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Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll: The Early Line

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Obama/Biden 47%
McCain/Palin 42%
Undec 8%

- McCain now leads men by 8% -- his largest lead among them in more than a month. In the survey completed 9/19, McCain also led men by 8%.

- Enthusiasm continues to grow among supporters of the GOP ticket. 54% of McCain voters now say they are enthusiastically supporting the AZ Sen., up from 45% one week ago (in the survey completed 10/14). Among Obama supporters, enthusiasm has also climbed, 4% to 69%.

- McCain now carries only 20% of Bush disapprovers; a week ago, he pulled 24% of these McCain Mavericks. Look for more on this Keys To The White House group in today's Latest Edition.

Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/19-21 by FD, surveyed 782 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 38%R, 17%I.

(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)

3 Comments

"Among Obama supporters, enthusiasm has also climbed, 4% to 69%."

Holy cow that's a big jump!

Fix your Party ID balance.

You need D over R at +6 to +8 if you want accurate results.

FLASH: Identical poll numbers require new explanation!

Journalists working hard to make you as dumb as they are.