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Garden State Variety

A GOP WH nominee has not carried NJ since '88, but new polls out in the last week show an increasingly competitive contest there. Four surveys conducted since the GOP convo show Barack Obama's lead dwindling to as little as 3%.

A Quinnipiac Univ. poll of NJ LVs released this a.m. shows Obama and Joe Biden leading John McCain and Sarah Palin 48-45%, down from Obama's 51-41% margin on 8/10. The poll, conducted 9/10-14 shows McCain/Palin up 4% among Inds, 24% among non-college whites and 8% among white women.

Also out this a.m. is a Monmouth Univ./Gannett New Jersey poll of LVs which shows Obama leading McCain 49-41% -- exactly on the poll's +/- 4.0% margin of error. And while Obama's 8% lead is more than his advantage in the Quinnipiac poll, it is down from his 14% lead in the Monmouth survey completed 7/21. The poll, fielded 9/11-14, shows the nominees running even among Inds, as well as men.

Over the weekend, the Bergen Record/Research 2000 showed Obama/Biden leading 50-41%, and Marist College showed Obama/Biden up 48-45%. Both surveys queried LVs prior to Quinnipiac and Monmouth -- the Record from 9/9-11 and Marist from 9/5-8.

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

8 Comments

Check your Nexis/Lexis and you'll see the same story about NJ polls was written in the 2000 and 2004 election cycles. Can't remember '96 or '92 though.

I live in New Jersey and I think it will go for Obama as Republicans have been losing statewide elections here. These poll results are interesting in the spreads and differences. They're all reputable polls and they're all different, even very different.

I live in New Jersey and I think it will go for Obama as Republicans have been losing statewide elections here. These poll results are interesting in the spreads and differences. They're all reputable polls and they're all different, even very different.

I see somebody's wistful dream that New jersey has always been a democratic state however times have change we need some else somebody down to earth as the Mckain /Palin ticket. Mckain choose a VP Palin who knows the day to day operation life of ordinary people struggling to earn a living, raising the children to be good productive citizens the ins nad outs of family, its joys and heartaches.in conclusion Mckain and palin are needed for the change

I see somebody's wistful dream that New jersey has always been a democratic state however times have change we need some else somebody down to earth as the Mckain /Palin ticket. Mckain choose a VP Palin who knows the day to day operation life of ordinary people struggling to earn a living, raising the children to be good productive citizens the ins nad outs of family, its joys and heartaches.in conclusion Mckain and palin are needed for the change

I see somebody's wistful dream that New jersey has always been a democratic state however times have change we need some else somebody down to earth as the Mckain /Palin ticket. Mckain choose a VP Palin who knows the day to day operation life of ordinary people struggling to earn a living, raising the children to be good productive citizens the ins nad outs of family, its joys and heartaches.in conclusion Mckain and palin are needed for the change

I see somebody's wistful dream that New jersey has always been a democratic state however times have change we need some else somebody down to earth as the Mckain /Palin ticket. Mckain choose a VP Palin who knows the day to day operation life of ordinary people struggling to earn a living, raising the children to be good productive citizens the ins nad outs of family, its joys and heartaches.in conclusion Mckain and palin are needed for the change

I see somebody's wistful dream that New jersey has always been a democratic state however times have change we need some else somebody down to earth as the Mckain /Palin ticket. Mckain choose a VP Palin who knows the day to day operation life of ordinary people struggling to earn a living, raising the children to be good productive citizens the ins nad outs of family, its joys and heartaches.in conclusion Mckain and palin are needed for the change