Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll: The Early Line
Obama/Biden 48%
McCain/Palin 41%
Undec 8%
- Five Guy. Obama maintained his 7% lead from yesterday's tracking poll. The IL Sen. has now held a statistically significant advantage in five consecutive Diageo/Hotline releases.
- King Of Swing? Obama now leads battleground state LVs by just 6%. As recently as 10/15, Obama led these LVs -- in CO, FL, MI, NH, NM, NV, OH, PA, VA and WI -- by 22%.
- Whole Lotta Love. McCain has also made noticeable gains among white women. The GOP nominee now holds a 47-43% advantage; one week ago, in the survey completed 10/11, Obama led 47-46%.
Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/16-18 by FD, surveyed 785 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 36%R, 18%I.
For subscribers, look to Monday's Latest Edition for full results and checkout Keys To The White House at any time to see how Obama and McCain are doing among key demographic groups.
(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)
Everyone in American knows that the real "underdog"... is the black guy.
Here's the problem... anyone at this point who thinks Obama is a) a socialist, b) a terrorist, c) the second coming of Christ... are all blinded by their biases. Just because Obama wants to give hard working Middle-Class Americans tax cuts by investments made by the wealthiest 5%, this is somehow a bad thing? This is what Adma Smith actually said government would have to do from time to time... government has to step in when clear dochotomies form between the uppoer and lower classes. Think of this as a investment... do not ship jobs overseas... reinvest in Americans and offer THEM jobs, not southeast Asian telemarketers our outsourced jobs. The 2000 bucks we will get, will go towards affordable healthcare... is being able to afford health insurance a bad thing to you? Anyone who thinks Obama is a socialist doesn't even realize that he is a pure capitalist that recognizes that Americans are hurting. You also think that BLACK people are lazy, and unwilling to work when given the opportunity. This thinking biases your hiring practices, and makes you develop preconceived judgments about the people you are willing to hire, and those you are not. This implicit practice of active racism MUST STOP!
There's no way Obama had a 22% lead in the listed battleground states on 10/15. He's never had a 22% lead in ANY of those states, and most of them are quite close - hence "battleground state". You need to go back and clarify what you meant there, as it is clearly erroneous as posted.