Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll: The Early Line
Obama/Biden 48%
McCain/Palin 42%
Undec 7%
- Obama maintained his 48-42% lead from yesterday's release. The WH contest also remains largely status quo among men, while women (including white women) appear to be breaking more towards Obama.
- Among all men, Obama leads by 1% -- exactly his margin one week ago, in the survey completed 10/6. Among women, however, Obama's lead has grown from 3% to 12% over the same period.
- The same trends are evident among whites. McCain today leads white men by 11% -- exactly his margin one week ago. Among white women, however, the GOP nominee's advantage has fallen from 12% to 6%.
Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/11-13 by FD, surveyed 829 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.4%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 37%R, 18%I.
For subscribers, look to today's Latest Edition for full results and checkout Keys To The White House at any time to see how Obama and McCain are doing among key demographic groups.
(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)