Griffith Battle Tops 6/1 House Primaries
Memorial Day may be the holiday for hot dogs and hamburgers, but Tuesday's House primaries in AL and MS will certainly be no picnic for some GOPers.
Rep. Parker Griffith's (R) primary battle in his new party tops the list of competitive races on 6/1, but two other contests will decide whether some Blue Dog Dems will have real challenges in the fall. Below is a preview of next week's three top House contests.
AL-05:
If Rep. Parker Griffith (R) thought he would be welcomed with open GOP arms after he switched parties in late '09, he's certainly discovered differently in the last few months. He's had to fight efforts to get his name taken off the GOP ballot, and also seen GOP establishment types flock to his opponents, especially Madison Co. Commis. Mo Brooks (R).
But Griffith is not without resources. He has put over $250K of his own money into his well-stocked bid, and has been airing TV ads touting his conservative credentials for months. He also has the NRA's endorsement along with the GOP Cong. delegation behind him. But Brooks has attacked Griffith for his past Dem leanings, and looks to be Griffith's biggest challenger. If no GOPer reaches 50%, the top two candidates will move to a 7/13 runoff.
Businessman Les Phillips (R) has raised a boatload of cash, but has spent most of his warchest on direct mail fundraising. The African-American aimed to jolt viewers late in the race by releasing a TV ad comparing he and Obama, saying: "While one played with terrorists and allowed his America-hating pastor to baptize his children, the other joined the Navy to defend this country." CORRECTION: The writeup previously noted the ad was web-only. In fact, the ad has been on the air for over a week. We apologize for the error.
Dems, meanwhile, will decide between pol. consultant/late-Sen. Heflin CoS Steve Raby (D), Sen. Sparkman grandson/atty Taze Shepard (D) and atty Mitchell Howie (D). Under the right circumstances, Dems believe this seat could be put in play, but GOPers certainly have the edge here.
AL-02:
GOPers hailed Montgomery Councilor Martha Roby (R) as a top-tier recruit when she entered the race, and the cmte has been impressed enough with her bid that she's moved to the top of the NRCC's "Young Guns" program.
And in the 6/2 primary she's the definite frontrunner, as she's the only candidate currently on the air with TV ads. Early on, Tea Partier Rick Barber (R) looked like he'd put a scare into Roby, but he's raised just $60K. Ditto for AL school board member Stephanie Bell (R), who's been a non-factor on the fundraising front. Roby should win comfortably, and a closer-than-expected primary will be a sign that her camp is not yet ready for primetime, and may never be.
The winner will face conservative Rep. Bobby Bright (D) in the fall, and early polling shows Bright way out in front against Roby.
MS-01:
GOPers were nervous that ex-FNC commentator Angela McGlowan (R) would make life very difficult for DC GOP fave Alan Nunnelee (R). After all, she had cash she could dump into the race, and also had the support of Tea Party elements that could give her plenty of grassroots support.
But her bid got off to a rocky start when she suggested that firearm owners should list their guns on IRS forms, and she doesn't appear to have gained much traction since then. She's spent just $63K on the race and had just $1K left in the bank in mid-May. Ex-Eupora Mayor Henry Ross (R) also appears to be trying to rally Tea Party support, but his bid is also running on fumes. Nunnelee should be the heavy favorite here, but -- like AL-02's Roby -- a sub-par performance would be a sign that his camp isn't up to the task of defeating battle-tested Rep. Travis Childers (D). If no GOPer hits 50%, the top two candidates will move to a 6/22 runoff -- something Nunnelee is definitely hoping to avoid.
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You obviously KNOW nothing of our politics here. Morris Brooks by FAR is not the threat to Parker-if choice was Morris or Parker-Parker would win 10 to 1. Not to mention your obviously not even well-informed Les Phillip's ad has been on tv for over a week. Geez get some facts.
Considering that I did the media buy for the Les Phillip campaign, you morons might want to get your facts straight.
It is NOT a web only campaign.
It IS playing in the 5th District of Alabama.
Quit being too lazy to pick up the phone or send an email to get your facts straight.
Quit reading the New York Times and go to the source.
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