Updating The Health Care Whip Count

Our latest whip count shows no progress for House Dem leadership. In fact, more members are sneaking onto the watch list, as Rep. Steve Kagen (D-WI) voiced concern over whether the Senate would actually pass a sidecar bill.

For Dems, the problem has become clear: They need legislation before they can sell it to their members. Every day that goes by without a bill gives the GOP more time to pressure wavering Dems.

Here's our latest whip count, spotlighting the members to watch and how they have indicated they will vote on the Senate bill and the accompanying legislative fix:

Dem Targets: No On Reform, No On Stupak (15)
Member              District    Comments
John Adler*           NJ03      Worried about cost controls
Brian Baird           WA03      Retiring/Undecided~
Rick Boucher          VA09
Allen Boyd            FL02
Chet Edwards          TX17
S. Herseth Sandlin    SDAL
Larry Kissell*        NC08
Suzanne Kosmas*       FL24
Frank Kratovil*       MD01      Spox: Would vote no^
Dennis Kucinich       OH10      MSNBC appearance: No
Betsy Markey*         CO04
Mike McMahon*         NY13
Walt Minnick*         ID01
Scott Murphy*         NY20
Glenn Nye*            VA02

* - denotes freshman
^ - Kratovil source: "The Plum Line." Kucinich source: MSNBC's "Ed Show," 3/8.
~ - Hotline reporting.

Dem Long Shots: No On Reform, Yes On Stupak (21)
Member              District    Comments
Jason Altmire         PA04      Worried about Senate votes
John Barrow           GA12
John Boccieri*        OH16      Undecided~
Dan Boren             OK02      No~
Bobby Bright*         AL02
Ben Chandler          KY06
Travis Childers       MS01
Artur Davis           AL07      Running for AL GOV, firm no^
Lincoln Davis         TN04
Bart Gordon           TN06      Retiring/Undecided~
Tim Holden            PA17
Jim Marshall          GA08      No^
Jim Matheson          UT02      Undecided
Charlie Melancon      LA03      Running for SEN
Collin Peterson       MN07      No~
Mike Ross             AR04
Heath Shuler          NC11
Ike Skelton           MO04      No^
John Tanner           TN08      Retiring
Gene Taylor           MS04
Harry Teague*         NM02

* - denotes freshman
^ - Marshall source: "The Plum Line." Matheson source: "The Plum Line." Skelton source: The Hill.
~ - Hotline reporting.

Continued after the jump.

GOP Targets: Yes On Reform, Yes On Stupak (40)
Member              District    Comments
Joe Baca              CA43
Marion Berry          AR01      Retiring/Abortion concerns
Sanford Bishop        GA02
Dennis Cardoza        CA18
Chris Carney          PA10
Jim Cooper            TN05
Jim Costa             CA20
Jerry Costello        IL12
Henry Cuellar         TX28
Kathy Dahlkemper*     PA03
Joe Donnelly          IN02      Will switch to no^
Mike Doyle            PA14
Steve Driehaus*       OH01
Brad Ellsworth        IN08      Running for SEN
Bob Etheridge         NC02
Baron Hill            IN09
Paul Kanjorski        PA11
Marcy Kaptur          OH09
Dale Kildee           MI05
Jim Langevin          RI02
Dan Lipinski          IL03
Stephen Lynch         MA09
Mike McIntyre         NC07
Mike Michaud          ME02
Alan Mollohan         WV01
Richard Neal          MA02
Jim Oberstar          MN08
David Obey            WI07
Tom Perriello*        VA05
Earl Pomeroy          SDAL
Nick Rahall           WV03
Silvestre Reyes       TX16
Ciro Rodriguez        TX23
Tim Ryan              OH17
John Salazar          CO03
Vic Snyder            AR02      Retiring
Zack Space            OH18
John Spratt           SC05
Bart Stupak           MI01      Abortion concerns
Charlie Wilson        OH06

* - denotes freshman
^ - Donnelly source: Rochester Sentinel.

GOP Long Shots: Junior Dems (18)
Member              District    Comments
Mike Arcuri           NY24      Will switch to no^
Gerry Connolly        VA11
Alan Grayson          FL08
Debbie Halvorson      IL11
Martin Heinrich       NM01
Jim Himes             CT04
Steve Kagen           WI08      Worried about Senate votes^
Mary Jo Kilroy        OH15
Ann Kirkpatrick       AZ01
Dan Maffei            NY25      Worried about Senate votes
Jerry McNerney        CA11      Undecided~
Gary Peters           MI09
Chellie Pingree       ME01
Jared Polis           CO02
Mark Schauer          MI07
Kurt Schrader         OR05
Dina Titus            NV03
Paul Tonko            NY21

^ - Arcuri source: WKTV. Kagen source: WLUK TV.
~ - Hotline reporting.