The Early Line: Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll

Obama/Biden 48%
McCain/Palin 41%
Undec 9%
- The Diageo/Hotline tracking poll has switched to LVs. Only RVs who describe themselves as "extremely likely" or "very likely" to vote, or have already voted, will be included in the survey.
- Touchdown Fighting Illini? Obama has tied his largest lead in the tracking poll. The Dem nominee now leads McCain by 7%, equaling his advantage in the survey completed 9/25.
- Can I Call You Joe? Biden has his best favorable rating in the survey thus far. The DE Sen.'s fav figure crossed the 50% threshold for the first time, and his fav/unfav now stands at 52%/31%. One week ago, in the survey completed 9/26, he stood at 41%/34%.
- Field (Ops) Of Dreams. By a 2:1 ratio, LVs who have been contacted directly by only one camp say it's Obama's. 14% say they've heard from just Obama, 7% have heard from only McCain and 12% have heard from both. Among Indies, 10% have heard from only Obama, 6% have heard from just McCain and 18% have heard from both.
Today's Diageo/Hotline tracking poll, conducted 10/1-3 by FD, surveyed 915 LVs and has a margin of error of +/- 3.2%. Party ID Breakdown for the sample is 41%D, 36%R, 19%I.
For subscribers, look to Monday's Latest Edition for full results and checkout Keys To The White House at any time to see how Obama and McCain are doing among key demographic groups.
(MATTHEW GOTTLIEB)








All these polls showing Obama ahead are just outliers. Don't believe them, McCain will win. No one in their right mind wants an extremist as President
No one wants an extremist as president? Ever heard of a guy named George W. Bush? Different opinions does not mean extremist. In fact, I would consider Obama more of a pragmatist than an extremist.
All of the polls are consistent, including ones from republican pollsters (Rasmussen/Fox). There is no surprise in this poll. Obama is pulling ahead, McCain is low on funds and pulling out of Michigian and is now on the ropes.
i think gopvoter was being sarcastic or are the republican really that delusional?
Yes. Don't believe the polls. McCain will go to the White House and meet President Barack Obama.
Way to go GOPVoter. More Bushism. Saying all polls are outliers is an oxymoron.
GOPVoter is, presumably, a satirical voter. Real people aren't that deluded, are they? Anyway, ALL polls can't be outliers, by the very definition of "outlier".
who is reckless and risky?
we just had a chance to see both candidates in economic crisis.
Many people even republicans confirmed that obama was steady and calm and still doing his things for the bail out... whereas Maccain was making dramas and still failed to persuade his own parties.
That's why the obama's lead becomes stable.
it's not bounce....
These polls mean nothing when half your base is a a bunch of pot smoking lazy young people. They won't get off their asses on November 4th, and McCain will pull an upset.
These polls mean nothing when half your base is a a bunch of pot smoking lazy young people. They won't get off their asses on November 4th, and McCain will pull an upset.
These polls mean nothing when half your base is a a bunch of pot smoking lazy young people. They won't get off their asses on November 4th, and McCain will pull an upset.
how can you trust any poll that's taken in san diageo?
The lead is becoming solid and defined now. There are a disproportionate higher number of new democrates registered compared to republicans. The Economy is number one and Mccain showed a very shaky response to it compared to Obama's cool calm and collected approach. The mojority of the people felt Biden outperformed and was far more qualified than Palin. Obama has a tremendous amount more money than Mccain. The lawsuit to block the probe in Alaska agaist palin has been DISMISSED by a judge. The electoral college shows a significant and growing lead for Obama. The foreign Affairs debate is over (Mccain's Strong point). All these things point to an insurmountable lead for Obama and Democrat in the white house in 2009. These are the facts.
The lead is becoming solid and defined now. There are a disproportionate higher number of new democrates registered compared to republicans. The Economy is number one and Mccain showed a very shaky response to it compared to Obama's cool calm and collected approach. The mojority of the people felt Biden outperformed and was far more qualified than Palin. Obama has a tremendous amount more money than Mccain. The lawsuit to block the probe in Alaska agaist palin has been DISMISSED by a judge. The electoral college shows a significant and growing lead for Obama. The foreign Affairs debate is over (Mccain's Strong point). All these things point to an insurmountable lead for Obama and Democrat in the white house in 2009. These are the facts.
Well, if all those voters are a bunch of pot smoking lazy young people, then this middle aged woman will go drag them out of their houses TO go vote on November 4. I'll wake them up if necessary.
Because Barack Obama will win this election.
Don't believe the polls! Remember the last-minute huge swings from Obama to Hillary in almost every primary state? In the end, when it comes down to pulling the lever, people hesitate voting for an inexperienced man with ties to terrorists and racists and a wife who hates America.
You can tell who just became interested in politics sometime in the last 3 years by how much they actually believe these polls. Election after election these polls are wrong until the very last week when they "suddenly" begin to correct themselves so that they can claim "accuracy" for the next election.
All of their sampling methods have a higher weight of democrats than republicans. Many force upon themselves a quota for black voters, which totally skew the results because 99% of them will vote for Obama simply because of race.
Most importantly however is that Democrats and those with lower education/income have historically had poor turn out. The only reason half of them are even registered to vote is because someone took the time visit them at their home to help them fill out the paperwork without even having to get off of their butts.
Add to that the supposed hidden "racists" who say they'll vote for Obama but really won't and you have a close if not clear victory in the polls.
But again, most people who have posted here have no historical context of polling and everything I just mentioned, but you'll learn soon enough.
The statement from GOPVoter stating that "All these polls showing Obama ahead are just outliers" is by definition untrue. "Outlier" is a term used in statistics which means that a particular observation is siginficantly different from the rest of the observations. Accordingly, an outlier in the current set of national polls would be a result where McCain is in the lead or is just barely behind Obama.
Suzy is beyond an idiot- which states are you talking about, the ones obama won (33) vs Hillary (17) either way, when the polls were okay it was great for mccain the polls are bad for mccain- still good news for mccain- you are either diluted or on drugs-either way- your guy sounds and looks like an old erratic driver yelling for kids to get off the sidewalk.
The statement from GOPVoter stating that "All these polls showing Obama ahead are just outliers" is by definition untrue. "Outlier" is a term used in statistics which means that a particular observation is significantly different from the rest of the observations. Accordingly, an outlier in the current set of national polls would be a result where McCain is in the lead or is just barely behind Obama.
All of these polls are outliers? I think Mr. Republican doesn't know what an outlier is. An outlier is suspect because it is different from the rest, it's impossible for them to all be outliers! Maybe he is comparing to polls taken by partisan Republicans showing Old and Clueless ahead (oooops, I don't think even those are showing them ahead).
The election could go either way but right now it looks like that way is to Obama. They were off on only one state (Wisconsin) in 2004 in the final averaging and it was carried for Kerry by a very narrow margin. It will be interesting to see whether they stay where they are now or bounce back to McCain.
Has there ever been a recession under the Democrats? On my count its Republicans 6, Democrats 0, when it comes to recessions. They were: 1929/30, 1974/75, 1981/82, 1991/92, 2001/02, 2008. What's the magic ingredient the Republicans have when it comes to causing recessions? It should be bottled and sold to America's enemies.
Has there ever been a recession under the Democrats? On my count its Republicans 6, Democrats 0, when it comes to recessions. They were: 1929/30, 1974/75, 1981/82, 1991/92, 2001/02, 2008. What's the magic ingredient the Republicans have when it comes to causing recessions? It should be bottled and sold to America's enemies.
Obama's 50% problem, why cant he close the deal? He is only by 7! And he is only at 48%!!
What John completely leaves out is that most of those recessions occurred within MONTHS of Republicans taking office. Hmmmm, could it possible have anything to due with the policies of the prior president? Nah, not in his fantasy world.
He also leaves out the fact that the Democrats of the 30's-60's were more like the Republicans of today and vice-versa. Party ideology changes a lot over time, but I guess they must have totally skipped that little piece of information in your history class.
McCain sounds like Burgess Merideth playing the Penguin on the old Batman TV seires
McCain sounds like Burgess Merideth playing the Penguin on the old Batman TV seires
Obama's 50% problem, why cant he close the deal? He is only by 7! And he is only at 48%!!
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!
McCain is only at 41%
Repubs are FUNNY people
Even if they do not know it
This poll is right on the money. But I was hoping that Obama will be at least 10 points or more at this stage. I know for sure he is going to win, I think the issue at hand is by how much. I know for sure that it is going to be a landslide elctorate college vote. I will say 386.
fivethirtyeight.com says it all.
Game, set, match, Obama.
Any republican that has to tell themselves that McAnger is still in it, to get through the day...fine, fool yourselves.
We've allready got a Maverik in the White House, we sure don't need another.
This poll is right on the money. But I was hoping that Obama will be at least 10 points or more at this stage. I know for sure he is going to win, I think the issue at hand is by how much. I know for sure that it is going to be a landslide elctorate college vote. I will say 386.
This poll is right on the money. But I was hoping that Obama will be at least 10 points or more at this stage. I know for sure he is going to win, I think the issue at hand is by how much. I know for sure that it is going to be a landslide elctorate college vote. I will say 386.
fivethirtyeight.com says it all.
Game, set, match, Obama.
Any republican that has to tell themselves that McAnger is still in it, to get through the day...fine, fool yourselves.
We've allready got a Maverik in the White House, we sure don't need another.
Hey Idiot-- I am talking about PRIMARY states. Here are two key examples for you (I have facts, while all you have in your arsenal is name calling--typical Democrat).
OHIO- RCP Average on March 1 Hillary +4. She won by 9.
PA- PPD had her ahead by 4 and called it a "race too close to call." Rasmussen had it a 5 point race, just outside the MOE. She won by 9.
We know Obama wants us to think that he has this in the bag and the MSM is dutifully playing their part. But Sarah Palin has energized the base and McCain starting next week will start hitting Obama on Ayers/Wright/Fannie/Freddie/ACORN. Can't wait to see how much more that will energize the base and educate the independents about the REAL Obama.
(Opinion from Germany, OLD Europe).
Fact1. The american people re-elected GWB. A people committing such a blunder is capable of more of the same.
Fact 2. Not even tons of soap will make Obama as pale as McCain. For fear of appearing not pc, only few will admit, but voting for the offspring of a black muslim is just too much to ask, even if they otherwise agree with his political views.
Fact 3. McCain is an honest person. He thinks military power can solve all the problems in the world, a view which is (open or sectretly) shared by many, many more than just the NRA.
Fact 4. Biden knows what he is talking about (most of the time at least), but that is not enough to be qualified for the office of a VP. Palin is a loving mother, she is able to learn some canned phrases by heart, and she is a MILF. These are abundantly convincing qualifications for all exceptionalists.
My conclusion from this: Obama still might win if he goes into this election with a substatial lead (say at least 5 points). McCain has not learned his lesson from 9/11, somethin he has in common with the vast majority of the american people.
He has every reason to keep on fighting.
(Opinion from Germany, OLD Europe).
Fact1. The american people re-elected GWB. A people committing such a blunder is capable of more of the same.
Fact 2. Not even tons of soap will make Obama as pale as McCain. For fear of appearing not pc, only few will admit, but voting for the offspring of a black muslim is just too much to ask, even if they otherwise agree with his political views.
Fact 3. McCain is an honest person. He thinks military power can solve all the problems in the world, a view which is (open or sectretly) shared by many, many more than just the NRA.
Fact 4. Biden knows what he is talking about (most of the time at least), but that is not enough to be qualified for the office of a VP. Palin is a loving mother, she is able to learn some canned phrases by heart, and she is a MILF. These are abundantly convincing qualifications for all exceptionalists.
My conclusion from this: Obama still might win if he goes into this election with a substatial lead (say at least 5 points). McCain has not learned his lesson from 9/11, somethin he has in common with the vast majority of the american people.
He has every reason to keep on fighting.
"All of their sampling methods have a higher weight of democrats than republicans. Many force upon themselves a quota for black voters, which totally skew the results because 99% of them will vote for Obama simply because of race." Actually, Obama is only doing slightly better among black voters than Clinton did during his two elections. Despite all his racist followers (including this poster), McCain still draws about 13% black support. Bottom line, election after election after election, blacks have been more than willing to vote for a white guy. How many McCain supporters are holding out because they refuse and will always refuse to vote for a black guy?
Hey Suzy--
Since you claim to have "facts", why don't you stop using them selectively. While Obama did worse in some primaries than pre-vote polls would have suggested, he did far better in a majority of others. In VA, pre-vote put him at 10-15, he won by 29, in WI, pre-vote put him at 5-8, he won by 19.
Hey Linda -- I voted yesterday and had to wait in line over an hour to do so. Most of the people in line were young -- so guess what, the young voters ARE coming out. And btw, all of them were happy to remain standing the entire time (not lazy) and none had the munchies!
MCCAIN TOOK THE FALL SO FAR ON BANK FAILURES AND THE BAILOUT! IT WAS DEMOS FAILURE NOT REPUBS SO IF HIS PARTY TAKES THE BLAME FOR DEMOS FAILURE , YES OBAMA WON! BUT BILL CLINTON ADMITS DEMOS DID NOT LISTEN TO HIM OR REPUB WARNING THE PROGRAM WAS DANGEROUS! ANYWAY OBAMAS A SOCIALIST IF HE WINS US CORPS WILL FLEE THE USA AND MILLIONS OF JOBS WILL BE LOST ! HE IS A CORP BLOODSUCKING SOCIALIST! AND WILL BE BELOW 35% WITHIN A YEAR AFTER TAKING OFFICE ,IF HE WINS!
El Capitan,
You denigrate other posters' knowledge of history, but you don't seem to know it yourself.
1) As for recessions, only 2 of the 6 recessions recited by the other poster came after a Democratic administration--81/82 and 2001, the 4 others all came after many years of successive Republican rule--29/30, 74/75, 91/92, and 2008. (One note, reader also left out 37/38, which is difficult to assign blame for.)
2) History shows that presidential polls have consistently gotten better over time precisely because of the refined methods for determining who is a "likely voter". As for weighting of polls, that is necessary to account for the differing probabilities of contacting subgroups of the population. As for polls changing in the last week, that is indeed an important point to consider, but it is only the case because many voters don't actually make up their minds until the end of the process--and not because there is some flaw in the polling methodologies themselves. That is why it is always important to gauge how close a candidate is to the 50% mark in polls this far from the election and not to look just at the spread.
I voted by absentee ballot in Florida. My friend works in the state elections office and once again the Rep lead by 3 to 1 in absentee ballot requests. She said McCain will carry Florida because the request by Rep is heaviest in the 1-4 area of Florida where you have to take to win this state. The same way in PA and OH. It helps to have people in these state offices to see the Rep/Dem ratio. I was a Hillary voter and am voting for McCain. I just do not trust Obama to pick people he thinks is wiser than him for key positions in his cabinet. It he would have pick the smartest one, Hillary, then I would have voted for him and her.
I voted by absentee ballot in Florida. My friend works in the state elections office and once again the Rep lead by 3 to 1 in absentee ballot requests. She said McCain will carry Florida because the request by Rep is heaviest in the 1-4 area of Florida where you have to take to win this state. The same way in PA and OH. It helps to have people in these state offices to see the Rep/Dem ratio. I was a Hillary voter and am voting for McCain. I just do not trust Obama to pick people he thinks is wiser than him for key positions in his cabinet. It he would have pick the smartest one, Hillary, then I would have voted for him and her.
I voted by absentee ballot in Florida. My friend works in the state elections office and once again the Rep lead by 3 to 1 in absentee ballot requests. She said McCain will carry Florida because the request by Rep is heaviest in the 1-4 area of Florida where you have to take to win this state. The same way in PA and OH. It helps to have people in these state offices to see the Rep/Dem ratio. I was a Hillary voter and am voting for McCain. I just do not trust Obama to pick people he thinks is wiser than him for key positions in his cabinet. It he would have pick the smartest one, Hillary, then I would have voted for him and her.
I voted by absentee ballot in Florida. My friend works in the state elections office and once again the Rep lead by 3 to 1 in absentee ballot requests. She said McCain will carry Florida because the request by Rep is heaviest in the 1-4 area of Florida where you have to take to win this state. The same way in PA and OH. It helps to have people in these state offices to see the Rep/Dem ratio. I was a Hillary voter and am voting for McCain. I just do not trust Obama to pick people he thinks is wiser than him for key positions in his cabinet. It he would have pick the smartest one, Hillary, then I would have voted for him and her.
I voted by absentee ballot in Florida. My friend works in the state elections office and once again the Rep lead by 3 to 1 in absentee ballot requests. She said McCain will carry Florida because the request by Rep is heaviest in the 1-4 area of Florida where you have to take to win this state. The same way in PA and OH. It helps to have people in these state offices to see the Rep/Dem ratio. I was a Hillary voter and am voting for McCain. I just do not trust Obama to pick people he thinks is wiser than him for key positions in his cabinet. It he would have pick the smartest one, Hillary, then I would have voted for him and her.
Indeed a terrible posting system where a post appears five times.
No reason to blame kathy for that.
"Don't believe the polls!" is classic political DENIAL. I remember George HW Bush saying this in 1992 for weeks when Clinton took the lead. How'd that turn out for ya, Repugnicants? The polls were correct, and you LOST. You betcha!
And, trust me, once we get Obama in the White House, and if we run the table and add ten more Senate seats (and kick Lieberman to the curb), we will have a fillibuster-proof majority and we will END REAGANOMICS once and for all and set to work restoring this nation's well-being and sanity. ENOUGH!
"Don't believe the polls!" is classic political DENIAL. I remember George HW Bush saying this in 1992 for weeks when Clinton took the lead. How'd that turn out for ya, Repugnicants? The polls were correct, and you LOST. You betcha!
And, trust me, once we get Obama in the White House, and if we run the table and add ten more Senate seats (and kick Lieberman to the curb), we will have a fillibuster-proof majority and we will END REAGANOMICS once and for all and set to work restoring this nation's well-being and sanity. ENOUGH!
"Don't believe the polls!" is classic political DENIAL. I remember George HW Bush saying this in 1992 for weeks when Clinton took the lead. How'd that turn out for ya, Repugnicants? The polls were correct, and you LOST. You betcha!
And, trust me, once we get Obama in the White House, and if we run the table and add ten more Senate seats (and kick Lieberman to the curb), we will have a fillibuster-proof majority and we will END REAGANOMICS once and for all and set to work restoring this nation's well-being and sanity. ENOUGH!
"Don't believe the polls!" is classic political DENIAL. I remember George HW Bush saying this in 1992 for weeks when Clinton took the lead. How'd that turn out for ya, Repugnicants? The polls were correct, and you LOST. You betcha!
And, trust me, once we get Obama in the White House, and if we run the table and add ten more Senate seats (and kick Lieberman to the curb), we will have a fillibuster-proof majority and we will END REAGANOMICS once and for all and set to work restoring this nation's well-being and sanity. ENOUGH!
"Don't believe the polls!" is classic political DENIAL. I remember George HW Bush saying this in 1992 for weeks when Clinton took the lead. How'd that turn out for ya, Repugnicants? The polls were correct, and you LOST. You betcha!
And, trust me, once we get Obama in the White House, and if we run the table and add ten more Senate seats (and kick Lieberman to the curb), we will have a fillibuster-proof majority and we will END REAGANOMICS once and for all and set to work restoring this nation's well-being and sanity. ENOUGH!
"Don't believe the polls!" is classic political DENIAL. I remember George HW Bush saying this in 1992 for weeks when Clinton took the lead. How'd that turn out for ya, Repugnicants? The polls were correct, and you LOST. You betcha!
And, trust me, once we get Obama in the White House, and if we run the table and add ten more Senate seats (and kick Lieberman to the curb), we will have a fillibuster-proof majority and we will END REAGANOMICS once and for all and set to work restoring this nation's well-being and sanity. ENOUGH!
"Don't believe the polls!" is classic political DENIAL. I remember George HW Bush saying this in 1992 for weeks when Clinton took the lead. How'd that turn out for ya, Repugnicants? The polls were correct, and you LOST. You betcha!
And, trust me, once we get Obama in the White House, and if we run the table and add ten more Senate seats (and kick Lieberman to the curb), we will have a fillibuster-proof majority and we will END REAGANOMICS once and for all and set to work restoring this nation's well-being and sanity. ENOUGH!
if obama wins, every one will be surprised, and sorry. he is campaigning as a moderate which is a big lie. i was a hillary voter but i already voted absentee for mccain
[sorry i cant cap any words, i just got back from urgent care/cut my fingers trimming hedges. yeah, not enough coffee haha]
What is even more important are the state polls which have Obama well ahead in many of the battleground areas. This has been a consistent trend in all major polls over the past few weeks.
Obama will win despite some underlying racism because he has solid answers to America's problems. And, electing McCain, a clueless backwards thinking character with an uninformed, barely literate running mate at this critical time in our history would be tantamount to social and economic suicide.
The GOP is morally bankrupt and will not survive in its present form much longer.
if obama wins, every one will be surprised, and sorry. he is campaigning as a moderate which is a big lie. i was a hillary voter but i already voted absentee for mccain
[sorry i cant cap any words, i just got back from urgent care/cut my fingers trimming hedges. yeah, not enough coffee haha]
What is even more important are the state polls which have Obama well ahead in many of the battleground areas. This has been a consistent trend in all major polls over the past few weeks.
Obama will win despite some underlying racism because he has solid answers to America's problems. And, electing McCain, a clueless backwards thinking character with an uninformed, barely literate running mate at this critical time in our history would be tantamount to social and economic suicide.
The GOP is morally bankrupt and will not survive in its present form much longer.
Obama shall win.
We, all Europeans, are totally fed up with imbecile, stupid, neocon, militarist republicans (like Sarah Palin).
Palin Loose cannon belives in creationism
Mccain old stupid crass
Suzy -- You are the idiot. Go back to school and learn statistics.
ALL polls taken -- every single one of them -- have statistical margins of error. Those margins of error depend on the size of the sample taken -- the smaller the sample of people polled, the larger the margin of error. Most of the commercial and respected public opinion surveys have margins of error ranging from 3 to as much as 5 percent.
What that means in statistics (which, dummy Suzy, is what polling is based on) is that BOTH candidate's percent totals in the poll can be anywhere from 3 to 5 points more -- or 3 to 5 points less than the poll indicates.
So, in OH -- if Clinton had a lead over Obama of 4 percent in the last poll taken before the primary --it meant that, with the margin of error -- the Clinton lead was as much as 10 to 14 points or as little as a 2 to 6 point DEFICIT (that is, an Obama lead of 2 to 6 points.)
Same thing in PA -- if the last poll had Clinton up by 5 percent -- with a margin of error of betw 3 to 5 percent -- then her lead would be as high as 11 to 15 points -- or as low as a 1 to 5 point DEFICIT (that is, an Obama lead of betw 1 to 5 points).
Get your facts straight before shooting off your mouth. Oh -- I forgot -- Republicans -- especially the deluded, hard-right, neo-con ones -- never get their facts straight. Instead they just repeat endlessly the mindless drivel knocked into their heads by Fox news and right-wing talk radio.
Hey Idiot-- I am talking about PRIMARY states. Here are two key examples for you (I have facts, while all you have in your arsenal is name calling--typical Democrat).
The hypocrisy is quite amusing. Keep it up!
Hey Les,
You proved my point exactly. When Democrats don't have FACTS, they resort to they type of name calling you are engaging in (or truth squads like the ones being deployed by Obama in Missouri). FACT: the polls and conventional wisdom have been wrong this entire election cycle and anyone who believes them now is the deluded one.
Hey Les,
You proved my point exactly. When Democrats don't have FACTS, they resort to they type of name calling you are engaging in (or truth squads like the ones being deployed by Obama in Missouri). FACT: the polls and conventional wisdom have been wrong this entire election cycle and anyone who believes them now is the deluded one.
P.S. Sorry to burst your illusions about people who are voting for McCain, but I am a registered Independent, have been a ticket splitter in the last 4 presidential cycles, I have never been a neocon nor have I ever listened to talk radio. But keep making those assumptions because it only helps our side.
Hypocrisy? Look up the meaning in the dictionary. He/She signed his post as "idiot."
Duh. Suzy. Duh.
Check her inanity out: She says:
"FACT: the polls and conventional wisdom have been wrong this entire election cycle and anyone who believes them now is the deluded one"
And who shall we place our faith in, Suzy. Your opinions, in place of the polls?
I would not believe any of these polls to any extreme.Ill tell you why. I just worked at a polling center which fed into larger tracking in San Diego. Most people that worked there were quite interesting(some drug addicts). My experience also showed that most people who participate are older Americans. These polls probably swing McCain actually more than they should.
"Don't believe the polls! Remember the last-minute huge swings from Obama to Hillary in almost every primary state?"
In other words:
don't believe the polls, unless you are recalling a time the polls did what you wanted, in which case project that trend onto this result.
I think this person was referring to the trend where 7/10 undecideds tended to go Hillary in the primary. Only problem here is that it doesn't matter when you are already at 48% or 53% support with 5% undecided..
That was then, this is now. People's minds are made up, for the most part. It's no longer just about convincing undecideds for McSame-Failin, its also about un-converting Obama voters.
I'm sure it wasn't easy for 51% of Virginia to start supporting Obama. Good luck convincing them they were wrong now.
Suzy,
You clearly don't understand statistics. I'm not saying numbers aren't sometimes misleading, I'm saying you are in no position to interpret them.
Stop the right-wing war on science.
John McCain is losing because he picked Sarah Palin. She is such a LOSER she is sinking the McCain ship. She should be home with her children where she belongs. What kind of woman leaves her retarded infant and pregnant teen behind so she can chase her own star? She's DESERTED HER FAMILY!!
My oldest son graduated from Hawaii and got a new cell number. He moved back to Indiana one week later. Three hours after he got off the plane, the Obama campaign called to welcome him to Indiana from a local number. They wanted to know if he wanted any help getting registered to vote. McCain should be very afraid.
hehe
Gallup has Obama up by 8 today and that includes the post VP debate period. If you follow the polls of polls, Obama's lead has been increasing for the last two weeks.
McPalin are getting desperate, all this crap about some guy Obama knew in the sixties. Obama had about as much contact with him as Palin has had with RUSSIA!
These polls seems to be incorrect in that they are not Polling enough Republicans. Most of these polls question about 25% Republicans to 35% or more Democrates. This is incorrect.
This was the case in the last two Presidental elections (2000 and 2004). Remember many people make up their minds the last week, nothing today is certain.
To all the Obama koolaide drinkers out there, remember that the Ayers issue is a serious one, the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are tied directly to Democrates. This Bailout has left many people bitter and when they realize that Obama got the second most money from Fannie and Freddie. There will be problems. On election day people will ask themselves, " Do I want a President who friends (Ayer, Wright) Hate this country, wants us to lose in Iraq, wants to taxes small businesses and has no more experience than Sarah Paline?"
These polls seems to be incorrect in that they are not Polling enough Republicans. Most of these polls question about 25% Republicans to 35% or more Democrates. This is incorrect.
This was the case in the last two Presidental elections (2000 and 2004). Remember many people make up their minds the last week, nothing today is certain.
To all the Obama koolaide drinkers out there, remember that the Ayers issue is a serious one, the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are tied directly to Democrates. This Bailout has left many people bitter and when they realize that Obama got the second most money from Fannie and Freddie. There will be problems. On election day people will ask themselves, " Do I want a President who friends (Ayer, Wright) Hate this country, wants us to lose in Iraq, wants to tax small businesses and has no more experience than Sarah Paline?"
Look's like the cement is starting to harden Obama with 300+ electoral votes, a 20 seat pick up in the house for the D's and 57 seats in the Senate for the D's minus jumpin Joe Liberman! Happy days are here again!
Obama/Biden for the American Class IT'S TIME!
This poll is the outlier... but not in the way the Repub's hope. The other tracking polls for the day had McCain down by 7 and 8 points, as well as Obama being over the 50% threshold that republicans seem to be clinging to, even though Mccain hasnt beat the 45% threshold. Face it, 8 years of bad policy, a bad decision to go to War, inept handling of Katrina and economic problems have spelled the end of this reign or terror on America. Obama will win. If McCain tried to go really nasty, it will probably make him look even more out of touch.
head buried in the sand = McPalin
The only thing sweeter than the victory we are about to have is the fact Reps are in complete denial.I suppose on top of the polls being wrong McCain is leaving Michegan because he secretly knows he has it in the bag.A few days ago someone named proud texan informed me Obama needs to be ahead by 10 or he will lose due to the bradley effect? Still don't know what that is but I bet Hilary wishes it had of showed up for her.Anyway, good luck reps I am sure that McCain will somehow find his way to victory and Palin will somehow find away to look smart.Not
The only thing sweeter than the victory we are about to have is the fact Reps are in complete denial.I suppose on top of the polls being wrong McCain is leaving Michegan because he secretly knows he has it in the bag.A few days ago someone named proud texan informed me Obama needs to be ahead by 10 or he will lose due to the bradley effect? Still don't know what that is but I bet Hilary wishes it had of showed up for her.Anyway, good luck reps I am sure that McCain will somehow find his way to victory and Palin will somehow find away to look smart.Not
obama is the man. i only hope that he keeps these leads!!!! obama/biden on novemeber 4th
obama is the man. i only hope that he keeps these leads!!!! obama/biden on novemeber 4th
obama is the man. i only hope that he keeps these leads!!!! obama/biden on novemeber 4th
Thanks for educating me that these polls are biased for Obama. As an Obama volenteer i was starting to get lazy and now will try to work harder.
These are bad news... for Obama
Obamma will lose bcause of his race.Birds of a feather flock together.Thats a fack, jack.
Obamma will lose bcause of his race.Birds of a feather flock together.Thats a fact, jack.
Obamma will lose bcause of his race.Birds of a feather flock together.Thats a fact, jack.
Obamma will lose bcause of his race.Birds of a feather flock together.Thats a fact, jack.