Insiders Predict Big Losses For Dems
Members of Congress see big losses for Dems in this year's midterm elections, but GOPers are much more optimistic about their chances than Dems are about theirs.
Nearly 1 in 3 GOPers say they will take back the House, predicting gains of more than 40 seats. All told, GOP members of Congress believe they will benefit from a pickup of 33 seats, on average, with the most pessimistic saying their party will earn back between 20-29 seats.
"The January wind is as strong as it was in September 1994. The ship is about ready to go down," said one optimistic GOPer. Added another: "Although if they keep it up, they could actually lose control of the House."
Dem members of Congress believe they will lose an average of 15 seats, according to National Journal's Congressional Insiders poll. 56% of Dem members say the party will lose between 10-19 seats, while just 1 said the party will lose the House.
"House Republicans continue to struggle with fundraising and retirement woes of their own," one House Dem told National Journal. "While this year will adhere to the historical trends that predict Democratic losses in the House, it could have been far worse and won't be the wave that some folks are predicting at this early stage."
Check out tomorrow's National Journal for more.
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