Abercrombie To Resign; GOP To Benefit?
By Tim Sahd
Here's a twist out of Hawaii: Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D-HI) announced today that he'll resign his seat so he can continue his GOV bid full-time.
Abercrombie hasn't announced when he'll step aside, but there will be a special election to fill his seat. Ex-Rep. Ed Case (D) and state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa (D) have already begun '10 bids to replace Abercrombie; Case immediately sent out a release announcing his candidacy for the special.
Dems have an advantage here, but GOPers had vowed to contest the open seat. While it gave Barack Obama a whopping 70% in '08, Pres. Bush gave Dems a run for their money there in '04, and took 47%.
While it's not a top pickup opportunity, GOPers are excited about Honolulu Councilor Charles Djou's (R) bid. He's outbanked the field, collecting nearly $250K for the race, and has been an energetic campaigner.
UPDATED: The Hawaii rules for a special election would certainly aid Djou's cause, especially if Case and Hanabusa insist on staying in the race. That's because everyone (regardless of party) runs in a one-shot race. There is no runoff. So Djou could eek out a victory if Case and Hanabusa split the Dem vote.
But to their benefit, both Case and Hanabusa have strong name ID from previous runs, even though those runs have been in HI-02, not this Honolulu-based CD.
Case left his HI-02 seat in '06 to challenge Sen. Daniel Akaka (D), but lost. Case's primary challenge of the popular Akaka didn't sit too well with some Dems, and Hanabusa's attempting to use that split to her advantage. She's also garnered the early support of EMILY's List for her bid. Expect a very spirited race for whenever officials call a special.
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