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Diageo/Hotline: Obama Has Slight Edge

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FD's Reilly on the Diageo/Hotline survey:

"There is a high degree of confidence among Democrats that their nominee will win." And there's a "significant difference between where Democrats and Republicans are on that."

The head to head:

Pre Barack Obama veep announcement of Joe Biden --
Obama, 45% -- John McCain, 41%

Post Dem veep debut --
Obama, 46% -- McCain, 41%

Overall: Obama, 44% - McCain, 40% with 12% undecided

Obama has a +8 advantage on the economy and a +12 advantage on energy. McCain has a +9 advantage on Iraq, but voters are less concerned about the management of the war than they were in 2004.

The economy (38%) is the overriding issue of concern to voters, followed by gas prices (9%), the war in Iraq (6%) and unemployment/jobs (4%).

(JENNIFER SKALKA)