More Than A Feeling
A Pew Research Center poll released this p.m. shows Barack Obama leading John McCain 53-39% among LVs; among RVs, it's Obama 52-38%. A month ago, in the survey completed 9/14, Obama and McCain were tied 46-46% among LVs and Obama led RVs 46-44%.
There has also been a change in who RVs feel is more likely to prevail on 11/4. More than three in five RVs (61%) now feel Obama will win the election, while just 17% believe McCain will win. RVs were split 39-39% on the question in the survey released 9/14.
The latest poll was conducted 10/16-19 by PSRA/Abt SRBI and has margins of error +/- 1.9% for RVs and +/- 2.0% for LVs.
(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)
NH/WI:
ABC News' George Stephanopoulos reports: Democratic sources say the McCain camp may be giving up on New Hampshire and Wisconsin. Instead of placing new television advertising buys in those states, they say the McCain campaign is stretching out previous ad buys over more days rather than devote new ad money.
Chuck Todd:
"The ground game, it is just absent from the McCain campaign ... At this point, the only state that I feel good about for McCain is Ohio." He posited that McCain could win that state but lose the election, which would be "very frustrating to Republicans."
CNN Poll of Polls: Obama leads by nine points:
Sen. Barack Obama has his largest lead so far over rival Sen. John McCain, according to CNN’s latest national poll of polls. Obama leads McCain by nine points in the poll of polls released Tuesday – 51 percent to 42 percent.
So much for the "tightening" meme.....
Is this the same CNN that claimed McCain was pulling out of Colorado on the same day Palin, Mr. Palin were making 1/2 dozen campaign stops and Palin was drawing record numbers at some locations? Palin drew record crowds in NH just a few days ago as well.
Battleground and other polls show the race getting very tight. CNN polls are garbage.