Another Poll Has Reid Losing Badly
More than half of NV voters have an unfavorable impression of Senate Maj. Leader Harry Reid, making his bid for a 5th term look decidedly uphill, according to a new survey.
The Research 2000 poll, conducted for the liberal DailyKos website, surveyed 600 LVs between Jan. 18-20 for a margin of error of +/- 4%. Reid, Las Vegas Mayor Oscar Goodman (D), Rep. Shelly Berkley (D) and Sec/State Ross Miller (D) were tested against ex-NV GOP chair/ex-state Sen. Sue Lowden (R) and businessman/'06 Sec/State nom. Danny Tarkanian (R).
General Election Matchups
Tarkanian 52 Lowden 51
Reid 41 Reid 42
Goodman 44 Goodman 44
Tarkanian 41 Lowden 40
Tarkanian 46 Lowden 45
Berkley 40 Berkley 40Tarkanian 44 Lowden 43
Miller 36 Miller 37
Each candidate's fav/unfav rating tells its own story. Reid's dismal 34%-55% rating is getting worse, even after months of positive ads, and his 26%-61% rating among indie voters is abysmal. Berkley and Miller have net-favorable ratings, though they remain undefined to large segments of the electorate.
Among Dems, only Goodman has admirable ratings, with 47% favorable and 19% unfavorable. That includes a 46%-14% rating among indies. There's only one problem: The date by which Goodman would have had to switch his voter registration from indie to Dem has passed, meaning he would have to run as an independent if he were to make a bid.
Meanwhile, Reid's entire strategy rests on beating up his eventual GOP opponent. And while Lowden and Tarkanian are beginning to attack each other, they are each becoming known by the electorate at large. Both are seen favorably by more than 45% of voters, while their unfavorables hover at 31% and 26%, respectively. Every voter who forms a positive opinion of one of them makes Reid's road to victory -- by way of fomenting negative thoughts about the eventual GOP nominee -- that much more difficult.
So what are the odds that Reid pulls a Gray Davis and gets involved in the GOP primary, the better to "pick" his own opponent? It worked for Davis, after all.
For more on the contest, check out The Hotline's race dashboard.
Here in las vegas my whole street despises harry reid.Even the olders hate him.On 11/2/10 we will crawl on broken glass to vote him out ,he's done tearing up this country.37 million people Americans on food stamps and he's living high on the hog off of taxpayer dollars.Time for the old goat to move along.Bye bye harry.
I am to a great extent impressed with the article I have just read. I wish the author of hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com can continue to provide so much useful information and unforgettable experience to hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com readers. There is not much to tell except the following universal truth: Things always seem like a good idea at the time. I will be back.
I saw this really great post today, found it on google. i think i may return soon.
Hey I just found your site. We blog about similar topics, so I was wondering if you would be interested in exchanging blog links?
Good stuff here!