Faulty Spin?
Democratic National Committee Communications Director Brad Woodhouse is pushing back against Republican suggestions that when absentee ballots are counted in NY-20, the GOP nominee, Assemblyman Jim Tedisco, will be on top. Tedisco trails Democrat Scott Murphy by 65 votes.
Here's Woodhouse in a memo to be released shortly:
The NRCC released a memo today that included an assertion on absentee ballots that defies logic as well as the results of votes cast at the polls in New York 20 yesterday. According to the NRCC, they believe that their candidate will prevail when absentee ballots are counted solely because more Republicans requested absentee ballots than Democrats. Given that logic, and the Republicans 70,000 voter registration edge over Democrats in New York 20, shouldn't their candidate have prevailed last night? In fact, the more logical argument is that the absentee ballots are likely to closely reflect the votes cast at the polls giving Murphy the likely advantage considering that he already goes into the counting of absentee ballots with a lead.In addition, a lot more Republicans are voting for Murphy than Democrats voting for Tedisco. Given the current results and party registration in the district, and assuming 90% of Democrats voted for Murphy which is a safe assumption in our view, then at least 20% of Republicans voted for Murphy if independents split their votes. Therefore, more than twice as many Republicans are voting for Murphy as Democrats are voting for Tedisco - making the NRCC argument on absentee ballots meaningless - and demonstrating why when all the absentee ballots are counted, Murphy will remain ahead and likely expand his lead.
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