NY-23: Owens Still Leads With Over 60% In

Owens is still hanging on to his 49-45% lead here, with 63% of the precincts reporting.

Hoffman's problem continues to be Scozzafava's base.

In '08, when John McHugh was re-elected with 65%, he won Jefferson Co. by a 3-1 margin. Tonight, with nearly all the precincts from that county reporting, Owens leads 49-45%. And in St. Lawrence Co., with nearly 40% of the precincts reporting, Owens has opened up a 55-40% lead. In '08, McHugh won it by a nearly 2-1 margin.

In the last Siena poll released on Sun -- which Hoffman led by 5% -- he tied Owens in this area. He's going to need to pick it up with the remaining vote if he's going to pull this out.

(TIM SAHD)