Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll: The Early Line
Obama/Biden 49%
McCain/Palin 42%
Undec 7%
- The Base That They Gave Me. Obama now leads LVs by 7%; one week ago, in the survey completed 10/10, his lead was 10%. While Obama's margins among Indies and Dems are nearly identical to last week, McCain's advantage among GOPers has jumped 10%.
- Phony Mahoney? On the generic Congressional ballot, the Dems now hold just a 3% margin, a record low in the Diageo/Hotline tracking poll. Van Hollen & Co. lead 42-39% with 16% undec; one week ago, they led 44-31% with 18% undec.
- Triumph, The Insult Economic Dog. Economic concerns remain paramount among LVs. 68% now feel the economy is the most important issue facing the U.S., a figure which ties the record 68% citing the economy one week ago.
Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/15-17 by FD, surveyed 797 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 37%R, 18%I.
For subscribers, look to Monday's Latest Edition for full results and checkout Keys To The White House at any time to see how Obama and McCain are doing among key demographic groups.
(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)
Guys, your Party ID is bogus again. Dem over Rep should be in the +6 to +8 range, not +4. Do you not correct for party ID in your polling? Just a week back we had an example of this, where your Party IDs went screwy for a few days, before being fixed.
The party ids get changed to create a little drama. There's nothing more boring than a 10+ % blowout.
What If Things Were Switched Around?"
What if the Obama's had paraded five children across the stage, including a
three month old infant and an unwed, pregnant teenage daughter?
What if John McCain was a former president of the Harvard Law Review?
What if Barack Obama finished fifth from the bottom of his graduating
class?
What if McCain had only married once and Obama was a divorcee?
What if Obama was the candidate who left his first wife after a severe
disfiguring car accident, when she no longer measured up to his standards?
What if Obama had met his second wife in a bar and had a long affair while
he was still married
What if Michelle Obama was the wife who not only became addicted to
painkillers but also acquired them illegally through her charitable
organization
What if Cindy McCain graduated from Harvard
What if Obama had been a member of the Keating Five (the Keating Five were
five US Senators accused of corruption in 1989, igniting a major political
scandal as part of the larger Saving and Loan crisis of the late 1980s and
early 1990s.)
What if McCain was a charismatic, eloquent speaker
What if Obama couldn't read from a teleprompter
What if Obama was the one who had military experience that included
discipline problems and a record of crashing seven planes
What if Obama was the one who was known to display publicly, on many
occasions, a serious anger management problem
What if Michelle Obama's family had made their money from beer distribution
This is what Hypocrisy does. It covers up, rationalizes and minimizes positive
qualities in one candidate and emphasizes negative qualities in another,
Educational Background :
Barack Obama: Columbia University - B.A. Political Science with a Specialization in
International Relations.
Harvard - Juris Doctor (J.D.) Magna Cum Laude
Joseph Biden: University of Delaware - B.A. in History and B.A. in Political Science.
Syracuse University College of Law - Juris Doctor (J.D.)
John McCain: United States Naval Academy - Class rank: 894 of 899
Sarah Palin: Hawaii Pacific University - 1 semester, North Idaho College - 2 semesters - general study, University of Idaho - 2 semesters – journalismm Matanuska-Susitna College - 1 semester, University of Idaho - 3 semesters - B.A. in Journalism
Education isn't everything, but this is about the two highest offices in the land as well as our standing in the world. You make the call, A THIRD WORLD COUNTRY or CHANGE?
Colin Powell just lost all creditability. His endorsement of Obama is unreasoned and sophomoric. Maybe we should examine his decisions when he was Sec't of State.