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Battle For The Electoral College: Just Throw Strikes

October 28, 2008 1:27 PM | | Comments (2) |

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With 41 new polls released in 26 different states since the 10/24 update, Barack Obama leads John McCain in the Hotline's Electoral College projection 340 EVs to 157 EVs, with 41 EV as toss-up. Obama has 268 solid EVs, while McCain holds 132 solid EVs. On 10/24, Obama led McCain overall 320 EVs to 215 EVs (with 3 toss-up EVs from ND), and 266 to 128 among solid EVs.

Since the previous update, Obama added CO and NH to his solid total, but lost IN to toss-up. This net gain of 2 solid EVs leaves him at 268 solid EVs, just 2 EVs shy of the 270 necessary. Although the most recent IN poll is not tied, its two most recent surveys were fielded concurrently among identical samples. These polls show contrasting results, and we have consequently classified IN's 11 EVs as toss-up.

A tied FL poll, meanwhile, moved its 27 EVs to toss-up as well. Along with IN and ND (3 EVs), this leaves 41 total toss-up EVs. Previously, FL had rested as lean McCain along with MO (now lean Obama), OH (also now lean Obama), LA (now solid McCain) and WV (also now solid McCain). The only state left in lean McCain from last week is GA. The GOP nominee's home state of AZ, however, moved to lean with three new surveys out showing him ahead within the margin of error.

There are 26 new battleground state polls in today's update; Obama leads in 20, including nine beyond the margin of error. McCain leads in five, including a statistically significant lead in WV, which moved that swing state to his solid EV total.

The chart available after the jump reflects all state polls conducted fully since the conclusion of the GOP convo on 9/4. The most recent poll, the one used to identify each state's winner, is listed on the same line as the state symbol with older surveys below. In addition, only the most recent poll from a pollster is retained for each state.

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

1028electoralchart.jpg

(CARRIE DINDINO)

For a full explanation of classification symbols, see the key below the chart.

Electoral Distribution

McCAIN STATES           OBAMA STATES            TOSS-UP STATES
M  Lean McCain    25    O  Lean Obama     72    --       41
M+ Solid McCain  132    O+ Solid Obama   268
Total            157    Total            340

State-By-State Polling

St EVs McC OBA POLLSTER       DATE       SAMPLE   +/-  LEAD
AL  9  54% 34% CSRC           10/15-21    606 LVs 4.0% M+
-      58  36  ARG (R)        9/13-16     600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      52  25  Univ of So. AL 9/8-15      406 LVs 4.9  M+
AK  3  53  42  Ivan Moore (D) 10/17-19    500 LVs 4.4  M+
-      57  38  Research 2000  10/14-16    600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      55  37  FDU/PublicMind 9/17-21     601 LVs 4.0  M+
-      55  39  ARG (R)        9/9-11      600 LVs 4.0  M+
AR  6  52  41  Research 2000  10/21-22    600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      49  36  Univ. of AR    10/1-21    1628 Adl 2.4  M+
-      53  41  ARG (R)        9/20-22     600 LVs 4.0  M+
AZ 10  49  41  Northern AZ U. 10/18-27    600 RVs 4.0  M
-      48  44  Myers/Grove(D) 10/23-24    600 LVs 4.0  M
-      44  42  Zimmerman (D)  10/16-19    408 LVs 4.9  M
-      45  38  AZ State Univ. 9/25-28     976 RVs 3.1  M+
-      56  39  ARG (R)        9/11-14     600 LVs 4.0  M+
CA 55  33  56  PPIC           10/12-19   1186 LVs 2.8  O+
-      39  53  ARG (R)        9/18-20     600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      36  52  Field Poll     9/5-14      830 LVs 3.4  O+
CO  9  40  52  POS(R)/RBI(D)  10/21-23    500 LVs 4.4  O+
-      47  51  CNN/Time/ORC   10/11-14    762 LVs 3.6  O
-      43  47  Suffolk Univ.  10/10-13    600 LVs 4.0  O
-      43  52  Quinnipiac Unv 10/8-12    1088 LVs 3.0  O+
-      44  44  Mason-Dixon    9/29-10/1   625 LVs 3.9  --
-      48  45  ARG (R)        9/23-25     600 LVs 4.0  M
-      43  44  Ciruli Assoc.  9/19-23     501 RVs 4.4  O
-      44  45  FD/NatlJournal 9/11-15     402 RVs 4.9  O
CT  7  31  56  Univ. of CT    10/18-22    502 LVs 4.4  O+
-      30  47  Pulsar         9/19-23     500 LVs 4.4  O+
-      49  54  ARG (R)        9/17-19     600 LVs 4.0  O
DE  3  38  56  West Chester U 10/6-8      429 LVs 4.7  O+
-      36  56  FDU/PublicMind 9/17-21     601 LVs 4.0  O+
-      40  51  ARG (R)        9/13-15     600 LVs 4.0  O+
DC  3  13  82  ARG (R)        9/11-13     600 LVs 4.0  O+
FL 27  47  47  Reuters/Zogby  10/23-26    603 LVs 4.0  --
-      44  49  Suffolk Univ.  10/23-26    600 LVs 4.0  O
-      48  46  StrtegicVis(R) 10/20-22   1200 LVs 2.8  M
-      42  49  St.Pete/BayNws 10/20-22    800 RVs 3.5  O+
-      46  45  Mason-Dixon    10/20-21    625 LVs 3.9  M
-      44  49  Quinnipiac Unv 10/16-21   1433 LVs 2.6  O
-      45  49  Research 2000  10/13-15    600 LVs 4.0  O
-      43  47  Hamilton (D)   10/10-15    700 LVs 3.7  O
-      46  51  CNN/Time/ORC   10/11-14    765 LVs 3.5  O
-      45  42  FL Chamb/Comrc 9/30-10/1   619 RVs 3.9  M
-      46  47  ARG (R)        9/23-25     600 LVs 4.0  O
-      47  45  SEA Polling    9/14-17     800 RVs 3.5  M
-      44  44  FD/NatlJournal 9/11-15     402 RVs 4.9  --
GA 15  49  43  Mason-Dixon    10/22-23    625 LVs 3.9  M
-      51  45  StrtegicVis(R) 10/20-22    800 LVs 3.5  M
-      48  45  GQR (D)        10/16-19    600 LVs 4.0  M
-      49  43  Research 2000  10/14-15    600 LVs 4.0  M
-      53  45  CNN/Time/ORC   10/11-14    718 LVs 3.7  M+
-      57  39  ARG (R)        9/18-21     600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      56  35  POS (R)        9/8-11      800 LVs 3.5  M+
HI  4  32  63  ARG (R)        9/7-12      600 LVs 4.0  O+
ID  4  62  33  Research 2000  9/16-17     500 LVs 4.4  M+
-      68  25  ARG (R)        9/8-10      600 LVs 4.0  M+
IL 21  35  59  Research 2000  10/20-23    800 LVs 3.5  O+
-      32  61  Big 10/U of WI 10/19-22    572 RVs 4.1  O+
-      32  56  ChicagoTribune 10/16-18    500 LVs 4.4  O+
-      45  51  ARG (R)        9/13-16     600 LVs 4.0  O
IN 11  50  44  Reuters/Zogby  10/23-26    601 LVs 4.0  M
-      47  48  Research 2000  10/23-26    600 LVs 4.0  O
-      42  51  Big 10/U of WI 10/19-22    586 RVs 4.0  O+
-      51  46  CNN/Time/ORC   10/3-6      677 LVs 3.8  M
-      47  44  ARG (R)        9/14-18     600 LVs 4.0  M
-      44  47  Selzer & Co.   9/14-16     600 LVs 4.0  O
IA  7  42  52  Marist College 10/23-24    645 LVs 3.8  O+
-      40  51  Mason-Dixon    10/22-23    625 LVs 3.9  O+
-      39  54  Research 2000  10/19-22    600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      39  52  Big 10/U of WI 10/19-22    586 RVs 4.0  O+
-      44  51  ARG (R)        9/17-20     600 LVs 4.0  O
-      40  52  Selzer & Co.   9/8-10      616 LVs 3.9  O+
KS  6  51  38  POS (R)        10/5-6      500 LVs 4.4  M+
-      63  31  ARG (R)        9/7-10      600 LVs 4.0  M+
KY  8  55  39  Research 2000  10/19-21    600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      53  41  Mason-Dixon    9/22-25     717 LVs 3.7  M+
-      57  37  ARG (R)        9/8-12      600 LVs 4.0  M+
LA  9  51  39  SE LA Univ.    10/20-23    503 RVs 4.4  M+
-      50  43  ARG (R)        9/9-12      600 LVs 4.0  M
ME^ 4  35  56  Crit. Insights 10/16-19    443 LVs 4.7  O+
-      39  51  PanAtlanticSMS 10/13-16    400 LVs 4.9  O+
-      38  55  Research 2000  10/14-15    600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      35  52  Mellman Grp(D) 9/30-10/2   600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      41  51  ARG (R)        9/8-10      600 LVs 4.0  O+
MD 10  39  54  ARG (R)        9/17-19     600 LVs 4.0  O+
MA 12  34  53  Suffolk Univ.  10/20-22    400 RVs 4.9  O+
-      39  55  ARG (R)        9/20-22     600 LVs 4.0  O+
MI 17  36  58  Big 10/U of WI 10/19-22    562 RVs 4.1  O+
-      37  51  EPIC-MRA       10/19-22    400 LVs 4.9  O+
-      38  54  Quinnipiac Unv 10/8-12    1043 LVs 3.0  O+
-      39  44  MIRS/D-N/Ross. 10/1-4      600 RVs 4.0  O
-      45  48  StrtegicVis(R) 9/22-24    1200 LVs 2.8  O
-      38  51  Selzer & Co.   9/22-24     602 LVs 4.0  O+
-      42  49  GQR (D)        9/21-24     760 LVs 3.6  O
-      46  51  CNN/Time/ORC   9/21-23     755 LVs 3.6  O
-      45  45  Mason-Dixon    9/18-23     625 LVs 3.9  --
-      39  47  FD/NatlJournal 9/18-22     406 RVs 4.9  O
-      46  43  MRG of Lansing 9/15-20     600 LVs 4.0  M
-      46  48  ARG (R)        9/16-19     600 LVs 4.0  O
-      43  52  Marist College 9/16-17     599 LVs 4.0  O+
MN 10  38  57  Big 10/U of WI 10/19-22    583 RVs 4.1  O+
-      38  43  St. Cloud St.  10/14-22    466 RVs 4.5  O
-      40  50  FD/NatlJournal 10/16-20    402 RVs 4.9  O+
-      41  52  PRSAI/StarTrib 10/16-17   1049 LVs 3.0  O+
-      39  52  Research 2000  10/15-16    600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      40  51  Quinnipiac Unv 10/8-12    1019 LVs 3.1  O+
-      46  47  ARG (R)        10/4-7      600 LVs 4.0  O
-      40  54  PRN/Univ of MN 10/3-5      418 LVs 4.8  O+
-      43  54  CNN/Time/ORC   9/28-30     849 LVs 3.4  O+
MS  6  46  33  Univ of So. AL 10/13-23    405 LVs 4.9  M+
-      50  40  Research 2000  10/14-15    600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      55  39  ARG (R)        9/13-16     600 LVs 4.0  M+
MO 11  46  48  Reuters/Zogby  10/23-26    601 LVs 4.0  O
-      46  45  Mason-Dixon    10/22-23    625 LVs 3.9  M
-      47  48  Research 2000  10/20-23    800 LVs 3.5  O
-      45  44  Suffolk Univ.  10/17-19    600 LVs 4.0  M
-      49  48  CNN/Time/ORC   10/11-14    763 LVs 3.5  M
-      49  46  ARG (R)        10/4-6      600 LVs 4.0  M
MT  3  40  44  MTSU-Billings  10/16-20    403 LVs 4.9  O
-      49  45  Research 2000  10/15-16    500 LVs 4.4  M
-      50  45  ARG (R)        10/6-8      600 LVs 4.0  M
-      54  43  CNN/Time/ORC   9/21-23     737 LVs 3.6  M+
NE^ 5  60  34  ARG (R)        9/12-17     600 LVs 4.0  M+
NV  5  44  48  Reuters/Zogby  10/23-26    601 LVs 4.0  O
-      46  51  CNN/Time/ORC   10/19-21    700 LVs 3.7  O
-      44  47  Magellan (D)   10/10-11    602 LVs 4.0  O
-      45  47  Mason-Dixon    10/8-9      625 LVs 3.9  O
-      43  50  Resarch 2000   10/3-6      600 LVs 4.0  O
-      49  47  ARG (R)        9/27-29     600 LVs 4.0  M
-      46  45  Suffolk Univ.  9/17-21     600 LVs 4.0  M
-      45  47  Myers/Grove(D) 9/14-19     600 LVs 4.0  O
NH  4  39  55  Univ. of NH    10/24-26    698 LVs 3.7  O+
-      45  50  Marist College 10/22-23    655 LVs 3.8  O
-      43  50  Research 2000  10/17-19    600 LVs 4.0  O
-      43  52  ARG (R)        10/6-8      600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      45  53  CNN/Time/ORC   10/3-6      813 LVs 3.4  O+
-      37  49  St.Anselm/SRBI 9/25-30     823 LVs 3.4  O+
-      45  46  StrtegicVis(R) 9/22-24     800 LVs 3.5  O
-      45  46  Suffolk Univ.  9/21-24     600 LVs 4.0  O
-      43  44  FD/NatlJournal 9/18-22     403 RVs 4.9  O
NJ 15  39  56  Marist College 10/20-21    628 LVs 3.9  O+
-      36  59  Quinnipiac Unv 10/16-19   1184 LVs 2.8  O+
-      38  55  Monmouth/Gann. 10/15-18    723 LVs 3.6  O+
-      37  50  FDU/PublicMind 9/29-10/5   790 LVs 3.5  O+
-      39  48  StrtegicVis(R) 9/26-28     800 LVs 3.5  O+
-      42  51  ARG (R)        9/19-21     600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      41  50  Research 2000  9/9-11      600 LVs 4.0  O+
NM  5  40  45  ABQ Journal    9/29-10/2   659 LVs 3.8  O
-      44  51  ARG (R)        9/14-16     600 LVs 4.0  O
-      42  49  FD/NatlJournal 9/11-15     402 RVs 4.9  O
NY 31  29  65  Marist College 10/21-22    527 LVs 4.3  O+
-      31  62  Siena College  10/19-21    721 LVs 3.6  O+
-      38  55  ARG (R)        9/14-16     600 LVs 4.0  O+
NC 15  46  50  Reuters/Zogby  10/23-26    601 LVs 4.0  O
-      47  51  CNN/Time/ORC   10/19-21    644 LVs 3.9  O
-      45  48  Tel Opinion(R) 10/18-20    600 LVs 4.0  O
-      44  45  Winthrop/ETV   9/28-10/19  744 LVs 3.6  O
-      44  46  Research 2000  10/14-15    600 LVs 4.0  O
-      49  46  ARG (R)        9/27-29     600 LVs 4.0  M
-      49  46  GarinHrtYng(D) 9/5-7       605 LVs 4.0  M
ND  3  45  45  Research 2000  10/14-15    500 LVs 4.4  --
-      41  44  DFM Research   10/13-14    500 Adl 4.4  O
-      43  45  Forum/MSUM     10/6-8      606 LVs 4.0  O
-      52  43  ARG (R)        9/15-17     600 LVs 4.0  M+
OH 20  45  50  Reuters/Zogby  10/23-26    600 LVs 4.0  O
-      48  45  StrtegicVis(R) 10/20-22   1200 LVs 2.8  M
-      41  53  Big 10/U of WI 10/19-22    564 RVs 4.1  O+
-      46  49  Univ. of Cinc. 10/18-22    886 LVs 3.3  O
-      46  50  CNN/Time/ORC   10/19-21    737 LVs 3.6  O
-      38  52  Quinnipiac Unv 10/16-21   1360 LVs 2.7  O+
-      42  51  Suffolk Univ.  10/16-19    600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      46  45  Mason-Dixon    10/16-17    625 LVs 3.9  M
-      45  49  Marist College 10/5-8      771 LVs 3.5  O
-      45  48  ARG (R)        10/4-7      600 LVs 4.0  O
-      45  51  ABC/WaPo/TNS   10/3-5      772 LVs 3.5  O
-      42  49  Columbus Disp. 9/24-10/3  2262 RVs 2.1  O+
-      43  49  GQR (D)        9/29-10/1   600 LVs 4.0  O
-      42  41  FD/NatlJournal 9/11-15     400 RVs 4.9  M
OK  7  61  35  POS (R)        10/23,10/26 500 LVs 4.4  M+
-      59  36  Research 2000  9/16-18     600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      61  34  ARG (R)        9/15-18     600 LVs 4.0  M+
OR  7  34  48  Riley Research 10/10-20    499 RVs 4.4  O+
-      38  53  Research 2000  10/14-15    600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      39  52  Grove (D)      10/7-9      600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      41  52  ARG (R)        9/19-22     600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      40  50  DavisHibbitts  9/11-14     500 RVs 4.4  O+
-      37  43  Moore Info (R) 9/10-11     400 RVs 4.9  O
-      39  46  Hoffman (R)    9/8-9       600 RVs 4.0  O
PA 21  40  53  Muhlenberg Clg 10/22-26    589 LVs 4.0  O+
-      43  52  Temple Univ.   10/20-26    761 LVs 3.6  O+
-      43  50  StrtegicVis(R) 10/20-22   1200 LVs 2.8  O+
-      42  52  Big 10/U of WI 10/19-22    566 RVs 4.1  O+
-      40  53  Quinnipiac Unv 10/16-21   1425 LVs 2.6  O+
-      41  51  FD/NatlJournal 10/16-20    412 RVs 4.8  O+
-      40  48  Susquehanna(R) 10/16-18    700 LVs 3.7  O+
-      41  53  Marist College 10/5-8      757 LVs 3.6  O+
-      38  45  F&M College    9/23-28     767 RVs 3.5  O
-      44  53  CNN/Time/ORC   9/21-23     730 LVs 3.6  O+
-      46  50  ARG (R)        9/20-22     600 LVs 4.0  O
-      44  46  Mason-Dixon    9/16-18     625 LVs 3.9  O
RI  4  26  48  OpinionFactor  9/30-10/1  1140 Adl 2.9  O+
-      31  45  RI College     9/17-24     742 RVs 3.6  O+
-      34  47  Brown Univ.    9/15-16     652 RVs 3.8  O+
-      33  59  ARG (R)        9/11-13     600 LVs 4.0  O+
SC  8  55  35  Winthrop/ETV   9/28-10/19  617 LVs 3.9  M+
-      54  39  Research 2000  9/22-24     600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      53  40  Rich. Quinn(R) 9/22-23     500 LVs 4.4  M+
-      59  37  ARG (R)        9/14-17     600 LVs 4.0  M+
SD  3  50  41  Research 2000  10/22-24    600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      48  41  Mason-Dixon    10/13-15    800 RVs 3.5  M+
-      55  39  ARG (R)        9/19-21     600 LVs 4.0  M+
TN 11  54  38  Research 2000  10/21-22    600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      54  39  AyresMcHnry(R) 10/12-15    600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      55  35  MTSU           9/15-27     357 LVs 5.2  M+
-      55  39  Mason-Dixon    9/22-24     625 LVs 3.9  M+
-      59  36  ARG (R)        9/16-19     600 LVs 4.0  M+
TX 34  52  40  Research 2000  10/14-15    600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      57  38  ARG (R)        10/5-8      600 LVs 4.0  M+
UT  5  65  29  ARG (R)        9/10-13     600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      62  24  DanJonesAssoc  9/8-11      601 RVs 4.0  M+
VT  3  29  51  Macro Int'l    10/9-12     400 RVs 4.9  O+
-      38  56  ARG (R)        9/18-22     600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      36  55  Research 2000  9/11-14     400 LVs 4.9  O+
VA 13  45  52  Reuters/Zogby  10/23-26    600 LVs 4.0  O
-      44  52  ABC/WaPo/TNS   10/22-25    784 LVs 3.5  O+
-      40  51  VCU            10/20-22    817 LVs 3.4  O+
-      45  47  Mason-Dixon    10/20-21    625 LVs 3.9  O
-      44  54  CNN/Time/ORC   10/19-21    647 LVs 3.9  O+
-      44  45  Winthrop/ETV   9/28-10/19  665 LVs 3.8  O
-      43  49  CNU            10/11-14    500 LVs 4.4  O
-      39  51  Suffolk Univ.  10/3-5      600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      49  46  ARG (R)        9/27-29     600 LVs 4.0  M
-      48  41  FD/NatlJournal 9/11-15     409 RVs 4.8  M
WA 11  34  55  Univ. of WA    10/18-26    600 RVs 4.0  O+
-      36  55  Elway Poll     10/16-19    405 RVs 4.9  O+
-      44  50  ARG (R)        9/16-18     600 LVs 4.0  O
-      42  47  StrtegicVis(R) 9/14-16     800 LVs 3.5  O
WV  5  50  40  Reuters/Zogby  10/23-26    600 LVs 4.0  M+
-      49  43  Research 2000  10/22-24    600 LVs 4.0  M
-      49  44  Orion Strg (D) 10/20-21    600 RVs 4.0  M
-      53  44  CNN/Time/ORC   10/19-21    674 LVs 3.8  M+
-      47  41  Mason-Dixon    10/16-17    625 LVs 3.9  M
-      42  41  Rainmaker (D)  10/14-15    600 LVs 4.0  M
-      42  50  ARG (R)        10/4-8      600 LVs 4.0  O
-      44  39  Blankenship    9/5-8       432 RVs 4.7  M
WI 10  41  53  Big 10/U of WI 10/19-22    584 RVs 4.1  O+
-      41  52  Research 2000  10/20-21    600 LVs 4.0  O+
-      40  53  FD/NatlJournal 10/16-20    405 RVs 4.9  O+
-      39  51  Mason-Dixon    10/16-17    625 LVs 3.9  O+
-      38  51  WPR/St.Norbert 10/9-17     400 LVs 4.9  O+
-      36  51  U of WI-Milwau 10/8-15     434 Adl 4.7  O+
-      37  54  Quinnipiac Unv 10/8-12    1201 LVs 2.8  O+
-      46  51  CNN/Time/ORC   10/3-6      859 LVs 3.3  O
-      40  49  StrtegicVis(R) 9/26-28     800 LVs 3.5  O+
-      45  50  ARG (R)        9/18-21     600 LVs 4.0  O
WY  3  58  35  Research 2000  10/14-16    500 LVs 4.4  M+
-      58  32  Mason-Dixon    10/13-14    625 LVs 3.9  M+
-      66  28  ARG (R)        9/9-11      600 LVs 4.0  M+

Key

SYMBOL STATES
M      McCain Leads Within The M.O.E.
M+     McCain Leads Outside The M.O.E.
O      Obama Leads Within The M.O.E.
O+     Obama Leads Outside The M.O.E.
--     Poll Is Tied

^Note: This chart assumes ME and NE each award electoral votes to a single candidate.

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

2 Comments

Recent polls show Obama down by 4% and 2% in Arizona. Is that included in the Leaning McCain column?

Ethan | October 29, 2008 1:24 AM

The Republican Party is a sick joke, and the people of this country are fed up with them.
From Nixon to Bush, and from Scooter to Larry "Toilet Stall" Craig, the Republicans have proven themselves to be a bunch of lying, corrupt, evil, perverted, over-spending crooks.
When you look at all the money Bill Clinton left this country, it makes us all cry to know that Bush spent it all.
When the money was gone, Bush went to China for help.
Just think, we owe money to China!
That is the Bush way.
Cheney is no better.
You can't trust either of them.
No one does.
Why are we in Iraq?
The war should be on terror, not in Iraq.
Iraq had nothing to do with 9/11, and yet Bush has spent a massive amount of money to fight "his" war.
Yes his, because many of his own Republicans have even backed off from the war.
By the way, the war in Iraq has cost the U.S. almost six hundred billion dollars.
Bush is friends with Rudy Giuliani, but Rudy is no hero.
While he is often called the hero of 9/11, the truth is that Rudy was a terrible leader during his years as mayor of New York City.
He made bad decisions and took a girlfriend while being married.
In fact, he even wanted his lover to live in the same house with his wife.
Most people would call this perverted.
New Yorkers were so sick of his antics, that they wanted him out of office.
Then came 9/11.
The only reason people call Giuliani a hero today, is because he just happened to be NYC's mayor during that bad time.
Any mayor would be looked at as a hero if they showed their face under those circumstances. If there was no 9/11, Rudy would have become a joke.
In closing, the New York Post once reported in their paper, that Giuliani spent more than 48,000 dollars of campaign money on posh hotels while claiming to have spent the least of all the Republican candidates.
Rudy is a good time leader, and does it with other people's money.
He is through.
Mitt Romney is done as well.
Mitt can't seem to get his facts right, and will say things to make himself look good.
Red flags go up around him.
I spoke with his son Tagg at the New Hampshire debates back in June (2007), and while he seemed like a nice man, Tagg could not get his facts right either.
One of the worst Republicans as of late, though, is Larry Craig.
He is a lying pervert who wanted gay sex with a strange man on a dirty toilet seat.
He pled guilty, then said he was not guilty.
Say what?
He is another Republican moron.
Did you hear about Washington State Republican Rep. Richard Curtis?
He offered $1,000 to a young man for unprotected sex while dressed in women's lingerie.
This sort of thing just goes on and on with them.
Remember Mark Foley?
Here is a letter I wrote that was in many newspapers and Web sites:

Once again, the Republicans have turned my stomach with shocking and repulsive behavior. Mark Foley, a Republican member (now ex-member) of Congress, has sent many e-mails with perverted sexual content to a sixteen year old boy.
This is the same man who while in Congress, backed a bill that was meant to protect children from child predators.
Foley himself, is a man who preyed on a child with lust.
What is also incomprehensible, is the fact that some Republicans knew of Foley’s behavior, and yet, did not take a hard stand against this until it became public news. If I had a teenage son and/or daughter, I would not want them to go near any Republican leader for fear of either or both becoming a victim of a sick Republican pervert.

George Vreeland Hill

There were more than three hundred such letters in newspapers in 2007 alone.
Many of them in New Hampshire.
There are thousands on the Internet.
No lie.
THOUSANDS!
This does not even include articles, ads, radio, TV and other areas where the public takes notice.
In fact, one Republican in California wanted me stopped once, because I was hurting some Republicans in their elections.
I just want to do my part in helping to get rid of every Republican scumbag.
From phone scams to the Union Leader (NH) covering up for Republicans, the garbage never ends.
But the Republican Party will end.
Did you know that George W. Bush once made fun of the issue of Weapons of Mass Destruction?
He did, and in front of some shocked people during a black-tie event in 2004.
He said.... (While looking under a piece of furniture) "Those weapons of mass destruction have got to be here somewhere."
Then, while pretending to look out of a window, Bush laughed as he said..... "Nope, no weapons over there."
While he was laughing, there were men and women fighting and dying in Iraq because of WMD. George W. Bush should be removed from office because of that alone.
Face it, Bill Clinton lied about having sex, and was impeached because of it.
George W. Bush however, did far worse, as he laughed at the very people who are fighting for the United States of America!
That about sums it all up!
(By the way, this Bush/WMD was part of an article and letter I wrote as well.)
This leads us to John McCain.
All he seems to do is attack other candidates.
His use of Barack Obama in an ad with Paris Hilton was silly, and it made him look stupid.
His Woodstock ad against Hillary Clinton was boring and without the facts.
He tells of Hillary wanting to spend a million dollars on a museum while he (McCain) supports spending more on the war in Iraq.
He wants you to believe that the Democrats are the big spenders, while it is McCain's Republican Party that has spent all the money Bill Clinton left us to a point where Bush had to borrow money from China.
Think about that again.
We owe to China.
That is the Republican way.
Also, it must be noted that McCain even laughed at war.
Remember when McCain changed the words of a Beach Boys song to Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Bomb, Iran?
McCain even laughed when he was done.
He thought starting a war with Iran was a laughing matter.
That is the real John McCain.
He just can't be trusted.
He is another George Bush, and you know what we got with him.
Also, McCain's choice of Sarah Palin for his running mate is proof that he is not in a position to lead this country.
There were far more qualified candidates out there.
This tells the voters two things.
First, it takes away the Republican argument that Barack Obama lacks experience because they now have that same lack on their own ticket.
Second, it is clear that McCain is using a woman to get the women vote, and most of them can see through this ploy.
It is an insult to all the women who McCain thinks are stupid.
He would have been better off trying to get John Edwards to join the GOP and team up with him for their vote.
At least that would have been more honest.
Here in New Hampshire, the GOP has made one wrong move after another.
John Sununu is the ring leader of his band of idiots who side with money and self interest over the interests of the people.
His television ads distort the truth, and all he does is attack Jeanne Shaheen.
The voters have had enough of him.
The Republican Party is a mess, and getting worse.
People do not trust any of them, and we are all tired of their BS.
On November 4th, you know what to do!
Thank you for your time.

George Vreeland Hill

George Vreeland Hill | October 29, 2008 3:47 AM