Early Hints On The Dem "No"s
Rep. Bart Stupak's (D-MI) agreement on abortion with Pres. Obama took whatever drama was left out of the question of whether the health care bill will pass the House tonight. But there's still the question of which Dems will buck their party and vote against the bill.
And we got a hint of which Dems will stray from the party line in two procedural votes, which passed rather easily -- relatively speaking -- earlier today. Through those votes, a total of 29 Dems voted at least once against the rules of debate. For the Senate health care bill to pass the House, Dems cannot lose more than 37 of their own Members, if, as expected, no GOPers cross the aisle to support it.
The 29 Dems:
Reps. John Adler (D-NJ), Mike Arcuri (D-NY), John Barrow (D-GA), Dan Boren (D-OK), Rick Boucher (D-VA), Bobby Bright (D-AL), Ben Chandler (D-KY), Travis Childers (D-MS), Artur Davis (D-AL), Lincoln Davis (D-TN), Chet Edwards (D-TX), Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D-SD), Tim Holden (D-PA), Frank Kratovil (D-MD), Dan Lipinski (D-IL), Stephen Lynch (D-MA), Jim Marshall (D-GA), Jim Matheson (D-UT), Mike McIntyre (D-NC), Michael McMahon (D-NY), Charlie Melancon (D-LA), Walt Minnick (D-ID), Harry Mitchell (D-AZ), Glenn Nye (D-VA), Mike Ross (D-AR), Health Shuler (D-NC), Ike Skelton (D-MO), Zack Space (D-OH), Gene Taylor (D-MS).
While these early "no" votes may give us a general indication of what the later roll call on the Senate health care bill will look like, it's not likely to be an exact replica.
Excluding those who sided with Stupak and are now likely to vote for the legislation, several Dems who have promised to vote "no" -- including Reps. Jason Altmire (D-PA), Larry Kissell (D-NC) and Collin Peterson (D-MN) -- voted with their leadership in the early votes. So while the final bill is still likely to pass, it won't be as easy as those earlier votes suggested.
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