Where The House Stands
The GOP stands to make major gains in House this year, but can the party actually take control of the Speaker's gavel? Here's a look at 3 smart political analysts giving their take:
The Rothenberg Political Report: "Substantial Republican gains are inevitable, with net Democratic losses now looking to be at least two dozen. At this point, GOP gains of 25-30 seats seem likely, though considerably larger gains in excess of 40 seats certainly seem possible."
The Cook Political Report: "Combining its own race-by-race calculations with the results of national polls, The Cook Political Report officially projects a Republican gain of 30 to 40 seats. I suspect that the GOP will do even better if the trend over the past seven months continues," Charlie Cook writes in today's National Journal.
And House Race Hotline editor Tim Sahd: "We currently see Dem House losses of 25 to 35 seats, but considering the GOP momentum shows no signs of slowing, a 40+ GOP gain -- and with it, the majority -- isn't out of the question. Local and national polling confirms the GOP upsurge."
Tim explains: "Earlier this week, the Gallup weekly survey showed the GOP holding a 4% lead on the generic Congressional Ballot -- just the third time since '62 the party has held the lead on that question. And in individual CDs, public and private polling shows Dem incumbents (from veterans to freshmen) bearing the load of economic uneasiness and voter attitudes over the health care overhaul. Most of these vulnerable Dem incumbents are preparing by raising boatloads of cash, but even that will be able to save all of them from the GOP wave that appears to be crashing ashore."
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