Thursday, May 24, 2012

Dueling Polls in WV GOV Primary

April 6, 2011 | 11:30 a.m.

A poll released Wednesday by the gubernatorial campaign of acting-Gov. Earl Ray Tomblin (D) shows him leading Secretary of State Natalie Tennant (D) by 14 points. The poll follows a survey conducted several weeks earlier by the Tennant campaign indicating a closer race.

In the Global Strategy Group (D) poll conducted for Tomblin, the acting governor leads Tennant 36 percent to 22 percent.

The Tennant poll, conducted by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D), shows Tomblin leading Tennant 31 percent to 27 percent.

Tomblin has been viewed as the frontrunner, thanks to his standing as the current governor. Fundraising reports also show he has raised the most money in the Democratic field, and has the most money in the bank.

Neither candidate has gone up on television, while both Treasurer John Perdue (D) and state House Speaker Rick Thompson (D), who are behind Tomblin and Tennant in both polls, have already gone up on the air.

There has been little public polling on the race -- the only other survey released this year was an automated survey from Public Policy Polling (D) in January that showed Tomblin and Tennant running neck and neck.

The poll of 602 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted for the Tomblin campaign from March 28-31 by Global Strategy Group (D). The survey carries a margin of error of +/- 4.0 percent.

The poll conducted for Tennant by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D) from March 10-15 surveyed 600 likely Democratic primary voters, with a margin of error +/- 4.0 percent.

The primary will take place on May 14.


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