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Cuomo Cruising, Gillibrand Leads

NY AG Andrew Cuomo (D) would wallop Gov. David Paterson in a Dem primary, but NY voters aren't ready to make a change in their party's Senate race just yet, according to a new survey out today.

The Quinnipiac Univ. poll, conducted Jan. 27-Feb. 1, surveyed 921 Dem RVs for a margin of error of +/- 3.2%. Paterson, Cuomo, Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D), ex-Rep. Harold Ford (D) and activist John Tasini (D) were tested.

SEN Primary Matchup    GOV Primary Matchup
Gillibrand      36%    Cuomo           55%
Ford            18     Paterson        23
Tasini           4

Cuomo beats Paterson by wide margins among both men and women, though Paterson leads among African American voters by a 42%-34% margin. But if Cuomo does beat Paterson, those African American voters will come back; a general election matchup shows Cuomo beating ex-Rep. Rick Lazio (R) 81%-4% among black voters, better than Paterson's 70%-9% lead among African Americans. Just 14% of all voters, and 22% of black voters, say a primary between the 2 would be racially divisive.

Cuomo is the most popular politician in the Empire State. He has a net favorable rating even among GOP voters and a 71% job approval rating (higher even than the 58% rating Sen. Chuck Schumer scores). Meanwhile, just 28% of all voters say Paterson deserves a full term and only 37% approve of the job he's doing.

Over in the Senate contest, both candidates have work to do in introducing themselves to the state. Gillibrand isn't known by 49% of Dems, while 68% say they don't know enough about Ford to have an opinion. With much more money in the bank, that gives Gillibrand the early edge.

2 Comments

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