Whitman Narrowly Leads Brown After Ad Blitz
Ex-eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R) has opened up a narrow lead in the CA GOV race on AG/ex-Gov. Jerry Brown (D), while also assuming a commanding advantage in the GOP primary over Insurance Commis. Steve Poizner (R), according to a new Field Poll released today.
The poll surveyed 748 likely voters from Mar. 9-15, with a margin of error of +/- 3.6%. There was an oversample of 353 likely GOP primary voters, with a margin of error of +/- 5.2%. The poll tested Whitman and Poizner among GOPers, and then each against Brown among the main sample.
Primary Election Matchup (GOPers) Whitman 63% (+18 from 1/17) Poizner 14 (- 3)General Election Matchups
Whitman 46% (+10) Brown 49% (+ 1)
Brown 43 (- 3) Poizner 32 (+ 1)
The poll represents a surge in support for Whitman. Last Oct., Whitman trailed Brown among registered voters, 50%-29%. In Jan., she had narrowed Brown's lead to 10 points among likely voters.
CA voters are beginning to view Whitman more favorably. In Oct., just 18% of registered voters had a favorable image of Whitman. In the current poll, 40% of likely voters view her favorably; 27% view her unfavorably -- a result of the huge ad campaigns Whitman has run over the last several months.
Whitman has already announced she has put $40M into her own bid, while Poizner has spent $19M of his own money.
Likely voters are souring on Poizner's candidacy, according to the poll. Since Jan., Poizner's favorable rating has stayed at 16%, while the %age viewing him unfavorably has shot up. Now, 32% view him unfavorably, up from 20% in Jan.
Images of Brown are more mixed. His favorable ratings have decreased to 41%, with 37% of likely voters now having an unfavorable impression of him.
The poll is consistent with a poll conducted last week for the liberal website DailyKos.com that showed Whitman and Brown in a tightening race, with Poizner well back in the primary.
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