Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll: The Early Line
Obama/Biden 48%
McCain/Palin 43%
Undec 6%
- Obama maintained his 5% lead from yesterday's release; he previously led 47-42% with 8% undec.
- The gender gap continues to work in Obama's favor. Among women, Obama holds a 17% lead, while McCain has an 8% lead among men. McCain, however, continues to gain among white men and now holds a 20% advantage.
- McCain now has a higher fav rating than Obama for the first time since 9/14. 57% of LVs view the GOP nominee favorably, while 56% view the Dem nominee favorably. Obama, however, has an 8% lead among those who hold "strongly favorable" views of the candidates. Both McCain and Obama have unfav ratings of 38%.
Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/20-22 by FD, surveyed 769 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.5%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 38%R, 17%I.
For subscribers, look to today's Latest Edition for full results and checkout Keys To The White House at any time to see how Obama and McCain are doing among key demographic groups.
(AMY WALTER and MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)
Obama is +17 with women and -8 with men, but only +5 overall? What percent of the sample is men? Doesn't the electorate skew slightly female in the last few elections?