course, about the details.

Clinton defended her continued participation in a contest that has been all but called for her rival, saying she is in the race because she believes she is the "strongest candidate" to lead the party in November and the nation beginning January 2009.

"The bottom line is this," she said, "the White House is won in the swing states, and I am winning the swing states."

She added: "I'll stand with you as long as you stand with me."

But, sounding a wistful note, the New York senator said she is committed to electing a Democratic president in the fall, and she noted that the party's candidate "will be stronger for having campaigned long and hard."

"I will work my heart out for the nominee of the Democratic Party to make sure we have a Democratic president," she said.

Clinton gave gracious thanks to WV Sen. Robert Byrd and Gov. Joe Manchin -- undeclared superdelegates -- for their warm welcome to her cause. It was a sign that she's still making a plea for their support. Her fate belongs to the superdelegates.

Tonight's speech, however, sounded like a final argument. Clinton, tough, combative, scrappy throughout this 15-month fight, didn't even take a shot at the presumptive GOP nominee, John McCain.

"Let's finish the job we started," Clinton said, her husband and daughter, usually by her side, were nowhere to be found. "America is worth fighting for."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
13

HRC's Wed Eve TV Blitz

May 13, 2008 | 8:31 PM

--ABC World News

--CBS Evening News

--CNN’s Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer

--FOX News

--NBC Nightly News

May
13

Obama Holds MO Town Hall As WV Called

May 13, 2008 | 8:16 PM

CAPE GIRARDEAU, MO – As the West Virginia primary race came to a close Tuesday, Barack Obama held a town hall with garment workers here, another sign he was shifting his focus to key general election battlegrounds.

Missouri Sen. Claire McCaskill, a supporter, introduced the Illinois senator at Thorngate Ltd., a men’s suit manufacturing plant with about 500 employees. The roughly 100 guests in attendance were invited by the campaign and the company.

"This is no traditional, ordinary candidate, 'cause you know, if you were a traditional, ordinary candidate you might think, 'Well, don't go campaign in Cape Girardeau. It's too many Republicans," she said. "But this isn't somebody who's playing the game the way it's always been played. In fact, he's running so we no longer play the game that's always been played."

The Illinois senator leads Hillary Clinton in the popular vote, the number of states, pledged delegates and now the number of superdelegates won, and many political observers believe the race for the Democratic Party’s nomination is all but over. His campaign expects Clinton win in West Virginia and Kentucky, which votes next week, and they put out a memo this afternoon saying just that. It included a reminder that Obama won neighboring Virginia by 29 points, highlighting his gains among superdelegates and arguing he is well-positioned in national polls.

Today’s event was intended to begin to position Obama for the general election and allow him to start to enunciate his differences with John McCain. Obama did not mention Clinton in his opening remarks.

"There's a reason that record numbers of Americans think that the U.S. is on the wrong track. The number has never been higher: 82% of the American people think we are going on the wrong direction," Obama said, before going on to link John McCain to George Bush on the economy and Iraq and say lobbyists were running McCain's campaign.

Obama also criticized the Arizona senator's environmental record: "John McCain, he just went out to Oregon was making a big speech about how he was in favor of dealing with global warming and he wants to develop these new energies and new technologies, except you know what – there’s something called the investment tax credit that he has not voted to renew, that you have to renew if you want to have these new wind factories opening up."

McCain spokesman Tucker Bounds sent a response: "Barack Obama debuted his 2008 attack playbook showing more of the same negative, partisan politics that have paralyzed Washington for too long. Barack Obama talks about change and bipartisanship, but he has never showed the leadership needed to bridge party divides. Senator Obama says he stood up to the special interests, but he voted to give billions in taxpayers' money to the same big oil companies he so often decries. Senator Obama offers nothing more than the soaring rhetoric of an old-style, partisan politician, and his lack of experience suggests that's all he'll be able to deliver."

May
13

Say What?

May 13, 2008 | 8:10 PM

"It's almost like she's the Al Sharpton of white people."

- Chris Matthews, on Hillary Clinton, MSNBC, 5/13.

May
13

A Bright Spot For Bill

May 13, 2008 | 8:03 PM

Bill Clinton won high marks from WV voters, almost two of three (62%) said he was very or somewhat important in their decision. Among those exit poll respondents who gave props to WJC, 79% voted for Hillary Clinton, 19% voted for Barack Obama. Of the 33% who said he wasn't a factor, 55% backed Obama, 39% went for HRC.

WJC won WV in 1992 and 1996.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
13

Puerto Rico, My Heart's Devotion

May 13, 2008 | 7:58 PM

PuertoRico.jpg

CNN's Yellin reports that Chelsea Clinton is in Puerto Rico today, a sign that her mother will indeed fight until June 3, when the Dem primary contests wrap. PR votes June 1.

Meanwhile, Michelle Obama heads to San Juan and Old San Juan tomorrow.

May
13

WV Exits: Clinton Hits A Home Run

May 13, 2008 | 7:34 PM

A demographic sweep for Hillary Clinton in WV:

-- Women went 71% to 27% for Clinton; men opted for Clinton, too, 59% to 37%;

-- Barack Obama lost each age group, including the 17-29 set, which he typically wins. Today, it went 57% to 41% for Clinton;

-- Obama lost each income group as well. Consistent with her performances to date, Clinton played stronger with lower income earners. The less-than-50K set went 69% to 28% for HRC. Those earning more than 50K also edged for HRC, 59% to 37%;

-- Non college voters (68%) opted for Clinton, 70% to 27%, while college educated voters (32%) went for HRC, 54% to 43%;

-- Interestingly, almost half (48%) of WV voters said change mattered most for them as they cast their ballots today. Among them, Obama won out, 53% to 45%. Clinton, however, trounced her rival among those voters who said that it mattered most that the candidate cares about them, has experience and can win in Nov;

-- Meanwhile, 88% of those who voted said the economic slowdown has affected them a great deal/somewhat;

-- 59% of voters noted that HRC attacked Obama more than Obama attacked her, while 48% said the reverse; and

-- The Rev. Jeremiah Wright fallout lingers; half of voters said today that Obama shares the views of his former pastor.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
13

Nets Call WV For Clinton

May 13, 2008 | 7:30 PM

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(photo credit: Mike Dec, blog.4President.us)

May
13

Team Obama's WV Spin

May 13, 2008 | 7:05 PM

TO: Interested Parties

FR: The Obama Campaign

RE: West Virginia and Obama’s Strong Position in the Race Ahead

DA: 5/13/08

West Virginia

There is no question that Senator Clinton is going to win by huge margins in the upcoming primaries in West Virginia today and Kentucky next weeks. She has poured resources into both states and she, former President Clinton, and Chelsea Clinton have all campaigned extraordinarily hard there.

The Clinton campaign has already been touting their margins in these states – In fact, Bill Clinton said that Hillary can win West Virginia with 80 percent—and the West Virginia Senate Majority Leader said Clinton needs to win by “80-20 or 90-10.” And in keeping large margins in perspective, it is worth noting that, while Senator Clinton will win big in West Virginia, Barack Obama won neighboring Virginia by 29 points.

But with 49 contests behind us and only six to go -- including several states where we expect to do well -- Barack Obama leads in pledged delegates, contests won, and superdelegates. And for perspective, while 28 pledged delegates are up for grabs this evening, Obama has won the support of 27 superdelegates in the course of just the last week putting him less than 150 total delegates away from clinching the Democratic nomination.

Obama’s Strong Position in the Race Ahead

Nationally, Obama is running stronger among Independent voters than any winning Presidential candidate since 1988 and is significantly outperforming Sen. Clinton among these voters as well in general election polling.

To understand a potential general election match-up between Obama and McCain, the only analysis and data that should be considered valid are the current head-to-head National polls rather than extrapolating irrelevant assumptions from exit poll data in Democratic primaries.

And, on the issue of Democratic unity in the Fall, analysts need only consider that in April of 1992, on a night when Bill Clinton won four primaries and was the presumptive nominee, 6 in 10 Democratic primary voters said they wanted another candidate in the race. Despite this, five months later, Democratic voters were unified behind Clinton and he won his first of two terms in office.

May
13

WV Polls Close 7:30 p.m.

May 13, 2008 | 6:58 PM
May
13

USA Today/Gallup: More Than Half Of Dems Want HRC To Be Veep

May 13, 2008 | 3:44 PM

The USA Today/Gallup poll out today shows that 55% of Democrats want Barack Obama to select Hillary Clinton as his veep. The same percentage of primary voters want to see Clinton continue to campaign, rather than pull out.

There is, by the way, a significant and not surprising difference between HRC and Obama supporters when asked if they'd like Obama to run with Clinton: 73% of Clinton supporters say yes, compared with 43% of Obamacrats.

May
13

Hotline TV: Drop Out Or Fight On?

May 13, 2008 | 3:38 PM

May
13

Team HRC: "The Mountain State Is Used To Picking Winners"

May 13, 2008 | 2:44 PM

To: Interested Parties

From: Clinton Campaign

Date: Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Re: Why West Virginia Matters

With a record turnout expected in today’s primary, West Virginia Democrats will make clear who they believe is the strongest candidate to take on Sen. McCain in the Fall.

The Mountain State is used to picking winners. Every nominee has carried the state’s primary since 1976, and no Democrat has won the White House without winning West Virginia since 1916.

Democrats carried West Virginia in 1992 and 1996, but lost the state—and the White House--in 2000 and 2004. Hillary has predicted victory against Sen. McCain in West Virginia based on the strength of her economic message.

Given the attempts by our opponent and some in the media to declare this race over, any significant increase in voter turnout, coupled with a decisive Clinton victory, would send a strong message that Democrats remain excited and energized by Hillary’s candidacy.

In the face of grim poll numbers, the Obama campaign has attempted to dismiss today’s outcome despite the fact that Sen. Obama has outspent us on advertising, has more staff in the state, and more than double the number of offices.

He has also benefited from the support of the most high-profile endorsers in West Virginia—Sen. Jay Rockefeller and Congressman Nick Rahall. By every measure, the Obama campaign has waged an aggressive campaign in the Mountain State.

Despite being the so-called “presumptive nominee” and benefiting from these advantages, Sen. Obama has been unable to close a significant gap in the polls.

Sen. Clinton has already won Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida and Michigan. With a win in West Virginia, Sen. Clinton will have once again proven her greater ability to win in the key swing states.

May
13

28

May 13, 2008 | 2:31 PM

There are 28 pledged delegates on the table today in WV. Hillary Clinton is expected to practically sweep. But take note -- Barack Obama has snagged 28 delegates since NC and IN voted last Tuesday. The full list is available after the jump.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

UPDATE: And Prince George's Cty (MD) Exec Jack Johnson, who flipped today from HRC to Obama, makes 29.

May
13

Chump Change

May 13, 2008 | 2:26 PM

Word from OR is that John McCain's ad buy there for his "Better Way" spot is, drumroll: $1,310. So, he's not exactly flooding the airwaves. ...

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
13

On Call And WV, Perfect Together

May 13, 2008 | 10:32 AM

On Call posts this week will be lighter than usual due to a few pending projects requiring my attention, BUT we'll bring you live team coverage this evening of the WV primary. Check On Call early and often for the latest news and information about the Mountain State contest.

May
13

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 13, 2008 | 10:17 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
13

Hotline After Dark -- Mountain Mama

May 13, 2008 | 8:37 AM

Last night's TV primarily focused on today's primary in WV.

FNC's Garrett: "[Hillary Clinton's] advisers say if there's a huge turnout tomorrow and Clinton wins by more than 25, it will send a signal to all the 'know-it-alls inside the beltway' that Clinton is still in this race" ("Special Report," 5/12).

MSNBC's Carlson, on Clinton chair Terry McAuliffe saying if Barack Obama were the nominee, how does the Dem nominee not win WV and KY: "He raises a really interesting question, which is: Why are all these people in West Virginia and Kentucky apparently going to vote for Hillary Clinton? They have television now in West Virginia, they can read. They know she can't win mathematically, but they are voting for her any way. So, what does that tell you? People don't like to vote for doomed candidates. They really don't. They're voting against Barack Obama, this points up a very serious weakness in his campaign. And Terry McAuliffe, though he is the 'Picasso' of spin, he's right. This is something Democrats should pay very close attention to. This says something profound about Obama's weakness" ("Verdict," 5/12).

CNN's Toobin: "Obama is going to be the nominee. But the question of how he gets poor, working-class, mostly white voters throughout Appalachia, whether it's West Virginia, or Ohio, or Kentucky, or Pennsylvania, those are votes that ... a Democrat needs. ... Now, just because they voted for Hillary in the primary doesn't mean they won't vote for him. But he's got his work cut out for him, and I think it is issue for him" ("Situation Room," 5/12).

Newsweek's Fineman: "This is one of few times where the Obama campaign is being too cute by half. I think they needed to make more of an effort in Kentucky and West Virginia because those are states that they shouldn't now take off the general election map, which they're in effect doing. Those are states that Bill Clinton won, that Democrats have generally needed to win" ("Countdown," MSNBC, 5/12).

After the jump, McCain goes green and Edwards says no (again) to VP spot (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
12

Let The General Begin

May 12, 2008 | 1:13 PM

Barack Obama will turn his attention to several general election battleground states this week, including MO, MI and FL, sources say.

The strategy, no doubt, is to shift focus from Hillary Clinton's likely big double-digit victory in WV tomorrow to the seemingly inevitable battle between Obama and John McCain. So the big Wednesday header will be: 'Obama Makes Pitch For Unity To Disgruntled FL/MI Dems' ... drowning out news of HRC's Mountain State win.

Obama's pending travel plans prompted comment from the Republican National Committee today. “Barack Obama can travel wherever he wants, but it won’t make his calls for higher taxes, restricted gun rights, and proposed meetings with state sponsors of terrorism any more appealing," spokesman Alex Conant said in a statement. "Wherever Obama takes his flawed message, voters will learn more about the weak leadership he has demonstrated on important issues confronting the nation. Obama’s punitive tax plan shows he doesn’t understand the American economy or how to rejuvenate it – and that’s no different in Michigan, Florida or the other the states on his itinerary.”

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
12

"A Better Way"

May 12, 2008 | 11:45 AM

John McCain, continuing to piggyback on the Dem primary contests, launched this new spot today on climate change in OR:

May
12

ME Super D For Obama

May 12, 2008 | 11:02 AM

Rep. Tom Allen, a Super D and ME Senate candidate, today pleged his support to Barack Obama, according to the senator's campaign. Allen said he believes Obama and Hillary Clinton are “supremely qualified to be president,” but he called for an end to the Dems' primary battle.

“I have been friends for a very long time with former President Clinton and Senator Clinton," he said in a statement released by Obama's campaign. "I respect their service to our nation. Hillary Clinton has run a vigorous campaign and has attracted a passionate following in Maine and around the country. She loves this country and is a true leader. For her service, I am grateful. Most of the primary voters across the nation have now spoken. It is time to bring a graceful end to the primary campaign. We now need to unify the Democratic Party and focus on electing Senator Obama and a working majority in the United States Senate. That is how we can change the direction of the country."

May
12

Sunday Snapshot -- Should She Stay Or Should She Go Now?

May 12, 2008 | 9:10 AM

The Sunday shows continued to discuss the odds that Hillary Clinton will capture the Dem nod.

Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid: "I think we have to play this out. ... President Clinton didn't get the nomination until June 2nd. So I think we should just relax a little bit. After that June 3rd date arrives, I think that [Barack] Obama and Clinton will have a few days to make their case to the uncommitted delegates, and then the decision will be made, and we'll have a five-month general election" ("This Week," ABC, 5/11).

DCCC Chair Chris Van Hollen (MD): "That's a decision for her to make. And, you know, we'll have to see how this goes forward. Again, obviously Obama has a lot of momentum right now. But until you have a majority of the delegates, it's not over" ("Late Edition," CNN, 5/11).

Sen. Joe Lieberman (I-CT): "As long as Senator Clinton is in there and Senator Obama doesn't have the pledged delegates he needs to clinch the nomination, it's not over" ("Late Edition," CNN, 5/11).

John Edwards: "I think it's very hard. ... In the last few weeks, I think she's become a stronger and stronger candidate. She's been making a pretty compelling case for her candidacy. The problem is, I think, you can no longer make a compelling case for the math. The math is very, very hard for her" ("Face the Nation," CBS, 5/11).

Chris Dodd, on Clinton staying in the race: "How the campaign is waged is more important than whether or not it's being waged. ... I'm confident, again, that Hillary Clinton understands how important it is that Democrats win this election, that we get back on track again both at home and abroad, that we have a candidate that the Democrats are united behind. And I know she wants to be a part of that, ultimately."

More: "Having been a candidate, it's awfully difficult when you're going 180 miles an hour in one direction and you have a rough night, as ... Senator Clinton did last Tuesday night, to expect to within 48 hours or 72 hours to reverse field, to stop everything and go in a different direction is asking way too much in my view. Give her a chance to breathe, to settle down, to recognize what's going on here. She'll make the right choice" (Meet the Press," NBC, 5/11).

More after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
12

Eleanor, Don't Fail Me Now

May 12, 2008 | 8:36 AM

ELEANOR, WV - Hillary Clinton invoked the name of one of her heroes, Eleanor Roosevelt, as she concluded a busy Mother's Day campaigning in the Mountain State.

"She is someone whom I am inspired by every day," Clinton said last night. "I used to kid people and tell them that I had conversations with Eleanor because she was a source of great advice."

She said America again needed the leadership of people like Roosevelt, her husband, Franklin, and Harry Truman, who she said "understood that helping people is what America's all about." "People aren't asking for a handout, they are asking for a helping hand, so that they can do their part and make their contributions," she said.

She also quoted Roosevelt as saying that a woman "is like a teabag -- you never know how strong she is until she's in hot water."

Clinton, as she has for most of the past week, offered only faint criticism of Barack Obama as she discussed health care and her plan for a gas tax holiday. On the former, she said simply that Democrats need to "stand for universal health care." And the only time she mentioned the Illinois senator by name was to note that he opposed her call for a gas tax holiday. "

"I think we should say to the oil companies, you gotta start being part of the solution. Help the drivers of WV bear this burden until we can have this longer term effort to have these prices down," she said.

Clinton, again joined by daughter, Chelsea, arrived a half hour early ahead of schedule for the event, her fourth stop of the day. She told the crowd of a few hundred at George Washington Middle School that they were counting West Virginians voting "in great numbers," hinting at a campaign strategy of at least building their popular vote numbers in the national contest.

"The eyes of the country and the world will be on West Virginia on Tuesday," she said. "There is no other state that is voting on Tuesday. There's no other state that everybody's going to be waiting to see what West Virginians have decided. This is West Virginia's time."

Clinton has three events in WV today. She returns tomorrow to Washington for Senate votes, before jetting to Charleston for what the campaign is sure will be a victory celebration Tuesday night.

(NBC/NJ's MIKE MEMOLI)

May
11

SNL's HRC: "I Am Just Not Going To Lose Gracefully"

May 11, 2008 | 6:24 PM

Amy Poehler and the SNL crew went to town last night on Hillary Clinton:

May
9

Naptime

May 9, 2008 | 9:16 PM

Get this guy some time off ...

May
9

McCain's Waterloo No More

May 9, 2008 | 6:32 PM

COLUMBIA, SC – Back on the soil that was once his Waterloo -- and now the site of his seminal political victory -- John McCain said today that he's ready for the general election.

"I am ready," he told reporters in Columbia, South Carolina, before launching into the canon of his objections to Barack Obama's policy positions. "I'm ready to take to the American people the challenges and the issues we face."

McCain did not comment directly on the results of Tuesday's Democratic primaries in Indiana and North Carolina, which have spurred predictions that Obama could seal his bid for the Democratic nomination in the coming weeks. But McCain's determination today to take on his possible general election opponent centered only on his differences with Obama - not Clinton - especially on matters of foreign policy. The Arizona senator continued to slam his probable opponent for proposing to meet with Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.

McCain mentioned the tensions in Iran and elsewhere in the Middle East earlier in his remarks when he acknowledged the "very serious situation" of mounting violence in Beirut at the hands of Hezbollah militants. The senator called Syria "the major motivator" of the aggression, and he called for increased United Nations involvement in the region.

"Pressures have to be brought to bear on Syria," he said, adding that "It's a very serious situation that calls for international concerted action to bring the situation under control."

The senator's press conference in South Carolina's state capital had an air of victory afresh. He was escorted by an adoring gaggle of longtime supporters -- including state Attorney General Henry McMaster, SC House Speaker Bobby Harrell, and U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham -- all largely credited for engineering his triumph in the 2008 SC primary, the sequel to his failed 2000 primary campaign. SC Gov. Mark Sanford, whose name has been bandied about as a potential vice presidential candidate for McCain, was unable to attend due to a commitment to part-time service in the Air Force Reserve. (His wife did attend.)

(NBC/NJ's CARRIE DANN)

May
9

Here's To Great Salesmen

May 9, 2008 | 4:49 PM

In the latest heated exhange between Mitt Romney and Barack Obama, Romney, who has been stumping for John McCain, said of the IL Sen.:

"He seems like a charming guy who's very well spoken. But in terms of actually having led, actually having accomplished something ... he's untested and unproven."

During the GOP primary contest, Romney pitched his executive experience -- as MA governor, head of the '02 Winter Olympics and co-founder of Bain Capital -- as a key selling point. Solid bona fides, by anyone's measure. But as he slams Obama for lacking comparable leadership experience, shouldn't he consider the deftness with which Obama has run his presidential campaign, the largest in modern history?

Let's compare the magnitude of Obama's campaign with Romney's first business, his private equity firm, Bain Capital:

--In Bain's first year, Romney persuaded investors to give him $36M.

--In Obama's first year as a candidate, he persuaded voters to invest $100M (which has since ballooned to $235M).

Meanwhile, Eric Kriss, a former partner at Bain and a MA cabinet member under Gov. Romney, said this of his former boss' credentials:

"Mitt ran a private equity firm, not a cement company. He was not a businessman in the sense of running a company. He was a great presenter, a great spokesman and a great salesman. ... In private equity and in consulting, a lot of what you rely on is trust and confidence and persuasion."

Trust. Confidence. Persuasion. Traits also inspired by and attributable to ... Obama.

(Hotline staff writer CHRIS BODENNER)

May
9

Chelsea's Mother's Day Message

May 9, 2008 | 4:18 PM

May
9

"Strongest Plan"

May 9, 2008 | 4:09 PM

Hillary Clinton's up in OR with a new ad featuring supporters Joe Wilson and Valerie Plame, who say that HRC has the "strongest plan" to get the country out of Iraq.

Here's the vid, per NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli.

May
9

Or Is The Flood Beginning?

May 9, 2008 | 3:29 PM

Laurie Weahkee, a NM Super D, is backing Barack Obama. Add U.S. Rep. Mazie Hirono of HI, too, to Obama's ledger. Both are per his campaign.

May
9

Hotline TV: Statboy Edition

May 9, 2008 | 3:22 PM

May
9

Trickle, Trickle

May 9, 2008 | 3:17 PM

Wilber Lee Jeffcoat, the Democratic Party Vice Chair in SC and a Super D, endorsed Barack Obama this afternoon, according to his campaign. Jeffcoat is the 269th superdelegate to endorse the IL Sen. Team Chicago believes Obama is 162 delegates away from securing the Democratic nomination.

“Barack Obama inspired thousands of new voters in my state of South Carolina to get involved in our democratic process, and I am proud to announce my endorsement today," he said in a statement released by the campaign. "With Barack Obama as our nominee, we can bring more and more new voters out to become involved and have their voices heard. Obama has worked his whole life to unite people from all backgrounds and walks of life for change, he has done that in this campaign and he will continue to do that as President. I am excited to join his campaign today.”

May
9

Hotline/Diageo Poll: McCain Lagging With GOPers, Obama's Indy Woes

May 9, 2008 | 2:49 PM

A Hotline/Diageo survey out today shows John McCain's support among GOP voters has dropped dramatically over the last two months, while the prolonged Dem battle appears to be damaging Barack Obama's favor with Inds.

Trouble Ahead?

The national poll of registered voters, taken April 30-May 3, shows enthusiasm for McCain within the GOP is lagging. Just 34% of GOP primary voters said they would back him enthusiastically, while 42% said their vote for McCain would be, at base, a vote against the eventual Dem nom. In our February survey, 50% of Repubs polled said they'd support McCain enthusiastically, and 30% said their vote for him is a vote against the Dem candidate.

Obama, meanwhile, has seen his support among Inds suffer as his party's fight for the nom trudges on. Just 44% of Inds said they have a favorable opinion of the IL Sen, white an equal number have an unfavorable opinion. In March, his fav/unfav was 49%/40%.

McCain's Ind fav/unfav, by contrast is 57%/29%, a likely sign that he has to some degree maintained his trademark "maverick" image and his long-time appeal to moderates. Also, in a head-to-head with Obama, McCain wins out with Ind voters, 44% to 33%.

We Still Heart You Guys

Obama and Hillary Clinton's support among Dem voters hasn't waned dramatically -- despite the protracted fight for the nom. Obama's backing has remained steadier, with 56% of Dems saying they'll vote for him enthusiastically, compared with 55% in February. Clinton's support is not quite as solid, with 50% saying they'll vote for her enthusiastically. In Feb, 59% said as much of HRC.

Mano A Mano

Both Dems trump the likely GOP nom. Obama leads 47% to McCain's 43%, while Clinton has the edge, 46% to 43%.

Interestingly, among non-whites, Clinton fares better against McCain than Obama -- a sign that her edge with Hispanics could help in the general. Non-whites surveyed edged 66% for Obama, 20% for McCain. But 80% of non-whites backed Clinton, compared with 21% for McCain.

The female vote edges Democratic, meanwhile, no matter who emerges victorious. Obama has a 51%/37% advantage over McCain with women, while Clinton's edge over the GOPer is comparable, 52%/37%.

And for whatever this is worth in the homestretch of the Dem primary contests -- Obama leads Clinton, 48% to 37%.

Note: The survey of 803 registered voters has a 3.5 percentage point margin of error.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
9

Of Balls And Bearings

May 9, 2008 | 1:03 PM

JERSEY CITY, NJ – Asked to respond to Barack Obama's comment that the 71-year old senator is "losing his bearings," John McCain said today that questions raised about his age are "fine with me."

And, he added, if age is a legitimate issue, so are a few things about his likely opponent.

"Every issue that the American people want to be an issue, and it's part of their discussions, it's fine with me," he said in reponse to the question about his age.

Not missing a beat, he added the controversial statements of the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Obama's former pastor, onto that same list.

Obama, McCain noted, "has said that [Wright] is a legitimate topic of discussion."

"'If that's what the American people want to discuss, that's fine," he added.

McCain also told reporters that the recent complimentary remarks for Obama by a Hamas spokesman are also fair game for debate. Prefacing his comment by saying that he believes that it's clear that Obama "shares nothing of the values or goals of Hamas," the presumptive GOP nominee added that the Palestinian organization's favorable assessment of Obama's candidacy is "a legitimate point of discussion."

"That's of interest to the American people," he said. "And that is something that needs to be discussed."

McCain said that he was not offended by Obama's assessment that he is "losing his bearings," a comment interpreted by some observers – including campaign biggie Mark Salter – as a swipe at the older McCain's mental sharpness.

During the morning press conference at Liberty Science Center in Newark, NJ, the senator was flanked by Sen. Joe Lieberman and former NJ Gov. Tom Kean, Lieberman was quick to jump to McCain's defense.

'I just want to report that this morning I personally checked John McCain;'s bearings," said the 2000 Dem veep nom. "He has not lost any of them. They are all in really great shape."

(NBC/NJ's CARRIE DANN)

May
9

"Level"

May 9, 2008 | 12:45 PM

Hillary Clinton's new WV TV spot. It begins: "She's fighting for America's middle class." HRC: "It's time to level the playing field against the special interests."

WV votes Tuesday.

May
9

More Super Ds For Obama

May 9, 2008 | 12:34 PM

DNC Member Ed Espinoza, a CA Super D, endorsed Barack Obama today. By the campaign's count, Espinoza is the 268th superdelegate to endorse Obama; Obama is 163 delegates away from securing the Democratic nomination. Espinoza says that he took a cue from Bill Richardson's March endorsement of the Il Sen.

“I am endorsing Barack Obama today because throughout this process I have seen him show a judgment and character that we need in our next president," Espinoza said in a statement released by Obama's campaign. "From day one he opposed the Iraq war and has a plan to end the war in a responsible way and bring our sons and daughters home. He has shown he has the character to lead our great nation, from his choice to spend his career serving people in the poorest communities in Chicago to his commitment to speaking truth to the American people, even when it isn’t politically convenient to do so. To unify the country at this time in our history we need a president who has these qualities, and that is why I am proud to endorse him today. My good friend Bill Richardson, who backed Obama some weeks ago, knows what it takes to lead, and I trust his judgment in this decision as well. I look forward to working with this great movement to bring victory in November.”

Also, Rep. Donald Payne, a NJ superdelegate who supported Hillary Clinton, has switched his allegiance to Obama. And Rep. Peter DeFazio today became OR's third Democratic congressman to endorse Obama.

May
9

Weekend Lineup

May 9, 2008 | 12:27 PM

Here are the scheduled guests for the Sunday public affairs shows and other weekend programs:

SUNDAY:

Meet the Press hosts Chris Dodd and Clinton chair Terry McAuliffe, and a roundtable with Washingtonpost.com's Chris Cillizza, CNBC's John Harwood, NPR's Michele Norris and Wall Street Journal's Gerald Seib.

Face the Nation hosts John Edwards, McAuliffe and Politico's Jim VandeHei.

This Week hosts Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid and McCain Victory chair Carly Fiorina, and a roundtable with Cokie Roberts, Sam Donaldson, George Will and Washington Post's Ruth Marcus.

Fox News Sunday hosts Obama strategist David Axelrod and Clinton comm. dir. Howard Wolfson. The "Power Player" is Ben Stein.

Late Edition hosts Reps. Roy Blunt (R-MO) and Chris Van Hollen (D-MD), Lt. Gen. Ricardo Sanchez (Ret.), Iraqi Amb. to the U.S. Samir Sumaidaie, and a roundtable with CNN's Ed Henry and CNN's Jessica Yellin.

See other weekend shows after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
9

"Can We Ask? Yes We Can"

May 9, 2008 | 12:16 PM

The RNC launched a Web site today -- Can We Ask? -- aimed at providing voters with a forum to ask questions of Barack Obama. Lest you think the fire will be friendly, well, think again. Here are the party's samples inquiries:

Why, as an Illinois state Senator, did he vote “present” over 130 times instead of “yes” or “no” on difficult issues like abortion, crime, and guns?

On fiscal responsibility, how he intends to pay for over $660 billion in his new spending proposals and whether he can do it without raising taxes on families and small businesses?

Why he voted against funding for our troops after promising not to use them as pawns in a war funding debate?

Why did he tell donors in San Francisco that the economy has driven small town voters to “cling” to guns and religion?

And here's the accompanying project vid, a very creepy piece. The party turns "Yes We Can" -- Obama's mantra on the stump -- into a dark, dismal, zombie-like chant.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
9

Clyburn: HRC's White People Argument Is Flawed

May 9, 2008 | 11:50 AM

U.S. Rep. James Clyburn tells NJ Contributing Editor Linda Douglass that any backroom deal that swipes the Dem nom from Barack Obama would devastate young people and blacks. He also argues that Hillary Clinton's pitch that Obama will do poorly with white voters is bunk. Unless HRC believes, too, that her take of the black vote during the primaries represents how she'll perform in the general.

Here's a snippet of the interview, which you can hear today on National Journal On Air:

LD: So, many reporters have been seeking your views because you are one of the top members of the House leadership and, of course, are African-American as well, and we often ask you to weigh in on these ticklish issues of race that have been raised in the campaign along with other things. So, starting off on that subject, let me ask you this question – Hillary Clinton has been continuing to campaign today, yesterday, throughout West Virginia and the other states that she is seeking to win, making the argument that she wins with certain kinds of voters – blue collar voters, Catholic voters, and Obama does not.

Do you think that as she continues to press the case that he can't win, that she's doing damage to him as a candidate?

CLYBURN: Continuing to press the case seems to me to be in search of a self-fulfilling prophecy here. You know, we all know anything that continues to be reinforced in the minds of voters, tends to take on a life of its own. I would hope, as I have said before, that the candidates will continue to press their case on their own behalf. I don't know why it's necessary to talk about anybody else's shortcomings, just talk about your own attributes and what you bring to the table, and it seems to be that that's the better way to go. As I've said before, if we continue to raise these extraneous issues, we can and we will do irreparable harm, not just to our party but to our country. And it would seem to me that we ought to be about bringing this country together. We are fighting an international war on terrorism. We cannot afford for this country to be divided on any front – gender, race, ethnicity, no matter what. This country has to come together, and the extent to which all of our candidates running for office would carry that kind of positive message of unification, I think the better off we are.

May
9

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 9, 2008 | 9:57 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
9

Hotline After Dark -- General-ly Speaking

May 9, 2008 | 9:20 AM

Barack Obama and John McCain made the TV rounds last night. Some highlights:

In his first nat'l interview since the 5/6 primaries, Obama spoke with CNN's Blitzer.

Obama, on the Time cover declaring him the "winner": "I don't want to be jinxed. We've still got some work to do. ... Senator Clinton is a very formidable candidate. She is very heavily favored to win West Virginia. She'll win that by a big margin. She's favored in Kentucky. We'll probably split the remaining contests so she's going to be actively campaigning."

On Mitt Romney saying he is inexperienced and being POTUS "is not an internship": "Yeah. Well, the contest didn't work out so well against John McCain suggesting that John McCain as a senator hadn't done what Mitt Romney had done. And yet here we are and there Mitt Romney is. Look, when it comes to national security, I think that what people are looking for is good judgment."

On McCain's comments that Hamas favors him for POTUS: "This is offensive and I think it's disappointing, because John McCain always says, well, I'm not going to run that kind of politics and that engages in that kind of smear I think is unfortunate, particularly since my policy toward Hamas has been no different than his. ... And so for him to toss out comments like that I think is an example of him losing his bearings as he pursues this nomination. We don't need name calling in this debate."

More after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
8

"Vote For Change"

May 8, 2008 | 5:29 PM

Barack Obama launches a 50-state voter registration drive this weekend. Dubbed "Vote For Change," the effort seeks to capitalize on all those new donors, all that Obama fever on campuses across the nation to start to build his general election GOTV enterprise.

Also, check out the interesting collection of national co-chairs for the massive door-knocking extravaganza, think Melissa Etheridge and Dave Matthews and Usher, among others.

May
8

Cindy McCain: I Won't Ever Release My Tax Returns

May 8, 2008 | 1:42 PM

Cindy McCain, wife of the presumptive GOP nom, told Today's Ann Curry this a.m. that she will never release her tax returns -- not even if her husband wins the highest office in the land. She said it's a privacy issue and that she has always filed separately from her husband. Cindy McCain is heiress to the Hensley liquor fortune.

"I am not the candidate," she told Curry.

Here's a clip of the interview, circulated by the DNC:

DNC Chairman Howard Dean pounced on McCain's statement. "What is John McCain trying to hide?" Dean said in a statement released by the party. "Throughout this campaign, he has acted like his own calls for openness and accountability apply to everyone but himself. Now he thinks he can bring that same double standard to the White House. Whether he is skirting the FEC, withholding his tax returns, or stocking his campaign with the same Washington lobbyists he attacks on the campaign trail, John McCain is showing that he doesn't respect the voters enough to be honest with them. John McCain may not like it, but the American people have a right to know about the well documented links between his political career and the McCains' business ventures. John McCain's refusal to meet the standard of every other candidate seeking the office is one more reason he's the wrong choice for America's future."

May
8

Splittin' The Baby

May 8, 2008 | 1:40 PM

The Michigan Dem Party released a statement this a.m. announcing that it overwhelmingly approved a proposal yesterday to allocate the state's delegates, 69 for Hillary Clinton and 59 for Barack Obama.

The Delegate Working Group -- Sen. Carl Levin, Rep. Carolyn Cheeks-Kilpatrick, Debbie Dingell and Ron Gettelfinger -- signed off. The group believes the solution "splits the difference between the January 15th results supported by the Clinton Campaign, which would create a delegates allocation of 73-55, and the 50-50 split supported by the Obama campaign, which would create a 64-64 allocation of the delegates."

MI Party Chair Mark Brewer: "This resolution meets the main criteria that we set forth for a resolution. It is a negotiated solution that recognizes the results of the January 15th primary while taking into consideration that Obama's name was not on the ballot. This proposal seats a full Michigan delegation and gives all delegates the same voting power. This is a good step toward a solution that unites Democrats and ensures that our state will not face a McCain presidency and four more years of the failed Bush trade and economic policies that have devastated our state."

The proposal will be filed as a formal appeal to the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee. No comment yet from the DNC.

May
8

Bonior For Obama

May 8, 2008 | 12:17 PM

In announcing his decision to endorse Barack Obama, John Edwards' former campaign manager cited his ability to bring change and to inspire, to defend himself against attacks, his dedication to helping working families and his opposition to the war in Iraq.

David Bonior, a former congressman from Michigan, called 2008 a "watershed year in politics" and said this could be a big year for change, like 1932, 1960 or 1980.

"The American people want a new direction and want some fundamental change, big change I think," he said on a conference called hosted by the campaign.

He said Edwards' campaign was about putting people first and that Obama had proven he could bring the necessary change to Washington and would improve the lives of working families by standing up to Wall Street lobbyists and special interests.

The former congressman cited Obama's work as a community organizer in Chicago. He said the Illinois senator had inspired a movement, drawing new people into politics. "He's the first candidate that has brought a movement with him," Bonior said, adding that this election could be "transformational" and "history-making."

He also said Obama had shown courage in opposing the war in Iraq.

Bonior waited until now to endorse because he was "waiting for Sen. Obama to show me the fight that I wanted to see because it's gonna be a difficult" campaign with John McCain.

May
8

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 8, 2008 | 9:43 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
8

Hotline After Dark -- Should She Stay Or Should She Go Now?

May 8, 2008 | 8:52 AM

A majority of last night's TV concentrated on whether Hillary Clinton should leave the race.

FNC's Hume: "Even George McGovern, the man who devised this long primary process, says it's time for her to go" ("Special Report," 5/7).

George McGovern, asked why he withdrew his support of Clinton: "There's two kinds of loyalty. There's loyalty to people and there's loyalty to principle. And I've touched on both of those areas during these last eight months. I'm proud that I endorsed Hillary Clinton last October. But I think the time has come, in the life of the Democratic Party, in fact, in the life of the nation, for us to get together on a candidate as soon as conveniently possible. ... Barack [Obama] seems to have an insurmountable lead. So that is why I hope as soon as it's reasonably possible and as soon as Hillary feels the time has come, for us to get behind our nominee and win that election next November" ("LKL," CNN, 5/7).

Syndicated columnist Mark Shields: "What Hillary Clinton is going through right now is reality setting in. It's painfully public and publicly painful" ("NewsHour," PBS, 5/7).

NBC's Todd: "It is a standard thing for all of us to put the Clintons on the couch. This is what we have done for 16 years. ... I think that they want to see how bad the next 48 hours are for them. How many campaign obituaries are going to get written? How many more Tom Edsall columns are going to get written over the next 48 hours?" ("Hardball," MSNBC, 5/7).

More after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
7

Hotline TV: Headlines & Hangovers

May 7, 2008 | 3:45 PM

May
7

Wash Blade: "Hillary, The Time Has Come"

May 7, 2008 | 3:03 PM

The Washington Blade, which endorsed Hillary Clinton, calls today for her to leave the Democratic primary race. Under the headline -- "Hillary, the time has come" -- the paper's editor, Kevin Naff, writes that Clinton's behavior during ABC's PA debate was "over the line" and that she "gleefully" joined the Barack Obama "bashing" that transpired that night in the form of the moderators' persistent questions about the Rev. Jeremiah Wright and flag pins, instead of policy.

"She ran a tough and spirited campaign that will be talked about for a generation," Naff says. "But it’s over. The time has come for Clinton to adopt a gracious and conciliatory tone, end her campaign and endorse Sen. Barack Obama for president."

He added: "The time has come for her supporters, gay and straight, to embrace Obama’s campaign for the White House. The stakes are too high to allow primary race disappointments to demoralize Democratic voters. And the stakes for gay voters are higher."

Naff also rails against John McCain, expressing particular concern about McCain's pledge this week to appoint strict constructionist judges. It's only a matter of time, Naff cautions, before the SUPCO will be asked to weigh in on same-sex marriages. "No gay voter should pull the lever for McCain in November," he writes.

Give it a read.

May
7

Clinton: WV Critical For Dems In The Fall

May 7, 2008 | 1:39 PM

SHEPHERDSTOWN, W.V. – Hillary Clinton was neither defiant nor defeated during a 20-minute speech here today as she pledged to fight through this state's primary next week, which she called "one of the most important elections in this entire process."

"I personally believe that West Virginia is one of those so-called swing states, Democrats need to win it in the fall," Clinton said at a hastily-arranged event outside of McMurran hall at Shepherd College. "I want to start by winning it in the spring, to lay the groundwork for victory in November."

Clinton never mentioned Barack Obama in the speech, not even a passing reference to "my opponent." And there was no acknowledgement of the increasing pressure facing her following Obama's blowout victory in North Carolina, only a statement at the top about her narrow win in the Hoosier State.

"We were very excited about our come-from-behind victory in Indiana, where people are concerned about the economy," she said. "There's a lot of reasons why I think we came form eight or so points from behind to win, and it's because people really know they need a president again who's going to focus complete attention on making sure you have the jobs that will give you living wages that'll give you a chance to have a better life."

Several hundred, including sign-brandishing Obama supporters, came to an event that was originally advertised as an appearance by Chelsea Clinton. The campaign said that the New York senator wanted to immediately return to the campaign trail to work for votes in the remaining contests. Her tentative schedule still calls for a return trip to West Virginia tomorrow, followed by stops in South Dakota and Oregon.

(NBC/NJ's MIKE MEMOLI)

May
7

WH '08 WATCH -- TV Tracker

May 7, 2008 | 1:11 PM

The Hotline continues to count TV face time on newsmaker cable and broadcast shows for declared WH '08ers. We began our count the Tuesday after Labor Day 2005 (9/6/05) and this edition goes through 4/30/08.

The April numbers revealed:

John McCain has been the presumptive Repub nom for months now and with the Dem primary battle increasingly heated, the GOPer's TV time was expected to drop off in April. But McCain, who has used the last several weeks to tour the nation's swing states and reintroduce voters to his compelling biography, got as much face time last month as WH '08 Dems. Although McCain continues to be the TV time overall leader, Hillary Clinton more than doubled her time from March to April on both broadcast and cable nets.

Meanwhile, Barack Obama significantly decreased his talk time, logging more than an hour each on broadcast and cable (half his March totals). Perhaps because he sought to limit his public remarks about the Rev. Wright controversy, which dominated the news?

Totals after the jump (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
7

Temper, Temper

May 7, 2008 | 1:10 PM

ROCHESTER HILLS, MI - During a speech on human trafficking and human rights at Oakland University this morning, John McCain vowed to create an "Inter-Agency Task Force on Human Trafficking" that would focus "exclusively on the prosecution of human traffickers and the rescue of their victims."

"I will require the Task Force agencies to report directly to me on the status of the problem and the progress we are making to defeat this stain on the reputation and character of the United States," McCain said, comparing the need to eliminate human trafficking to the abolition movement of the early 19th century.

After the speech, McCain did something President Bush would never have attempted during his well-choreographed campaign events -- he took questions from the audience, several of which were fairly contentious. The topics ranged from his support for the war in Iraq to his failure to vote on a bill addressing equal pay for women. His first question even came from a 14-year old girl wearing a shirt that read, "McCain doesn't care about our future."

A self-described Republican asked McCain about his well-documented temper, prompting the AZ senator to quip: "How dare you ask that question? Get that microphone away from him." But McCain said more seriously that he's often angry about governmental failures.

"I will confess to you, my friend, that I get angry," McCain began. "I get angry when I saw a guy named Abramoff that ripped off Native Americans for millions and millions and millions of dollars, and people ended up - including him - in federal prison. I get angry when I see 233 million of your tax dollars going to an island, to a bridge to an island with 50 people on it. And that's your dollars.

"I get angry when I see corruption to the point where we have former members of Congress residing in federal prison, and you know something? The American people are angry, too, and they're not going to take it anymore, and that's why they want change. And they're mad, and they've lost their temper."

The crowd quickly agreed, responding with cheers and applause as McCain challenged his questioner to "ask 'em if they're not mad."

(NBC/NJ's ADAM AIGNER-TREWORGY)

May
7

Obama Camp To Super Ds: Time To Decide

May 7, 2008 | 12:56 PM

A day after Barack Obama won big in North Carolina and lost narrowly in Indiana, his campaign manager and several top backers held a conference call to urge superdelegates to pick sides and end the protracted nomination fight

On the call led by Campaign Manager David Plouffe, were Sens. John Kerry (D-MA), Amy Klobuchar (D-MN), Claire McCaskill (D-MO) and Govs. Janet Napolitano (D-AZ) and Deval Patrick (D-MA).

Plouffe said Obama has a pledged delegate lead of 172, the largest it's been in the campaign, and that he was now within 172 delegates of winning the nomination.

"It's a high-water mark," Plouffe said. "There's only 217 pledged delegates left. We're only 33 pledged delegates from achieving a majority of the pledged delegates. That will happen on the night of May 20th, which we think will be an incredibly important moment in the campaign when Sen. Obama clinches the majority of the delegates, which is the expression of the will of the voters in these contests."

Plouffe said the Rev. Jeremiah Wright issue had received more media attention than Hillary Clinton last week and that even at the height of that controversy, Obama led the New York senator in superdelegate endorsements 2-to-1.

"We can see the finish line," Plouffe said.

Napolitano said it is time for superdelegates to step up: "It is now time for the superdelegates to begin bringing this process to a close and announcing their preference."

Kerry said Obama beat expectations. "The very tight finish in Indiana and his huge win in North Carolina have fundamentally changed this race," he said. "The bottom line: he clearly did more than he had to, and she did not achieve what she had to. You know, Barack was expected by all accounts to lose Indiana by a sizable margin, and she had the support of the biggest political name and family in the state who put everything on the line, and despite the toughest weeks of his campaign and the most thorough testing that you could have imagined with not the ideal dynamics going into either of these primaries, he beat every poll, and he beat every single expectation."

The Massachusetts senator said he believed Obama would have won in Indiana if Republicans had not voted for Clinton at the urging of conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh.

May
7

Shuler For Clinton

May 7, 2008 | 12:50 PM

The Raleigh News & Observer is reporting that Rep. Heath Shuler (D-NC) will support Hillary Clinton:

Shuler, a superdelegate to the National Democratic Convention, had said he would back the candidate who carried his 11th congressional district in Western North Carolina.

Clinton carried the district by 13 points in Tuesday's primary. Barack Obama carried the state.

Shuler,a former NFL quarterback, is serving his first term in Congress.

He is the third superdelegate from North Carolina to back Clinton. The others are Gov. Mike Easley and Charlotte Mayor Pro Tem Susan Burgess.

May
7

McGovern Switches To Obama, Urges HRC To Drop Bid

May 7, 2008 | 10:59 AM

mcgovern.jpg

MSNBC is reporting that George McGovern, the former South Dakota senator and 1972 Dem presidential nom, is switching his allegiance to Barack Obama and urging Hillary Clinton to abandon her White House bid.

More soon ...

May
7

Clinton's $6.4M Loan

May 7, 2008 | 10:19 AM

Hillary Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson confirmed on a call with reporters this morning that the senator loaned her campaign $6.4M over the last month: $5M, April 11; $1M, May 1; and $425K May 5.

"She did this in order to remain competitive with Senator Obama on television," Wolfson said. "...The loans are a sign of Sen. Clinton's commitment to the race."

To date, Clinton has loaned her campaign almost $11.5M.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
7

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 7, 2008 | 10:04 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
7

Clinton Camp's Three-Point Plan

May 7, 2008 | 9:55 AM

Hillary Clinton's subdued communications team told reporters this morning that a path to the nomination remains for the candidate -- despite Clinton's resounding defeat in North Carolina yesterday and a disappointingly narrow win in Indiana. The outcome appeared to bring Barack Obama within 200 delegates of the 2,025 needed to secure the nomination. It also reinvigorated his campaign after his loss in Pennsylvania and the potentially-damaging re-emergence of the Rev. Jeremiah Wright.

"Indiana was obviously a close outcome, but it's an outcome about which we feel very very good," said Geoff Garin, Clinton's chief strategist. "It represents the first time, I believe, in this race that Sen. Clinton has come from behind to achieve a primary victory and that in the face of very substantial obstacles in terms of a great deal of spending by Sen. Obama at the end."

Clinton, Garin said, continues to run well with white voters, middle income voters, seniors and Catholics.

"We think that the results last night strengthen the case that she will be the strongest candidate for the Democratic Party in November," he added.

Communications Director Howard Wolfson outlined a path forward for the campaign that would begin next Tuesday with a win in the West Virginia primary. West Virginia, Wolfson said, represents a key swing state in the fall.

And, as the Clinton campaign has over the last several months, Wolfson emphasized the need to seat delegates from Florida and Michigan at the party's convention in Denver.

"This is a country of 50 states," Wolfson said. "All of them should be represented. We won significant victories in both Florida and Michigan. We believe that delegates from those states ought to be seated."

His third critical point is the one that could at this point in the contest, with the practical road to the nom looking every more improbable for Clinton, most enrage party leaders and fence-sitting Super Ds who want, above all, to win in November. Wolfson said the campaign will attempt over the next few weeks, until the primary contests wrap June 3, to make the case that Clinton is a "better match-up against John McCain than Barack Obama."

"Sen. Obama has not yet proven that he can win in the key swing states," Wolfson said, "has not yet proven that he can win the votes of blue collar workers. That will be the crux of the argument that we make to super delegates and voters going forward."

There was renewed buzz last night about the possibility that Clinton would join an Obama-topped ticket to unify the party after the contentious primary season. Wolfson, however, said the Clinton and Obama camps have not discussed the possibility.

"We have not had any conversations with the Obama campaign about such a ticket," he said. "I have not heard her evidence any interest in such a ticket. She is focused on the elections that are upcoming."

Wolfson said there have been "no discussions" about Clinton abandoning the campaign.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
7

Dem Scheds

May 7, 2008 | 9:44 AM

Barack Obama is in Chicago today without a public schedule. Hillary Clinton holds an event at Shepherd University in Shepherdstown, WV. She comes to Washington this evening for a "Generations Of Women" Fundraiser at the Omni Shoreham Hotel. Clinton has a packed sched tomorrow: Charleston, WV, Sioux Falls, SD, and Central Point, OR.

May
7

Hotline After Dark -- Anchors Say The Darndest Things!

May 7, 2008 | 8:00 AM

Last night we provided continuous coverage of Barack Obama's double-digit victory in NC and Hillary Clinton's narrow win in IN. Here are some of the more humorous highlights:

Dem strategist Donna Brazile, to CNN's Dobbs: "You're my boo tonight. Lou's my boo tonight. You've been promoted."

Dobbs: "Can you excuse us for a minute? We need some privacy" (CNN).

"Do you think Hillary Clinton has the soul of a vice president?" -- MSNBC's Matthews to Harold Ford Jr., who apparently knows HRC's soul.

FNC's Hume: "There's this magic map that we have here at Fox News, and nobody knows how to operate it here but Bill Hemmer. We go to Bill Hemmer from time to time, not just because he has things to say but because he knows how to open the damn map."

Hemmer: "Now it's the damn map, huh?"

Hume: "Well, it's close to ten o'clock. It's past family time, so we can say that" (FNC).

See today's Hotline for the most recent coverage from the a.m. shows (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
6

IN In Flux

May 6, 2008 | 11:03 PM

With 86% of the IN vote counted, Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama, 52% to 48%. Vote totals: 560,720 for HRC, 521,415 for Obama. But NBC's Russert is reporting that 220K ballots, from Obama strongholds, have yet to be counted.

"You can do the math," Russert said. "This could go either way."

May
6

The GOP’s Big Tent?

May 6, 2008 | 11:01 PM

Don’t tell this to Rep. Wayne Gilchrest (R-MD 01), who lost his primary bid in Feb., but apparently, GOPers don’t mind if their Rep. is against the Iraq war. Rep. Walter Jones (R), who faced stiff opposition in his conservative CD over his outspoken stance against the war, nonetheless comfortably defeated Onslow Co. Commis. Joe McLaughlin (R) 60-40%.

May
6

On To WV, KY And OR

May 6, 2008 | 10:48 PM

Hillary Clinton said nothing this evening to indicate she'll let up -- or put up with calls to exit the race. But she offered this solemn vow to embrace her rival fully, should he snag the nom:

"I win, he wins," Clinton said of the see-saw nature of the Dem contest. "It's so close, and I think that says a lot about how excited and passionate our supporters are. ... But I can assure you, as I've said on many occasions, I will work for the nominee of the Democratic Party because we must win in November. I know that Sen. Obama feels the same way."

May
6

Tie-Breaker Talk

May 6, 2008 | 10:45 PM

Interested Parties
From: The Clinton Campaign
Date: May 6, 2008
RE: Tie-Breaker

In April, Barack Obama called Indiana a ‘tie-breaker’ for the Democratic nominating process: "You know, Sen. Clinton is more favored in Pennsylvania and I'm right now a little more favored in North Carolina, so Indiana right now may end up being the tiebreaker. So we want to work very hard in Indiana.”

At the time, Senator Obama’s comments seemed to be part of an elaborate plan to lower expectations for the Indiana contest. After all, roughly 20% of Indiana Democratic primary voters have been exposed to Senator Obama for years because they live within the Chicago media market. He’s never lost a state that borders his home-state of Illinois.

The fact that Indiana was an open primary – Republicans and independents can vote in the Democratic contest – also augured well for Senator Obama. He has regularly argued that he should be nominated because he “appeal[s] to Republicans and Independents in a way that none of the other nominees can.”

Throw in the fact that Senator Obama outspent the Clinton campaign by a 2 to 1 margin on Indiana television and Indiana seems to be more of a lean-Obama state than a toss-up.

So Hillary’s victory in Indiana – fought out against the backdrop of an ailing economy – is all the more incredible. We started out behind in both the public and internal polls.

For example, our March 13 poll showed Hillary trailing by 8 points, while our latest poll gave Hillary a 5 point lead.

We saw Hillary Clinton’s margin flip from -19 points among men in Indiana back in March to +1 among men in our final poll. Among women, Hillary’s margin increased from +1 in March to +8 now.

Similarly, in mid-February, the Howey-Gauge poll had Barack Obama 15 points ahead of Hillary Clinton (Feb 16-17: Obama 40 / HRC 25). By April 23-24, Hillary had narrowed the gap to only 2 points in the same poll (Obama 47 / HRC 45). The late momentum was critical – according to the exit poll, Hillary won by 18 points among those who made their decision in the last three days.

Hillary won by appealing to voters in almost every key demographic group. According to the exit poll, Hillary won among men and among women, in northern, central and southern parts of the state, among those who earn more than $50,000 per year and those who earn less, union voters and non-union voters, suburban and rural voters, churchgoers, gun-owners, and those who have not graduated from college.

Hillary also won among those who say the economy is the most important issue, those who are affected by the recession, those who say health care is most important, electability and experience voters. Hillary also led Obama on commander-in-chief.

What drove Hillary’s strong support – especially among downscale voters, suburban and rural voters, churchgoers, gun-owners and those who are affected by the recession?

- Gas tax summer holiday – making oil companies pay the gas tax instead of American families through a tax on oil company windfall profits

- Tough stance on NAFTA and other trade issues

- The only candidate – Democrat or Republican – with a health care plan that covers every American

- Support for cutting middle-class taxes

May
6

The Clinton Spin

May 6, 2008 | 10:38 PM

"Not too long ago my opponent made a prediction," Hillary Clinton said tonight, addressing supporters in Indiana. "He said I would probably win Pennsylvania, he would win North Carolina, and Indiana would be the tie-breaker. Well, tonight we've come from behind. We've broken the tie, and thanks to you, it's full speed on to the White House."

May
6

No IN Call Yet

May 6, 2008 | 10:28 PM

Nets reporting that ballots won't be counted in Lake County, IN, until midnight CT. So ... expect no call until then.

May
6

A Bad Week To Be A Woody

May 6, 2008 | 10:02 PM

If IN voters want change, they're not showing it by tossing out their incumbents, no matter how new the Reps. may be.

In the Indy-based 7th CD, two-month-old Rep. Andre Carson (D) had an easier-than-expected victory over self-funder/ex-IN Health Commis. Woody Myers (R), winning 46-24%. Myers spent $1.8M on the race, and the fear for Carson was that the multi-way primary, featuring three African-Americans and one white candidate, would split the vote and Myers would pull it out. But Carson proved to be a better candidate in this race than in the March special election, and it never got close enough for the DCCC, which backed Carson in the primary, to get involved.

May
6

Not So Fast ...

May 6, 2008 | 9:41 PM

"It seems like there's a lot of 'Obama triumphalism' here tonight. You know, he hasn't won the nomination yet. ... She hasn't lost this race yet, and I think it's important to emphasize that." -- CNN's Toobin, on whether Obama's speech was too much of a "general election" speech.

May
6

Harold vs. Markos

May 6, 2008 | 9:38 PM

Ex-Rep. Harold Ford Jr. all but endorsed a unity ticket on MSNBC: "I think it's something that this party is going to have to think very seriously about in the next few weeks."

Markos Moulitsas doesn't agree: "Harold Ford says Clinton should drop out. She should. He also says there should be an Obama/Clinton ticket. No way."

May
6

Meanwhile, Down Ballot ...

May 6, 2008 | 9:14 PM

Down ballot in NC and IN, a few interesting races are also playing out tonight. If current trends hold, it would indicate two victories for EMILY's List, with another too close to call.

As expected, state Sen. Kay Hagan (D) easily defeated investment banker Jim Neal (D) for the right to take on Sen. Elizabeth Dole (R-NC) this fall, although her 61%-20% win is a more decisive margin than many expected.

For the NC GOV nods, LG Bev Perdue's (D) apparent 55%-41% victory over Treas. Richard Moore (D) is in line with recent polling, and it appears that Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory (R) has avoided a runoff with state Sen. Fred Smith (R), leading him 46%-37%.

Both NC races should be at least somewhat competitive this fall, although history is on the side of each party to retain their current seats. The NC GOP hasn't elected a gov since '88, while NC Dems haven't won a SEN race in a WH year since '68. Regardless, each party has a large enough base in the state that none of the nominees will be able to sleepwalk to victory.

Recent polling in IN GOV has been inconsistent, and not surprisingly, the Dem primary seems to be going down to the wire. Ex-Rep. Jill Long Thompson (D) jumped out to an early lead tonight over architect Jim Schellinger (R), but with 67% of precincts reporting, JLT was actually trailing by a few thousand votes.

Either Dem would be competitive against Gov. Mitch Daniels (R) this fall (Quinn McCord).

May
6

"We Will Be United In November"

May 6, 2008 | 9:11 PM

Buoyed by a big win in North Carolina and what appears to be a narrower-than-expected loss in Indiana, Barack Obama turned his attention to the general election tonight, making a pitch for a united Democratic Party come November. The primaries are not quite over, Obama said, but the evening's contests in IN and NC hardly proved the game changers his rival promised.

"This has been one of the longest, most closely fought contests in history," Obama said. "And that’s partly because we have such a formidable opponent in Senator Hillary Clinton. Tonight, many of the pundits have suggested that this party is inalterably divided – that Senator Clinton’s supporters will not support me, and that my supporters would not support her. Well, I’m here tonight to tell you that I don’t believe it. Yes, there have been bruised feelings on both sides. Yes, each side desperately wants their candidate to win. But ultimately, this race is not about Hillary Clinton, it’s not about Barack Obama, it’s not about John McCain. This election is about you – the American people – and whether we will have a president and a party that can lead us toward a brighter future."

Obama returned to the theme that carried him to a string of early state victories and gave him the edge in the Democratic primaries: change.

"The question, then, is not what kind of campaign they’ll run," he said referring to the GOP, "it’s what kind of campaign we will run. It’s what we will do to make this year different. I didn’t get into race thinking that I could avoid this kind of politics, but I am running for President because this is the time to end it.

"We will end it this time not because I’m perfect – I think by now this campaign has reminded all of us of that," he added. "We will end it not by duplicating the same tactics and the same strategies as the other side, because that will just lead us down the same path of polarization and gridlock. We will end it by telling the truth – forcefully, repeatedly, confidently – and by trusting that the American people will embrace the need for change – even if it’s coming from an imperfect messenger."

Obama noted that tonight's results bring him to within 200 delegates of the nomination. His strong performance has already prompted renewed chatter about the possibility of a joint ticket with Clinton. And the call for unity is not without critical cause; Clinton won whites tonight, Obama was supported by the vast majority of blacks. The fastest route to healing the deep demographic divisions between those supporting Obama and Clinton, is to bring the two candidates together, despite the hard feelings and improbability of their partnership.

In his rhetoric alone tonight, Obama seemed cognizant of the possibility.

"I love this country too much to see it divided and distracted at this moment in history," he said. "I believe in our ability to perfect this union because it’s the only reason I’m standing here today. And I know the promise of America because I have lived it."

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
6

The Waiting Is The Hardest Part

May 6, 2008 | 9:02 PM

NBC’s Todd says, MSNBC has not called IN because "there are a lot African-American precincts that have yet to report” (MSNBC).

"This wasn't a horrible night for her, either." -- CNN's Brown, spinning things HRC's way.

"The campaign had huge hopes for [Bill Clinton] in terms of rural white voters in North Carolina. ... But it obviously, in the end, didn't matter." – Fortune’s Nina Easton, on the Clinton camp (FNC).

May
6

Heartbreaker

May 6, 2008 | 9:01 PM

"Oh, I've gotten lots of love from both campaigns." -- Uncommitted superdelegate/Rep. Brad Miller (D-NC) on the pressure he's received from the Clinton and Obama camps to declare who he will support. More Miller: "Perhaps Before June 3rd at least, perhaps I may make a decision, and I break somebody's heart" (FNC).

"He's a heartbreaker, dreammaker." -- FNC's Smith, with a sung response to uncommitted superdelegate/Rep. Brad Miller's (D-NC) refusal to declare which candidate he's going to support.

May
6

Metaphysical Matthews

May 6, 2008 | 8:41 PM

"Do you think Hillary Clinton has the soul of a vice president?"

- Chris Matthews to Harold Ford Jr., who apparently knows HRC's soul, MSNBC.

May
6

And The Sparse Crowd Goes Wild!

May 6, 2008 | 8:25 PM

At NC State University's Reynolds Coliseum, where Barack Obama will speak later tonight, the big screen TVs were on when NBC “projected Obama as the winner.”

“Usually when this happens on primary nights, the Obama crowds go wild. But it’s only 7:30 p.m. – they haven’t even started letting the cheering section in yet. It’s just several dozen journalists and a scattering of Obama campaign volunteers and organizers. So instead of the usual waves of sustained roaring and cheering, there was a little burst of ‘Woo-hoo’ and clapping over on the right-hand side of the still mostly-empty room” (“Primary Source”).

May
6

Either Will Do

May 6, 2008 | 8:21 PM

More from the IN and NC Dem exits...

-- 89% of IN voters and 82% of NC voters said the current economic slowdown has affected their families.

-- 67% of IN voters and 63% of NC voters said they would be satisfied with Hillary Clinton as the nominee; 64% of IN voters and 68% of NC voters said they'd be satisfied with Barack Obama as the nominee.

-- 64% of IN voters and 67% of NC voters said Clinton attacked Obama unfairly, while just 44% of IN voters and 40% of NC voters said Obama attacked Clinton unfairly.

-- 54% of IN voters and 48% of NC voters said Clinton is honest & trustworthy, while 66% of IN voters and 71% of NC voters said the same about Obama.

-- 63% of IN voters and 61% of NC voters said Clinton shares their values, and 66% of IN voters and 70% of NC voters said Obama shares their values.

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

May
6

Sister Snub

May 6, 2008 | 8:18 PM

nuns.jpg

About 12 Indiana nuns in South Bend were turned away today from a polling place by a fellow nun because they didn't have state or federal identification bearing a photograph, reports the South Bend Tribune.

Sister Julie McGuire said she was forced to turn away her fellow sisters at Saint Mary's Convent in South Bend, across the street from the University of Notre Dame, because they had been told earlier that they would need such an ID to vote.

The nuns, all in their 80s or 90s, didn't get one but came to the precinct anyway.

May
6

Separates And Surprises

May 6, 2008 | 8:11 PM

Barack Obama made a last-minute, surprise appearance at a downtown Raleigh bar this afternoon, “ordering a Pabst Blue Ribbon (beer of the working man) and spending half an hour greeting voters” (Raleigh News & Observer)

Also this afternoon, Michelle Obama “said her secret to good style on the campaign trail was all about having separates that are easily mixed and matched.” M. Obama: "It's been good to have a bunch of stuff to wear in different ways” (“Under The Dome”).

May
6

CBS News Called IN For HRC

May 6, 2008 | 8:09 PM

hrc.in.jpg

May
6

Mmmmmm, Potatoes And Gravy

May 6, 2008 | 8:07 PM

potatoes.jpg

"In North Carolina, he's doing well with whatever he's drinking." -- CNN's Dobbs, on Dem strategist Donna Brazile saying Obama should drink more beer to attrack rural, blue-collar voters.

"Lou, you like potatoes, don't you?" -- Brazile.

"I do."

"Well, [Dems] have a lot of potatoes, and we are the gravy." -- Brazile, apparently comparing white voters to potatoes and black voters to gravy, to help Dobbs understand the appeal of the Dem party.

May
6

Obama Takes Nine Of Ten NC Blacks

May 6, 2008 | 8:00 PM

NC Dem exit polls posted by MSNBC show Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton 54-42% among women, who made up 57% of voters. Obama also leads by 16% among men.

Exit polls also show...

-- Clinton leading 59-36% among whites, who made up 63% of voters; Obama leads 91-6% among blacks, who made up 33% of voters.

-- Clinton leading by 14% among white men (28% of voters) and 30% among white women (35% of voters). Obama meanwhile leads by 84% among black men (13% of voters) and 86% among black women (20% of voters).

-- Obama leading by 45% among 17-29 year olds (12% of voters), 36% among 30-44 year olds (20% of voters) and 16% among 45-59 year olds (34% of voters). Clinton leads by 11% among voters 60 and older (34% of voters).

-- Obama by 23% among voters making less than $50k/year and 15% among voters without a college degree.

-- Obama leading by 20% among self-identified Dems (76% of voters). Clinton meanwhile leads by 22% among GOPers (5% of voters) and 1% among the 19% of voters who described themselves as Inds.

-- Obama leading by 42% among first time primary voters and 8% among all others.

-- Clinton leading by 8% on the economy, 24% on Iraq and 23% on health care.

-- Obama leading by 56% on change, which half of voters said was the most important quality to their vote. Clinton meanwhile leads by 75% on experience, which 22% cited.

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

May
6

Fence Sitter Extraordinaire?

May 6, 2008 | 7:48 PM

On MSNBC, House Maj. Whip James Clyburn (D-SC) said he remains undecided.

MSNBC's Scarborough isn't convinced: "Clyburn's going to be the last guy standing ... but we all know who he's going to support in the end."

May
6

2,025

May 6, 2008 | 7:41 PM

By the by, as Hillary Clinton's camp suggests this eve that delegates from FL and MI should be added to the total number of delegates needed to win the nom, check out this 2/28 vid of HRC telling GMA's Sawyer: "This race is very close, it's very contested. I've won some, he's won some. Each of us has to get to 2,025 delegates."

May
6

IN's Rokita: Keep It Going

May 6, 2008 | 7:39 PM

The following is a statement from IN Sec/State Todd Rokita on campaigns or county election bds filing to keep polls open past 6:00 p.m.:

"Our office has received reports that a Porter County Circuit Court Judge ordered polls in a few select Porter County precincts to remain open until 7:00 P.M. CST. We currently have a Special Deputy in Porter County and will keep updated on the situation."

May
6

Nets Call NC For Obama

May 6, 2008 | 7:30 PM

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"[It's] not less significant for being expected. This is a very big deal for him. ... He is going to get a large share of the delegates, and that means Hillary Clinton is going to be deeper in the hole. ... I don't see how she persuades the superdelegates [to switch sides]." -- CNN's Toobin, on Obama's NC victory.

“This is being described as decisive victory. … [Clinton's] message now must be, ‘Well, he was always ahead in North Carolina.’” -- NBC’s Russert, on Obama’s win in NC (MSNBC).

“It’s about the delegates. For Senator Obama to have the three weeks he’s had and what he’s had to fight back from – for him to put the most delegates on the board tonight, which it appears we may do, it is remarkable. It shows that he’s ready for the general election.” -- Obama supporter/Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO) (MSNBC).

May
6

Winning Matters

May 6, 2008 | 7:22 PM

"A victory." -- CNN's Borger, asked what defines a victory for Clinton in IN.

"We're seeing that he's been tested, but it hasn't been without a cost. ... If it's another split decision tonight, then the heavyweight candidate still wins, and that's Barack Obama" -- GOP strategist Alex Castellanos: (CNN).

"You don't want to limp across the finish line. ... I'm sure [the Obama camp] wants to win. ...They want to win, not just survive" -- Clinton supporter Paul Begala (CNN).

May
6

A NC Vote That Counts A Bit More

May 6, 2008 | 7:19 PM

Fayette Observer's Pitts reports NC superdelegate/Cumberland Co. Commis. Jeannette Council has come out for Barack Obama. "She added that maybe folks talking on the radio at WIDU would stop beating up on her after she made her choice."

May
6

No Shock Here, Women, White Men, Seniors For HRC

May 6, 2008 | 7:19 PM

IN Dem exit polls posted by MSNBC show Hillary Clinton leading Barack Obama 54-46% among women, who made up 55% of voters. The two are tied 50-50% among men.

Exit polls also show...

-- Clinton leading 61-39% among whites, who made up 81% of voters; Obama leads 92-8% among blacks, who made up 14% of voters.

-- Clinton leading by 16% among white men (36% of voters) and 26% among white women (44% of voters).

-- Obama leading by 16% among 17-29 year olds (14% of voters) and 14% among 30-44 year olds (23% of voters). Clinton meanwhile leads by 2% among 45-59 year olds (34% of voters) and 34% among voters 60 and older (29% of voters).

-- Clinton leading Obama by 3% among voters making less than $50k/year, by 12% among voters without a college degree and by 8% among union households.

-- Clinton leading by 6% among self-identified Dems (68% of voters) and 6% among GOPers (11% of voters); Obama meanwhile leads by 2% among the 22% of voters who described themselves as Inds.

-- Obama leading by 20% among first time primary voters and trailing by 10% among all others.

-- Clinton leading by 24% among the 17% of voters who decided within the last three days; Obama and Clinton are tied among voters who decided earlier than that.

-- Clinton leading by 18% among the 20% of voters who are Catholic and by 8% among the 60% who are Protestant/other Christian.

-- Clinton leading by 9% on the economy and 2% on health care, and Obama leading by 8% on Iraq.

-- Obama leading by 40% on change, which nearly half, 49% of voters, said was the most important quality to their vote. Clinton meanwhile leads by 93% on experience, which 23% cited.

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

May
6

Shameless Smoochfest

May 6, 2008 | 7:17 PM

Dem strategist Donna Brazile: "You're my boo tonight. Lou's my boo tonight. You've been promoted."

CNN's Dobbs: "Can you excuse us for a minute? We need some privacy" (CNN).

May
6

Slate: HRC Stumped Harder In IN And NC

May 6, 2008 | 7:12 PM

Slate has a tally of the Dem candidates' visits to IN and NC, showing that Hillary Clinton held more events in both states:

IN

Hillary Clinton: 37 stops in the state, 14 days spent there (2.64 stops per day).
Barack Obama: 25 stops in the state, 16 days spent there (1.56 stops per day).

NC

Clinton: 24 stops in the state, 10 days spent there (2.40 stops per day).
Obama: 15 stops in the state, nine days spent there (1.66 stops per day).

May
6

MSNBC: IN Is "Too Early To Call"

May 6, 2008 | 7:02 PM

Polls closed at 7 p.m. ...

May
6

Exits: It's All About The Economy

May 6, 2008 | 6:59 PM

Early exits posted by the AP show...

-- Two-thirds of IN Dem voters said the economy was the most important issue facing the U.S., and nearly as many NC Dems said the same; about one-fifth of Dem voters in each state chose Iraq

-- 40% of IN Dems say the economic slowdown has affected their family a great deal; nearly as many NC Dems said the same

-- one-fifth of IN Dem voters identified as Inds and one-tenth as GOPers; in NC, one-fifth of Dem voters identified as Inds

-- blacks composed about one-third of NC Dem voters and one-seventh of IN Dem voters

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

May
6

Without A Game Changer ...

May 6, 2008 | 6:39 PM

With early exits indicating that a big double victory tonight likely eluded Hillary Clinton, her camp is suggesting that the FL and MI delegate counts should be included in the total number needed to secure the nom, boosting the magic no. to 2,209 from 2,025. It's not a wholly new argument, just the latest derivation of the Clinton team's pitch to count FL and MI in her favor.

Politico's Mike Allen is reporting that Harold Ickes, Clinton’s chief delegate strategist, said in a telephone interview that the IL senator could come out of the last contest June 3 “substantially less than 100 delegates behind” Obama’s total if those two states are included.

“We don’t believe that this party is going to go forward into a presidential race without seating both Florida and Michigan,” Ickes told Allen.

May
6

One Guy's View In IN

May 6, 2008 | 4:38 PM

Rob Berntsen expected to spend the WH‘08 cycle far away from presidential politics. That is until the battle for the Dem nomination rolled into his IN backyard.

Berntsen was John Edwards’ state director in IA in ‘04, when the NC senator made his name with a strong second place showing. Since ’04, Berntsen, an IA native, has done a tour of duty in Iraq with the National Guard and moved to Evansville, IN, to be closer to his wife’s family.

Watching the campaign unfold in the Hoosier State, Berntsen says he’s impressed with the speed at which Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton have been able to mobilize their ground games. “That’s one of the positives of this extended campaign,” he says. In the general, “that’s going to come back to be a very big positive [for Democrats].”

Around Evansville, IN’s third largest city, the campaigns have been door knocking, making calls, holding rallies – it’s felt a little like IA, although not quite, says Berntsen, sounding nostalgic.

On the ground, one advantage for Clinton, says Berntsen, who’s an Obama supporter, is her support from Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN). Bayh was a two-term governor, and “he carries a tremendous amount of weight in this state. I think that will have an impact,” Berntsen says.

On the other hand, Obama could benefit from IN’s proximity to the Chicago media market. Gary, in the northwest corner of the state, is only a 40-minute drive from the city. “The media market up there bleeds over pretty heavily – he’s got to benefit from that. His name is already known,” Berntsen says.

Turning to his old boss -- who told People Magazine this week that he wouldn’t endorse during the primary season -- Berntsen says: “It’s just a struggle. I think he sees things in both candidates that he likes.” Asked if he thought Elizabeth Edwards feels the same way, Bernsten says: “We all know Elizabeth is a very independent thinker.”

Would Edwards throw his weight behind a candidate if there’s still a stalemate in June? Berntsen: “He cares deeply about the Democratic Party. If he is called upon to make that decision, there’s no reason to doubt that he wouldn’t.”

(Hotline's SEAN MILLER)

May
6

Hotline TV: Hoosiers And Tarheels, The Big Day Arrives

May 6, 2008 | 3:54 PM

May
6

RFK's Daughters And Granddaughters Speak

May 6, 2008 | 2:19 PM

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Marking the 40th anniversary of Robert Kennedy's death, Glamour Magazine's June issue includes an interview with 14 of RFK's daughters and granddaughters. The piece -- titled "Bobby's Girls" -- features the ladies' wisdom on politics, public service and family tragedies.

You can forgive even the worst in others…

"When my uncle [John Kennedy] was killed, my father gave me a handwritten note that ended with this simple request: ‘Be kind to others and work for your country. Love, Daddy.’ Grief gives you two choices. You can curse your fate and be angry. Or you can use that grief to reach out to others.” —Kathleen Kennedy Townsend

“When David died, we, like countless other families, learned the horrible ultimate lesson about the grip of addiction. It’s not that we were unaware of it before, and it’s not that we didn’t try to help before—as much as we knew how in the early 1980s. I asked myself over and over again: What could I have done differently? How could I have been more effective? Here was this wonderful kid, this sweet, lovely, sensitive young man, lost to us. I’ve worked with crime victims and seen families devastated by death. Every family suffers; we all struggle with how to transform that suffering into something that redeems those who are still alive.” —Kathleen Kennedy Townsend on the accidental drug overdose of her brother David in 1984

Don’t be limited by anyone’s expectations…

“Has my family changed? What do you think? I’m campaigning for Hillary. So are Kerry and Bobby, but the rest of them are backing the guy!” —Kathleen Kennedy Townsend on Kennedy family politics

“I’m backing Obama even though he is not a woman. [Laughs.] He is simply the best candidate for the job. While I would love to see a woman become president, this is not a time when we can afford to vote on gender politics. But I do have a great deal of respect for Hillary.” —Rory Kennedy

Do well by doing good…

“People think, because I’m a Kennedy, I’m extremely wealthy and don’t flaunt it. Ha! I have a great name, but by the time you get to the fourth generation, the money’s run out. We’re fortunate compared to the average American, but to think that I’m a trust fund kid—so not true! Though my parents paid my tuition, I worked through Boston College at Bruegger’s Bagels and Dunkin’ Donuts. There’s no question that I want to go into public service, but my friends and I talk a lot about the question, How can you go into public service with debts like the ones we’re racking up? I’ll be leaving law school with $150,000 in student loans to repay. Human rights jobs have starting salaries of $35,000. It’s up to us to find a way to keep doing good while going into our chosen careers.” —Maeve Townsend on her ambition to work in public service

"I went to Harvard, figuring I’d go into law, medicine or business. But on a trip to L.A. I started taking yoga. Yoga is empowering; you think, If I can hold a Warrior Two for two minutes, I can do anything. I’m starting a foundation to bring yoga—with hip-hop music—to inner-city neighborhoods. And in honor of my grandfather, and because it so fits how I tumbled into my life’s work, I named it Why Not Yoga?" —Meaghan Townsend

Learn from the past and believe in the future…

“Each generation pulls from the past and creates the future, and I think the twenty-first century is going to be the century for women. I can’t wait to see what these committed, passionate women—my daughters and my nieces—are going to do.” —Kathleen Kennedy Townsend

“With our daughters, I feel I'm catching a glimpse of the future, and the world looks more just and peaceful.” —Kerry Kennedy

May
6

HRC: "Full Speed Ahead"

May 6, 2008 | 2:13 PM

INDIANAPOLIS -- Hillary Clinton relied on a host of racing analogies this morning as she visited the famed Indy Motor Speedway on a day that could decide the fate of her bid for the nomination.

Clinton came to the Indianapolis landmark to visit with Indycar driver Sara Fisher, a native Hoosier who endorsed the New York senator last week.

"We need to get on track in America, and head toward the finish line to change this country," Clinton said when asked what her election day message is. "There's a good driving analogy. If you want to move forward you put it in D. If you want to move back you put it in R."

Fisher quickly interjected that her car doesn't go in reverse.

"That's right, full speed ahead the whole time," Clinton said.

Asked if she'd stay in the race beyond today, she threw up a caution flag.

"I'm looking forward to find out what happens," she said. "I'm always interested in finding out what voters actually think, because there's all kind of speculation. It'd be like predicting who's going to win the Indy 500 before it's even started. We don't know. People prepare, they work hard, they do their best. Life is unpredictable, racing's unpredictable. Politics is unpredictable. So I'm just going to see what the voters have to say."

(NBC/NJ's MIKE MEMOLI)

May
6

McCain's Justice Advisory Cmte

May 6, 2008 | 2:01 PM

John McCain announced today the members of his campaign's Justice Advisory Committee. Translation -- The very folks who would help a President McCain select nominees to the SUPCO and federal courts. Heading up the effort are Theodore B. Olson, former Solicitor General of the United States, and KS Senator Sam Brownback.

The full list is after the jump.

May
6

McCain Knocks HRC/Obama For Backing "Activist "Judges

May 6, 2008 | 11:27 AM

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With former TN Sen. Fred Thompson in the audience today, John McCain offered a shout out to conservatives by verifying his support for strict constructionist judges. He criticized his Dem rivals for not backing John Roberts and Samuel Alito and, more broadly, for their support of "activist judges."

Here's a snippet of McCain's speech at Wake Forest University in NC, the full text is available after the jump:

Senators Obama and Clinton have very different ideas from my own. They are both lawyers themselves, and don't seem to mind at all when fundamental questions of social policy are preemptively decided by judges instead of by the people and their elected representatives. Nor have they raised objections to the unfair treatment of judicial nominees.

For both Senator Obama and Senator Clinton, it turned out that not even John Roberts was quite good enough for them. Senator Obama in particular likes to talk up his background as a lecturer on law, and also as someone who can work across the aisle to get things done. But when Judge Roberts was nominated, it seemed to bring out more the lecturer in Senator Obama than it did the guy who can get things done. He went right along with the partisan crowd, and was among the 22 senators to vote against this highly qualified nominee. And just where did John Roberts fall short, by the Senator's measure? Well, a justice of the court, as Senator Obama explained it -- and I quote -- should share "one's deepest values, one's core concerns, one's broader perspectives on how the world works, and the depth and breadth of one's empathy."

These vague words attempt to justify judicial activism -- come to think of it, they sound like an activist judge wrote them. And whatever they mean exactly, somehow Senator Obama's standards proved too lofty a standard for a nominee who was brilliant, fair-minded, and learned in the law, a nominee of clear rectitude who had proved more than the equal of any lawyer on the Judiciary Committee, and who today is respected by all as the Chief Justice of the United States. Somehow, by Senator Obama's standard, even Judge Roberts didn't measure up. And neither did Justice Samuel Alito. Apparently, nobody quite fits the bill except for an elite group of activist judges, lawyers, and law professors who think they know wisdom when they see it -- and they see it only in each other.

As the Dems grip and greet in NC and IN, consumed with a primary calendar that has prevented them from effectively countering McCain, DNC Chairman Howard Dean issued this comment about the GOP nom's remarks: "As John McCain said today, our next president will make hundreds of judicial nominees with far-reaching consequences for the future of our country. Given John McCain's radical, right wing judicial philosophy, it's clear he's the wrong choice to safeguard that future. No matter how far they have gone to restrict our fundamental rights or their clear records of gutting the reforms John McCain claims to care about, he has put loyalty to his party and a radical agenda ahead of the American people. When voters see John McCain's real record, they are not going to elect a radical rubberstamp who voted for every one of President Bush's activist judges and promises hundreds more just like them."

May
6

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 6, 2008 | 9:49 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
6

Hotline After Dark -- Lucky Sevens?

May 6, 2008 | 9:29 AM

There was a lot of speculation last night about today's primaries in IN and NC.

Time's Halperin, on Barack Obama: "I think the best thing for him tomorrow is to do better than he's done with white working-class voters in both states, no matter what the overall outcome" ("Election Center," CNN, 5/5).

Washington Post's Milbank: "Whatever state surprises us will be the most valuable. Everybody is expecting North Carolina for Obama, Indiana by slightly lower margin for Clinton. If either of those things doesn't happen, that could really change the race in a substantial way. ... But if it goes the way we're expecting, I'm going to pick up my ticket to Puerto Rico on Wednesday morning and head on down there for the month" ("Countdown," MSNBC, 5/5).

FNC's O'Reilly: "I expect Hillary Clinton to win in Indiana largely because of the interview she did with me" ("O'Reilly Factor," 5/5).

Time's Carney: "I think tomorrow the Democrats roll sevens. I think Hillary Clinton wins Indiana by seven and I think Barack Obama wins North Carolina by seven. What you have then is basically status quo ante. Hillary reinforces the perception that she's strong among working class and blue collar Democrats and white voters in particular. Obama gets the win he needs in North Carolina and it's just large enough not to cause panic in his campaign" ("Race for the WH," MSNBC, 5/5).

After the jump, the gas debate continues and Dems make the TV rounds (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
6

Obama: "I Feel Good" And "It's Gonna Be Close"

May 6, 2008 | 9:23 AM

GREENWOOD, IN -- During an early morning stop at a diner after polls opened Barack Obama predicted a close race in Indiana.

"I feel good," he said in response to a question from a reporter. "I think we've campaigned hard and well in this state, and I've met wonderful people like this gentleman right here. And, I think I think it's gonna be close. I think it's gonna be close. I don't think anybody really knows exactly what's gonna happen. So but as usual, I'm seeing a lot of enthusiasm among the voters. People are just really engaged and excited about this campaign, this process."

Polls show Hillary Clinton leading Obama in the Hoosier State, but a win here would help him recapture the momentum he lost in Pennsylvania and Ohio.

The senator spent about 40 minutes shaking hands and chatting with a mostly older, white crowd at the Four Seasons Family Restaurant outside Indianapolis.

He sat at the counter with Rick Jones, who said he had been coming to the restaurant for 20 years and sitting in the same seat. He had no idea Obama would be stopping by and said he was voting for him.

Obama ate only part of his House Omelette, noting that he had lost 7 or 8 pounds on the campaign trail because he only gets a few minutes to eat. He was repeatedly interrupted by people, including one man who asked him to talk to his wife on a cell phone.

A 19-year-old, Jordan Stefanov, came in wearing a sticker indicating he had voted and told Obama he was his guy.

(NBC/NJ's ATHENA JONES)

May
6

On Call Coverage Of The NC And IN Primaries

May 6, 2008 | 8:45 AM

Don't forget to check On Call this evening for full team coverage of the critical NC and IN contests: news and analysis, exit polls, network dish, candidate speeches and more. We live blog so you don't have to.

A key question going into tonight's contests -- Can either candidate break from reliable patterns of voter support? Can Barack Obama show stronger backing in the working class community, among those making less than 50K? Or does high black turnout in NC help him carry the day? Does Hillary Clinton take IN because of the same folks, blue collar whites, who handed her a solid win in PA?

If the candidates split the states and the delegate count, the country knows little more about the outcome of this Dem primary contest. It would be Groundhog Day, the sequel, if there can be such a thing. Obama would still have narrow leads in delegates and likely the popular vote. Clinton's camp would likely continue to argue for counting votes in FL and MI, which they believe, erroneously in the opinions of many, provide her with a popular vote advantage. And, well, we're back where we started this Tuesday, May 6, but with two fewer contests remaining on the docket.

So, that said, it's make or break time for HRC, a point we've made on this blog and you've made on your blog and every newspaper in this country has written and every pundit has posited for several weeks. She needs to win IN. Period. If she loses, well, she can ride out the remaining contests, which we don't doubt that she will, but the campaign will be harder pressed to make its familiar big-state argument against Obama -- that is that, WI and MO aside, he can't seem to snag those critical general election swing states, the ones where Reagan Dems are ripe for the picking, eager to break with the GOP and its president.

If she wins, IN in particular, she can thank Bubba and her gas tax holiday plans. If she wins, she can thank Evan Bayh, who will raise his standing in the Dem veepstakes, should HRC manage to do the difficult and snag the nom. If she wins, she should have a private chuckle, prompted by the notion that a Yale-educated lawyer from upper middle class Park Ridge, Ill., a former first lady who is worth $109M managed to repackage herself as a champion of the working class. It would be a feat, for sure, by any measure.

And one important note, how the two candidates show, their abilities to reach beyond their traditional base -- or not -- could and should shape their homestretch message to the Super Ds. It will most certainly shape their rival's pitch.

Delegates in play tonight: 115 in NC and 72 in IN. And just in case you're wondering, WV votes May 13, KY and OR May 20, and Puerto Rico votes June 1, and MT and SD wrap this long national exercise in democracy June 3.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
6

Running On Fumes

May 6, 2008 | 8:37 AM

EVANSVILLE, IN - Hillary Clinton, running on fumes as the campaign winds down in Indiana, made one last push for her gas tax plan last night, arguing that being president is not "some abstract exercise."

"I want you to know the solutions that I am proposing to solve the problems that America faces," she told a modest but enthusiastic crowd at Central High School. "This is not some abstract exercise for me. This is about rolling up our sleeves and getting to work and making life better for hard working middle class families."

Her biggest applause line came when she brought up the cost of fuel, which she warned could reach $5 per gallon by summer's end.

"Some people say to me, well why are you so excited about this?" she said. "Why are you so determined about this? I'll tell you why. Oil just hit over $120 a barrel today. What we have to figure out is what we're going to do about it in the long term, [and] what we're going to do about it today. Because I know people are having a hard time. They tell me. Maybe they don't hear about it in Washington, but when I'm in Indiana folks tell me it makes them sick going up to the gas station trying to fill up their tank."

As her plane was landing in Evansville prior to the event, Clinton doggedly stood by her plan for a tax holiday, even as it was pointed out that such a plan has little chance of succeeding in Congress.

"I believe that Democrats should stand for it. That's what I believe," she said. "And what is the alternative? What are we doing? Oil is $120 a barrel. For goodness sakes. ... That deserves some kind of response."

Clinton also told the traveling press corps that she didn't want to make any predictions about the outcome of IN's critical primary contest.

"This has been, I think anyone would agree, a pretty unpredictable campaign season," she said. "We knew we started out behind. Senator Obama had a tremendous amount of advantages going into this, and we've worked really hard."

The Evansville area is one the campaign has targeted heavily. And she closed out her campaign by saying to the audience here that the election "is not about me, this is about all of us."

"You are going to make a decision tomorrow about who you would hire for the toughest job in the world. I am here, interviewing for the job," she said. "I hope you will decide tomorrow to give me a chance to serve you, to get into that White House and think about you and your futures every day. To roll up my sleeves and start producing solutions, not speeches. Results, not rhetoric. It's time we turn America around."

(NBC/NJ's MIKE MEMOLI)

May
5

140K New Voters In IN

May 5, 2008 | 7:51 PM

IN Secretary of State Todd Rokita told reporters today that Indiana is prepared for almost any election day contingency, reports NBC/NJ's Aswini Anburajan. Rokita compared the state's preparation to a final exam and said that IN election officials had studied hard and prepared well, but that there could always be a "curveball question" that could affect how the vote goes tomorrow.

Some facts to consider on turnout and state preparation:

-- More than 140K people registered to vote in Indiana since the last election, and more than 160K people updated their registrations. The largest surge the state has ever seen.

-- The state received 167,783 absentee ballots by its noon deadline today, marking a "milestone" in absentee participation, Rokita said. Of them, 143,165 requests were for Democratic ballots, while 44,612 requests were for Republican ballots. Servicemen and women living overseas requested 2,200 ballots -- but no word yet about how many of those 2,200 were received in time for the deadline.

-- Since 2004, Rokita estimates that the state has added about 600,000 people to their voter rolls. He said that many counties are preparing as if this were a general election.

-- The state has hired more than 30,000 poll workers to work tomorrow. The average age of those poll workers ... 72. In some counties, 16- and 17-year-olds, who have a GPA of 3.0 or higher, will be working at the polls as part of a state program to recruit more poll workers.

-- 60% of the state will vote on electronic voting machines and 40% percent will use optical scans. If machines break down, poll monitors have field technicians on call who travel with a spare voting machine that can be promptly set up.

-- Election officials do not anticipate running out of ballots. Some larger counties, such as Lake, have printed a ballot for every single voter on the voting roll. (This is pretty unprecedented.) Other smaller counties, have subtracted the number of absentee ballots received and then printed for the rest of the voters.

More after the jump, including info about IN's early poll closings, the state's ID requirement and its freewheeling voting rules for college students.

May
5

NC It Is For Obama's Election Eve

May 5, 2008 | 7:48 PM

Barack and Michelle Obama will hold their election night rally in Raleigh, at North Carolina State University's Reynolds Coliseum.

May
5

Hotline TV: Is HRC A WMD Hawk Again? Obama, An Elitist Gas Miser?

May 5, 2008 | 5:06 PM

May
5

America The Beautiful

May 5, 2008 | 4:31 PM

Hillary Clinton shares the "Top Ten Reasons Hillary Loves America" this evening on the "Late Show with David Letterman," reports NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli. The segment was pretaped, as were pieces set to air on Extra and Access Hollywood.

May
5

Obama: I'm More Trustworthy Than "The Other Candidate"

May 5, 2008 | 4:12 PM

DURHAM, NC – With less than 24 hours to go before the citizens of North Carolina and Indiana hit the polls, Barack Obama summed up the case for his candidacy to an undecided voter at at town hall in the Research Triangle this afternoon.

He said that voters find him more trustworthy than his opponent, and he argued that his biggest potential problems -- his association with the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, for example -- were exposed.

The voter told Obama that her biggest concern this cycle is choosing the most electable candidate. Obama attempted to win her over with a long pitch for why she should choose him, focusing on the success his campaign has had attracting voters who want to change the old Washington politics and about his belief that the economy and the state of the country as a whole provides an opportunity to attract voters across party lines.

"When 80 percent of the country says the country is on the wrong track, that means you can attract Independents and some Republicans into a coalition to really not just win an election but govern, and that's been the idea behind this campaign, and we've been very successful," he said.

As he has done in recent days at a press conference and in television interviews, the senator acknowledged he had had a rough few weeks but said he was still going strong, in spite of the critical press.

"Once you're a frontrunner, then it is, I think, the obligation of the candidates who are behind to try to whack you over the head, and the press is happy to oblige," he said.

May
5

"What's Happened?" v. "Hometown"

May 5, 2008 | 3:05 PM

Barack Obama issued a response ad this afternoon answering Hillary Clinton's final spots in IN and NC. In her ad, Clinton asks: "What's happened to Barack Obama? He's attacking Hillary's plan to give you a break on gas prices." Obama counters: "A war that should never have been waged. An economy in turmoil. Record prices at the pump. America held hostage to foreign oil. And what does Hillary Clinton offer us? More of the same old negative politics."

First, HRC's spot, "What's Happened?" ...

And Obama's "Hometown" ...

May
5

M. Warner Against Gas Tax Holiday

May 5, 2008 | 2:37 PM

Former VA Gov. Mark Warner, who launched his U.S. Senate bid today but has not endorsed in the presidential contest, came out against a summer gas tax holiday of the type that Hillary Clinton has been vigorously promoting in NC and IN, according to The Roanoke Times.

"I would be concerned about whether those dollars would be replaced," said Warner, who noted that gas tax revenues pay for transportation improvements.

He added, "I think what we need is a solution that goes after the oil speculators to try to bring down the gas price."

Warner has stayed neutral in the presidential contest, cognizant of his upcoming Senate bid. His former LG and successor, Tim Kaine, is backing Barack Obama.

May
5

Easley: HRC Is "Strong As Train Smoke"

May 5, 2008 | 1:45 PM

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HIGH POINT, NC - While in North Carolina, Hillary Clinton has held rallies in high school gyms, pickup trucks and even the state's Auto Racing Hall of Fame. Her final stop before tomorrow's primary was the second held at a train station, where this afternoon she competed with a rumbling freight train to make her pitch.

She spoke for just over a half hour, emphasizing her view that voters should consider her specific plans before making what she called a "historic decision."

"We can't do it just by wishing for it. We can't do it just by hoping for it," she said. "Prayer helps, but hard work also is something we gotta do together. You know I'm a Methodist, and we believe in doing all the good that you can every day that you can. And that means we come together, and we set some goals, and we go about achieving them."

She also stressed her plan for short-term relief on issues like the mortgage crisis and gas costs.

"I believe that part of the job of a president is not just for long term planning, which I am 100 percent in favor of, but living in the here and now to try to make it clear to American families, middle class people, hardworking folks that somebody hears you, and somebody sees you, and somebody know what's going on right here in High Point," she said.

She took a more folksy approach, saying she has always wanted to come to this town and "go in and out of all these stores." "I'll have to come back, maybe when we get to the general election," she added.

She even spoke with the slightest hint of a drawl as she talked about a Carolina staple.

"We have eaten barbecue from one end of this state to other," she said. "You know, for a while I was a little worried because every sighting of my husband was going into or coming out of barbecue joint. I said, 'Oh, I just hope his cardiologist doesn't read that!'"

Introducing Clinton, Gov. Mike Easley called her "strong as train smoke." But the New York senator saw trouble coming as a train approached near the end of her remarks, opting to wrap up her speech rather than fight to be heard.

"That's why it's so important that as this train goes by, we think that it's taking us into the future, and we're all gonna be on it," she said.

(NBCNJ's MIKE MEMOLI)

May
5

MD Super D For Obama

May 5, 2008 | 1:14 PM

Sources say that MD Dem Party Chairman Mike Cryor is endorsing Barack Obama today. Cryor is a Super D ... So, by the by, that indicates a split with MD Gov. Martin O'Malley, who endorsed Hillary Clinton early. The state, as you know, went overwhelmingly for Obama in Feb. Cryor, we should note, was O'Malley's pick for state party chair.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
5

Obama's Closing Arguments In IN And NC

May 5, 2008 | 1:06 PM

In IN, "Minute" ...

The very similar NC version available after the jump.

May
5

Hablando Claro, Or Straight Talk

May 5, 2008 | 12:10 PM

John McCain's new Spanish-language Web site -- Happy Cinco De Mayo, everyone! -- offers testimonials from Mel Martinez and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, among others. Only problem ... the home page is in Spanish, but several of the click through pages are in English ...

May
5

HRC In IN Election Night

May 5, 2008 | 11:50 AM

Hillary Clinton's primary night party will be held in the Egyptian Room in Indianapolis. No word yet about Barack Obama's chosen locale.

May
5

Mean What You Say

May 5, 2008 | 11:12 AM

Buried in today's NYT/CBS poll results is an interesting factoid about the faith voters have in the convictions of the three remaining presidential candidates. Voters were asked if Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama and John McCain say what they believe most of the time or what people want to hear.

Those polled indicated the greatest cynicism about Clinton, with 62% of respondents saying that she says what people want, compared with 34% who said she says what she believes.

Obama does markedly better; 43% said he says what people want, while 53% said he says what he believes. Meanwhile, 41% said that McCain says what people want to hear and 51% said he says what he believes.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
5

Clinton Camp: Don't Forget, Team Obama Predicted Victory In IN & NC

May 5, 2008 | 10:31 AM

The Clinton camp's senior spokesmen sought to downplay expectations going into tomorrow's IN and NC contests, telling reporters on a morning call that Barack Obama has outspent Hillary Clinton in both states, an argument they made repeatedly before PA voters handed a solid win to HRC. Team HRC said that Obama has long held leads in state polls, and unlike in PA, where the candidates had six weeks to make their pleas to voters, the shorter run-up to tomorrow's contests favor Obama. If Clinton pulls out one victory, they argued, it represents a broader national shift to her candidacy.

"These are two states that Sen. Obama predicted he would win, two states that he expected to win, and our positive movement in those states, especially in Indiana, is indicative of a real tide moving in Sen. Clintons’ direction here over the last several weeks," said communications dir. Howard Wolfson.

Clinton's team said the NY Sen has ably targeted issues of interest to working class voters, a gas tax holiday prime among them, and they vowed, regardless of the outcome, to press on.

"We do have the resources necessary to compete and get our message out," Wolfson said. "We will continue to be in that position going forward."

The Huffington Post reported this morning that the Clinton camp has a "secret weapon" at its disposal -- a plan to try to "ram" through the Dem Party's 30-member Rules and Bylaws Comm. a decision to seat the disputed 210-member FL and 156-member MI delegations. "Such a decision would give Clinton an estimated 55 or more delegates than Obama, according to Clinton campaign operatives," reports Tom Edsall of The Huffington Post.

HRC Spokesman Phil Singer indicated on the morning call that the Clinton camp hasn't changed its position on FL and MI, insisting that to exclude FL and MI from the final count would be an "affront to the basic principles that our democracy was founded on."

"Our view is that Florida and Michigan must be counted," Singer said. "That’s a view shared by many other people in this country. Not just in Florida and Michigan, but elsewhere as well."

Perhaps Singer is right. But imagine the outcry, not just from Obama supporters, if a committee of Dem Party insiders changed the final collective outcome of the primaries and caucuses conducted by the 48 states who played by the DNC's rules?

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
5

ICYMI: Charlotte Observer For Obama

May 5, 2008 | 10:27 AM

Most interesting elements of the Charlotte Observer's Sunday endorsement of Barack Obama dealt with the edit bd's reasons for not to backing Hillary Clinton:

Yet we're troubled by, to cite a few examples, these aspects of her presidential campaign:

• Many of her supporters seem intent on depicting Sen. Obama as the Jesse Jackson of 2008, a leader who appeals to an ethnic minority but not to the broader electorate needed to win.

• She sometimes exaggerates her influence and experiences, as when she claimed she "helped to bring peace to Northern Ireland" and said she ducked under sniper fire in Bosnia.

• Florida and Michigan were stripped of national convention delegates after breaking party rules by scheduling their primaries too early. The candidates didn't campaign in them. Yet after Sen. Clinton did well in those states, she pushed to change the rules and count the votes. That's a cynical, self-serving effort to corrupt the selection process.

• Her tendency to tell voters what they want to hear is disturbing. Her proposal to suspend the federal tax on gasoline this summer is campaign gimmickry, not leadership. Her assertion that she was a critic of NAFTA from the beginning is simply unbelievable. The record shows she was an ardent advocate of the trade deal.

Some Democrats accept that as just the way the political game always has been played. Perhaps it is. But is that the best Americans can expect? We think not.

May
5

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 5, 2008 | 10:21 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
5

Sunday Snapshot -- Wright On

May 5, 2008 | 9:11 AM

Barack Obama was on "Meet the Press" for the full hour 5/4. The interview was conducted in Indianapolis, IN.

Obama, asked why Rev. Wright re-emerged: "You know, you'd have to ask him. I think that it's possible, as a consequence of him retiring, that having the spotlight was something attractive to him. ... Obviously, he felt that he had been attacked, and that's an understandable human emotion."

Obama, on critics saying he only acted when Wright became politically uncomfortable for him: "Oh, I think it, back several weeks ago, it was already pretty politically comfortable, you know, when his statements were being looped on cable stations 24 hours a day for about five straight days. That was already politically uncomfortable, but, you know, I did what I thought was right, which was to denounce the words, not denounce the man. ... What really changed was a sense that he was going to double down on the statements that he had made before."

Obama, asked why he didn't separate from Wright after disinviting him to deliver the public invocation at his WH candidacy announcement: "Well, my commitment, as I said, is to the church, not to a pastor. And I think that's shared by millions of people who are going to church this morning. ... Reverend Wright was going to be retiring in a year, and I thought it was important for me to maintain my commitment to that church."

Obama, asked if he will seek Wright's counsel if elected POTUS: "Absolutely not. Now, I think it's important to keep in mind that I never sought his counsel when it came to politics."

After the jump, HRC's town meeting, camp surrogates face off and Dean compliments Fox (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
3

Can Youx Believe It?

May 3, 2008 | 11:10 PM

In a race GOPers will dismiss because of a poor candidate and one Dems will hail as their entry into the Southern battlefield, state Rep. Don Cazayoux (D) defeated '96 SEN nominee Woody Jenkins (R) to fill Rep. Richard Baker's (R-LA 06) term. With 99% of the precincts reporting, according to the LA Sec/State's office, Cazayoux took 49% to Jenkins' 46%.

A surprising factor in the race for the Baton Rouge-area CD turned out to be conservative/GOPer-turned-indie Ashley Casey, who took 3.7K votes. If all of her votes would've gone to Jenkins, he would've won the contest. (TIM SAHD)

May
2

A Folksy Bill Moment

May 2, 2008 | 8:55 PM

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Per NBC/NJ's Carrie Dann, here's Bill Clinton, in Greenfield, IN, today remarking on the applause he always receives for his line about the need to scrap No Child Left Behind:

"If you dropped me in the middle of Idaho, where there isn't a Democrat for 200 miles, if I said that line the elk would applaud me. The moose would bow down."

May
2

"You Better Believe I'll Work My Heart Our For Him"

May 2, 2008 | 8:49 PM

Per NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli: Hillary Clinton just took the stage at the NC Jefferson Jackson dinner. At the top of her remarks she said that what unites Democrats is "so much greater than the differences, and the stakes are too high for us not to pull together as one team."

She added: "I will tell you this, if Senator Obama is the nominee, you better believe I'll work my heart out for him."

May
2

Cleopatra For Hillary

May 2, 2008 | 8:43 PM

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The actress Elizabeth Taylor endorsed Hillary Clinton this evening in a statement released by the campaign:

“It would be magnificent for our country if Senator Clinton won the votes, hearts and minds of the people in Indiana and North Carolina on Tuesday. She’s a brilliant teacher and powerful leader. We all know what she’s about. We know what she isn’t. Senator Clinton is not a flibbertijibbet. She’s strong. It’s also important for great leaders to have a sense of humor about themselves. The future of our great country rests in the hands of the next president. Who sits in the Oval Office will be determined greatly by the citizens of Indiana and North Carolina. In my heart, I know they will choose wisely and they will choose well.”

And per NBC/NJ's Mike Memoli ... Flibbertijibbet (n.) -- also spelled flibbertigibbet, "a silly flighty person."

May
2

Hamilton To Douglass: Wright Is A Legit Issue

May 2, 2008 | 5:13 PM

Lee Hamilton, former congressman and co-chairman of the 9/11 Commission, told National Journal Contributing Editor Linda Douglass today that the Rev. Jeremiah Wright matter is fair game for discussion. Hamilton has endorsed Barack Obama.

Q: You know, of course, that this week has not been his best week. That he has been, at least according to the polls, politically damaged by the controversy over Reverend Wright. Couple questions here -- do you think that the controversy is legitimate, and do you think that it's fair?

Hamilton: Well, I think any issue is legitimate that the American people are interested in, and this is a legitimate issue as far as I can see. Now, I do think a distinction has to be made, and the distinction, really, is between what I would call first tier issues and second or third tier issues. Presidents deal with the big issues, the first tier issues -- war, peace, an economy that is prospering or stagnating, health care for all. And those decisions profoundly impact the ordinary lives of Americans. I put them in a class by themselves. There are a lot of other issues that are important. I don't mean in any way to denigrate them, but I think they are less important than these other issues. I think the Reverend Wright controversy is legitimate, but I certainly don't put it in the tier one level of issues, which I think most Americans will be focusing on.

Q: What is it about the issue that makes it a legitimate issue?

Hamilton: Well, it makes it a legitimate issue because it calls into question Senator Obama's relationship with someone -- his pastor. And his pastor, obviously, has said a lot of things that are offensive to most Americans, so you can legitimately raise the question of judgment about personal relationships. My own personal view is that that aspect has been hugely magnified by people who benefit from raising it, because every single one of us have relationships with people with whom we disagree. It's a very normal thing in human conversations and relationships. So I think it's a legitimate issue. It bothers some people so it should be fully vetted and explored, but I don't put it in the level of the big issues.

May
2

Gallup: Dems Believe Primary Battle Is Hurting Party

May 2, 2008 | 5:00 PM

More than six of 10 Democrats believe the protracted Democratic primary is hurting the party's chances for victory in November, according to a Gallup poll released today.

The survey shows that 62% of Democrats say the contest between Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama is doing more harm than good, while 30% say it's doing more good than harm. When the poll was taken a month ago, 56% said it's doing more harm than good, and 35% said the opposite.

Not surprisingly, Obama backers believe in much more significant numbers than Clinton supporters that the prolonged contest will hurt the party in the fall.

Gallup polled 1,008 national adults, aged 18 and older, between April 25-27, 2008. The margin of error is four percentage points.

May
2

HRC: I Need A "Big, Big Vote" In NC

May 2, 2008 | 4:54 PM

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GREENSBORO, NC -- Hillary Clinton told a crowd Guilford College this afternoon that a lot is riding on the Tar Heel State's Tuesday primary.

""We need a big, big vote here in North Carolina," she said. "North Carolina hasn't been in this kind of spotlight in helping to pick a Democratic nominee for a long, long time," she said. "When the voting is over on Tuesday night, I know we will have heard from North Carolinians about what you think the next president should do, and I hope that you will give me a chance to work for you."

Clinton also again addressed new figures on job losses in America.

"Last month we lost 20,000 more jobs in America," she said. "Some people are saying, 'Oh well thank goodness it wasn't worse.' But if you were one of those 20,000 people that's about as bad as it gets, isn't it. We're supposed to be creating jobs, not losing them."

She said her "comprehensive" plan to deal with the energy crisis was one way to do that, both short-term and long-term. And she again pitched her gas tax plan.

"We also need to give people some relief right now, because folks are hurting," she said. "I've talked t a lot of people here in North Carolina, Indiana and elsewhere, who tell me they literally get sick to their stomach when they pull up to the gas tank anymore."

Clinton will squeeze in a fundraiser and some talk radio calls this afternoon before speaking at the North Carolina Democratic Party dinner tonight, with yet another rally to follow. It's part of a serious effort the Clintons are making here in the final days of the campaign in a state that had been seen as a strong bet for Obama. Clinton has four more stops on Saturday, and Bill Clinton makes 14 stops combined on Sunday and Monday. Clinton, clad today in a Carolina Blue pantsuit, said earlier today that the state could be a "game changer."

"If we win here that would be monumental," campaign spokesperson Doug Hattaway said.

May
2

Hotline TV: Bandwagon Friday

May 2, 2008 | 4:23 PM

May
2

McCain Suggests Iraq War Is About Oil

May 2, 2008 | 2:26 PM

At the conclusion of a town hall held this morning outside in Devner, John McCain decided to toss in a plug for his upcoming energy policy rollout. But as McCain decried the dangers of Americans reliance on foreign oil, he also seemed to suggest that this reliance caused the current struggle in Iraq.

"My friends, I will have an energy policy that we will be talking about, which will eliminate our dependence on oil from the Middle East that will - that will then prevent us - that will prevent us from having ever to send our young men and women into conflict again in the Middle East," McCain said.

This comment was initially prompted by a compliment from a military veteran who stated that he hoped a group called "Swift Boats for McCain come out and help" the GOP nominee. McCain then launched into an unprompted defense of the DNC campaign against him based on his 100-year statement.

"You have seen an ad campaign that is mounted against me that says I wanted to stay and fight in Iraq for 100 years," McCain said to a crowd at a Jewish Community Center. "My friends, it's a direct falsification, and I'm sorry that political campaigns have to deteriorate in this fashion because there's legitimate differences between myself and Senator Obama and Senator Clinton on what we should do in Iraq. After we win the war in Iraq ... then I'm talking about a security arrangement that may or may not be the same kind of thing we have with South - with Korea."

Of note -- McCain didn't object to the audience member's suggestion that a so-called 'swift boat' group help him win the presidency. Instead, he thanked the man for his good wishes and his military service.

(NBC/NJ's ADAM AIGNER-TREWORGY)

May
2

Weekend Lineup

May 2, 2008 | 2:12 PM

Here are the scheduled guests for the Sunday public affairs shows and other weekend programs:

SUNDAY:

Meet the Press hosts Barack Obama.

Face the Nation hosts House Maj. Whip James Clyburn (D-SC), Sen. Evan Bayh (D-IN) and ex-Gov./Richmond Mayor Doug Wilder.

This Week hosts a live town meeting with Hillary Clinton.

Fox News Sunday hosts DNC Chair Howard Dean, Clinton chair Terry McAuliffe and superdelegate/ex-DNC chair Joe Andrew. The "Power Player" is McCain Victory chair Carly Fiorina.

Late Edition hosts NC Gov. Mike Easley (D), ex-Labor Sec. Robert Reich, Clinton economic adviser Gene Sperling, Rep. Charles Rangel (D-NY), Dem strategist Donna Brazile, CNN contributor Roland Martin, and a roundtable with CNN's John King, CNN's Dana Bash and CNN's Candy Crowley.

See other weekend shows after the jump. (KATHERINE LEHR)

May
2

I'll Raise You A Half Dozen Dem Chairman

May 2, 2008 | 1:39 PM

Following former DNC Chairman Joe Andrew's announcement yesterday that he would switch his allegiance to Barack Obama, the Hillary Clinton camp released this missive today:

May 2, 2008

Dear Fellow Democratic Party Member:

Democratic National Committee members work tirelessly to elect Democrats locally, and they serve as strong advocates for finding solutions to our nation’s most pressing problems. As former DNC Chairs, we are proud to be leaders in a Party that seeks to alleviate the burden of limited access to health care, fix broken systems of public education, improve working conditions for middle-class men and women, and ensure America’s safety and security, at home and abroad.

Those of us who support Hillary Clinton for president do so with the knowledge that she, just like us, has dedicated her life to improving the standard of living for others, and she has worked to make our Party the strong force that it is today. Her values are our Party’s values. Her record of fiscal prudence is matched by her commitment to social responsibility. Her accomplishments in the area of strengthening America’s security are a matter of public record.

Hillary has run one of the most formidable campaigns in the history of our Party. Her wins this primary season are significant – Arizona, Arkansas, California, Florida, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas. Her base of support includes women, Hispanics, seniors, Catholics, middle and low income Americans, and rural, suburban and urban voters. That’s a formidable coalition tailor-made for victory in a November general election.

In fact, if the election were held today, Hillary would beat Senator McCain, but Senator Obama would lose to the presumptive GOP nominee. According to the most recent polls available, Hillary would beat McCain by a margin of 279 to 259 Electoral Votes. But McCain would beat Obama by a margin of 291 to 247 Electoral Votes.

In a hypothetical general election matchup with McCain, Clinton is winning handily (50%-41%) while Obama is statistically tied with McCain (46%-44%), according to the AP-Ipsos poll released Monday. In the days following the Pennsylvania primary, Gallup Poll Daily tracking showed Hillary pulling even with Senator Obama. As of Thursday, Hillary was ahead 49%-45%.

Hillary can win our Party’s nomination. She is neck and neck with her opponent in Indiana and North Carolina. Both states have sizeable voting blocs that resemble constituencies who supported Hillary by large margins in Pennsylvania, Ohio and other contests.

Years of job loss and the recent economic slowdown mean that most Indiana and North Carolina voters are more concerned about the economy than anything else. Hillary has consistently garnered the majority of support from voters who say the economy is the most important issue facing our country.

Hillary’s campaign is currently operating at full capacity in Guam, Indiana, North Carolina, West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon, Puerto Rico, Montana and South Dakota.

As in states that have already voted, election official are expecting record turnouts. Pennsylvania registered more than 215,000 new voters ahead of its April 22 primary. More than 200,000 new voters have registered in Indiana since the start of the year. And in counties across North Carolina, registration numbers are double – or triple – what they were in 2004.

More than 30 million Americans have already cast a ballot in our Party’s nomination contest and millions more will go to the polls between now and June 3. The record numbers of Americans who are registering and coming out to vote reflect the excitement about our candidates and the strength that our nominee will have behind him or her in the fall. The primary process will make our nominee stronger and better prepared to take on John McCain. Our Party only gains from having more voters – including more new voters – all across our country.

We encourage you to continue to fully consider Hillary Clinton and the fact that she is qualified and accomplished. Too much is at stake for us not to consider deeply the choice we must make for our Party and our country.

Sincerely,

Kenneth Curtis
Former DNC Chairman (1977-1978)

Charles Manatt
Former DNC Chairman (1981-1985)

The Family of the late Ron Brown
Former DNC Chairman (1989-1993)
Mrs. Alma Brown, Michael Arrington Brown & Tracey Brown James

Debra DeLee
Former DNC Chair (1994-1995)

Don Fowler
Former DNC National Chairman (1995-1997)

Steve Grossman
Former DNC National Chairman (1997-1999)

Governor Edward Rendell
Former DNC General Chairman (1999-2001)

Terence McAuliffe
Former DNC Chairman (2001-2005)

May
2

"Health Solutions"

May 2, 2008 | 12:51 PM

New John McCain ad up in OH, pushing the senator's health care proposal, a key topic of his latest campaign tour. McCain has described his plan as a free market approach, but this ad notes that he's offering "bold solutions," such as ending "junk lawsuits" and lowering prescription drug prices through importation programs. Millionaires, a narrator states, should also be required to get off prescription drug subsidies.

May
2

Bayh To Douglass: Obama Vulnerable To Attack In General

May 2, 2008 | 12:47 PM

IN Sen. Evan Bayh tells National Journal Contributing Editor Linda Douglass in an interview airing this afternoon on POTUS 08 that “there is less possibility of movement in a negative direction” with Hillary Clinton and that Barack Obama is “a little more vulnerable” in the general:

Q: One of the matters that the superdelegates certainly are considering is which of the candidates is going to be the most electable when running against John McCain in the general election. And the Obama campaign often points to the fact that Hillary Clinton has got very high negatives in the polls that have been taken recently -- that a majority of people have an unfavorable view of her. What about that argument? Is that a vulnerability for her?

Bayh: Well, these polls come and go, and there were a bunch more out today and it looked to me like the positives and negatives for Senator Clinton and Senator Obama were roughly equal. And the question is not where we are today, but where we're going to be. And unfortunately, I think that people on the far right, and those who advise them like Karl Rove are going to look at this and conclude the only chance they have of winning, which is, of course, what they mainly care about, is to basically disqualify our nominee. People don't like the direction of the country today. They don't approve of the job performance of our current president. And they are going to look more favorably upon either of our nominees, so regrettably, and I say this with sadness, but I just think it's an expression of reality -- they are going to attack, attack, attack. And the result of that is going to be -- we have got to look at who is strongest of our two candidates, who is going to be more resilient in standing up to those things. They'll attack Hillary too. No question about it, but people already have a pretty fixed opinion of her. Barack's challenge is, when you are new, when people don't know you very well, the other side has a greater opportunity to kind of fill in those blanks in a way that is potentially harmful to you.

Q: So you think he'd be more vulnerable, then, to those kinds of attacks than she would?

Bayh: Well, I think it's something they're going to have to address if he is the nominee, and, look, if he is, I'll support him wholeheartedly. But I think it's just a question of reality -– they'll attack her too. And she's got some weaknesses they'll try to exploit too. I just think that most of that is already known. People have an opinion about that, and so there's less possibility of movement there in a negative direction and I think he may be a little more vulnerable, not because he's a bad person, but just because he's new and people don't know as much about him.

May
2

Obama: The Wright "Noise" Creates A Challenge

May 2, 2008 | 11:17 AM

INDIANAPOLIS – Barack Obama began his final push in the lead-up to the Tuesday primary contests in Indiana and North Carolina by acknowledging the potential damage the Rev. Jeremiah Wright controversy may have done to his candidacy.

"Obviously we've had to fight through, over the last week, an awful lot of noise. That's, that's just a fact," he said, responding to a question about his biggest worry or weakness heading into Tuesday's primary. He added that he sought to refocus the conversation on the issues.

The senator said he hoped to reach as many people as possible in the coming days, in part to fight what he called a “"caricature” of the Obamas as "elitist, pointy-headed intellectual types."

“I think when you’re running for president you make certain assumptions that people after 15 months really know who you are, and then you realize well maybe there are still a whole bunch of folks who don’t know who you are ... despite the fact that you’re on TV every day,” he said.

"You know, it turns out that not everyone has read my books,” he joked. “It’s shocking.”

Earlier in the roughly 20-minute press conference he said "we have had a rough couple of weeks, I won’t deny that" but said he still enjoyed "terrific support all across Indiana and all across North Carolina" and that voters were more interested in the issues.

He said he thought the race could be close.

"I have no doubt that these are going to be tight races," he said. "This campaign has been tight throughout. But I am very confident that the American people are looking for the kind of truth telling and serious policy making that is going to have an impact on their lives. And as long as I am talking about the issues that matter to them, I think we have a terrific chance."

(NBC/NJ's ATHENA JONES)

May
2

"Pennies"

May 2, 2008 | 11:13 AM

Barack Obama's new 30-second spot in IN cites newspaper reports stating that Hillary Clinton's gas tax holiday is "political pandering" and "poll-driven gimmickry." A narrator says that Obama, by contrast, will take on price gouging by the oil companies, tax windfall profits and invest in alternative energy.

May
2

Indy Star For HRC

May 2, 2008 | 11:06 AM

The Indy Star endorsed Hillary Clinton today in a piece titled: "Experience makes Clinton better choice in primary."

The paper's ed board writes that that decision was a difficult one and that while Clinton has "pandered" on the gas tax holiday issue, among others, she has a depth of experience and knowledge that should not be overlooked:

Obama offers an attractive vision for the way things could be. He speaks eloquently of hope and change. He connects with voters, many who formerly felt disenfranchised, on a level few political leaders have attained.

Clinton offers a clear-eyed view of the way things are. She offers nuanced positions on how to address the war in Iraq, trade with China and economic expansion. Her depth of knowledge is remarkable.

As impressive as Obama appears, he is still in his first term in the U.S. Senate, and only four years ago was serving as an Illinois state senator. His inexperience in high office is a liability.

Clinton, in contrast, is well prepared for the rigors of the White House. She is tough, experienced and realistic about what can and cannot be accomplished on the world stage.

May
2

HPN: Updates From Our State Affiliates

May 2, 2008 | 9:53 AM

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Updates from our Hotline Political Network Affiliates

May
2

Hotline After Dark -- Not Your Average Joe

May 2, 2008 | 9:26 AM

Last night's TV focused a lot on superdelegate/ex-DNC chair Joe Andrew switching his allegiance from Hillary Clinton to Barack Obama.

Andrew: "Well, I think the point I've made is we have a lot of important primaries yet to come. But after Tuesday, it is literally clearly mathematically impossible for either one of these candidates to become the nominee without the superdelegates. ... We need to rally around Barack Obama. ... You can be for somebody without being against the other person who's running. I don't think it's a question of many people moving away from Senator Clinton as it is that Barack Obama is a magnet" ("Countdown," MSNBC, 5/1).

CNN's J. King: "It is moderately significant. ... Number one, he's very well-liked and very well-respected inside the state of Indiana, which he says is his home. And, so, it could give Barack Obama a boost among Democratic activists there. Number two, it is one more, as Barack Obama tries to close the one place where Hillary Clinton still does have a lead, among the superdelegates. ... This, more than anything, is a sign that, guess what, there's also a lot of Clinton fatigue in the Democratic Party -- Joe Andrew giving voice to those who say, yes, maybe Barack Obama is not perfect, but the longer this goes on ... the more she's helping the Republicans" ("AC 360," 5/1).

Syndicated columnist Charles Krauthammer: "[It] tells you Democrats are calculating that there is no way the party will take the nomination away from Obama because it would split it in a way that would create a rupture that would last a generation.And they probably calculate that they're going to win this election anyway in such a heavily Democratic year. But I loved Andrew's performance. It was not just telling, it was entertaining the way he had a heavy heart in this abandonment" ("Special Report," FNC, 5/1).

Washington Post's Richburg: "If Bill Richardson out there in New Mexico was called Judas for his betrayal, I'm not quite sure what this is going to be called. ... It's fascinating on a couple of levels because he did this after this whole kind of controversy over Reverend Wright and he's somebody who knows the Clintons very well" ("Lou Dobbs Tonight," CNN, 5/1).

After the jump, HRC continues the TV rounds and Obama delivers "Top Ten" (KATHERINE LEHR).

May
1

Happy Mission Accomplished, John McCain

May 1, 2008 | 9:55 PM

New DNC Web vid features an unfortunate 2003 clip of John McCain telling FOX News that "the major conflict is over" in Iraq. He said the Mission Accomplished banner hanging over President Bush's head five years ago today was "very appropriate."

It is a damning quote, indeed, but as Americans grow ever more concerned with the country's sputtering economy, it's still unclear if the Dems can turn McCain's support for the Iraq war into the albatross it would certainly be in a different political climate.

May
1

The Game Of PIG, A Metaphor

May 1, 2008 | 9:48 PM

UNION MILLS, IN - Barack Obama finished off a day-long tour of Indiana that focused on rural issues with a roundtable chat at a hog farmer's house followed by a game of PIG that served as a metaphor for the protracted primary race and even featured a direct mention of his rival.

The farmer, Andy Evers, was an undecided voter who was leaning toward Obama and who also raises corn and soy.

After the Illinois senator spent about 20 minutes talking about healthcare, not taking money from lobbyists, gas prices, uniting Congress, immigration and his children, the farmer asked if he would shoot a few hoops with his 14-year-old son Aaron, who he said had been practicing all night.

"We'll play a quick game of PIG," Obama said, noting they were on a farm. He joked that Aaron would have home court advantage and that the dimming light -- it was dusk -- could prove a disadvantage for an older guy.

May
1

WJC's Caucus Bashing In NC

May 1, 2008 | 6:14 PM

Sounds a little like the Clintons' post Iowa talk ... Here was former President Clinton stumping yesterday for his wife in Whiteville, NC.

May
1

HRC Challenges Congress To Weigh In On Gas Tax

May 1, 2008 | 6:00 PM

Hillary Clinton in Jeffersonville, IN, just challenged members of Congress to weigh in on a gas tax:

"I believe it would be important to get every member of Congress on record," she said, per NBC/NJ's MIke Memoli. "Do they stand with the hard-pressed Americans who are trying to pay their gas bills at the gas station or do they once again stand with the oil companies? That's a vote I'm going to try to get, because I want to know where people stand, and I want them to tell us - are they with us or against us when it comes to taking on the oil companies?"

Yikes! Why would she pressure still uncommitted Super Ds to make their positions known on this contentious issue? It's one thing to fight Barack Obama over the merits of a gas tax holiday. But why ask members of Congress to join the feud as their constituents fret over dollars and cents with each stop at the pump?

The issue is a no win. Members know that supporting the gas tax holiday won't do a lick to help fix the country's energy crisis. And many economists say the summer tax break will provide taxpayers with spare change in their pockets. No more. But the issue is loaded symbolically, of course, and with times so tough, voters might appreciate the extra money -- no matter how meager.

Bottom line -- Seems a selfish move for HRC.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
1

Literal Barnstorming

May 1, 2008 | 5:56 PM

SOUTH BEND, IN – Barack Obama, who has consistently done well in big cities but has struggled in rural areas, sought to show he can be the president of small town America at a town hall in a barn here Thursday afternoon.

The Illinois senator was introduced by a corn, soybean and cattle farmer and was surrounded by about a hundred farmers and local residents seated on picnic tables and folding chairs. Several bales of hay formed a circle around him, and a large wagon filled with more hay was parked off to the side.

Obama spoke in broad strokes about his plans for rural America.

“It is my belief that rural America represents what’s best about America: hard work, responsibility, individual initiative, a sense of community, a sense of family and the fact that rural America is having such a difficult time indicates that we’ve lost focus on our values and our ideals,” he said. “What I’ve tried to do is to say we’re going to protect the family farm. We’re going to make sure that that’s our priority. We’re going to emphasize conservation. We are going to develop a alternative energy economy that creates jobs and is good for family farmers but that is also sustainable.”

As he has been doing more and more lately, Obama emphasized his upbringing and his connection to “"small town” America -- noteworthy because of the criticism he faced in the lead up to the Pennsylvania primary after making comments about bitter small town residents who cling to guns and religion in the face of economic difficulties.

"My grandparents grew up in a small town in Kansas, and so the values that I think this community shares are the values, the ones that I grew up with," he said. "I don’t want to see those fade away and they don’t have to, but we’ve gotta have a president who is serious about these issues and I have been fighting for rural Illinois even since I got into the United States Senate and even before that when I was in state government. I want to make sure I’m fighting for you when I get to White House.”

Obama needs to make headway with white, rural and small-town voters in order to take the wind out of his rival Hillary Clinton’s argument that she is better able to win this important demographic, as recent exit polls have suggested.

May
1

Run For The Roses

May 1, 2008 | 4:25 PM

LOUISVILLE, KY -- Perhaps signaling her intention to fight on beyond next Tuesday's contests in Indiana and North Carolina, Hillary Clinton paid a visit to her Kentucky campaign headquarters this afternoon.

"We're working hard in Indiana and North Carolina," she told staff and volunteers in the small storefront office. "Then we go to West Virginia, and then we'll be right here. We've got lots of great support for us around the state."

She said that she was sorry that she would miss the Kentucky Derby, but noted that Chelsea Clinton would be on hand.

"I want everybody to place a little money the filly," she said.

Clinton also paid a visit to the editorial board of the Louisville Courier-Journal, the largest newspaper in Kentucky. The paper is also read in southeastern Indiana.

Kentucky votes on May 20.

(NBC/NJ's MIKE MEMOLI)

May
1

Clinton Tells Nightline: Drop Out Buzz Is "Idle Talk"

May 1, 2008 | 4:14 PM

In an interview set to air this evening on "Nightline," Hillary Clinton said that those who believe she should end her campaign "don't understand politics or history."

"I think that this is such a close election, why would any of us think that it shouldn't go to the end?" she told journalist Cynthia McFadden. "We've got a process. The rules are it goes all the way into June. Let's follow the rules and get to those June contests and see where are."

Clinton also mentioned that former DNC Chairman Joe Andrew, who switched his endorsement today to Barack Obama, didn't notify her first of his plans.

"I haven't spoken to him," Clinton said. "But, you know, people can decide however they want to decide. That's up to them. But anyone who believes this is bad for the party I just think is not paying attention, because the level of enthusiasm to be part of this process is, from my perspective, helping us build a stronger and deeper Democratic base."

May
1

Hotline TV: Hillary On O'Reilly; Obamas On Today

May 1, 2008 | 4:12 PM

May
1

HRC KY Del Mgr Behind Push To Keep Chandler From Backing Obama

May 1, 2008 | 12:16 PM

A KY blog is reporting that Hillary Clinton's state delegate manager is behind a phone and email campaign to lobby Rep. Ben Chandler not to endorse Barack Obama. Chandler endorsed Obama earlier this week.

The blog, Page One, published a letter from HRC staffer Christian A. Corrales to a constituent, urging her to spread this word:

"We’re asking folks to make calls into Congressman Chandler’s office today, the sooner the better, and asking him to endorse Hillary," Corrales wrote to Olivia Morris Fuchs, an HRC supporter. "If he’s not ready to endorse Hillary, we’re asking that he wait until the primary season is over as there are many Democrats that haven’t had a chance to be involved in the process. Once again, I stress the urgency in making these calls today."

Fuchs, in turn, blasted this email:

"Dear Team, we understand that Congressman Ben Chandler is about to endorse Senator Obama. Please call his office immediately to ask that he endorse Hillary and that if he is unable to do that, that he delay his endorsement until after Kentucky Voters have had an opportunity to cast their ballot. Here is Christian’s email to me, below.

"Please ACT RIGHT NOW! And, if you are able to join me at the park at the corners of Jefferson, Sixth and Liberty streets at 11:00 a.m., (Yes, also right now) for visibility Jonathan has requested please email me or just show up, immediately after you call Rep. Chandler. Work Harder and Faster! Olivia Anne"

Fair play, readers? Dirty politics?

May
1

TX Super D For Obama

May 1, 2008 | 11:41 AM

TX DNC Member John Patrick, a member of the United Steelworkers (USW) as well as a veep of the TX AFL/CIO, endorsed Barack Obama today.

"Senator Barack Obama has spent a lifetime standing up for American workers, and he will be a crucial voice for us in the White House," Patrick said in a statement released by Obama's campaign. "Senator Obama chose a career as an organizer on the streets of Chicago, fighting for working families who lost their jobs, specifically those families in neighborhoods devastated by steel plant closings. He has consistently opposed unfair trade deals that fail to offer protection to American workers - like NAFTA. Senator Obama has a real plan to put money back in the pockets of working families by restoring the manufacturing base in America."

May
1

Thanks For The Memories

May 1, 2008 | 11:19 AM

President Bush, five years ago today, standing on the deck of the USS Abraham Lincoln off San Diego under a banner that read "Mission Accomplished" in Iraq ...

And this week ...

"President Bush is well aware that the banner should have been more specific. ... It's been a very tough month in Iraq. But we are taking the fight to the enemy."
-- WH Press Sec. Dana Perino

May
1

Andrew: Obama/Bayh '08

May 1, 2008 | 10:53 AM

Former DNC Chairman Joe Andrew endorsed Barack Obama in a conference call with reporters a few moments ago, saying that the Illinois senator has inspired him, and the nation, to move beyond politics as usual. Andrew, who previously supported Hillary Clinton, called for his "fellow Democrats here across my home state of Indiana to support Barack Obama."

He said it's time to "heal the rift in this party and unite behind Barack Obama now."

Andrew, who was appointed DNC chairman by former President Clinton, said he hasn't "been inspired for a long time as someone who has been involved in politics."

"I've sparred with everyone from Lee Atwater to Karl Rove, I know how the game is played," Andrew said, noting that he's pleased the Democrats finally have a candidate who doesn't want to play the same old political games.

Andrew said superdelegates need to make their decisions "now." Let North Carolina and Indiana vote, he said, but then the superdelegates must take note of Obama's lead in the superdelegates, popular vote and states won. An eye on the general election, Andrew said he'd like to see IN Sen. Evan Bayh, a Clinton supporter, on a ticket with Obama.

"I'm going to be an advocate for an Obama/Bayh ticket," he said.

Andrew's full letter about his decision available after the jump.

(JENNIFER SKALKA)

May
1

"Determined"

May 1, 2008 | 10:43 AM

New Hillary Clinton ad in NC features Gov. Mike Easley. Ad buzz words ... get the job done, turn the economy around, tax cuts for the middle class, make health care available to everybody, resilient, determined, knows how to deliver.

May
1

Fmr Clinton DNC Chairman Switching To Obama

May 1, 2008 | 10:33 AM

Former DNC Chairman Joe Andrew, a Super D who had endorsed Hillary Clinton, is switching his allegiance to Barack Obama. Andrew was appointed by President Bill Clinton to serve as DNC Chair between 1999 and 2001.

"I am convinced that the primary process has devolved to the point that it's now bad for the Democratic Party," Andrew said in a telephone interview with The Associated Press.

Andrew will make a formal announcement in a few minutes on a conference call with Obama camp chair David Plouffe.

May
1

Hotline After Dark -- There's A First Time For Everything

May 1, 2008 | 9:22 AM

FNC's Bill O'Reilly caught up with Hillary Clinton in South Bend, IN. The two-part interview marks Clinton's first-ever appearance on the "O'Reilly Factor." Here are some highlights from part one:

O'Reilly: "Can you believe this Reverend Wright guy? Can you believe this guy?"

Clinton: "Well, I'm going to leave it up to voters to decide, you know."

O'Reilly: "No, no, no, no. But you're an American citizen. I'm an American citizen. He's an American citizen, Reverend Wright. What do you think when you hear a fellow American citizen say that stuff about America? What do you think?"

Clinton: "Well, I take offense at it. I think it's offensive and outrageous. And, you know, I'm going to express my opinion, others can express theirs. ... It is part of, you know, just an atmosphere that we're in today where all kinds of things are being said. And people have to, you know, decide what they believe. And I sure don't believe the United States government was behind AIDS."

After the jump, more of HRC's interview and Michelle Obama speaks out on Rev. Wright (KATHERINE LEHR).

 

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